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NDX KEY LEVELS FOR 18/02/2025//description // All credit goes to Tony for the concept of this indicator. His Trading View link: www.tradingview.com // Note: The calculation method in this indicator differs from Tony's, but the concept is derived from his work. I want to make it clear that I am not a seller, and this method was not taught to me by anyone. The original creator only gave me one clue: 👉 "If you get one level, you get all levels." Everything else—the way I nail it the method and applied it—is my own work. I respect the original idea, but my approach is independent. Explanation: This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits. Entry/Exit Points: - Entry/Exit Lines: Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan. - Stop Loss: For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above. - Take Profit: For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below. Timeframe: Use a 5 mins timeframe for trading. Risk Disclaimer: This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
NASDAQ:NDX
by nandupk
XAUUSDAffected by the holiday in the USA, the gold price fluctuated in a narrow range yesterday, with a slight increase on the daily line. The overall trend is in line with our expectations. The price failed to form an effective continuation after the decline. After rising to 2940 last week, it encountered secondary suppression and then fell sharply. This week, the price did not break the previous low, continuing the pattern of nearly a year. The price briefly stabbed the support and then quickly repaired the decline. The main chart currently shows a weak short signal, but further confirmation is needed. The sub-chart MACD indicator is glued at a high level, with signs of forming a dead cross, suggesting a risk of decline. If the 4-hour candle falls below the support, it will rise sharply, and the price will temporarily recover some of the lost ground, but the rebound strength is weak. Focus on the recovery of the 26-day moving average. If the price re-stands on the moving average, it is expected to start a wide range of oscillations. In the medium and long term, the gold price is still in an upward trend, and a decline of tens of dollars in the short term is unlikely to change the trend direction. Regardless of whether 2942 is a stage top, the construction and confirmation of the head pattern requires a repeated process. From the daily chart, gold is still in an upward trend, and the trend has not changed, but the current momentum is gradually weakening, and the upper 2942 is also the previous high position, which is of reference significance from a technical perspective. The market may form a wide range of fluctuations at a high level. From the 4-hour chart, the gold bullish arrangement is still intact, and it can rebound effectively when it touches the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. At present, it encounters resistance at 2942 near the previous high, and there is a potential double top to be played. And due to the excessive stretching of the previous bulls, it often takes a period of adjustment. Therefore, without further news stimulation, it is unlikely that gold will rise fiercely, and you can capture the callback market. This week, pay attention to the competition between the high point 2942 and the neckline 2865. After the second high and then falling back, the 4-hour chart has the possibility of constructing a double top callback. This week, focus on the neckline 2865. The loss of this position will further deepen the adjustment space. Intraday trading is mainly based on callback buying, supplemented by rebound selling! Key points: First support: 2888, second support: 2880, third support: 2873 First resistance: 2910, second resistance: 2918, third resistance: 2924 Operation ideas: BUY: 2883-2885, SL: 2874, TP: 2910-2920; SELL: 2910-2913, SL: 2922, TP: 2890-2880;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
February 17 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis Hello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement today. Long waiting based on the rising pattern in Nasdaq The best short entry section in Tether Dominance came out at the mid-term point. There is a possibility of a gap reversal at the top and I may miss the entry point today, so I operated aggressively. *One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves 1. Pursue purchase at $96,252.5 / Stop loss when the purple support line breaks away or when the 2nd section is touched 2. Top section 1st target -> Good 2nd target Short position switching when the Good section is reached Movement within the 1st and 2nd sections at the top is a sideways market. There may be a strong decline from the 2nd section breakaway, so those who are operating long positions should be careful. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only. I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
EURUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVESAXO:EURUSD As of February 18, 2025, the EUR/USD pair is trading near the 1.0475 level, following a recent pullback after last week's sharp rally. TELETRADE Technical Overview: Current Price: Approximately 1.0475 Resistance Levels: 1.0500, 1.0600 Support Levels: 1.0450, 1.0420, 1.0400 Technical Indicators: Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI has eased to 59 but remains in positive territory, indicating that the recent rally may not be over yet. TELETRADE Moving Averages: The pair is trading above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), suggesting that dips might attract renewed buying interest. TELETRADE Trade Recommendation: Given the current technical indicators and market conditions, initiating a sell position could be considered if the price fails to break above the 1.0500 resistance level. Entry Point: Sell at 1.0460 Take Profit (TP): 1.0400 Stop Loss (SL): 1.0500 Risk Management: This trade setup offers a 1:1 reward-to-risk ratio. Ensure that your position size aligns with your risk tolerance and overall trading strategy. Given the current volatility, it's crucial to employ strict risk management practices. Conclusion: The EUR/USD pair is currently experiencing a technical correction after a strong rally. If the price fails to break above the 1.0500 resistance level, a selling opportunity may arise. Traders should monitor price action closely and manage risk appropriately. Disclaimer: Trading forex carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Ensure you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Short
by RBSBALA
BTC Halving | Halving Mapping | Bull Run | Bitcoin Analysis Timeframe: 1 Week (Halving Mapping) This article focuses on three key aspects of Bitcoin’s halving, based on historical research: Bull Market Moves Bear Market Moves Pre-Halving Moves As you can see in the chart above, the previous halving events have been mapped out, providing a clear picture of Bitcoin’s price behavior. Historically, after each halving, Bitcoin enters a bull market, followed by a bear market. Additionally, I’ve observed and mapped a unique pattern that isn’t widely discussed: a pre-halving upward move that occurs before the halving event. This pre-halving move often provides significant returns, especially after a bear market phase. For investors and long-term holders, this presents an opportunity to divide investments into two parts: Pre-Halving Move: Capitalize on the upward momentum before the halving. Post-Halving Bull Run: Benefit from the sustained bull market after the halving. These strategies don’t require extensive technical analysis. A deep dive into historical data makes the patterns clear. Historically, after an uptrend, Bitcoin experiences a downtrend lasting between 1.5 to 2 years. Keeping these patterns in mind can help you craft effective investment strategies. Current Market Bull Run Update A common question among traders and investors is: Has the bull run ended? Is this the last exit point for Bitcoin? Based on my research, the bull run is not over yet. While we may see a downward move in the near term, this is likely to be a manipulation phase, creating FOMO (fear of missing out) among traders who might believe the bull run has ended. However, Bitcoin is expected to make one final upward move, reaching a new all-time high. This final phase is likely to occur in the latter part of this year, with 2025 being entirely dominated by the bull run. Looking at the 2020 halving chart, you can see a clear "M" shape pattern. At that time, the market experienced a similar phase where the "M" shape completed, and Bitcoin retraced significantly, creating FOMO. However, it eventually surged to a new all-time high in the final phase. Currently, I believe we are witnessing the formation of a similar "M" shape. Bitcoin is in the process of completing the first half of the "M," which could lead to a downward move. However, this is not a cause for panic. After this retracement, Bitcoin is expected to complete the "M" shape and reach a new all-time high later this year. On-Chain Analysis Insights From an on-chain perspective, it’s evident that major investors have not fully exited their positions. There’s a general sentiment among large holders to create FOMO, allowing them to buy back at lower prices. This aligns with my research, suggesting that the current market dynamics are part of a larger strategy. Additionally, the recent delay in the bull run can be attributed to the rise of meme coins. These coins have created a frenzy, with politicians and influencers jumping on the bandwagon to launch their own meme coins. This has diverted attention and capital from Bitcoin, causing a slight delay in its upward momentum. However, once the meme coin hype subsides, Bitcoin is expected to resume its upward trajectory. Summary Halving Mapping: Three key phases were discussed – the bull run, bear market, and pre-halving upward move. Current Chart Structure: Bitcoin is forming a half "M" shape, which may lead to a downward move before completing the pattern and reaching a new all-time high later this year. 2025 Outlook: The entire year of 2025 is expected to be dominated by the bull run. Note My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward. Thank you!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by The_Chartist30
NIKKEI FULL-TRADEABLE SETUPS 1. Short-Term Trader (Intraday to Multi-Day) A) Primary (Bias-Aligned) Setup • Rationale: Aligns with the broader uptrend and the ongoing range support near 38,900–39,000 on lower timeframes. Looks for a short-term rally if price reclaims local resistance. • Execution Parameters: • Entry Trigger: • Await a 1H candle close above ~39,300 (near local lower-high pivot). • Look for an uptick in volume or a bullish engulfing bar on the 1H chart confirming momentum. • Stop-Loss Placement: • Under 39,000, just below the bullish order block / recent intraday support. • Take-Profit Levels: • TP1: ~39,500 (immediate overhead supply). • TP2: ~39,700–39,800 (previous swing highs). • Risk Management: • Position size to risk 1–2% of trading capital, with an approximate 1:2 or 1:3 R:R ratio depending on final entry fill. B) Alternate (Contrary) Setup • Rationale: Activates if the support region (38,900–39,000) fails, flipping short-term bias to downside momentum. • Execution Parameters: • Alternate Entry Trigger: • Break and 1H close below 38,900, confirming invalidation of the bullish order block. • Any retest that fails to reclaim 39,000 becomes a secondary entry. • Stop-Loss Placement: • Just above 39,100 to cover a potential reclaim attempt. • Take-Profit Levels: • TP1: ~38,600 (recent minor support). • TP2: ~38,200 or deeper if intraday selling accelerates. • Risk Management: • Adjust position size for volatility around a breakdown; aim for a 1:2 R:R or better. 2. Swing Trader (Multi-Week) A) Primary (Bias-Aligned) Setup • Rationale: Builds on the daily chart’s bullish structure near 38k support, looking for a potential run toward the 40k–41k resistance region. • Execution Parameters: • Entry Trigger: • Daily close above ~39,500 with sustained volume, suggesting an attempt at the next resistance band (40k+). • Bullish crossover on daily MACD or RSI crossing above ~55 can reinforce the entry. • Stop-Loss Placement: • Beneath 38,500 on a daily closing basis, below the recent consolidation floor to allow for volatility. • Take-Profit Levels: • TP1: ~40,000–40,200 (major daily supply zone). • TP2: ~41,000 (upper band of daily range). • Risk Management: • Aim for a moderate position size, seeking a 1:2 or 1:3 R:R. Consider partial profit at TP1 and trailing stops thereafter. B) Alternate (Contrary) Setup • Rationale: Triggered if daily price closes convincingly under 38k support, negating the bullish mid-range bias and opening downside toward deeper weekly support. • Execution Parameters: • Alternate Entry Trigger: • Daily close below ~38,000, plus follow-through selling on the next session. • This invalidates the bullish structure, suggesting a larger correction could unfold. • Stop-Loss Placement: • Above 38,800 on a daily closing basis, covering a possible reclaim of the broken support. • Take-Profit Levels: • TP1: ~37,000 (prior daily pivot and potential institutional demand). • TP2: ~36,000 or lower if the weekly chart’s deeper support is tested. • Risk Management: • Use swing-sized position. Target a 1:2 R:R minimum, reducing or trailing stops near key fib or structural supports. 3. Macro Trader (Multi-Month to Longer-Term) A) Primary (Bias-Aligned) Setup • Rationale: Leverages the long-term uptrend visible on the weekly chart, anticipating that consolidation near ~38k–39k eventually resolves to the upside toward prior highs (~42k). • Execution Parameters: • Entry Trigger: • Weekly close above 40k, demonstrating a clear breakout from the consolidation range. • Confirmation via weekly momentum indicators turning bullish (e.g., weekly MACD crossing positive). • Stop-Loss Placement: • Under 36k on a weekly closing basis, below major prior structure and the 100/200-week MAs. • Take-Profit Levels: • TP1: ~42,000–43,000 (historic weekly resistance). • TP2: Potential extension beyond 45k if the bull trend accelerates. • Risk Management: • Lower leverage or a smaller position. Potentially add on retests of the breakout zone. Seek a 1:3 or better R:R over a longer horizon. B) Alternate (Contrary) Setup • Rationale: Engaged if price fails at the top of the range and breaks down significantly below the multi-year trendline or major weekly support. • Execution Parameters: • Alternate Entry Trigger: • Weekly close below 35,500–36,000, confirming the breakdown of the bullish structure from a macro standpoint. • Negative slope on weekly MAs or a strongly negative MACD cross might reinforce the short bias. • Stop-Loss Placement: • Above ~37,500 on a weekly closing basis, allowing some volatility above the broken support region. • Take-Profit Levels: • TP1: ~32,000–33,000 (major prior pivot / weekly volume node). • TP2: ~30,000 or lower if a full cyclical retrace unfolds. • Risk Management: • Employ conservative position sizing given the longer timescale. Aim for a balanced risk-reward approach, partial profit around TP1, and trailing stop for the remainder. Summary of the Dual-Scenario Approach • Primary Setups in each category lean bullish, reflecting the broader uptrend and stable support around 38k–39k. • Alternate (Contrary) Setups engage only if key supports break or resistance strongly rejects price, confirming a structural shift. This dual approach covers both sides of the market, ensuring readiness for continued consolidation/breakout to the upside or a sudden downside invalidation of the current range.
SPREADEX:NIKKEILong
by EliteMarketAnalysis
NIKKEI SWING SET UPS ## SWING-TRADING (MULTI-WEEK) NIKKEI SETUP ### Overall Context - **Market Sentiment & Positioning**: Institutional flows remain cautiously optimistic, with elevated hedging but steady inflows into key equity segments. The broader late-cycle expansion continues, while inflation shows signs of moderating. - **Monetary Policy & Macro Factors**: Central banks globally are shifting toward accommodative policies, generally supporting equities. However, pockets of economic slowdown or negative surprises in data releases can quickly alter sentiment. - **Technical Structure**: On the daily timeframe, the Nikkei has been building a bullish structure near the 38k zone, suggesting that dips into this area are often bought. Price attempts to push toward the 40k–41k region align with prior swing highs, forming a natural upside target for swing traders. --- ### A. PRIMARY (BULLISH) SWING SETUP 1. **Rationale** - Seeks to capitalize on the Nikkei’s ongoing daily uptrend, with price consolidating above 38k. - The daily momentum indicators and supportive macro environment suggest that further upside is possible if the index breaks its near-term resistance. 2. **Execution Parameters** - **Entry Trigger**: - Look for a daily close above ~39,500 on strong volume, indicating a renewed push toward the 40k region. - A bullish crossover in technical indicators (e.g., MACD, RSI above ~55) can provide additional confirmation. - **Stop-Loss Placement**: - Below ~38,500 on a daily closing basis, allowing room for typical market volatility while protecting against a deeper breakdown. - **Take-Profit Levels**: 1. **First Target**: Approximately 40,000–40,200, a significant daily resistance zone and psychological round number. 2. **Second Target**: Around 41,000, aligning with higher-end resistance if bullish momentum persists. - **Risk Management**: - Maintain a 1–2% account risk per trade. Position sizing should factor in the distance to your stop. - Upon reaching the first target, consider partial profit-taking and moving the stop-loss to break-even. 3. **Supporting Factors** - **Institutional Flows**: Large funds often continue buying dips in a stable macro environment, providing a cushion under prices. - **Liquidity & Rates**: The supportive, lower-rate backdrop can encourage investors to hold equities longer, favoring sustained uptrends. --- ### B. ALTERNATE (BEARISH) SWING SETUP 1. **Rationale** - Becomes actionable if the daily close undercuts ~38,000, suggesting the potential for a more pronounced corrective phase. - Negative macro catalysts or a notable shift in risk sentiment could accelerate selling and undermine the current range-bound bullish bias. 2. **Execution Parameters** - **Entry Trigger**: - A daily close below ~38,000, followed by a second day of downside confirmation or inability to regain that level. - **Stop-Loss Placement**: - Above ~38,800 on a daily closing basis, invalidating the bearish scenario if price reclaims the broken support. - **Take-Profit Levels**: 1. **First Target**: Near 37,000, which historically has acted as a pivot/demand area on the daily chart. 2. **Second Target**: Around 36,000, if downside momentum accelerates. - **Risk Management**: - Maintain a 1–2% risk allocation. - Consider partial profit at the first target and tighten stops if the market heads lower in a sustained fashion. 3. **Supporting Factors** - **Macro & Policy Shifts**: A sudden spike in inflation, unexpected central bank hawkishness, or severe economic data misses can quickly unwind bullish positions. - **Institutional Hedging Unwind**: If selling pressure builds, existing hedges may intensify the move lower as positions are adjusted or closed out. --- ## KEY RISK MANAGEMENT NOTES - **Data & Catalysts**: Swing traders should be mindful of earnings seasons, central bank announcements, and major geopolitical developments that can cause multi-day moves or gaps. - **Trend Confirmation & Timely Exits**: Use daily closes (as opposed to intraday fluctuations) to confirm breakouts or breakdowns. Partial profit-taking at predefined levels and trailing stops on the remaining position help lock in gains while allowing participation in extended runs. - **Sizing & Leverage**: With multi-day to multi-week holding periods, ensure that margin usage and stop placements accommodate overnight and weekend risk. --- ### CONCLUSION For swing traders in the Nikkei, the **primary** approach aims to ride the prevailing daily uptrend toward the 40k–41k region, while the **alternate** scenario provides a structured plan if price breaks below ~38,000, indicating a deeper pullback. By integrating broader institutional positioning and macroeconomic indicators into a technical framework, traders can position themselves for potential multi-week opportunities while maintaining a disciplined risk posture.
SPREADEX:NIKKEILong
by EliteMarketAnalysis
"Gann’s Secrets: Time Cycles, Square of 9 & Market Reversals"Gann’s Trading Secrets | Gann Time Cycles, Gann Square of 9, and Predicting Market Reversals 📌 Topics Covered in This Video: - The Power of Gann 90 in Market Cycles - Gann Time Cycles & Gann Market Timing - Gann Fibonacci levels & Gann Price Levels - Gann Fan & The Billion-Dollar Trade - Gann Square of 9 & Price Movements - The 90-Year Gann Market Cycle & Financial Crises - How to Use Gann’s Methods in Modern Trading 📌 Why You Should Watch This Video: - Learn how to forecast market tops and bottoms using W.D. Gann’s techniques. - Understand how Gann time cycles and Gann price action align in market movements. - See real-world examples of how Gann’s methods predicted historical market crashes and reversals. - Discover how major traders, including George Soros, unknowingly used Gann's principles to execute billion-dollar trades. 📌 Timestamps: Gann’s Trading Secrets | Gann Time Cycles, Square of 9, and Predicting Market Reversals 00:00 ▶️ Introduction 00:43 ▶️ W.D.Gann 01:35 ▶️ His Contribution to Technical Analysis 02:19 ▶️ Core Principals 04:13 ▶️ Price and Market Cycles 04:52 ▶️ What is Swing Chart? 06:32 ▶️ Gann Square of 9 07:12 ▶️ Gann's Relentless Study of Markets 07:37 ▶️ The Role of Astrology in Market Cycle 08:13 ▶️ Key Natural Market Turning Points 09:12 ▶️ Gann's 50% Rule 09:58 ▶️ The Three Key factors in Gann Trading 10:13 ▶️ The Price 14:07 ▶️ Gann Fan 14:43 ▶️ The Core Concept of Time-Price Balance 19:02 ▶️ The Role of Geometry in Gann's Work 19:41 ▶️ The Power of the Number 3 24:37 ▶️ The 90-Time Cycle in the Market 27:40 ▶️ Famous Trader George Soros 29:52 ▶️ Historical Economic Depression 30:35 ▶️ 2019 as a Key Time Cycle 31:10 ▶️ Economic Conditions
Education
by GannAstroTrader