ECB Rate Cut Hopes Fade, EUR/USD Nears 1.0900EUR/USD fell for a second day, nearing 1.0900 in the Asian session. The pair found support as the dollar weakened on falling Treasury yields after the Fed reaffirmed plans for two rate cuts. However, uncertainty over Trump’s tariff policies kept sentiment cautious.
In Europe, German lawmakers approved a debt plan by likely Chancellor Friedrich Merz to increase growth and defense spending. A shift from Germany’s conservative fiscal stance could drive inflation and influence ECB policy.
Investors await ECB President Lagarde’s speech on economic and monetary affairs in Brussels on Thursday.
Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0880, with further levels at 1.0800 and 1.0730.
Gann
When will the gold short come?Market news:
On Thursday, spot gold rose in a short-term wave, and the price of gold just hit $3,055/ounce, setting a record high. Foreign media reported that two UN staff members in Gaza were killed in an Israeli attack, and geopolitical tensions pushed safe-haven buying to continue to flow into international gold. As the ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine stalled, Israel stepped up air strikes, and geopolitical tensions intensified, boosting safe-haven demand. Overnight, London gold prices continued to rise after a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Spot gold once broke through the $3,050/ounce mark. The Federal Reserve announced at its latest policy meeting that it would keep interest rates unchanged and hinted that it might cut interest rates twice this year, while slowing down the pace of shrinking its balance sheet. This series of measures triggered the dollar to give up gains and U.S. Treasury yields to fall, providing momentum for the rise in international gold prices. The price of gold investment has repeatedly hit new highs, reflecting market concerns about economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged and hinted at a rate cut, further strengthening gold's safe-haven appeal. On this trading day, we need to pay attention to the Bank of England's interest rate decision, changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, the US February existing home sales data and news related to the geopolitical situation.
Today's analysis:
Gold is calculated based on Gann's time cycle profit: short-term cycles are 1 hour, 2 hours, 4 hours, 18 hours, 24 hours, 3 weeks, 7 weeks, 13 weeks, 15 weeks, 3 months, and 7 months. The medium-term cycle is 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, 5 years, 7 years, 10 years, 13 years, and 15 years. So how much room is there for this round of buying? I predict that in the long run, the bullish trend of gold will not change, but a round of buying will be followed by a mid-term price adjustment. This month is the last month of the quarter of 25 years, and it is expected that gold will undergo a strong and weak cycle conversion in the second quarter of April-May. At that time, it is necessary to pay attention to the direction of gold in the market and switch to selling to gain an advantage. Before the top pattern such as the common head and shoulders top, M top, double top, arc top and other signal patterns appear, the transaction is still to maintain the advantage of buying, and still mainly participate in low-price buying.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3043-3045, stop loss at 3032, target at 3070-3080;
Sell short-term gold at 3073-3075, stop loss at 3084, target at 3040-3030;
Key points:
First support level: 3044, second support level: 3038, third support level: 3023
First resistance level: 3057, second resistance level: 3068, third resistance level: 3078
EURUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOCOUS ON KEY POINTS , EUR POSSIBLEhis chart is a technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe, featuring several indicators and annotations. Here's a breakdown of what it means:
Key Features of the Chart:
Support & Resistance Levels:
The black horizontal lines indicate important support and resistance levels.
Support: Around 1.08739 (marked with a black line).
Resistance: Around 1.09491 (upper blue zone).
Fibonacci Circles:
The red and blue circular patterns in the middle of the chart suggest Fibonacci time and price levels.
These are used to predict potential reversal points or price movements.
Supply & Demand Zones:
Blue shaded areas indicate resistance (supply zones) where price previously reversed.
The price may react again when reaching these levels.
Candlestick Patterns & Trend Lines:
A previous rejection at the upper blue zone (left side) led to a strong downtrend.
The blue diagonal trendline suggests previous bullish momentum.
Forecasted Price Movement:
The blue arrow suggests an expected bullish move toward the 1.09491 resistance level.
The setup suggests a buy trade with a stop loss around 1.08931 and a target near 1.09491.
Conclusion:
This chart suggests a potential bullish move in EUR/USD, with an expected rise toward 1.09491 if it breaks the resistance near 1.09104. However, if it fails, it could drop back to the 1.08739 support level.
Would you like further analysis or clarification on any aspect? 🚀
BTC FRIDAY BULLISH?
The price, after the fall, appears to be reacting at the opening of the week, where it makes a Judas swing and reacts upwards. The price is likely to rise again to $82,932.99, and how to take profit from the CME futures gap, which is $87,000.00. The price should not break the $79,000 price point strongly, because if it does, BTC is likely to fall to $74,000. Be cautious these days until Tuesday-Wednesday of next week, as there could be high volatility.
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-minute , 3065 possible buy zoon...This is a Gold (XAU/USD) 30-minute chart, showing a bullish breakout setup. Here’s what it means:
1. Breakout Confirmation:
Price has moved above the previous range resistance.
The blue arrow suggests further upside movement.
2. Target Level:
Next resistance around 3,060 (black line).
3. Support Level:
If price retests, the previous resistance (now support) should hold for a continuation higher.
Conclusion: A breakout has occurred, and if price holds above the resistance, it may continue to 3,060.
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-minute chart ,Trade setup check captain..This is a Gold (XAU/USD) 30-minute chart from TradingView, showing a potential trade setup. Here’s what it means:
1. Range Formation:
The price is moving between two key levels (black horizontal lines), indicating consolidation.
2. Breakout or Rejection Scenario:
The blue arrows suggest two possible outcomes:
A break above resistance, leading to further upside.
A rejection at resistance, causing a drop toward the lower support zone.
3. Support Levels:
If the price falls, the next key support is around 3,011.54 (marked in pink).
4. Previous Trend:
The highlighted blue channel (ascending) shows a past bullish move, but now price is in consolidation.
Conclusion: The chart suggests waiting for a breakout or rejection from resistance to decide the next trade direction. If resistance holds, a short trade is possible. If it breaks, a buy setup is confirmed.
Bittensor ($TAO) Analysi
Bittensor, one of the top projects in the AI & DePIN sectors, is currently accumulating above the key zone while still trading below the ATH resistance 🧐
Trend: Bullish reversal in sight
Accumulation: Price is currently at the lower trendline of the falling wedge, indicating a strong buying opportunity.
📌 Best strategy? This is a good opportunity to load a bag of GETTEX:TAO at the current levels!
In the worst-case scenario, I will average my position below the key zone 🚀
Price Targets 🎯
✅ Target 1: $736.7
✅ Target 2: $1,012.9
🚀 A breakout above key resistance could fuel a strong rally to four-digit levels!
Solana Weekly Chart is Looking Explosive!
😳 300 Days of Accumulation Above Key Support Zone
🐃 Massive Bullish Breakout Confirmed (High Probability Setup)
🔥 Reclaiming Major Resistance Levels & Entering Price Discovery Mode
🎯 Targets:
📌 Short-Term: $222.90
📌 Mid-Term: $316.01
📌 Long-Term: Higher price discovery potential 🚀
If you are not longing #SOL at these levels, you are missing out on a golden opportunity! 📊📈
Gold is bullish but not chasing moreAlthough the possibility of raising interest rates is not high, if there are hawkish speeches or there is a trend of reducing the number of subsequent interest rate cuts, it is still bad news for gold. Therefore, it is not recommended to chase high gold today. You can go short in batches around 3040-3050, and the support below is 3027-3018-3006! If you want to be prudent, try to do less and wait and see, and wait for the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision to be settled. Let's see how the market will go today, especially in the European session, and then look for opportunities in the evening.
In terms of trading, the previous day continued to fluctuate. I went short once at 3000 yesterday morning, and the stop loss was 3007. In the afternoon, I fell back to 3005, but I didn't enter with a slight difference of one US dollar. I chased more at 3012, and took profit at 3030 in the evening and went short, with a stop loss of 3038; three orders, two losses and one win, earned 3 US dollars.
BTC WAVE 4 Elliott Wave Analysis
Current Position: BTCUSD is likely completing Wave 4 of a higher-degree impulsive wave. The price at 83,455.38 is near the 38.2% retracement of Wave 3 (84,346.10) and the 1:1 Wave C projection (85,006.49).
- Wave 4 (A-B-C): Wave A (100,935.08 to 87,508.38), Wave B (87,508.38 to 98,433.19), Wave C (98,433.19 to 83,455.38, nearing 1.618 extension at 76,708.79).
- Next Move (Wave 5)**: If the price holds above 79,108.68 and breaks 87,508.38, Wave 5 should target 95,377–112,007.
- **Bearish Risk**: A break below 79,108.68 could lead to a deeper correction toward 76,708.79 or 66,655.75.
- **RSI Support**: RSI at 44.8 (near oversold) with a bullish divergence at 37 supports a potential Wave 4 low.
- **Key Levels**: Support at 79,108.68; resistance at 87,508.38, 98,433.19, and 112,007.
XAUUSD: 19/3 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3060-3100, support below 2982
Four-hour chart resistance 3060, support below 3025
One-hour chart resistance 3050, support below 3030
Gold news analysis: Intensified concerns about the global trade war, new developments in geopolitical crises and expectations of the Federal Reserve's easing of monetary policy continue to drive gold's strong rise. Spot gold rose more than 1% yesterday. This marks a 15% increase in the precious metal since the beginning of the year, closing at $2,623 per ounce in December, and a 27% increase in 2024. The recent decline in the US dollar has played an important role in gold prices hitting new highs. As Deutsche Bank analysts pointed out, "Amid heightened policy uncertainty, investors continue to sell the dollar in search of so-called safe havens. The surge in gold prices is attributed to tensions in the Middle East and the ongoing trade conflict between China and the United States. These uncertainties have not only increased demand for gold, but have also driven a large amount of capital into the precious metals market, pushing gold prices to record highs.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the one-hour chart 3030 and the four-hour chart support 3025. Focus on the important support of the daily level 2982. Continue to buy bullish on this position. The upper target is still focused on breaking through the new high. The daily level does not fall below the lower support before continuing to trade with the trend.
Buy: 3025near SL: 3020
Buy: 3030near SL: 3025
Welcome to check
#DOT/USDT#DOT
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 4.22.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 4.30
First target: 4.37
Second target: 4.46
Third target: 4.57
Nasdaq Elliott wave study … math study ..
Refined Elliott Wave Count (Higher Degree)
Let’s re-evaluate the larger wave structure with more precision by focusing on the price action from late 2024 to mid-March 2025:
Wave 1 (Impulsive):
Start: The low around late 2024 appears to be near 18,250 (approximated from the chart’s early price action).
End: The first significant high is around 19,500, which occurred in early January 2025.
Length: 19,500 - 18,250 = 1,250 points.
This move up is Wave 1 of the higher-degree impulsive wave.
Wave 2 (Corrective):
Start: 19,500.
End: The pullback to around 18,750 (a low in mid-January 2025).
Retracement: 19,500 - 18,750 = 750 points, which is a 60% retracement of Wave 1 (1,250 × 0.618 = 772 points). This is a deep but acceptable retracement for Wave 2, as Wave 2 can retrace up to 61.8% of Wave 1 without invalidating the count.
Wave 2 appears to have completed around 18,750.
Wave 3 (Impulsive):
Start: 18,750.
End: The high at 21,750, which occurred in early March 2025.
Length: 21,750 - 18,750 = 3,000 points.
Fibonacci Extension: Wave 3 often extends to 1.618 or 2.618 times the length of Wave 1.
1.618 × 1,250 = 2,022.5 points.
From the Wave 2 low: 18,750 + 2,022.5 = 20,772.5.
2.618 × 1,250 = 3,272.5 points.
From the Wave 2 low: 18,750 + 3,272.5 = 22,022.5.
The actual Wave 3 length (3,000 points) is very close to the 2.618 extension (3,272.5 points), which is typical for Wave 3 in a strong trending market like the Nasdaq 100. This confirms that the high at 21,750 is likely the end of Wave 3.
Wave 4 (Corrective):
Start: 21,750.
Current Price: 19,490.7 (as of March 19, 2025).
Retracement Levels:
23.6% of Wave 3: 21,750 - (3,000 × 0.236) = 21,750 - 708 = 21,042.
38.2% of Wave 3: 21,750 - (3,000 × 0.382) = 21,750 - 1,146 = 20,604.
50% of Wave 3: 21,750 - (3,000 × 0.5) = 21,750 - 1,500 = 20,250.
61.8% of Wave 3: 21,750 - (3,000 × 0.618) = 21,750 - 1,854 = 19,896.
Current Position: The price at 19,490.7 has retraced slightly beyond the 61.8% level (19,896), which is a deep retracement but still within the acceptable range for Wave 4. In Elliott Wave theory, Wave 4 can retrace up to 78.6% of Wave 3 in some cases, especially in indices:
78.6% of Wave 3: 21,750 - (3,000 × 0.786) = 21,750 - 2,358 = 19,392.
The price is very close to the 78.6% retracement (19,392) and is also testing the lower boundary of the ascending channel at 19,425, providing strong confluence for a potential Wave 4 low.
Wave 5 (Projected Impulsive):
Wave 5 typically equals the length of Wave 1 or reaches a Fibonacci extension of the entire Wave 1-3 move.
Wave 1 Length: 1,250 points.
From the potential Wave 4 low at 19,490.7: 19,490.7 + 1,250 = 20,740.7.
0.618 Extension of Wave 1-3:
Wave 1-3 range: 18,250 to 21,750 = 3,500 points.
0.618 × 3,500 = 2,163 points.
From the Wave 4 low: 19,490.7 + 2,163 = 21,653.7.
1.0 Extension of Wave 1-3:
1.0 × 3,500 = 3,500 points.
From the Wave 4 low: 19,490.7 + 3,500 = 22,990.7.
Channel Target: The upper boundary of the ascending channel is around 22,250 (as marked on the chart), which aligns closely with the 0.618 extension target of 21,653.7 and suggests a realistic Wave 5 target in the 21,650–22,250 range.
2. Sub-Wave Structure of Wave 4 (A-B-C Correction)
Wave 4 is a corrective wave, typically unfolding in a three-wave A-B-C structure. Let’s break it down with more precision:
Wave A:
Start: 21,750.
End: The first significant low after the peak, which is around 20,276 (a previous support level marked on the chart).
Length: 21,750 - 20,276 = 1,474 points.
Wave B:
Start: 20,276.
End: The bounce to 20,833 (a minor high before the next decline).
Length: 20,833 - 20,276 = 557 points.
Retracement of Wave A: 557 / 1,474 = 37.8%, which is close to a typical 38.2% retracement for Wave B in an A-B-C correction.
Wave C:
Start: 20,833.
Current Price: 19,490.7.
Length So Far: 20,833 - 19,490.7 = 1,342.3 points.
Wave C Projections:
Wave C often equals Wave A: 1,474 points.
From the Wave B high: 20,833 - 1,474 = 19,359.
Wave C can extend to 1.618 × Wave A: 1,474 × 1.618 = 2,384.9 points.
From the Wave B high: 20,833 - 2,384.9 = 18,448.1.
Current Position: The price at 19,490.7 is very close to the 1:1 projection of Wave C (19,359), suggesting that Wave C (and thus Wave 4) is likely nearing completion. The deeper projection to 18,448 seems less likely unless the price breaks below the channel support at 19,425.
3. Confluence with the Ascending Channel
The ascending channel provides additional context for the Elliott Wave count:
Lower Channel Support: The price is currently testing the lower boundary of the channel at 19,425, which aligns closely with the 78.6% retracement of Wave 3 (19,392) and the 1:1 Wave C projection (19,359). This confluence of levels strengthens the case for a Wave 4 low.
Middle of the Channel: The middle of the channel (around 20,276–20,833) acted as resistance during the Wave B bounce and will likely be the first target for Wave 5.
Upper Channel Resistance: The upper boundary of the channel (around 22,250) aligns with the projected Wave 5 target, providing a realistic endpoint for the impulsive wave.
4. RSI Analysis in the Context of Elliott Wave
The RSI is currently at 44.2, down from a recent low of around 40.
Wave 4 and RSI: In Elliott Wave theory, Wave 4 corrections often coincide with RSI readings near oversold levels (30–40). The RSI dipping to 40 and now showing a slight uptick (with a green arrow) suggests that selling pressure may be exhausting, which is typical at the end of a Wave 4 correction.
Bullish Divergence: The RSI is starting to turn upward while the price is near support, indicating a potential bullish divergence. This supports the idea that Wave 4 is nearing completion and Wave 5 may begin soon.
5. More Accurate Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (Wave 5 Upward):
Confirmation: A bounce above 19,490.7, followed by a break above 20,276 (the Wave B high), would confirm the start of Wave 5.
Targets:
First target: 20,276–20,833 (middle of the channel and previous highs).
Second target: 21,653.7 (0.618 extension of Wave 1-3).
Final target: 22,250 (upper channel boundary and potential Wave 5 completion).
Wave 5 Sub-Waves: Wave 5 itself will likely unfold in five sub-waves, so we can expect some consolidation or minor pullbacks as it progresses toward the target.
Bearish Scenario (Deeper Correction):
Invalidation: If the price breaks below 19,425 (the lower channel support), it could invalidate the current Elliott Wave count. A break below 19,000 (the Wave 1 high) would confirm that the larger trend has shifted.
Alternative Count: If the move from 18,750 to 21,750 was a corrective wave (e.g., a larger Wave B), we could be in a larger Wave C down. Targets for a deeper correction would be:
19,000 (psychological support).
18,448 (1.618 extension of Wave A in the A-B-C correction).
18,250 (the start of the larger wave structure).
6. Key Levels to Watch
Support:
19,425 (lower channel boundary and current support).
19,392 (78.6% retracement of Wave 3).
19,359 (1:1 Wave C projection).
19,000 (psychological level and Wave 1 high; a break below this would invalidate the bullish count).
Resistance:
20,276 (Wave B high and middle of the channel).
20,833 (previous high within the channel).
21,653.7 (Wave 5 target based on 0.618 extension).
22,250 (upper channel boundary and final Wave 5 target).
7. Conclusion with More Accurate Details
Current Wave Position: The price is likely completing Wave 4 of a higher-degree impulsive wave, with the A-B-C correction nearing its end around 19,359–19,425. The deep retracement to 78.6% of Wave 3 (19,392) and the alignment with the lower channel support (19,425) provide strong confluence for a Wave 4 low.
Next Move: If the price holds above 19,425 and breaks above 20,276, Wave 5 is likely underway, targeting 21,653.7–22,250. The RSI showing signs of a reversal (bullish divergence) supports this scenario.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish: Enter a long position on a confirmed bounce above 19,490.7, with a stop-loss below 19,425. Target 20,276 as the first level, followed by 20,833 and 22,250.
Bearish: If the price breaks below 19,425, consider a short position with a stop-loss above 19,490.7, targeting 19,000 and potentially 18,448.
Risk Management: The deep retracement in Wave 4 suggests higher volatility, so use tight stop-losses and monitor price action closely for confirmation of the next wave.
Russia after peace 2: an idea for a moral tradeOn December 22 we were long on the inevitable peace deal, while the rest of the world was salivating at the idea of a ruble collapse.
3 out of 4 take profits hit. this was a free trade and 30% is a lot in forex. speculators bit concrete, peace wins along with my followers. trade remains open but we closed already the big sizes.
$NQ! Outlook through 3/21NQ has been falling one rung at a time on the Fibonacci circle from the most recent all time high. Normal behavior for a recovery would be to round the circle until the path becomes more upwards, so the path will take a while for true recovery. However with FOMC this week, I've allotted a short term good and bad path depending on the market reaction.
BTCUSD 15MINTS CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE..This chart shows a potential bullish move for Bitcoin (BTC/USD).
The price is currently in a support zone (blue area) around 81,800-82,000.
A breakout from this level is expected, leading to a rise toward 83,224 (resistance level).
If momentum continues, BTC could reach 84,457.
The blue arrows indicate the expected bullish movement.