Gann
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
We caught a the long play for a similar setup. We need more this time around.
Why? To be sure of the weekly order block rejection. Compared to EURUSD and EURGBP for example... That is the type of weekly order block rejection we prefer. With that said we will not give up on USDJPY. We simply must await more levels of confluences.
15' break of structure, Order block creation as a result of the BOS. Pull back into area, lower time frame break of structure.
Let's see what USDJPY provides us with.
FRGNT X
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
- Weekly Order Block rejection
Setup 1
-15' break of structure
- Tokyo low range remains
- Pull back into 15' order block
- Lower time frame shift in price action from bullish to bearish
Setup 2
- Lower time frame break of structure
- Lower time frame bearish candle formation
Let's see how EURUSD short set up plays.
Certainly short potential but as always. We await price action to present itself to us.
It is far too easy to find a position once we have noticed potential. Sit back and await the play!
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25
Morning All,
A short forecast to begin a monday morning!
Weekly order block rejection to start the week.
Bullish pressure visible therefore as always, we await confluences prior making an assumption.
In addition, we accept another reason for the trade to play against us - the weekly wick high, there is always a chance this is filled prior the turn around in price action however, if a break of 15' structure is presented, that risk will be accepted.
Happy to get involved in either of the set ups illustrated- set up 2 is clearly the "risky" trade of the two BUT did we ever forget our role is to manage risk. Set up two however have an added confluence of Tokyo range to be filled, pulling price action short.
I trust the chart analysis is becoming self explanatory.
Let's see how EURGBP plays!
FRGNT X
BTC - Has the market stopped falling?Ive been looking for a bottom at FWB:73K -72k for some time. We saw $74,400 and I'm not sure that was THE low. And now we have begun what looks like a false break out. The price is good, but the wave structure is all wrong. In this would be strong counter wave rally we could see prices to around $98,400. Its time to close the shorts, and open the longs but stay very vigilant as this is not another bull leg that leads to a new high. ( In my opinion) It is a decent opportunity to make some money on the long side, but at the end of this rally, I would be opening shorts again. Ill keep posting as developments occur. Prices above $87,600 are very bullish.
EURUSD
Analyzing the EUR/USD pair, I identified a significant triangle pattern on the monthly timeframe, suggesting a potential price target of 1,19. However, the crucial 1.13 level wasn't breached on the weekly and daily timeframes, indicating a retest before any upward movement. The formation of higher highs and higher lows suggests an ongoing uptrend. Stay tuned for potential bullish continuation.
Marathon Digital.Soon parabolic.
#USA
"After exhaustive researches and investigations of the known sciences, I discovered that the Law of Vibration enabled me to accurately determine the exact points to which stocks or commodities should rise and fall within a given time. The working out of this law determines the cause and predicts the effect long before the Street is aware of either" -- W.D. Gann
USD/JPY Outlook – Potential Bearish ContinuationUSD/JPY Outlook – Potential Bearish Continuation
Escalating trade war tensions are increasing market uncertainty, triggering risk-off sentiment. In times of global risk, investors typically seek traditional safe-haven assets like the Japanese Yen. With growing fears over trade disruptions and slowing global growth, USD/JPY faces potential bearish continuation as Yen demand strengthens amid market uncertainty.
The Federal Reserve continues to tackle inflation🧠 Fundamental Analysis:
The Dow Jones (US30) experienced significant volatility in Q1 2025, with a slight decline due to economic challenges.
Major companies like Coca-Cola and Goldman Sachs are expected to report Q1 earnings this week, and these reports could have a big impact on the index’s movement.
The Federal Reserve continues to tackle inflation, which supports expectations for potential rate cuts later in the year, helping to support the markets.
However, high inflation and ongoing geopolitical tensions may put pressure on economic growth.
💬 Sentiment Analysis:
Market sentiment is currently mixed; there are concerns about a possible recession, but the market is also looking forward to potential monetary easing by the Fed.
Despite the economic pressures, there is limited optimism that the markets may see a recovery as Q2 2025 begins.
The market may experience volatility due to increasing concerns about inflation and corporate earnings, but overall, there is sentimental support in anticipation of clearer economic data.
The Nasdaq 100 is exhibiting a strong short-term bearish trend. 📉 Technical Analysis (Short-Term):
The Nasdaq 100 is exhibiting a strong short-term bearish trend.
CentralCharts
The index is trading below its 200-day moving average, indicating potential market weakness and possibly the start of a downtrend.
Business Insider
Key resistance levels are around $20,275–$20,382; a breakout above this range could signal a bullish reversal.
TradingView
Support is observed near $18,872; a break below this level may lead to further declines.
TradingView
🧠 Fundamental Analysis:
The Nasdaq 100 concluded Q1 2025 with a loss of 8.6%, reflecting a challenging start to the year.
Seeking Alpha
Upcoming Q1 earnings reports from major tech companies, including Netflix and TSMC, are anticipated to influence market direction.
FX Leaders
Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve's target and signs of a weakening job market are contributing to economic uncertainty.
Business Insider
💬 Sentiment Analysis:
Investor sentiment is currently bearish, with the Nasdaq 100 having fallen over 8% in March, marking the worst monthly performance since late 2022.
MarketWatch
Concerns over trade tensions, inflation, and potential stagflation are weighing on market confidence.
Business Insider
Despite the downturn, April's historical performance as a strong month for U.S. stocks may offer buying opportunities amidst volatility.
Weak USD and expectations of Fed rate cuts support gold.📉 Technical Analysis (Short-Term):
Gold is in a strong uptrend.
Key resistance at $3250; breakout targets $3275+.
Support at $3215; a break below may lead to $3190–$3200.
Indicators (RSI & MACD) show strong momentum but slight pullback risk.
🧠 Fundamental Analysis:
Weak USD and expectations of Fed rate cuts support gold.
Global trade tensions increase safe haven demand.
Central banks and ETFs continue to accumulate gold.
💬 Sentiment Analysis:
Market is buying dips aggressively.
Confidence is high due to macro uncertainty.
Traders are watching $3250 breakout as a trigger for further upside.
Déjà vu.Hello old friend, it feels like we've been down this road before.
"After exhaustive researches and investigations of the known sciences, I discovered that the Law of Vibration enabled me to accurately determine the exact points to which stocks or commodities should rise and fall within a given time. The working out of this law determines the cause and predicts the effect long before the Street is aware of either" -- W.D. Gann
NQ: Upcoming Weekly Analysis!Happy week!
ST/Mt/Lt Outlook: SELL
FA Analysis:
1- US is in or about to be in RECESSION.
2- US is isolating itself from the world economy; from the driver seat.
3- 90-days tariff pause: Market relief, recovery period; it's absolutely not a "buying the dip" strategy!
4- Inflation (CPI and PPI) are softening surprisingly!!! The explanation might be from a lower demand (considering the recession/economy slowing down); So this is not necessary the right softening inflation that the FED is looking for.
5- The FED will use the inflation softening to cut rates.
6- On the other hand, Tariffs will increase inflation.
7- Also, Consumer sentiment is at lowest level.
8- Bonds are skyrocketing (Follow U10y and U30y). Trump wants them down but market is pushing them up to make pressure on him to withdraw the tariffs. Hence, Trump will intervene with carrots and candies every time Y10y, e.g., breaks 4.5%.
9- Dollar is loosing foot whereas Gold is seeking the sky. Money is flying outside USA.
Next week is soft in terms of economic data beside ECB meeting and Trump's tweets.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
a- As the outlook is Sell, here is a chart based on Waves theory.
b- I consider Wave 1 completed and price is in retrace to complete Wave 2 (between 50-61.8 fib) (Yellow box)
c- The current wave 2 might take few other days/weeks (at least 2). This wave 2 is supported by the 90-days pause, the Inflation softening and the FED cutting rate next meeting.
(Note: I invite you to keep this chart close to your eyes:))
Daily TF:
FY awareness, each wave has at least 3 moves: Initial swing; Retrace' and Impulsive swing.
Wave 2 has already made both Initial and retrace swings. We should expect to see the last impulsive swing.
From TA, the daily close was irrelevant; it was inside inside previous daily candles!
Happy green week to Everyone!
ETHUSD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.582.3 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.551.4..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BTCUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 83,753.33 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 85,164.89 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Whats Next With Nifty . Understand with Chart . / Nifty AnalysisAs There is Huge News Flow In the Market so, there is Many Gaps ups and Gap downs . But We are still Standing at That place where all This Things Started If You observe that . Now In Firiday Session we Have Open = Law , So This Low is automatic a Strong Demand or Support Till Not Broke we cant Expect a Strong Fall In Nifty . On Upper side we didnt Have Much barriers , There we have a supply at 22200 - 22150 . So the plan is Quite simple we Go with Price due to heavy News Flow . If we broke and sustain above yesterday then we will look for longs Till Upper Supply . If we Breach or Open below friday session low then we will low for shorts till Green zone that is 22350 - 22400 . As simple as That .
Follow For More .
EURUSD Daily Analysis 📊 EURUSD Daily Chart – 12/04/2025
Price has shown strong bullish momentum after a clear market structure shift (MSS) and a clean break above the previous daily low (PDL). The recent breakout from the order block (OB) confirms bullish intent, supported by the price filling and respecting the Fair Value Gaps (FVG).
🔍 Key Highlights:
Bullish MSS confirms a shift in structure.
Price filled the FVG below and used it as support.
Potential retracement into the new FVG (around 1.11500–1.12500) before targeting the monthly high at 1.14738.
📈 Bias: Bullish
📌 Target: Monthly high above 1.14700
📉 Watch for: Price reaction at FVG zone before continuation.
#GALA/USDT#GALA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, this support at 0.01443.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.1460
First target: 0.01476
Second target: 0.01500
Third target: 0.01530
#DYM/USDT#DYM
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, supporting the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 0.250.
Entry price: 0.255
First target: 0.257
Second target: 0.262
Third target: 0.0267