For Long-Term Investors _Delta Sugar Company (EGX:SUGR)Delta Sugar Company (EGX:SUGR)
On 7th April 2025 close at 47.30 EGP/Share
Overview
Delta Sugar Company engages in the manufacture and sale of sugar beets in Egypt. The company was founded in 1978.
📊 Financial Snapshot
✅ Strengths:
• EPS (Trailing): 7.60 → Solid earnings power.
• PE Ratio: 6.22 → Undervalued vs. market.
• Book Value/Share: 23.71 EGP → P/B ratio ≈ 2 → Moderately priced on asset basis.
• Strong ROE: 39.38%
• ROIC: 22.22% → Efficient capital use.
• Net cash position: +557.5 million → No leverage risk, ample liquidity.
⚠️ Weaknesses:
• Free Cash Flow: -181.79 million → Negative FCF is a concern, suggests reinvestment isn't translating into near-term cash.
• Operating CF: -38.57 million → Not generating core operational cash right now.
Fair Value Estimates:
• Cairo Financial Holding: 71.80 EGP
• Ostoul Securities Brokerage
• Sector-based Book Value Multiple 76.58 EGP/Share
• Sector-based PE Multiple 98.069 EGP/Share
Financial Highlights – FY 2024
EGX:SUGR has a market cap or net worth of EGP 6.89 billion. The enterprise value is 8.5 billion.
Enterprise Valuation
The stock's EV/EBITDA ratio is 6.91, with an EV/FCF ratio of -46.75.
Income Statement
In the last 12 months, EGX:SUGR had revenue of EGP 6.22 billion and earned 1.08 billion in profits. Earnings per share was 7.60 with Perpetual growth rate is 3%
Balance Sheet
The company has 557.70 million in cash and 193,412 in debt, giving a net cash position of 557.50 million or 3.92 per share.
Cash Flow
In the last 12 months, operating cash flow was -38.57 million and capital expenditures -143.22 million, giving a free cash flow of -181.79 million.
Financial Efficiency
Return on equity (ROE) is 39.38% and return on invested capital (ROIC) is 22.22%.
📌 Investment Strategy Summary
For Long-Term Investors:
• The current zone of 44–54 EGP is seen as accumulation by smart money.
• Money flow profile (ROC) is 55 EGP/Share
• Price is still under EMA 200, but any breakout with ROC reversal could confirm Wave 5 uptrend.
• Targets:
Refer to Gann analysis
o TP1: 61.13 EGP (July 2025)
o TP2: 77.8 EGP (Nov 2025)
Refer Elliott Wave Analysis Wave 5 Target Zone: 98–132 EGP/share (2025–2026 outlook)
🧠 Final Thoughts
Delta Sugar is currently fundamentally undervalued with a strong balance sheet, but cash flow concerns persist. The technical setup indicates it's near the end of a corrective phase, and potential for a strong Wave 5 rally exists — though the key breakout zone is 54–55 EGP
Gann
EUR/USD Price Action Update – April 8, 2025📊 EUR/USD Price Action Update – April 8, 2025 🎯
🔹 Current Price: 1.09983
🔹 Timeframe: 4H
📌 Key Support Levels (Demand Zones):
🟢 1.08549 – Immediate Demand Zone (Watch for bullish reaction)
🟢 1.07887 – Deeper Support (Liquidity sweep potential)
🟢 1.07572 – Strong Institutional Demand (Major reversal zone)
📌 Key Resistance Levels (Potential Targets):
🔴 1.10000+ – Psychological Resistance & Round Number
🔴 1.10500 – Next clean target if price reverses bullish
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If price dips into the 1.08549 demand zone and shows signs of rejection (e.g., bullish engulfing or strong wick rejection), we may see a bounce back toward 1.10000 and beyond.
A successful retest of this zone with momentum could open the path toward 1.10500.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below 1.08549, we may see a further drop to sweep liquidity around 1.07887 or even 1.07572 before bullish interest returns.
Failure to hold 1.07572 could indicate trend shift toward deeper lows.
⚡ Trading Tip:
✅ Wait for bullish confirmations at key demand zones before entering longs.
✅ Track lower timeframes for entry (15M/1H) within the 4H zones.
✅ Avoid FOMO; let the price react first and manage risk accordingly.
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityZones #ForexSetup #MarketStructure #ForexSignals #SwingTrading #FVG #DemandZone #ReversalPattern #ForexMarket #BreakoutStrategy #ScalpingIdeas
USDJPY-BUY strategy 6-hourly chart Regression ChannelThe pair no doubt has been pushed lower on US recession fears, and changes in Yields. However, it has gone to far and too quick to my liking and feel we should have some corrections in the coming sessions.
Strategy BUY @ 145.10-145.40 and take profit near 147.57.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 6-hourly chart - GANN No change in view, even though markets are severe, and a lot of extreme moves. The overbought status still is valid, and I feel we will see low 19.00s again.\
Strategy SELL @ 19.4750-19.5500 (or if lucky this morning above 19.6000 which I did sell).
Take back @ 19.0750 for now (or first stop 19.1750).
Bitcoin Cycle Rhythm: Same Downtrend, New Quadrant.Cycle Comparison – From Halving to Halving
We're seeing a striking similarity between the current downtrend and the one that followed the 2020 halving. The slope, structure, and emotional impact on price are almost identical. However — here's the key difference:
It's all about Quadrant Timing.
In the previous cycle, the sell-off happened during Quadrant 2 — traditionally the euphoric blow-off and start of distribution.
In this cycle, we’re seeing the same type of correction in late Quadrant 1, a phase typically associated with accumulation and early markup.
Before this correction began, Bitcoin rallied 120% from turning point 10 to turning point 1 — a textbook markup leg that aligns with early-cycle behavior.
Now, we've seen a retracement of approximately 32% from turning point 1 to 2, closely mirroring the structure seen in the prior cycle.
This suggests that while the pattern is repeating, the context has shifted — this drawdown could be a shakeout, not a cycle top.
If the 4-quadrant structure continues to play out, Quadrant 2 may still lie ahead, potentially setting the stage for a much stronger upside continuation.
Let me know what you think — is this setup still bullish in structure, or are we seeing the beginning of a deeper phase?
TLT - Monthly Targets (Long Term)Markets are currently tight squeezing due to Trumps terrifs etc, something has to give in, based on this chart:
- TLT has found a bid at .963 Fibonacci level @ $82.42 (EXTREME RETRACE)
- Dec 2, 2024 = the 369 ratio in time for $82.42 (time & price 📐)
NEXT TARGET PROJECTION IS 50% OF THE MAX TARGET ANGLE = ($121)
(BETWEEN 2025 - 2029)
MAX TARGET = $183 - $212
(BETWEEN 2025 - 2034)
#10000LADYS/USDT#10000LADYS
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, this support at 0.0002670.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.0002900
First target: 0.0003067
Second target: 0.0003164
Third target: 0.0003311
INTO INDIA SERIES EP1: ADANI'S CURRYLIKE COMMENT FOLLOW
"for more nifty comment india"
Mumbai is the new New York
with increased activity says some US news source i read last year
So lets see whats going on outside of trumpville
Technical
price is downtrending
currently at a point in the downtrend where
so many different resistances and zones are intersecting
like the past lower highs
if you think my target is ludacris look at 09/01/23
youd call anyone that forecasted that crazy too but that was
breaking news... even though there was a BoS and continuation
the stock price hadnt been the same since looking so unatural
range spike in a week range spike in a week no steady progress
i wont speculate beyond the charts but like jan 3 2023 .....
Investor sentiment is often heavily influenced by news and reports, especially negative ones. The market has reacted strongly to the Hindenburg allegations, the volatility of the stock market, and overall uncertainty in global markets among recession fears.
this was interesting who knew there was life outside new york
this is like a drama cooking books of accounts "allegedly" like its curry bro was brewing something in hes pot
TATA CHEM ANALYSIS
A.I take for the drama lovers
The stock performance of Adani Enterprises has been influenced by a combination of factors, both internal and external. Here's a breakdown of the key factors at play:
### 1. **Corporate Governance and Financial Practices**
- **Scrutiny Over Financial Practices**: One of the major issues surrounding Adani Enterprises is its corporate governance. Critics have raised concerns over the group's financial transparency and related-party transactions. These issues have led to concerns about the sustainability of the group's business model.
- **Debt Levels**: The Adani Group, including Adani Enterprises, has been under scrutiny for its high levels of debt. Investors are wary of the risks associated with the group’s ability to service
its debt amid market uncertainty.
- **Hindenburg Report**: In January 2023, the Hindenburg Research report accused the Adani Group of stock manipulation and accounting fraud. This report caused a sharp drop in the stock price of Adani Enterprises, triggering investor fears. The group has denied these allegations, but the controversy lingers.
### 2. **Market Conditions**
- **Broader Market Volatility**: As with many companies, Adani Enterprises' stock price is affected by the broader market environment. Economic uncertainty, rising interest rates, inflation, and shifts in global market sentiment can all affect stock prices.
- **Global Economic Conditions**: Being a large conglomerate with interests in infrastructure, energy, and ports, Adani Enterprises is also sensitive to global supply chain issues, commodity price fluctuations, and changes in government policy.
### 3. **Political Factors**
- **Government Relations**: The Adani Group is often seen as having strong political ties in India, especially with the ruling party. This has been both a strength and a point of contention. On one hand, it has helped the company secure major contracts and government projects; on the other hand, it has drawn criticism regarding favoritism and crony capitalism.
- **Regulatory Scrutiny**: Increased regulatory scrutiny, especially after the allegations mentioned in the Hindenburg report, has led to greater risk for the company. The government’s stance on such matters, including potential investigations into corporate practices, could also have an impact on stock performance.
### 4. **Operational Challenges and Market Sentiment**
- **Diversification Efforts**: Adani Enterprises is a diversified conglomerate with businesses spanning ports, energy, agriculture, real estate, and more. While diversification can be a strength, it can also expose the company to risks in various sectors, each with its own challenges.
- **Market Sentiment**: Investor sentiment is often heavily influenced by news and reports, especially negative ones. The market has reacted strongly to the Hindenburg allegations, the volatility of the stock market, and overall uncertainty in global markets.
### 5. **Impact of Corporate Practices on Stock**
- **Corporate Practices Impact**: The corporate practices of Adani Enterprises have indeed had a significant impact on the stock. The allegations of fraudulent activities and questionable financial dealings have led to a loss of investor confidence. Trust in a company's management is crucial for stock performance, and doubts regarding the company's transparency and ethics can lead to stock sell-offs.
- **Investor Confidence**: If investors feel uncertain about a company’s leadership and practices, they may choose to sell their holdings or avoid buying, which can lead to a decrease in stock price. Adani Enterprises has faced significant outflows from institutional investors as a result of these concerns.
### In Conclusion:
Yes, corporate practices, especially concerns over governance and transparency, are having a significant impact on Adani Enterprises' stock. While market conditions and global factors also play a role, the company's internal issues—particularly related to its financial management and corporate governance—have created volatility and uncertainty. This has contributed to the stock price fluctuations and led to decreased investor confidence in the short term. However, the long-term impact will depend on how the company addresses these issues and whether it can restore confidence among investors.
US30: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 37,395.0 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 29.788 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 28.884..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.09620 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.10369 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,029.482 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD short-term analysis. Entering the selling phaseAfter the tariff policy was implemented, gold was sold off in the market on Friday. Gold was under pressure from the upper track of the rising channel trend line at 3160/3165. At present, the correction is gradually approaching the lower track of the rising channel. The daily line fell sharply and closed. The New York closing broke through the MA10 daily moving average at 3070. The RSI indicator turned down after the previous 80-value high overbought value and fell back to around 50!
The weekly RSI indicator turned down and the price lost the MA5-day moving average in the Asian session. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high dead cross remains open downward, currently moving down to 3063/3075, the RSI indicator runs below the middle axis, and the hourly and four-hour chart Bollinger bands open downward. Gold continued to fluctuate downward in the weak bear market in the Asian session. The trading idea at the beginning of the week continues to sell at high levels and buy at low levels.
Gold once again started a dramatic frenzy mode last Friday, with long and short positions tug-of-war and large fluctuations. In the end, the short position was slightly better, which was an eye-opener for the market. With the continuous rise of gold, large fluctuations are also commonplace. Large fluctuations make the market uneasy. In the face of the large decline last Friday, gold may continue to maintain a downward trend in the later period, and the short-term bottom position below is maintained at the 3000 integer mark!
This position is also the bottom and starting point of the previous period. There is a high probability of a rebound, and the upper pressure is maintained near the top and bottom conversion position of 3054-3057, which is also the top position of the last falling candle last Friday. This position will be an ideal short position on Monday. Once the pressure is effective, it may still fall again in the later period.
The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so the gold shorts still have power. The short-term gold can only rebound. Gold will continue to sell after the rebound, and then gold will enter a shock. After the high-level plunge of gold, sellers will have more advantages in the short term. Unless there is a big positive, it will be difficult for gold to rise directly. The gold rebound resistance is 3054. If it is under pressure, it will continue to sell at highs.
Key points;
First support: 3000, second support: 2990, third support: 2976
First resistance: 3040, second resistance: 3054, third resistance: 3068
Operation ideas;
Buy: 2983-2985, SL: 2974, TP: 3000-3010;
Sell: 3051-3054, SL: 3063, TP: 3030-3020;
Bitcoin at a Time Crossroads — Technical & Temporal ConfluenceAccording to the current cycle-based chart structure, Bitcoin has reached a key temporal bottom, aligning with previous cycle lows. Technically, we are entering the final phase of this bull run, where timing outweighs sentiment.
While global headlines grow increasingly bearish — from aggressive trade policies under Trump, to overextended U.S. markets breaking above all expected tops — Bitcoin now faces a crucial test:
Can it prove itself as a resilient, time-bound asset like gold?
History tells us: news creates noise, but cycles guide price. What happens next could redefine Bitcoin's narrative as a macro-hedge and cyclical leader.
📉 Watch closely — this is not just about charts, it’s about conviction.
#Bitcoin #CryptoCycles #MarketTiming #BTCUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #MacroView #TradingView
April 4 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There are indicators released at 9:30 and 12:00.
First of all, Nasdaq reached a very important point on the chart
yesterday morning.
In a situation where there is no particular movement due to Trump's tariff policy,
it continues to flow downward.
As far as I remember, the US is a country with a lot of showmanship.
I've experienced it a lot while analyzing charts.
There are two indicators released today,
The Bollinger Band monthly central line touches on the chart + two indicators released,
so there is a very high possibility that Nasdaq will go up.
In the end, it's an action and a play on words to pick up and put down the ants,
and it won't be operated to the point where the US is destroyed.
Since there is a stop loss, we proceeded very aggressively.
As you can see, in the indicator announcement time zone,
the blue finger is short->long
or the red finger is long.
The rebound from the bottom is a condition for a sweep when looking at the chart upside down, so if successful, a surge can occur.
I just applied it to Bitcoin.
This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart.
I marked the daily closing section for each flag,
and the purple flag on the far right is next Monday.
The purple finger on the lower left
is connected to the 81,404.4 dollar entry point yesterday, April 3.
Because it is touching the center line of the Bollinger Band 12-hour chart,
you need to hold on until 9 o'clock when additional candles are created to go up more.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. 83,568 dollar long position entry point / stop loss price when the green support line is broken
2. 86,871.5 dollar long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target
After that, target price in order.
If the strategy is successful, the 1st section that returns
You can use the long position re-entry section
The movement within the 1st section at the top and the 2nd section at the bottom is a sideways market.
If there is a crash in Nasdaq
It can drop below the bottom
And it can drop to 79.7K 3 times over the weekend, so please take note.
Up to this point, my analysis
Please just refer to and use it
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
You worked hard this week too.
Thank you.
The VIX Triangle: Countdown to a Bull Run or a Market Meltdown?🧠 What Is the VIX and Why It Matters Right Now
The Volatility Index (VIX), often called the “fear gauge,” has surged to nearly $60, a level we at Vital Direction had anticipated weeks in advance. This dramatic move has injected high volatility across global financial markets — particularly the SPX500, Nasdaq, DAX, and key Asian exchanges like China, Singapore, and Australia.
Such a spike in fear typically signals a pivotal turning point in market sentiment — the kind that leads either to a massive relief rally or a further collapse.
📈 Elliott Wave Analysis: Is VIX About to Complete a Triangle?
Our proprietary Elliott Wave analysis suggests the VIX is forming a classic triangle structure, with wave D likely completed and wave E expected to take the index down to around $16 by mid-September 2025.
This scenario fits with a standard corrective wave pattern, indicating that market panic may be peaking — and that a bullish reversal could be imminent if the structure holds.
⚠️ Critical Technical Level: A sustained breakout above $65.73 would invalidate this triangle structure. That would imply a much more severe market breakdown and trigger deeper fear-driven selloffs across global equities.
📊 SPX500 Forecast: Rare Risk-Reward Setup in Play
If the VIX follows our expected path and declines to $16, we believe the SPX500 and broader US markets could be on the verge of a massive bull run.
This would mark the return of risk-on sentiment and potentially spark fresh highs in major indices and high-beta stocks such as Tesla, Apple, and Amazon.
🎯 Our View: All scenarios remain possible, but we see exceptional risk-to-reward potential building across U.S. equities — particularly in the SPX500. This is one of the cleanest technical setups we’ve seen in months.
🚨 Final Thoughts: All Eyes on the VIX
The VIX is now the key chart to watch.
A move down to wave E at $16 = potential bull market ignition.
A breakout above $65.73 = likely market meltdown and sharp selloffs.
This is a textbook example of how Elliott Wave Theory and volatility analysis can provide a true edge in market timing.
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 MONDAY 7TH APRIL 2024GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 MONDAY 7TH APRIL 2024
First and full most, It looks good! However, it's important to approach with caution... much like always.
Pay attention to the previous weekly closure. Yes is it showing a rejection BUT in terms of us always expecting a wick fill prior trading in the opposing direction, Would an immediate short make sense?
We need to see clear price action showing us that it is not interesting in retracting the previous weekly wick with clear bearish movement.
More on the set up descriptions later in terms of text but I trust the chart analysis speaks 1000 words.
FRGNT X
EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025
An almost picture perfect setup. Let's take a look into why and what we forecast.
Take a look at the weekly chart. We have had a previous bearish close from the weekly order block. That's a tick in our book. The even better news is that weekly wick of rejection has also mitigated the daily order block up at the highs!
Another serious level of confluence that will in turn support out short forecast. Now what can we expect to happen next for price action. We shall not guess, we will wait to see how the market plays but I'll inform you of what FRGNT X would love to see.
-Price action fill the previous weekly closed wick area.
- In doing so, can we reach the 15' Order block that was left behind.
- Can we grab a lower time from break of structure from that point of interest.
- Once the above occurs. We short the market doing to clear points of interest.
The plan for EURUSD is very very simple this Monday morning. Let's see how it plays out.
FRGNT X