Gann
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategies Today, May 14Technical analysis of gold
Daily chart resistance 3284, support below 3200-3167
Four-hour chart resistance 3270/3284, support below 3200
One-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3200
Analysis of gold news: On Tuesday (May 13), the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April was released, showing that inflationary pressures have eased, providing a complex signal to the market. This mild data that was lower than expected, coupled with the uncertainty of recent tariff policies, triggered an immediate market reaction and reshaped the Fed's expectations of rate cuts. Although the data tended to be dovish, the market reaction was not completely one-sided, showing a game of caution and optimism. Because bargain hunting occurred after prices hit a one-week low. In the previous trading day, due to the tariff truce agreement reached between China and the United States, market risk appetite increased, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold, and gold prices were therefore under pressure.
Yesterday, gold hit a high point before the data was released and then fell sharply, which also showed the repetitiveness of market sentiment. However, in the future, some negative factors have gradually landed, and the Fed's interest rate cut will be put on the agenda again in the medium term. The medium-term favorable pattern for gold has not changed, so gold is still bullish in the medium and long term, but there may be a decline in the short term.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the 3200 integer support, and the upper pressure focuses on the one-hour chart resistance 3250 and the four-hour chart resistance 3284. The short-term long and short strength dividing line is 3284.
SELL: 3283near SL: 3288
SELL: 3270near SL: 3275
#DYM/USDT#DYM
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.454.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.462
First target: 0.482
Second target: 0.503
Third target: 0.527
#DYM/USDT#DYM
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.380.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.410
First target: 0.430
Second target: 0.445
Third target: 0.461
#SEI/USDT#SEI
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading towards a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.2550.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.2579
First target: 0.2626
Second target: 0.2681
Third target: 0.2750
#GALA/USDT#GALA
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 0.02226.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.02232
First target: 0.02308
Second target: 0.02380
Third target: 0.02471
#ARB/USDT#ARB
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 4050.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 0.4436
First target: 0.4700
Second target: 0.4994
Third target: 0.5367
#DOGS/USDT#DOGS
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, this support at 0.0002050.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 0.0002100
First target: 0.0002274
Second target: 0.0002406
Third target: 0.0002555
GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Gap fill
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURCHF SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25EURCHF SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4 Hour order block rejection
✅4 Hour 50 EMA rejection
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Gap fill
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15' order block targets
✅Gap to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDZAR-SELL strategy 3 hourly chart - Regression channelThe pair has reached it objective near 18.4650 and from there fell sharply again. it was due to the fact we have a peak above the channel, and indicators are slightly negative due to the pullback, which means there are plenty of sellers out there.
Strategy SELL @ 18.3450 - 18.3850 and take profit near 18.1875 - 18.2250 area.
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURUSDH1, it made a nice down move of more than 100 pips and did a consolidation after pushing back to the upside
H4 is in a downtrend, but we need the price to create a new Lower High to keep dropping.
We have to wait for that confirmation
Weekly timeframe its very important trendline on the weekly timeframe we have to wait it for more information
BlackBerry Law of VibrationNYSE:BB - Monthly Timeframe
Bollinger Bands - Real Tight.
On Balance Volume - Bullish.
Price Momentum Oscillator - Bullish.
Trade The Markets Squeeze - Bullish.
Monthly Volume - Above Averages.
”Time is the most important factor in determining market movements and by studying the past records of the averages or individual stocks you will be able to prove for yourself that history does repeat and that by knowing the past you can tell the future. There is a definite relation between time and price. Now, by a study of the time periods and time cycles you will learn why tops and bottoms are found at certain times and why resistance levels are so strong at certain times and bottoms and tops hold around them. The most money is made when fast moves and extreme fluctuations occur at the end of major cycles.” - W.D. Gann
The S&P 500 Is About to Drop — The Real Rally Comes in July!S&P 500 Market Outlook: Navigating the Path to a Bullish Breakout by June 2025
At Vital Direction, we are committed to delivering precise and forward-looking market analysis rooted in deep technical expertise. Our current evaluation of the S&P 500 indicates that the recent upward movement is not the beginning of a true bull market. Rather, it reflects a counter-trend rally that is approaching exhaustion. We firmly believe that the market is preparing for a significant decline in the short term, followed by a prolonged sideways consolidation, before initiating a genuine, powerful bull market in late June 2025.
Elliott Wave Analysis: A Classic Counter-Trend Structure
Our Elliott Wave analysis suggests that the S&P 500’s recent rally has been corrective in nature, comprised of only three waves — a classic hallmark of a counter-trend move. This pattern lacks the five-wave impulsive structure typically associated with sustainable bull markets. From our vantage point, this confirms that we remain in a larger corrective phase.
We anticipate that a sharp retracement is imminent, one that may unfold over the coming days and weeks, ultimately transitioning into a period of sideways price action until mid-to-late June 2025. Only thereafter do we foresee the conditions forming for a new all-time high and the emergence of a powerful bull leg.
Gann Theory Timing: Imminent Market Top
Our Gann timing model aligns precisely with this forecast. We have identified this week as a critical timing window for a potential top in the S&P 500. Once this pivot is confirmed, we expect the index to enter a steep downward phase. From a Gann perspective, this is a natural part of the market’s cyclical structure — a necessary clearing phase before the next long-term advance.
US Bond Yields: A Telling Risk-Off Signal
One of the most overlooked — yet crucial — factors supporting our bearish near-term view is the behaviour of US bond yields. Charts clearly show that bond yields are breaking out to new highs, a significant development that suggests institutional and “smart money” investors are positioning defensively. This is not a characteristic of a “risk-on” environment.
When yields rise, particularly amidst equity euphoria, it typically indicates that investors are seeking safety and yield rather than embracing equity risk. This divergence is a red flag that supports our conviction: the equity rally is unsustainable, and a meaningful correction is near.
Seasonality Supports the Retracement View
Historical seasonality trends for the S&P 500 further validate our analysis. Data indicates the following typical market behaviour:
Mid-May to Late May: Downtrend
Late May to Mid-June: Temporary uptrend
Mid-June to Late June: Another corrective phase
From Late June Onward: Start of the next major bullish cycle
This seasonal rhythm perfectly mirrors what we see technically: the market is preparing to reset before beginning a strong ascent in July 2025, building into a full-fledged bull market by late June.
The Broader Picture: Beyond US-China
While some market optimism has emerged on the back of renewed US-China tariff discussions, we caution against over-reliance on this narrative. The market appears to be ignoring the broader geopolitical context, including the absence of any clear tariff agreements between the US and Japan — another major global economic player.
The complexity of global trade negotiations introduces substantial uncertainty, which may continue to weigh on investor confidence. Until such macroeconomic factors are stabilised and digested by the market, we do not anticipate a truly risk-on environment.
The Road Ahead: A Strategic Pause Before Ascent
In conclusion, Vital Direction maintains its firm stance: the current market structure does not yet support the onset of a sustained bull market. A meaningful retracement is necessary and, indeed, healthy for the long-term health of the market. We expect this corrective period to unfold over the coming weeks and months, culminating in a sideways consolidation until late June 2025 — the point at which we foresee the S&P 500 transitioning into a highly bullish environment, with the potential to reach new all-time highs.
We will continue to monitor the technicals, macroeconomic developments, and global capital flows to provide our clients with the most accurate and actionable insights. The bull is coming — just not yet.
Nifty Futures likely Intraday Trend on May 14, 2025I foresee a bullish intraday trend with support at 24412 and resistance level1 @ 25097 and resistance 2 @ 25390.
I have not considered gaps on the either direction. This is just my view and the levels in the real-time may vary due to gaps.
Traders are advised to do own technical studies and trade with proper stop-loss.
US30: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 42,240.1 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 42,166.6.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.11647 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.11894 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 32.838 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️