Gann
Long $ORWEOriental Weavers Carpets Company (S.A.E) (EGX:ORWE) is a leading global manufacturer and seller of carpets, jet-printed rugs, and related raw materials. Their product range includes machine-woven and non-woven carpets, various types of rugs and mats, and artificial turf for both indoor and outdoor applications.
Financial Highlights:
Revenue and Profitability: In the fiscal year 2023, Oriental Weavers reported revenues of EGP 17.659 billion, marking a 33% year-over-year increase. The net income for the same period was EGP 1.892 billion, resulting in a net profit margin of 10.7%. citeturn0search2
Earnings Per Share (EPS):The earnings per share for FY2023 stood at EGP 2.6, reflecting a 106% increase compared to the previous year.
Market Capitalization: As of March 24, 2025, the company's market capitalization was approximately EGP 15.264 billion. but the enterprise value is 19.91 billion.
Dividend: The company declared an annual dividend of 1.25 EGP per share for 2024, with a yield of 5.36%. The dividend is paid once per year, and the last ex-dividend date was April 28, 2024. For 2025, the dividend has been increased to 1.6 EGP per share.
Debt and Cash Position: Oriental Weavers holds EGP 6.30 billion in cash and EGP 8.58 billion in debt, resulting in a net debt position of EGP 2.28 billion.
Return Metrics: The company has a Return on Equity (ROE) of 14.44% and a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 5.17%.
Net Profit increased 34% YoY to record EGP 2.5bn backed by the strong operational performance accompanied with 137% YoY hike in interest income which offset the EGP 0.4bn FX loss and the 20% YoY higher interest expense. Net profit margin remained almost flat at 10.5%.
Sales Volume came almost flat YoY, affected by the global macroeconomic and geopolitical
challenges, with International making up healthy 62% of sales volume and Egypt representing
38% of sales volume.
Stock Performance:
Share Price: As of March 27, 2025, the stock closed at EGP 23.30 per share.
52-Week Range: The stock has traded between EGP 16.62 and EGP 35.12 over the past 52 weeks.
Technical Analysis:
Previous Close is 23.2 EGP/share , to buy below 24.0 EG/Share, below EMA200 now is in good daily support zone is match with Gann fan, SCM demand zone and Money flow profile ROC=24.6
is good buy zone .
The Gann Square of Nine is a technical analysis tool developed by W.D. Gann, used to identify potential support and resistance levels based on geometric and numerical relationships. The formula you've referenced, ((17.6)^1/2 + 2))^2 = 38, suggests a target price of EGP 38 per share. This aligns with certain Gann methodologies, where adding a constant to the square root of a price and then squaring the result can indicate significant price levels.
63 % profit
Refer to
1) CHF Cairo Financial Holding Alpha Spotter FV=30.1 ~ 35.1 EGP/share
2) Faisal Company for Securities Trading FV= 31.4 EGP/share
3) Hermes : FV =30.0 EGP/share
4)Fair value per share based on the sector's book value multiple is 75.0 EGP/share
These valuations might be derived from different analytical models or could represent price targets set by various analysts.
Conclusion:
Oriental Weavers demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The company's dividend policy reflects its commitment to shareholder returns. The technical analysis suggests potential price movements, but it's essential to consider these in conjunction with fundamental analysis and broader market conditions.
Note: Financial markets are influenced by numerous factors. It's advisable to consult with a financial advisor or conduct comprehensive research before making investment decisions.*
Price moved up as I said. Now it's about it's next courseThere are more than one potential configurations of this market structure
This next move should help guide us as to how the Highs and Lows of this market structure is set to be
What matters is that price went up, so we are in profit. Now it's about whether we close or hold...keep in mind that most traders are not profitable, we decide how profitable we want to be
Has gold entered a downward channel?Gold ended its continuous rise. The daily chart was blocked and fell back, falling to 3100. Technically, the gold price is still above 3078/3095 of MA7 and 5-day moving average. At the same time, MA10/7-day moving average still remains open upward, and the price is running on the upper track of the Bollinger Band.
The short-term four-hour moving average narrowed, and the price was running near the MA10-day moving average at 3123. The price retreated to the middle track of the Bollinger Band at 3101/3104. The RSI indicator turned downward after touching the overbought value above 80 yesterday. The hourly moving average is glued together, and the price returns to the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Band. Gold is expected to continue to expand its operating range during the day. It is recommended to buy at a low level after the correction and be cautious in chasing the rise. Consider selling after the key resistance level or historical high.
Once Trump's tariff policy is implemented, pay attention to the high and low prices in the gold and silver market, which may usher in a substantial downward adjustment. On the contrary, if Trump continues to announce new tariff policies on the basis of the original tariff policy, gold needs to pay attention to triggering risk aversion and causing a sharp rise or a record high again.
Gold surged higher in the US market yesterday and is stagnant. Bulls are under short-term pressure and may enter an adjustment cycle. In the short-term, gold is expected to fall and adjust! Yesterday, gold rose first and then fell, rising to 3149 and then falling. The European market fluctuated narrowly. From the technical indicators, the 2-hour moving average has formed a dead cross, MACD dead cross and large volume, and the Bollinger band closed. The US market continued to decline after the shock, and currently fell below the 3120 intraday watershed. In the short term, it means that the bulls have temporarily come to an end and started to retrace and adjust.
After yesterday's retracement, today's Asian market quickly rose to 3135.7. With the increase in volume on the hourly chart, it corrected the decline with 3150 as the high point. The fluctuation range was large and the adjustment speed was fast. The current position is too risky to chase the rise. Although shorting is against the trend, the implementation of technically overbought tariffs will also be realized, and there will be more room for profit-taking and downward adjustments. Buying and selling opportunities coexist.
Key points:
First support: 3115, second support: 3102, third support: 3093
First resistance: 3138, second resistance: 3150, third resistance: 3200
Operation ideas:
Buy; 3110-3113, SL: 3102, TP: 3140-3150;
Sell; 3143-3145, stop SL: 3154, TP: 3120-3110;
AUDCAD SHORT Q2 W14 Y25 WED 2ND APRIL 2025AUDCAD SHORT Q2 W14 Y25 WED 2ND APRIL 2025
All the ingredients for a high probability short position. Weekly & daily 50 Exponential moving averages coming to join the short party. Higher time frame, namely the weekly time frame currently range with EMA beautifully in the middle of price action. That leaves from a deeper look into the lower time frames to see where the higher time frame EMA's line up.
I'll keep it snappy, what I require is price NOT to touch the Tokyo lows. This is added into the bag of FRGNT confluences. Price needs to trickle into the 15' just above the current Tokyo session. I need lower time frame breaks of structure to form post London open. A lower time frame order block to be created to short from. 5' Break of structure is what is I'd like to see.
Short and snappy short synopsis. I hope the photo paints the narrative better than I can explain it.
FRGNT X
EURUSD SHORTS Q2 W14 Y25 WED 2ND APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORTS Q2 W14 Y25 WED 2ND APRIL 2025
The higher time frame is pushing this narrative. Take a look at the weekly time frame. Price actions is indication a bearish reaction from the weekly Order Block. For this reason, ALL long positions are off the table until further notice. That of course makes out job as risk managers a lot easier. We can now focus our bias on looking for high probability short set ups.
So what do we have-
The current weekly candle, we can anticipate has makes it high, creating our perfect area to short from once an indication of price slow down and bullish turn around has occurred. We have our weekly and daily50 exponential moving average to short toward. Add that to the bag of confluences.
internal 15' market structure and price action. There some work to be done and a potentially a period of sitting on hands whilst we wait for price to show its hands.
We have two 15' points of interests that a short could present itself from however we must be mindful of the internal structure so a clear turn around of price once the areas have been touched is required. Ideally I will first need to see a break of structure post London open, leaving Tokyo highs, that will be our confluence for price returning to our area. If 15' structure does not break post London open, I will await for the higher 15' point of interest. knowing this higher area is almost the last resort for the short set up, my confluences for price turn around will be reduced. 1' breaks of structure, followed by bearish engulfing candles and or 1' imbalance candle fill will be more than sufficient for a position to be executed.
In summery, EURUSD SHORTS.
Closest 15' OB- need to see a break below structure first to indicate selling pressure leading Toyko untouched. await the pull back into the 15'- await a turn around in price and short to the close 50 EMA.
Higher 15' OB, lets see how price arrives, slow and steady, showing signs of slow down, lets entertain lower time frame breaks of struture for a short down to Tokyo lows on the assumption not mitigated post session close.
Lets see how it plays.
FRGNT X
GBPJPY Q2 W14 1st April 2025 Outcome80% of lot size is now removed approaching the Tokyo highs of yesterday, in addition, I have opened the TP to allow it to run although I do foresee the turn around in price.
With that said, the edge played out as expected. Weekly & daily 50 Ema continues to provide a solid basis to begin the chart analysis. Moving forward, as I share my ideas, you shall indeed see a consistent approach with regards to the higher time frame 50 EMA.
FRGNT X
Nifty Futures Daily view for April 2025Our Precision Scalper accurately identified the sell entry for Nifty Futures two days in advance, providing traders with a strategic edge. With minimal risk per trade, this powerful tool effectively captures trends and sustains them until completion. To maximize risk management, ensure a stop-loss is set for every entry.
#DEGO/USDT#DEGO
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue lower.
We have a trend to stabilize below the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a resistance area at the upper limit of the channel at 1.823.
Entry price: 1.803
First target: 1.77
Second target: 1.74
Third target: 1.700
#ADEX/USDT#ADEX
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 0.1006.
Entry price: 0.1050
First target: 0.1066
Second target: 0.1084
Third target: 0.1111
Nifty Futures Daily analysis for April 2025I expect Nifty to be bearish for the month of April 2025. According to my analysis, my Dynamic Buy/Sell indicator confirmed sell signal today with Stop-Loss. After sell confirmation, I adjusted the EOD targets to 720 degrees and I foresee the Nifty Futures to drop down to target 2 or 3 by April 21st or 25th. It may not be a continuous fall, there may be a pull back before the fall.
EURJPY Long Analysis Q2 W14 Tuesday 1st April 2025 EURJPY Long Analysis Q2 W14 Tuesday 1st April 2025
Currently in EJ longs and with majourity of profits removed, position set to breakeven and trade managed. It it important to remain open minded with the chart and not assume that the chart owes my money. It has done as expected in terms of the move of yesterday, therefore lets go again.
As we stand, price could be in the Lower high area to drive to the downside and in this event, my current trade would be taken out for break even profits. Price will either make a high from its current position of as we speculate, a double bottom/ higher low.
A 15' order block is identified from the initial long move yesterday and it would be around there, we expect to join the long party. The confluences around that areas are strong. The weekly 50 exponential moving average is their to support our long bias. To add to the validity of the trade, we hope that Tokyo remain unfilled. Our long position is targeting the fill.
How would we look to enter the trade once price arrives into the 15' Order block. At this stage, we will have to see a lower time frame break of structure. Why? Essentially, the reasons why the trade could loose, therefore lets do our upmost to protect our capital from risk exposure. As we have identified the current area as potential lower high point in price action, there of course is an opportunity from price to create a lower low. This Lower low creation would likely crash into the Daily 50 ema which also pairs with a 4 hour 15' order block.
in the immediate play, I would require a 5' break of structure, a creation of new order block on the lower time frame, followed by a buy limit from that new order block to look long.
IF price does not respect that analysis above, FRGNT will execute a position based of a 1' break of structure. With price action in this hypothesis, after the Lower low into the point of interest, we will look to immediately grab the price in it rally of creating its lower high, allowing for FRGNT to move to break even and secure the position.
What do you think?
lets see how price actions plays.
FRGNT X
META's NEXT BOTTOM FOR THE CORRECTION (SHORT)Meta target reached 746, the level in our previous post.
The correction is currently in progress and by the numbers an aligning bottom within the growth sequence puts the bottom at 485 level. An extended bottom below 485 will see price bottoming at 413 or 385 levels.
Trade safe