Gann
TOP IS NOT IN YET (MORE UPSIDE AFTER THE MINOR CORRECTIONS)We discussed the 5-year bull cycle that starts off every 20-year cycle. We identified that the current 5-year bull cycle will be one of the wildest in the history of the DJIA market by virtue of the current energy level within the log expansion. We will start a new progressive series to discuss the current 20-year cycle in motion.
First we will look closely at these three different 20-year cycles
From the three cycles we can identify a peculiar recurring structure, that is, after the approximately 5th year top we have a wild decline that averagely bottoms below the starting price. We will not dwell much on this cycle as it's not the current cycle in progress. Between these cycles is an (Alternate Cycle) that also has a similar fractal construction.
The first two alternate cycles directly lie between the cycles identified earlier and have a similar fractal. The most striking identity of these alternate cycles is that the origin point is the lowest point within the 20 year trend. The correction from the 5th year top is not so steep and never goes below the origin
The 1942/1962 cycle lies between the 1921/1942 and 1962/1982 cycles
The 1982/2002 cycle lies between the 1962/1982 and 2002/2022 cycles
This means the next alternate 20-year cycle is the 2022/2042 cycle which will lie between 2002/2022 and 2042/2062 cycles. From the internal construction of this cycle we can dive deeper and model the structure forward in both price and time. Example, the vertical price axis for the 1942/1962 cycle was (+648.61 pts) and total horizontal time elapsed was (+1052 wks).
We have a (648.61 x 1052) structure showing a perfect golden ratio of price and time
(1052 / 648.61) = 1.6219
1982/2002 cycle had price axis = 1098.03 pts and time = 1052 wks
We have approximately a 1098.03 x 1052 square of price and time
By observing the cumulative growth pattern we can make projection of the current cycle in progress. We would go through the growth gradually and identify price and time resistances as price action progresses. Please check back as we build step by step the growth structure of the current cycle.
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XAUUSD:20/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold Technology Analysis
Daily chart resistance is 3050-3100, support is 3000 below
Four-hour chart resistance 3080, support 3030 below
One-hour chart resistance 3054, support 3042 below
Analysis of gold news: Spot gold fluctuated narrowly on Thursday, and gold prices continued to rise after Fed Chairman Powell delivered a speech. Spot gold once broke through the $3,050/ounce mark, setting a historical record. The Fed announced the keeping interest rates unchanged at its latest policy meeting and hinted that interest rate cuts could be cut twice this year while slowing down the pace of balance sheet reduction. This series of measures has triggered a decline in the US dollar's gains and a decline in US Treasury yields, providing rising momentum for gold prices. This trading day requires attention to the Bank of England's interest rate resolution, changes in the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States, the United States' February existing home sales data and geopolitical situation related news.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold stabilized yesterday at the 3022 mark and continued to fluctuate strongly and break the high trend. Asian and European session prices rose slightly and pierced through the 3045 mark and fell under pressure. European session fluctuated and fell and stabilized at the 3022 mark. Then it rebounded and rose. The US session fell for the second time and stabilized at the 3026 mark. Then the gold price accelerated to pull up and broke through the 3050 mark and closed strongly at almost the highest point in the day.
Judging from the current trend analysis, the lower support is focused on the one-hour level 3042 and the four-hour level 3030 line, and the important support is focused on the daily level 3000 line. Relying on this position, it continues to be bullish. The target position above is still focused on breaking through new highs. Before the daily level falls below the lower support, it still keeps buying with the trend.
Buy: 3032near SL: 3028
Buy: 3042near SL: 3038
ECB Rate Cut Hopes Fade, EUR/USD Nears 1.0900EUR/USD fell for a second day, nearing 1.0900 in the Asian session. The pair found support as the dollar weakened on falling Treasury yields after the Fed reaffirmed plans for two rate cuts. However, uncertainty over Trump’s tariff policies kept sentiment cautious.
In Europe, German lawmakers approved a debt plan by likely Chancellor Friedrich Merz to increase growth and defense spending. A shift from Germany’s conservative fiscal stance could drive inflation and influence ECB policy.
Investors await ECB President Lagarde’s speech on economic and monetary affairs in Brussels on Thursday.
Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0880, with further levels at 1.0800 and 1.0730.
When will the gold short come?Market news:
On Thursday, spot gold rose in a short-term wave, and the price of gold just hit $3,055/ounce, setting a record high. Foreign media reported that two UN staff members in Gaza were killed in an Israeli attack, and geopolitical tensions pushed safe-haven buying to continue to flow into international gold. As the ceasefire negotiations between Russia and Ukraine stalled, Israel stepped up air strikes, and geopolitical tensions intensified, boosting safe-haven demand. Overnight, London gold prices continued to rise after a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Spot gold once broke through the $3,050/ounce mark. The Federal Reserve announced at its latest policy meeting that it would keep interest rates unchanged and hinted that it might cut interest rates twice this year, while slowing down the pace of shrinking its balance sheet. This series of measures triggered the dollar to give up gains and U.S. Treasury yields to fall, providing momentum for the rise in international gold prices. The price of gold investment has repeatedly hit new highs, reflecting market concerns about economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged and hinted at a rate cut, further strengthening gold's safe-haven appeal. On this trading day, we need to pay attention to the Bank of England's interest rate decision, changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, the US February existing home sales data and news related to the geopolitical situation.
Today's analysis:
Gold is calculated based on Gann's time cycle profit: short-term cycles are 1 hour, 2 hours, 4 hours, 18 hours, 24 hours, 3 weeks, 7 weeks, 13 weeks, 15 weeks, 3 months, and 7 months. The medium-term cycle is 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, 5 years, 7 years, 10 years, 13 years, and 15 years. So how much room is there for this round of buying? I predict that in the long run, the bullish trend of gold will not change, but a round of buying will be followed by a mid-term price adjustment. This month is the last month of the quarter of 25 years, and it is expected that gold will undergo a strong and weak cycle conversion in the second quarter of April-May. At that time, it is necessary to pay attention to the direction of gold in the market and switch to selling to gain an advantage. Before the top pattern such as the common head and shoulders top, M top, double top, arc top and other signal patterns appear, the transaction is still to maintain the advantage of buying, and still mainly participate in low-price buying.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3043-3045, stop loss at 3032, target at 3070-3080;
Sell short-term gold at 3073-3075, stop loss at 3084, target at 3040-3030;
Key points:
First support level: 3044, second support level: 3038, third support level: 3023
First resistance level: 3057, second resistance level: 3068, third resistance level: 3078
EURUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOCOUS ON KEY POINTS , EUR POSSIBLEhis chart is a technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on a 1-hour timeframe, featuring several indicators and annotations. Here's a breakdown of what it means:
Key Features of the Chart:
Support & Resistance Levels:
The black horizontal lines indicate important support and resistance levels.
Support: Around 1.08739 (marked with a black line).
Resistance: Around 1.09491 (upper blue zone).
Fibonacci Circles:
The red and blue circular patterns in the middle of the chart suggest Fibonacci time and price levels.
These are used to predict potential reversal points or price movements.
Supply & Demand Zones:
Blue shaded areas indicate resistance (supply zones) where price previously reversed.
The price may react again when reaching these levels.
Candlestick Patterns & Trend Lines:
A previous rejection at the upper blue zone (left side) led to a strong downtrend.
The blue diagonal trendline suggests previous bullish momentum.
Forecasted Price Movement:
The blue arrow suggests an expected bullish move toward the 1.09491 resistance level.
The setup suggests a buy trade with a stop loss around 1.08931 and a target near 1.09491.
Conclusion:
This chart suggests a potential bullish move in EUR/USD, with an expected rise toward 1.09491 if it breaks the resistance near 1.09104. However, if it fails, it could drop back to the 1.08739 support level.
Would you like further analysis or clarification on any aspect? 🚀
BTC FRIDAY BULLISH?
The price, after the fall, appears to be reacting at the opening of the week, where it makes a Judas swing and reacts upwards. The price is likely to rise again to $82,932.99, and how to take profit from the CME futures gap, which is $87,000.00. The price should not break the $79,000 price point strongly, because if it does, BTC is likely to fall to $74,000. Be cautious these days until Tuesday-Wednesday of next week, as there could be high volatility.
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-minute , 3065 possible buy zoon...This is a Gold (XAU/USD) 30-minute chart, showing a bullish breakout setup. Here’s what it means:
1. Breakout Confirmation:
Price has moved above the previous range resistance.
The blue arrow suggests further upside movement.
2. Target Level:
Next resistance around 3,060 (black line).
3. Support Level:
If price retests, the previous resistance (now support) should hold for a continuation higher.
Conclusion: A breakout has occurred, and if price holds above the resistance, it may continue to 3,060.
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-minute chart ,Trade setup check captain..This is a Gold (XAU/USD) 30-minute chart from TradingView, showing a potential trade setup. Here’s what it means:
1. Range Formation:
The price is moving between two key levels (black horizontal lines), indicating consolidation.
2. Breakout or Rejection Scenario:
The blue arrows suggest two possible outcomes:
A break above resistance, leading to further upside.
A rejection at resistance, causing a drop toward the lower support zone.
3. Support Levels:
If the price falls, the next key support is around 3,011.54 (marked in pink).
4. Previous Trend:
The highlighted blue channel (ascending) shows a past bullish move, but now price is in consolidation.
Conclusion: The chart suggests waiting for a breakout or rejection from resistance to decide the next trade direction. If resistance holds, a short trade is possible. If it breaks, a buy setup is confirmed.
Bittensor ($TAO) Analysi
Bittensor, one of the top projects in the AI & DePIN sectors, is currently accumulating above the key zone while still trading below the ATH resistance 🧐
Trend: Bullish reversal in sight
Accumulation: Price is currently at the lower trendline of the falling wedge, indicating a strong buying opportunity.
📌 Best strategy? This is a good opportunity to load a bag of GETTEX:TAO at the current levels!
In the worst-case scenario, I will average my position below the key zone 🚀
Price Targets 🎯
✅ Target 1: $736.7
✅ Target 2: $1,012.9
🚀 A breakout above key resistance could fuel a strong rally to four-digit levels!
Solana Weekly Chart is Looking Explosive!
😳 300 Days of Accumulation Above Key Support Zone
🐃 Massive Bullish Breakout Confirmed (High Probability Setup)
🔥 Reclaiming Major Resistance Levels & Entering Price Discovery Mode
🎯 Targets:
📌 Short-Term: $222.90
📌 Mid-Term: $316.01
📌 Long-Term: Higher price discovery potential 🚀
If you are not longing #SOL at these levels, you are missing out on a golden opportunity! 📊📈
Gold is bullish but not chasing moreAlthough the possibility of raising interest rates is not high, if there are hawkish speeches or there is a trend of reducing the number of subsequent interest rate cuts, it is still bad news for gold. Therefore, it is not recommended to chase high gold today. You can go short in batches around 3040-3050, and the support below is 3027-3018-3006! If you want to be prudent, try to do less and wait and see, and wait for the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision to be settled. Let's see how the market will go today, especially in the European session, and then look for opportunities in the evening.
In terms of trading, the previous day continued to fluctuate. I went short once at 3000 yesterday morning, and the stop loss was 3007. In the afternoon, I fell back to 3005, but I didn't enter with a slight difference of one US dollar. I chased more at 3012, and took profit at 3030 in the evening and went short, with a stop loss of 3038; three orders, two losses and one win, earned 3 US dollars.
BTC WAVE 4 Elliott Wave Analysis
Current Position: BTCUSD is likely completing Wave 4 of a higher-degree impulsive wave. The price at 83,455.38 is near the 38.2% retracement of Wave 3 (84,346.10) and the 1:1 Wave C projection (85,006.49).
- Wave 4 (A-B-C): Wave A (100,935.08 to 87,508.38), Wave B (87,508.38 to 98,433.19), Wave C (98,433.19 to 83,455.38, nearing 1.618 extension at 76,708.79).
- Next Move (Wave 5)**: If the price holds above 79,108.68 and breaks 87,508.38, Wave 5 should target 95,377–112,007.
- **Bearish Risk**: A break below 79,108.68 could lead to a deeper correction toward 76,708.79 or 66,655.75.
- **RSI Support**: RSI at 44.8 (near oversold) with a bullish divergence at 37 supports a potential Wave 4 low.
- **Key Levels**: Support at 79,108.68; resistance at 87,508.38, 98,433.19, and 112,007.
XAUUSD: 19/3 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3060-3100, support below 2982
Four-hour chart resistance 3060, support below 3025
One-hour chart resistance 3050, support below 3030
Gold news analysis: Intensified concerns about the global trade war, new developments in geopolitical crises and expectations of the Federal Reserve's easing of monetary policy continue to drive gold's strong rise. Spot gold rose more than 1% yesterday. This marks a 15% increase in the precious metal since the beginning of the year, closing at $2,623 per ounce in December, and a 27% increase in 2024. The recent decline in the US dollar has played an important role in gold prices hitting new highs. As Deutsche Bank analysts pointed out, "Amid heightened policy uncertainty, investors continue to sell the dollar in search of so-called safe havens. The surge in gold prices is attributed to tensions in the Middle East and the ongoing trade conflict between China and the United States. These uncertainties have not only increased demand for gold, but have also driven a large amount of capital into the precious metals market, pushing gold prices to record highs.
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the one-hour chart 3030 and the four-hour chart support 3025. Focus on the important support of the daily level 2982. Continue to buy bullish on this position. The upper target is still focused on breaking through the new high. The daily level does not fall below the lower support before continuing to trade with the trend.
Buy: 3025near SL: 3020
Buy: 3030near SL: 3025
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