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Bitcoin Cycle Rhythm: Same Downtrend, New Quadrant.Cycle Comparison – From Halving to Halving We're seeing a striking similarity between the current downtrend and the one that followed the 2020 halving. The slope, structure, and emotional impact on price are almost identical. However — here's the key difference: It's all about Quadrant Timing. In the previous cycle, the sell-off happened during Quadrant 2 — traditionally the euphoric blow-off and start of distribution. In this cycle, we’re seeing the same type of correction in late Quadrant 1, a phase typically associated with accumulation and early markup. Before this correction began, Bitcoin rallied 120% from turning point 10 to turning point 1 — a textbook markup leg that aligns with early-cycle behavior. Now, we've seen a retracement of approximately 32% from turning point 1 to 2, closely mirroring the structure seen in the prior cycle. This suggests that while the pattern is repeating, the context has shifted — this drawdown could be a shakeout, not a cycle top. If the 4-quadrant structure continues to play out, Quadrant 2 may still lie ahead, potentially setting the stage for a much stronger upside continuation. Let me know what you think — is this setup still bullish in structure, or are we seeing the beginning of a deeper phase?
Long
by tolacvk
#10000LADYS/USDT#10000LADYS The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, this support at 0.0002670. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 0.0002900 First target: 0.0003067 Second target: 0.0003164 Third target: 0.0003311
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
INTO INDIA SERIES EP1: ADANI'S CURRYLIKE COMMENT FOLLOW "for more nifty comment india" Mumbai is the new New York with increased activity says some US news source i read last year So lets see whats going on outside of trumpville Technical price is downtrending currently at a point in the downtrend where so many different resistances and zones are intersecting like the past lower highs if you think my target is ludacris look at 09/01/23 youd call anyone that forecasted that crazy too but that was breaking news... even though there was a BoS and continuation the stock price hadnt been the same since looking so unatural range spike in a week range spike in a week no steady progress i wont speculate beyond the charts but like jan 3 2023 ..... Investor sentiment is often heavily influenced by news and reports, especially negative ones. The market has reacted strongly to the Hindenburg allegations, the volatility of the stock market, and overall uncertainty in global markets among recession fears. this was interesting who knew there was life outside new york this is like a drama cooking books of accounts "allegedly" like its curry bro was brewing something in hes pot TATA CHEM ANALYSIS A.I take for the drama lovers The stock performance of Adani Enterprises has been influenced by a combination of factors, both internal and external. Here's a breakdown of the key factors at play: ### 1. **Corporate Governance and Financial Practices** - **Scrutiny Over Financial Practices**: One of the major issues surrounding Adani Enterprises is its corporate governance. Critics have raised concerns over the group's financial transparency and related-party transactions. These issues have led to concerns about the sustainability of the group's business model. - **Debt Levels**: The Adani Group, including Adani Enterprises, has been under scrutiny for its high levels of debt. Investors are wary of the risks associated with the group’s ability to service its debt amid market uncertainty. - **Hindenburg Report**: In January 2023, the Hindenburg Research report accused the Adani Group of stock manipulation and accounting fraud. This report caused a sharp drop in the stock price of Adani Enterprises, triggering investor fears. The group has denied these allegations, but the controversy lingers. ### 2. **Market Conditions** - **Broader Market Volatility**: As with many companies, Adani Enterprises' stock price is affected by the broader market environment. Economic uncertainty, rising interest rates, inflation, and shifts in global market sentiment can all affect stock prices. - **Global Economic Conditions**: Being a large conglomerate with interests in infrastructure, energy, and ports, Adani Enterprises is also sensitive to global supply chain issues, commodity price fluctuations, and changes in government policy. ### 3. **Political Factors** - **Government Relations**: The Adani Group is often seen as having strong political ties in India, especially with the ruling party. This has been both a strength and a point of contention. On one hand, it has helped the company secure major contracts and government projects; on the other hand, it has drawn criticism regarding favoritism and crony capitalism. - **Regulatory Scrutiny**: Increased regulatory scrutiny, especially after the allegations mentioned in the Hindenburg report, has led to greater risk for the company. The government’s stance on such matters, including potential investigations into corporate practices, could also have an impact on stock performance. ### 4. **Operational Challenges and Market Sentiment** - **Diversification Efforts**: Adani Enterprises is a diversified conglomerate with businesses spanning ports, energy, agriculture, real estate, and more. While diversification can be a strength, it can also expose the company to risks in various sectors, each with its own challenges. - **Market Sentiment**: Investor sentiment is often heavily influenced by news and reports, especially negative ones. The market has reacted strongly to the Hindenburg allegations, the volatility of the stock market, and overall uncertainty in global markets. ### 5. **Impact of Corporate Practices on Stock** - **Corporate Practices Impact**: The corporate practices of Adani Enterprises have indeed had a significant impact on the stock. The allegations of fraudulent activities and questionable financial dealings have led to a loss of investor confidence. Trust in a company's management is crucial for stock performance, and doubts regarding the company's transparency and ethics can lead to stock sell-offs. - **Investor Confidence**: If investors feel uncertain about a company’s leadership and practices, they may choose to sell their holdings or avoid buying, which can lead to a decrease in stock price. Adani Enterprises has faced significant outflows from institutional investors as a result of these concerns. ### In Conclusion: Yes, corporate practices, especially concerns over governance and transparency, are having a significant impact on Adani Enterprises' stock. While market conditions and global factors also play a role, the company's internal issues—particularly related to its financial management and corporate governance—have created volatility and uncertainty. This has contributed to the stock price fluctuations and led to decreased investor confidence in the short term. However, the long-term impact will depend on how the company addresses these issues and whether it can restore confidence among investors.
NSE:ADANIENTShort
by Bekiumuzi_Dube
Bitcoin at a Time Crossroads — Technical & Temporal ConfluenceAccording to the current cycle-based chart structure, Bitcoin has reached a key temporal bottom, aligning with previous cycle lows. Technically, we are entering the final phase of this bull run, where timing outweighs sentiment. While global headlines grow increasingly bearish — from aggressive trade policies under Trump, to overextended U.S. markets breaking above all expected tops — Bitcoin now faces a crucial test: Can it prove itself as a resilient, time-bound asset like gold? History tells us: news creates noise, but cycles guide price. What happens next could redefine Bitcoin's narrative as a macro-hedge and cyclical leader. 📉 Watch closely — this is not just about charts, it’s about conviction. #Bitcoin #CryptoCycles #MarketTiming #BTCUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #MacroView #TradingView
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ahmed_albalooshi6666
April 4 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart. There are indicators released at 9:30 and 12:00. First of all, Nasdaq reached a very important point on the chart yesterday morning. In a situation where there is no particular movement due to Trump's tariff policy, it continues to flow downward. As far as I remember, the US is a country with a lot of showmanship. I've experienced it a lot while analyzing charts. There are two indicators released today, The Bollinger Band monthly central line touches on the chart + two indicators released, so there is a very high possibility that Nasdaq will go up. In the end, it's an action and a play on words to pick up and put down the ants, and it won't be operated to the point where the US is destroyed. Since there is a stop loss, we proceeded very aggressively. As you can see, in the indicator announcement time zone, the blue finger is short->long or the red finger is long. The rebound from the bottom is a condition for a sweep when looking at the chart upside down, so if successful, a surge can occur. I just applied it to Bitcoin. This is a 30-minute Bitcoin chart. I marked the daily closing section for each flag, and the purple flag on the far right is next Monday. The purple finger on the lower left is connected to the 81,404.4 dollar entry point yesterday, April 3. Because it is touching the center line of the Bollinger Band 12-hour chart, you need to hold on until 9 o'clock when additional candles are created to go up more. *One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves 1. 83,568 dollar long position entry point / stop loss price when the green support line is broken 2. 86,871.5 dollar long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target After that, target price in order. If the strategy is successful, the 1st section that returns You can use the long position re-entry section The movement within the 1st section at the top and the 2nd section at the bottom is a sideways market. If there is a crash in Nasdaq It can drop below the bottom And it can drop to 79.7K 3 times over the weekend, so please take note. Up to this point, my analysis Please just refer to and use it I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. You worked hard this week too. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
The VIX Triangle: Countdown to a Bull Run or a Market Meltdown?🧠 What Is the VIX and Why It Matters Right Now The Volatility Index (VIX), often called the “fear gauge,” has surged to nearly $60, a level we at Vital Direction had anticipated weeks in advance. This dramatic move has injected high volatility across global financial markets — particularly the SPX500, Nasdaq, DAX, and key Asian exchanges like China, Singapore, and Australia. Such a spike in fear typically signals a pivotal turning point in market sentiment — the kind that leads either to a massive relief rally or a further collapse. 📈 Elliott Wave Analysis: Is VIX About to Complete a Triangle? Our proprietary Elliott Wave analysis suggests the VIX is forming a classic triangle structure, with wave D likely completed and wave E expected to take the index down to around $16 by mid-September 2025. This scenario fits with a standard corrective wave pattern, indicating that market panic may be peaking — and that a bullish reversal could be imminent if the structure holds. ⚠️ Critical Technical Level: A sustained breakout above $65.73 would invalidate this triangle structure. That would imply a much more severe market breakdown and trigger deeper fear-driven selloffs across global equities. 📊 SPX500 Forecast: Rare Risk-Reward Setup in Play If the VIX follows our expected path and declines to $16, we believe the SPX500 and broader US markets could be on the verge of a massive bull run. This would mark the return of risk-on sentiment and potentially spark fresh highs in major indices and high-beta stocks such as Tesla, Apple, and Amazon. 🎯 Our View: All scenarios remain possible, but we see exceptional risk-to-reward potential building across U.S. equities — particularly in the SPX500. This is one of the cleanest technical setups we’ve seen in months. 🚨 Final Thoughts: All Eyes on the VIX The VIX is now the key chart to watch. A move down to wave E at $16 = potential bull market ignition. A breakout above $65.73 = likely market meltdown and sharp selloffs. This is a textbook example of how Elliott Wave Theory and volatility analysis can provide a true edge in market timing.
TVC:VIX
by VitalDirection
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 MONDAY 7TH APRIL 2024GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 MONDAY 7TH APRIL 2024 First and full most, It looks good! However, it's important to approach with caution... much like always. Pay attention to the previous weekly closure. Yes is it showing a rejection BUT in terms of us always expecting a wick fill prior trading in the opposing direction, Would an immediate short make sense? We need to see clear price action showing us that it is not interesting in retracting the previous weekly wick with clear bearish movement. More on the set up descriptions later in terms of text but I trust the chart analysis speaks 1000 words. FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025 An almost picture perfect setup. Let's take a look into why and what we forecast. Take a look at the weekly chart. We have had a previous bearish close from the weekly order block. That's a tick in our book. The even better news is that weekly wick of rejection has also mitigated the daily order block up at the highs! Another serious level of confluence that will in turn support out short forecast. Now what can we expect to happen next for price action. We shall not guess, we will wait to see how the market plays but I'll inform you of what FRGNT X would love to see. -Price action fill the previous weekly closed wick area. - In doing so, can we reach the 15' Order block that was left behind. - Can we grab a lower time from break of structure from that point of interest. - Once the above occurs. We short the market doing to clear points of interest. The plan for EURUSD is very very simple this Monday morning. Let's see how it plays out. FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT