SPX: A Pullback in a Bull Trend.• The SPX is correcting today, however, it is still above the 4,100, indicating some strength;
• If the index drops more, and loses yesterday’s low, we might see a sharper correction. Probably the SPX would lose the 21 ema in this scenario;
• For now, it seems the bulls are in control, despite the pullback. As long as the index remains above the 4,100 / 21 ema, the gap at 4,218 is still our target;
• The index is correcting, but there’s no clear bearish reversal structure on it yet pointing to a real reversal. I’ll keep you updated on this.
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Gap
SPX: Above an Inflection Point.• The SPX is trying to do a bullish reaction today, just above the key support level at 4,100;
• This reinforces our view that 4,100 is the most important support level for the index, and only if it loses, we would see a sharper correction;
• For now, the index maintains its bullish bias, and there’s no technical evidence pointing to a reversal;
• In theory, it’ll seek the 4,218 next, to fill the last gap;
• What’s more, if it breaks yesterday’s high, it’ll completely reject the bearish candlestick, confirming the bullish bias;
• I’ll keep you updated on this.
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SPX: Strong Bullish Reaction.• The SPX did a bullish reaction, just above our key support level at 4,100, which we’ve been monitoring for a few days;
• This indicates bullish continuation, and despite the correction this morning, the index still looks bullish;
• In the lack of bearish reversal structures, the gap at 4,218 is our next target. So far, there’s no bearish sign on the index;
• Yesterday, it did a Bullish Engulfing pattern, and it is quite normal to see short-term corrections after the bullish candlestick – but it must not drop too much, otherwise, it might frustrate the pattern;
• I’ll keep you updated on this.
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SPX: Above a Support Level.• Yesterday, the SPX corrected just to hit our support at 4,100, and now it is stabilizing in this area;
• We have been monitoring the 4,100 for a while, but we clearly stated that this was our support level in my previous analysis (link below this post);
• It is still a risky situation, and if the index loses this support it might trigger a sharper correction to the 21 ema;
• On the other hand, if it does a bullish structure today, this might be just a bullish continuation sign, and the index would resume the bullish bias;
• In this scenario, there’s an open gap at 4,218, which would be our next target;
• This is a critical key point on the index, and it all depends on how it’ll react from here. I’ll keep you updated on this.
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TSLA: Fantastic Reaction. 👍• TSLA is doing an important reaction, as it is trying to reject the Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern, our top sign from Monday;
• This top sign wasn’t completely rejected yet, but even if TSLA resumes the drop, there are many support levels to hold the price;
• The first support is the $154, then the gap area around $146. What’s more, there is the 21 ema, which is ascending right now;
• A pullback to any of these support levels could be an opportunity to buy at a cheaper price;
• The key resistance is the $182.50. If TSLA breaks the $182.50, then our next resistance level is the $200;
• I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual.
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TSLA: A Dangerous Situation.• Yesterday, TSLA did a classic bearish candlestick pattern: a Dark Cloud Cover;
• This is a top sign, and this could bring more correction ahead. The next technical support is at $154, while there’s an open gap at $146.41;
• TSLA failed to hit the technical resistance at $182.50, and this is a sign of weakness, and reinforces the idea of a correction, at least in the short/mid-term;
• For now, there’s no technical reaction that could frustrate the DCC pattern, but I’ll keep you updated every day on this.
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Types of Gaps !!!👨🏫Hello👨🏻🏫, dear traders from all over the world🗺️.
I'm Pejman🙋🏻♂️ & welcome🌸 to one more educational adventure🧭 in Tradingview, but we will not be traders💹 today; We want to look at our charts like a hunter🏹.
We look for every clue🐾 we see so that we can hunt suitable positions💱 like valuable creatures💰 and transfer them to the cages as our accounts💳 or wallets💸.
Although I'm not too fond🙍🏻♂️ of hunting, either legally or illegally.
But I know that hunting good positions in the forests🏞️🌳 of Tradingview is not prohibited😉❗.
So let's get acquainted with these clues🔎 as soon as possible because the price is skittish🙈, and we don't want to waste the hunting time⏳✅.
I said that in Technical Analysis , we look for ways to trade by using the price information, which is recorded on the charts📈. (such as the prey's tracks🔎🐾)
Today I want to introduce one of these clues so that you can become a professional position hunter🏹 by identifying the clues👀;
But don't forget that you should practice🙌🏻, be careful⚠️, and watch your positions👀, so you don't miss them or rush 🏎️💨to the wrong❌ position🙂.
Today's clue is the GAPS . First, let's see what the GAP is🤔.
The gap is nothing. I mean, it is something that is nothing😶🙄.
It is incredibly paradoxical💥! I'm kidding😉, but the space between candles🕯️ or bars is called a GAP.
A gap is created when we see👀 a price gap between two candles🕯️ or bars when the trading volume is high⏫ or low⏬. This difference or space between two candles is called a gap🤏🏻.
It is said that gaps are more valuable✅ in higher time frames among the traders, so much coin, much care👀.
Gaps, or as the Japanese🎌 term "windows," are significant for hunting🏹 positions, so as hunter traders, we should learn these gaps well👌🏻.
The reason🧐 for creating gaps can be factors such as important positive🆒 or negative🙈 news or an increase🔺 or decrease🔻 in supply and demand.
It is interesting to know that gaps are primarily seen in Forex , Stocks , and Commodities (especially when markets close and open).
The space👌🏻 between the candles means that the price has jumped like a rabbit🐰 from one number to the upper☝🏻 different number.
Or, like a monkey🐒, it moved from one number to a lower👇🏻 number.
I tried to make it funny😊 and straightforward👌🏻, but these gaps that move up or down have different types, like the year's seasons🌈☁️.
We have 4️⃣ seasons in a year and also 4️⃣ types of gaps in the charts.
According to personal taste😊, I relate the gaps to the year's seasons and, simultaneously, do not forget the case of hunting positions🏹💰.
So fasten your seat belts💺 because we want to travel in time🧳⏳ to all the year's seasons with this post🚩 and learn about the different price gaps, which are one of our clues🐾 to trap positions🪤.
Let's start with the autumn🍂 season because we are still in it and can understand it better😌.
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The name of this type of Exhaustion 🥱 gap.
They are seen at the end🔚 of a process, which means that the process may change🔄 at any moment.
Just like the autumn🍁 season, it may rain☔ anytime after seeing the clouds🌥️.
Another feature of this gap is the increase🆙 in trading volume, so by paying attention👀 to these points and practicing by reviewing the charts📈, you can easily recognize🔎 this gap.
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The next💁🏻♂️ gap is the Breakaway 🏃🏻♂️ gap.
The breakaway gap is associated with an increase⤴️ in trading volume.
This gap occurs when a critical range is broken🤞🏻, representing a strong💪🏻 start🏁 trend or a sign of trend change.
Like the blooming🏵️ of some trees🌳 in winter☃️ or the sprouting🌱 of plants from under the snow❄️.
Also, This gap is created when the price starts moving from a limited area, like support or resistance ( I'm going to talk about them in the future😉. )
I have to say that the breakaway gap plays a critical👌🏻 role in some of the classic reversal patterns, such as the Head and Shoulders Pattern , Double Top/Bottom Patterns , etc.
When The breakaway gap is combined with Classic Reversal Patterns, the breakaway gap adds to these patterns' validity✅.
If you want to get acquainted with the most important Classic Reversal Patterns of Technical Analysis , I suggest you read the following post👇.
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Now it's time for spring🌸🍀, and I'm going to introduce a gap like spring.
Spring season is a sign✌🏻 of the continuation of life💐, and this gap in technical analysis shows the continuation of a trend📈.
The Continuation gap is also known as a Runaway 🏃🏻♂️ gap, occurring in the middle of a downward↙️ or upward↗️ trend.
This type of gap creates a kind of confidence for traders to enter.
It doesn't occur when the price fluctuates or corrects in a limited area but occurs during a rapid increase or decrease.
So, as a result ☑️, if this gap occurs in an upward trend🔺, it indicates the continuation of the upward movement.
And when it is created in a downward trend🔻, it indicates the entry of more sellers and further price decline.
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Now we have reached✌🏻 the last gap🥰.
This gap is Common , but I should introduce it as the summer☀️ season.
These gaps are very common, And considering the time frame it has, it is expected to fill quickly, which is also called "closing the gap."
The filling or closing of the gap means that the price returns🔁 to the same area where the gap was created, like a criminal returning to the crime scene😄.
This can be true✅ for gaps as well.
Time flies in summer🏝️, and Common and Exhaustion 🥱gaps fill as soon as a blink👁️.
You may have heard👂🏻 that gaps are always filled, but this is not permanent🙅🏻♂️ and only a strong possibility🤏🏻.
For example, Continuation 🏃🏻♂️ & Breakaway gaps usually take a long time⌛ to fill.
But what if the gap doesn't close🤷🏻♂️?
Go to any currency pair and examine👀 the recorded data🗄️; You will find that many gaps take a year or more to close.
It is interesting😃 to know that the Japanese🎌 have another interpretation of the price gap.
They use gaps as continuation and reversal trading patterns (as I said, I'll explain them in future posts🔜😉).
It is interesting to know that the combination of gaps can create the Island reversal pattern.
The Island pattern consists of two gaps ; One up⬆️ and one down⬇️.
We will definitely✅ learn more about these patterns in the following posts🔜, but today we are only focusing on the gaps🧐.
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Another thing I want to add➕ is about the Heikin-Ashi charts💹 that we learned about in the previous post🔙.
Gaps are filtered❌ in Heikin-Ashi charts.
As I said, in this chart, the average is displayed between two✌🏻 consecutive candles; even candlestick patterns are filtered❌.
So, the type of chart is also essential👌🏻 for finding gaps.
Well, I gave you the basic tips to identify these gaps🤏🏻, and now you can carefully look👀 for them in your charts💹.
Practice this information for a bit, as I will be back soon🔜 with an educational post👨🏻🏫 on how to trade💰 with these gaps.
If you have any questions❓, you can ask me💬.
We will get acquainted with new clues🔎 in new posts, so until that day, take care of your knowledge📊 and increase it every day📈, because according to Kofi Anan:
Knowledge is power💪🏻, and information is liberating. Education📚 is the beginning of progress in every society🏙️, in every family👨👩👧👧.
I hope you become stronger🙌🏻 daily by using your knowledge, and I will also increase your progress by teaching you the introduction.
I wish🙌🏻 you happiness, health😍, and success😎.
W - strong price actionW had begun to form a saucer base pattern since Sep2022 (4 months basing), eventually cumulating to a break above it's neckline last Friday ( 20 Jan23) on very large volume. The following Monday on 23 Jan23, W announced it will cut 10% of its workforce and the market reacted by gapping the stock straight above it's 200 day moving average on yet another high volume day.
Since then it had pulled back a little, forming a potential bullish flag. Will the recent gap close soon? not necessarily, if it is a breakaway gap (which usually signify the start of a new trend). Can only wait and see.
Meanwhile, it is worth a shot to go long as long as it starts to break above the bull flag, with initial stop loss placed just slightly below the start of the gap @ 46.70. Trail stop up once the trade goes our way.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
BTC In A Corrective Pullback: Intraday Elliott Wave AnalysisBitcoin made sharp reversal and strong recovery last week, which we see it as a five-wave bullish impulse from Elliott wave perspective.
With recent sharp decline into wave (a), followed by current recovery in wave (b), there's a chance for another wave (c) drop to complete a higher degree wave "iv" correction. Ideal support comes around 20.000 level that can also fill the BTC CME Futures Monday's GAP before the uptrend for wave "v" resumes ahead of the weekend.
Happy trading!
TSLA: BULL TRAP? Pay Attention to the Most Important Support!• TSLA crashed yesterday, and it seems it wants to resume the bear trend, making the previous rally a bull trap;
• Today, TSLA is trying to lose the 21 ema in the 1h chart (pre market), and if that’s the case, we can expect more drop ahead;
• What’s more, if it loses the 21 ema in the 1h chart, it’ll lose yesterday’s low at the same time, triggering a Dark Cloud Cover pattern in the daily chart;
• The area at $123 is the next technical support level in the 1h chart: 1) previous top level; 2) 38.2% Fibonacci’s Retracement; 3) Gap level;
• Therefore, in my view, the $123 area is the most important support level. If TSLA loses it, the bearish momentum will persist, and it could easily seek the $100 again;
• In order to frustrate this bearish thesis, it must stay above the $123, and do a very good (bullish) reaction;
• I’ll keep you updated on this everyday, as usual.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
Mt.BFX | Tezos XTZ Structure Map | $900The analysis includes multiple methods of technical analysis to produce a map.
The labels for the chart and what the chart says are on the chart itself, more information about how to create a chart like this will come with updates to this idea.
A quick rundown of what I do use are:
Trend Line to extend from two lowest structure closes.
Horizontal Ray tool to mark off structure highs and lows on the Monthly Timeframe.
Box tool to mark off Monthly and Weekly gaps in price action.
Fibonacci tool using Powers of Two or Binary numbers to plot growth lines originating from two of the lowest close values. This cancels the logarithm out when using a logarithmic chart.
What do the boxes mean?
Red Box - Monthly TF Gap Down
White Box - Monthly TF Gap Up
Orange Box - Weekly TF Gap Down
Blue Box - Weekly TF Gap Up
I predict the price to move away from $8 and break into triple digits over the long term. The price targets are as follows:
$7.30
$14.60
$28.80
$57
$114
$227
$456
$900
With a price at $900 per coin, the Tezos platform would be valued at $798,181,180,200 for the total supply, not that in circulation as of 26th August 2021.
$227 is a conservative estimate valuing the platform at $201 billion.
This is not financial advice.
#BTCUSDT - Short YOLO Opportunity#BTCUSDT - Short YOLO Opportunity
Lots of Bearish indicators going on here now. Can go for a bit of a yolo BTC short here. Might pay off really well. Although we are seeing some random BTC pumps coming in although it is looking like people are starting to realise some profit now.
Entry Conditions:
- Bearish Divergence
- 200EM Daily Rejection
- Ascending Wedge Breakdown
- Bearish CME Gap
- Bearish Weekly Pivot
ZYME - broke up from baseZYME peaked @ 59 in Jan2021 and had been generally on the downtrend since. It began to bottom around Feb 2022 (after a 90% plunge!) and had been consolidating in a sideway range until the 200 day MA began to come down and flatten out.
Today it gapped strongly out of this range high of 9.28, a possible breakaway gap that will increase the odds of a valid breakout. However, the volume isn't too great at the moment hence the verdict's still out if it will soon retrace to retest neckline 2 (or even to close the gap in the worst case). Hence I will put the initial stop loss just underneath this gap @ about 8.5
The trend is in early days yet, could still be choppy until a stronger trend is apparent.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. I may or may not enter into this trade. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
SPX: Next Support/Resistance levels to watch from here!• The SPX is in a short-term bull trend, doing higher highs/lows, trading above the 21 EMA;
• Its last bottom level was above a dual-support level, made by the 21 EMA and the upper trend line of an Ascending Channel, which SPY did an upwards breakout;
• This dual-support coincides with the 21 EMA in the daily chart, which we nailed as our main support on our previous public study on SPX – link below this post, as usual;
• Everything point to a continuation of the momentum, as we don’t see any meaningful top sign, so far;
• However, if SPX is about to correct, now would be a good time, as it just filled a Gap (3,965), and any bearish reaction in this area would suggest a pullback to the 21 EMA again, at least;
• Since there’s no clear bearish reversal structure, the next resistance on it is the 4,053;
• So far, everything is going according to the plan, and the SPX is behaving as expected. I'll keep you updated on this.
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NIO: The Most Important Support is Here! 👇• NIO is still in a long-term bear trend, however, it is doing an important reaction this week;
• It is confirming a bottom sign, just above the support at $9.40 (Support in Oct 2022, and Gap from Jul 2020);
• Only if it loses the $9.40 I see NIO seeking the purple line below the price, maybe even the $5.70 (Jan 2020 top level);
• However, the recent reaction might jeopardize a bearish sentiment, at least for now. It all depends on how it’ll react in the daily chart:
• Yes, NIO triggered a Bearish Flag, and as far as I know, it is just doing a pullback to the lower purple line again, before another drop;
• If NIO enters the Flag area again, and does a clear bullish structure, it’ll most likely frustrate this bearish pattern, and seek the next resistance in the weekly chart, which could be either the 21 ema or the upper trend line;
• Either way, NIO looks promising. I’ll keep you updated on this.
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VIX Trend As we can see today the SPY bounced up from it's trendline in the morning, breaking out on a major resistance.
Two scenarios can happen tomorrow
#1
VIX bounces from the trendline causing the SPY to go down which would invalidate todays breakout and cause it to come back down. Considering that both the SPY and VIX have an opposite GAP it could go either way.
#2
VIX breaks the trendline and may come down to fill the GAP it has around the marked area. In this case we can confirm that the SPY can move up to fill it's GAP as well.
Trade safe ! I'd love to hear your input and thoughts on this.