BTC - Do you think that flash crash was a test ?BTC - Do you think that flash crash was a test ?
If you did not notice there was a little flash crash today.
I have seen these little test crashes before the big crashes like someone is testing a system.
Maybe they were trying to smash it today and the good Goldman Sachs news ate up the dip or it was a test or signal of things to come.
If these big funds are buying BTC in bulk they must do it everyday which keeps a even stable pressure on the price.
BUT
If they stopped buying for a day or so, like over a holiday weekend, like this weekend the sellers of the current high price who bought bitcoin last March at bargain basement prices could sell it today for a major profit and pay the lower long term capital gains rate.
Now consider that APRIL 1st is April fools day.
It also will allow the funds to buy cheaper bitcoin when they come back from the Easter break as they are putting it on their purchasing schedules so they sell it to their clients once Goldman and others allow their customers to buy BTC.
I will post the BTC monthly chart below and you will see we have had 6 months in a row of green candles.
This has not happened for many many years, there usually is a red monthly candle in there somewhere, and we have yet to see one.
Personally I would love to buy BTC for under 50K one last time.
This is not financial advice it is more of a conspiracy theory than a sound financial plan.
Enjoy your long weekend people.
I will be adjusting my Altcoin buys to a much lower price just for the weekend because - hey, why not.
Then back to Dollar cost averaging next week.
Gap
FSLY LongSideway Consolidation in uptrend
Near bottom
Breakaway Gap,
Possible double bottom
Entry 68
Stop 58
Target 120
I am not a PRO trader. I trade option to test my trading plan with small cost.
The max Risk of each plan is less than 1% of my account.
If you like this idea, please use SIM/Demo account to try it.
AMC: What if it reverses? Some scenarios to work with!Hello traders and investors! Let’s study AMC again! Since our last analysis, AMC hit our target at $ 9.93, and it almost triggered the Harami pattern we discussed, which could’ve worked as a great reversal pattern. I do weekly public analyses about AMC, and the link to my last analysis is below this post, as always. Let’s see how it is doing now.
Ok, it didn’t give us a buy in our last analysis, but AMC did a nice buy sign when it did the Bullish Engulfing evidenced in the chart. Good candlestick pattern, with nice volume, but it still not enough to impress me. Now it seems it found a support level at the black line again.
If MC loses this black line, probably it’ll retest the Bullish Engulfing’s low again, and if it loses it, then it’ll seek lower supports, seen only in the daily chart . But before we talk about the daily chart, it is important to notice that AMC has a pivot point at the red line ($11.52), and if AMC breaks it, the $ 14.50 is the first target to work with, and probably the Breakaway Gap will help the price to hit there. Remember: Gaps work as magnets.
Now, the daily chart:
AMC did another Bullish Engulfing in the daily chart as well, closing above the 21 ema, but this pattern appeared in the middle of nowhere. If this pattern appeared near a support level, I would be much happier.
The problem is, if AMC loses the engulfing’s low (both, 1h and 1d charts are the same), the next target will be the $ 5.22 . But if it triggers the pivot in the 1h chart, the $ 14.50 is the first target, but AMC could seek the $ 20.36 as well, depending on the strength of the movement.
Although AMC didn’t trigger any buy for us (not one that I find good enough, at least), I agree that the R/R ratio is good, and AMC could fly again. But it is too soon to buy it.
And we’ll keep AMC on our radar! If you liked this idea, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my free analysis, and if it helped you, remember to support it with your like!
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NIO: Is this sell-off for real?Hello traders and investors! Let’s talk about NIO today.
First, NIO lost downwards the Descending Channel we discussed in our last study, so it just resumed the bear trend until the next support level. And as usual, the link to my previous analysis is below this post.
The $ 35 area is interesting, as NIO filled an open gap , and it found a support there too (black line). When a stock is near a support level, the Risk/Reward ratio usually is very high, and if NIO reacts around here would be an amazing sign.
Now, let’s see the daily chart:
Let me be clear: The trend is bearish, and we have no clear reversal sign ahead. But I’m very curious about the volume seen in the past days. During the entire last bear leg, after it found a top around the 21 ema at the $ 46.28 (black line), it dropped with a very low volume. And when it started to get closer to the $ 35 area the volume started to increase again. What’s more, Friday’s bullish reaction had a higher volume than usual.
Usually, this indicates that this is not a real sell-off , but since NIO is quite weak and we have no reversal sign ahead, there’s nothing interesting to do. But I agree that if we see any bullish sign this week, it could offer a brilliant buy opportunity for everybody who wants to buy NIO or increase position, as the R/R ratio is very high.
Let’s see how NIO will play out in the next few days, and remember to follow me to keep updated about our daily studies, and if you liked this idea, please, support it!
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every April Intuit gains 10, 20% maybe 30% this yearEvery April Intuit gains 10, 20% maybe 30% this year.
There is a gap and it can be filled
every gap in intuits chart has been filled since 2017.
this might not be filled as it is far down thee
but
the charts say the price is ready to drop.
Short term bearish long term bullish
I will set a ladder buy from 365-325 in increments of $5 down to the gap.
AMC: Hit our target (again)! Any reversal sign ahead?Hello traders and investors! AMC is doing some very interesting and technical movements recently. Since our last analysis, it did a downwards breakout from the Trap Zone , and it hit our target today. The link to our previous public study is below this post, as usual.
Now, AMC hit our target and it is near a support area . In the 1h chart we have the $ 9.93 area, which seems to be working, but we have even more support levels in the daily chart. But before we talk about the daily chart, we have a few things to keep in mind.
First, it lost our Trap Zone by doing a Breakaway Gap , which is a quite powerful pattern. When this happens, we usually see a very strong movement next, and it was almost certain that it would hit our target.
Now, it seems AMC is trying to do a Harami , a candlestick pattern that in normal circumstances has a random chance of working as a reversal, but when it is near a support level, these odds increase. The Harami wasn't triggered yet, so we still must wait. Now to the daily chart:
In our last study, last week, we set a target at the 21 ema and the pink line area (after a downwards breakout of the Trap Zone), and right now, AMC is sitting right at our target. We have no clear reversal sign in the daily chart, but if we see one, it would be a nice opportunity to buy AMC, at a good price, with a great Risk/Reward ratio.
The reaction in the 1H chart is promising, yes, but we have yet to see a confirmation in the daily chart. If AMC triggers any interesting pattern around, the $ 20.36 is the next target to work with . But wait for confirmation!
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CLVS Clovis Oncology has a chart that is peaking my curiosity.Everyone who has eye open is aware of the short situation in some form or another. CLVS has a short float of 41.88% and is headed into support formed by the previous Bullish Gap and Go. Curious if it will fill or support. Anyone have an option? Comment below!
ZOM: Key Points we must keep in mind for the short/mid-term!Hello traders and investors! Let’s talk about ZOM today! It’s been a while since my last analysis, so we have some points to update. And if you missed my last public analysis, the link to it is below, as usual.
First, ZOM reversed the short-term bull trend that we discussed in our last study, shortly after a breakout of a key point at $ 2.34. Now the trend is bearish , as we have lower highs/lows, and the 21 ema is pointing down.
Today, it lost the support level around the $ 1.94 (red line) by doing a gap. If this gap is going to be filled in the next two days, it could be an Exhaustion Gap , and work as a reversal pattern for ZOM.
Now, let’s see the daily chart:
In the daily chart the situation is not as horrible as it looks like in the 1h chart, as ZOM is clearly still inside a congestion . As it is normal in congestions, the price could seek its base and the situation would still be under control. Meaning, ZOM could hit the $ 1.48 again, and this would be a buy opportunity.
Another point worth of noticing is the low volume , which indicates that this is not a real sell-off. If it were, the volume would be higher.
ZOM did a false breakout from the $ 2.25, which was the key point we discussed in our last analysis, as it closed above it, then in the next day it did a classic bearish engulfing , which pushed the prices down.
Now, ZOM needs another clear pattern to reverse the bearish bias, and make it retest the $ 2.90 again. A ny good reaction, with good volume will do. I like the fact that the bullish candlesticks have higher volume than the black candlesticks, on average, in the last few days.
This could indicate a possible rally next; we only need some confirmation. And remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily studies and updates on stocks, and if you liked this idea, remember to support it with your like!
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PLTR: What it takes for it to fly again?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how PLTR is doing today! Since our last analysis, PLTR did a downwards breakout from the dangerous Trap Zone . Now the trend is bearish, as it should be. Let’s see in detail what’s going on.
First, in the 1h chart, PLTR lost the red line at $ 25.18 by doing a gap (yellow area), which was quite surprising. What’s more interesting is that PLTR retested the red line again as a resistance , along with the 21 ema, on March 17, but the price couldn’t sustain at this level. This is an annoying weakness sign.
Now, the trend is clearly bearish, as we have lower highs/lows and the 21 ema is descending and pointing down. But PLTR has a technical target around the light blue line ($ 22.50). Now, let’s see the daily chart:
The problem with PLTR is that we can’t take a movement like this seriously, as the volume is too low, but it seems the $ 22.50 is indeed the next target for PLTR.
But as long as we don’t see any good reaction, with good volume, the bearish bias will persist. We don’t have a good reaction yet, but now that we are near a support level, is the best time to see one.
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PLTR: The decisive moment is coming! Escaping the Trap Zone!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how PLTR is doing today! This one is one of the stocks I have on my radar, and I’ve been following it closely, and we have been doing weekly analyses about it.
In the 1h chart we see that PLTR is inside a Trap Zone , just like several other stocks. A Trap Zone is the area between the previous resistance (in this case the black line at $ 27.45) and the ascending 21 ema, which is squeezing the price within an area that gets tighter as time passes.
At one point, PLTR will be forced to do a breakout, but we just don’t know to which direction it will go. I don’t see a bright future if PLTR does a downwards breakout, as we are already quite close to its support, the red line at $ 25.18.
But if we consider an upwards breakout, the daily chart can offer us more clues:
The area between the gap (dotted line) and the previous resistance at $ 30.25 would work as a natural target if PLTR does an upward breakout from the Trap Zone. The only thing that is missing on PLTR is a nice volume .
In the worst-case scenario PLTR would hit the blue line at $ 22.50 again, while in the best-case scenario it would hit the $ 39.32. I think we can start working with the targets that are closer to us, for now.
What are your thoughts on PLTR? Remember to follow me to keep updated about my daily analyses on stocks, and if this idea gave you a new insight, please, support it with your like!
For more analyses, check the links below.
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NIO: Inside a dangerous "Trap Zone"!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how NIO is doing today!
First, in the 1h chart, we have higher highs/lows, and the price is trading above the 21 ema, a clear trait of a short-term bull trend . In order to keep going up, it must defeat its first challenge, at $ 46.28, which is the next pivot point .
We can say that NIO is inside the famous “ Trap Zone ”, between the ascending 21 ema and the previous resistance at the black line. The 21 ema is squeezing the price in a tighter area as time passes, and at one point, NIO will be forced to do a breakout. The question is, to what direction?
In the 1h chart an upwards breakout seems more plausible, as we have an open gap (yellow area), and the next target would be the $ 50.40. But we must be aware of the daily chart:
The problem is, the $ 46.28 is not only a pivot point in the 1h chart, but it is near the 21 ema in the daily chart, and the trend is still bearish in this timeframe. If we have enough bearish patterns around this resistance zone, NIO could easily drop again to the $ 38 area.
The volume decreased in the past few days, indicating that the players are waiting for more signals here, before jumping into any conclusion.
For now, we must watch NIO closely and see how it’ll behave after a breakout from this Trap Zone. And remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates and studies on stocks! And if this idea helped you to see something new in this chart, please, support it with your like !
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AAL: Anxious about it? Here's how to proceed!Hello traders and investors! Let’s analyze AAL again! In this analysis, I’ll share some exit strategies you can use on it.
Ok, as we have been saying since my first analysis, in the end of January, AAL finally hit its natural target at $ 22.80, and it is trading even above it today! My analyses on AAL were all public, and the link to them are below this post, if you are curious.
How to proceed now? Well, it is not a buy opportunity at all. Now it is time for those who bought it under $ 17 start to think about booking their profits. Since it defeated the target at $ 22.80, this could be your stop-gain , and if AAL loses this support, then you may sell it. Another key point is the previous gap, which we still don’t know its type. If it is an Exhaustion Gap , it’ll be filled quickly, today or tomorrow, indicating a sharper pullback ahead. Use it in your favor too.
Or, if you have the stomach for it, wait for a clear reversal sign , like a lower high/low to book your profits, and buy it back when it hits the 21 ema in the daily chart. Speaking of daily chart:
Another exit strategy is a trailing stop , and you may book your profits if AAL loses the previous day’s low. For instance, if tomorrow it loses the $ 24.21 (today’s low, so far), then just sell it.
Again, pullbacks are opportunities to buy when a stock is in a clear bull trend. Don’t buy now, near a top level, and if you want to buy, wait for it to get closer to the 21 ema or one of its supports again.
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AMC: Next Key Points we all must keep in mind!Hello traders and investors! Let’s talk about AMC today! It did some very technical movements, and it is about time to update you since my last analysis (the link to it is below, as usual).
In my last analysis we discussed the two most important key points for AMC, the black line at $ 7.63 and the purple trendline . Well, AMC respected again the $ 7.63 as a support level before it defeated the purple trendline, triggering a buy sign.
What’s even more curious is that it did break the trendline by doing a Breakaway Gap (yellow area), which is a very powerful sign. A Breakaway Gap is a gap that defeats a support or resistance, in this case, it defeated the trendline and the 21 ema.
Now, AMC is doing a pullback to the 21 ema, which is normal and expected. Let’s see the daily chart for more clues:
We already talked about how the bulls were in the control of this situation, thanks to our reading of the volume , and the movement seen this week reinforces this idea. The volume is increasing, as the price goes up, all according to the 5th Tenet of the Dow Theory: The Volume Must Confirm the Trend . When we combine our typical Price Action style with a good reading of the volume, we have all the tools we need to trade well.
But what now? Pullbacks to the 21 ema are expected, and I believe we’ll see one, but since it did break the bearish sentiment, we can expect it’ll fill the gap at $ 12.91 (red line). If AMC will fly again or not, we don’t know. It feels it is too late to buy it (the good buy was around the $ 7), but if it breaks the $ 12.91, it’ll trigger a Cup & Handle chart pattern, and AMC could easily seek the $ 20 again.
This stock is harder to read now, but soon it’ll do something interesting again. And if you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily studies, and to support this idea with your like!
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PLTR: Complete Analysis (Hourly/Daily/Weekly charts).Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how PLTR is doing today, and do a complete Multi Time Frame Analysis (MTFA) by looking at the hourly, daily and weekly charts!
This stock dropped sharply in the past few weeks, but right now it is doing something interesting. For the first time, it is breaking the bearish bias seen since it started its fall around the green line ($ 37.95), as we see higher highs/higher lows. This movment is natural, and not surprising at all, as we already discussed in my previous analysis, last week ( link below).
What’s more, the 21 ema is pointing up, and the price is above it. We can assume it’ll reverse the bearish sentiment seen in the daily chart as well.
The bias is still bearish in the daily chart, but if the 1h chart persists in its bullish sentiment, then the trend will eventually reverse in the daily chart too. What are the main challenges PLTR has right now?
First, the 21 ema, which might offer resistance today or tomorrow. Second, the volume is still quite low, so, looking at the daily chart some people might not be entirely convinced by it.
Aside from that, if PLTR keeps trading at this level until the end of this Friday, the weekly chart could be very interesting:
At any moment the bears could make PLTR trade under the 21 ema and the 61.8% Fibonacci’s Retracement , and this is interesting. Clearly, this combination makes a very strong support level.
In fact, PLTR did a very powerful Hammer candlestick pattern last week, with a nice shadow under the candlestick’s body, a good thing when we talk about Hammers. And this week we have a Bullish Engulfing (so far), making the situation quite bullish.
Now, the 50% retracement may work as a support, but I believe the 38.2% level is more interesting, as it is exactly at the same price level where it would fill a gap.
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The Gap Up (1)Stock price has a gap up, how to confirm it is a true break out or a false break out? Maybe a tight consolidation is a method.
Tips:
This is forex, not a stock. But the tips should apply as well.
Before the gap 2017 May, there were several times the price tried to challenge the resistance line.
Once gap up, a false break out then followed by a tight consolidation, can say the resistance became support.
After the consolidation, price broke out using a way called red three soldier.Then the second break out can be treated as buy hint.
ValeroLast time price got close to the gap zone, it fell away quickly.
This time, price can't be pushed away. If we chew up all the sell orders before running out of bullish momentum we should break right through the gap zone.
The energy sector has been strong and should help pull it up. See the strong correlation to oil prices at the bottom of the chart.
TSLA: Will it reverse? Key Points to keep in mind!Hello traders and investors! Let’s talk about Tesla today!
In the 1h chart, Tesla is trading above the 21 ema, which is a good sign, and seems it found a bottom there, as it can’t close under it. We have a bear trend in this chart, with clear lower highs/ lower lows, but tesla is showing some early signs of reversal.
First, it filled the last gap quickly, making it an Exhaustion Gap (just like NIO did, and you may check my last analysis on NIO in the link below, I explain better how Exhaustion Gaps are formed there). But Tesla doesn’t have higher highs yet , but it has higher lows. That’s a start, but the situation will change if Tesla defeats the $ 718 (black line), which is a Pivot Point .
Now let’s see the daily chart:
I only wish Tradingview’s chart was right, as Tesla didn’t hit the $ 872 yesterday. Anyway, Tesla hit a support level around the $ 618 and it is bouncing back up. The $ 745 is a resistance for Tesla as well, but I find the volume very good now. Since Tesla crashed last week, the volume increased, and this is a good sign.
The problem will be the 21 ema, as it’ll also work as a resistance. But if Tesla defeats these points, nothing will hold it until the $ 821. It could go even higher, but let’s proceed carefully.
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NIO: What would take for a Reversal to occur?Hello traders and investors! It’s been a while, but let’s talk about NIO today!
The stock dropped a lot recently, which is not necessarily concerning, as we are talking about a systemic drop, but still, very annoying. The thing is, NIO is doing some reversal signs in the 1h chart.
First, it filled a gap, which was an Exhaustion Gap. We know it was an Exhaustion Gap because: 1 – It was filled quickly; 2 – It appeared just before NIO retests the $ 42.10, which is a support level; 3 – We already have several gaps in the middle of the bearish leg (yellow areas), when this happens, at one point, we’ll have signs of exhaustion, and an Exhaustion Gap usually appears.
Yes, the bear trend is getting weaker, but it didn’t reverse yet. We must see NIO doing higher high/higher low . Yes, we are near a support level, and it didn’t lose the $ 42.10, but we don’t have any higher high. So, the $ 50.40 is the Key Point here, and if NIO defeats it, we may finally see a reversal in the 1h chart.
In the daily chart, we see that NIO reacted very well last week, when it retested the $ 42.10. Until then, the volume was low (under the 21 ma I always like to put in the Volume), and now, when it retested the support level, the volume increased again.
This could indicate that there are people buying NIO, simply because the Risk/Reward ratio makes sense. Yesterday’s earnings report did bring some volatility, but this is not going to affect the mid/long term perspectives for NIO.
Let’s see if NIO will manage to reverse the bearish sentiment around it, and if you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my updates on NIO and other stocks! And please, support this idea if it helped!
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