AFTERPAY - NEW ATH or 50% RETRACE?AFTERPAY (ASX:APT) New ATH or in need of a retrace (A sign of darker times ahead though IMO)
3 Scenarios to play out in the next week.
1: Now that we have popped back into long term uptrend and with the amount of people using the service due to Covid-19 (with no end in site) $50 mark looking very achievable.
-Current Support holding
-Bouncing off long term Uptrend Trendline
-Covid-19 still taking its toll on the world
-Fib Extension 1.272 within Rising Wedge
-New ATH territory
-Volume still present in the market
2: After a 440% run wheres the retrace?? Is now the time? (Short Term Retrace)
-440% run without a retrace
-Covid-19 Restrictions 'Softening'
-MACD Death Cross inbound
-RSI Overbought Territory
-Fib Retrace .236 within reach
-Parabolic Uptrend will crack
-Healthy market run needs good market structure
3: A larger retrace is required
- Punch through the Fib .236 and head for the .382 & Strong Equilibrium
-Fill GAP between .236 - .382
-MACD Cross and Spread
-Crack RSI uptrend
-New Market Structure will form LL, LH
-Parabolic trend will break
A Revolutionary Company that was founded 5 Years ago. with over 40,000 Merchants Worldwide and 7 million users and GROWING, Afterpay has smashed the market post Covid-19 dump with a full retrace as their platform has capitalised on the state of the Global Economy during this time (Someone had to) with over $250 Million in Revenue (JUNE 2019) in excited to see what the End of Financial Year brings for APT.
These Ideas are NOT 'Financial Advice'!. Scenarios are based off a mixture of TA and Fundamentals current at the time. All IMO GLTAH. Happy Hunting!!!
Gapfill
Holy Grail/ adx gapper/ 80-20 all signals triggeredThis is a triple confirmation on strategies from Streetsmarts...
1. Holy Grail is watching ADX it should be correcting only from uptrend > 30
2. Gap below yesterday's low then reversal recovery in morning at 35.10
3. 80-20 is yesterdays range opened in upper third, and closed in lower third; today's gap down then recovery of yesterdays low, buy > 1st hour bar > 35.25...hold until close or next day
4. technically there's an ABC style correction in a strong uptrend which tips probability that could recover multi-days even if miss low a bit ( call options could be considered if GAPS down to obvious target for C leg...as a re-entry method)
5. 6 days ago was a low, that is also beat > 35.35 showing another reason shorts may 'cover' or take profit...
Knowledge about Gaps trade in market:By keeping 287.62 as stop-loss we can trade in this stock, target 313.49
Because the stock has many gaps we will talk about gaps,
Gaps are areas on a chart where the price of a stock moves sharply up or down, with little or no trading in between.
A gap is produced when on a particular day a certain stock at its lowest price is traded higher, compared to its highest price at which it was traded on a preceding day.
Gaps can provide clues about the price movement.
Remember that not all gaps are genuine, some are phony as well. Genuine or valid gaps occur when the market skips a price level.
Common gaps normally occur in calm and quiet markets, rather trend less markets.
There is a common superstition that “a gap must be closed.” It is further molded into “If space isn’t filled in three days, it will be filled in three weeks, and if it isn’t filled in three weeks, it will be filled in three months, etc.”
Nifty recover after today's storm , Maintain the momentumPositive factors :
1. 2 out of 3 windows are closed
2. Respected the trend line support
3. Piercing candle
4. Slightly closed above 50% retrencement
Negative Factors:
1. 10000 level is psychological support
2. didn't close 3rd window
It was an optimistic effort by bulls, Still the price area slightly vulnerable
it is not favorable for defensive traders, enter once 10035 level gets cross
Nifty from 11 June 2020As expected .. market falling in to fill the gap remaining ..macd and rsi will also show falling market if it falls another 20 points ... it will re-bounce after touching the 9450 level. the fib is a custom made for the market..
-> short position can be taken buy selling OTM calls for the next week ...
-> buy only if nifty crosses 10330 level else short each day
ACB Long Term SetupLooking to fill the lower GAP as well as retest lows. If it can maintain support at that level, might see a nice move to the top.
Apache: Bullish Triangle Below Bearish GapOil driller Apache is the S&P 500’s top performing stock in the second quarter with a gain of more than 150 percent in the last two months.
But it’s also down more than 60 percent from its 2020 high near $34. This may give it more upside potential as the economy reopens from coronavirus.
The oil market is at an interesting crossroads because production is plunging at the same time consumption is set to increase. The Baker Hughes rig count has dropped for 11 straight weeks and is now at the lowest level more than 80 years of history. Global drillers represented by OPEC+ have also shown a commitment to production cuts – at least for now.
APA could be interesting technically and fundamentally. Technically, it’s made a series of higher lows while staying under roughly $13.50. That’s the bottom of its bearish gap from March 9, when coronavirus really slammed the entire energy sector.
Fundamentally, APA is also in the process of a turnaround as management shifts from struggling operations in Texas to newer fields off the coast of Suriname. Traders may want to build positions around these levels and look for the trendline to hold, followed by a potential gap fill. Today’s low could be a price level for risk management.
SANTOS 20% INCOMINGSANTOS (ASX:STO) After a great market Announcement on 28.05 (completing ConocoPhillips Acquisition) we have bounced off support of this ascending wedge and its crunch time. 20% to close the major GAP left by th COVID Crash.
-Respecting Trend of Ascending Wedge (Haven't broken Bearish)
-About to Break Ichimoku Cloud
-RSI not Severely Overbought
-Conversion Line has crossed Base Line back on 21st APR and is still holding spread
-Lagging Line showing us respecting trend but we are approaching a double top
-Testing 100 EMA strongly
Due to the price Mid Major GAP, Still respecting Trend and testing the 100 EMA strongly. I am confident we will see a break through Ichimoku Cloud and close of gap @ 6.51 which is also a Major Resistance area & lines up with -0.27 FIB Extension
Stop loss is below PREVIOUS Structure and Below 0.236 Fib Retracement Level. Risk/Reward sitting at the minimum 2:1
Testing Week for SANTOS.
These Ideas are NOT 'Financial Advice'!. Scenarios are based off a mixture of TA and Fundamentals current at the time. All IMO GLTAH. Happy Hunting!!!
SHRMF entrySome levels I'm watching on $SHRMF. Going to be playing the gap at $1.05
Anything in the light blue box is a buy for me here. Would like to see a rounded bottom over the next month or so, with the price retesting all time highs some time late in the Summer.
ARPO COVID19 News"Aerpio Pharmaceuticals, Quantum to Evaluate Razuprotafib in New Study Under COVID-19 Program"
ARPO getting a lot of PM attention. This has the potential to have a large run. Looks like a gap from 1.50s to the 3.50-4 area. This will be my top watch today.
Dax fills the gap!The German Dax has continued to rise this morning, with the market up another 1.4% and hitting it's highest level in almost 12 weeks.
Price has now filled the gap lower from 6th March and is probing the 61.8% fib retracement.
The market still remains shy of the 200 SMA (≈12000) so long-term trend could be still seen as not positive.
BTC1! - Weekly CME Gap update (05/25)BTC1! futures opens with a small gap (~1.5%) down.
Will we close it or not?
I think we will and it get closed within a week. The previous one was closed one day later.
So, if to trade the gap here, it could be something like long $8800, stop below $8600, target $9-9.1k. Maybe we'll get a big candle in that area and fast rejection off $9100.
Hit the "LIKE" button and follow to support, thank you.
Information is just for educational purposes, never financial advice. Always do your own research.
NASDAQ 5% from record high... potential SELL (GAP FILLED)Hi Traders,
The NASDAQ was 5% from its record highs pre COVID - 19
If you take a look to the left hand side there was a gap in the market which has now been filled.
Yes the FED is printing trillions of USD, however I feel we could be due a sizable pull back across the board.
Bearish divergence on the RSI whilst the market prints new highs.
It has now reached the cap on the channel formation.
My SL is above the channel formation, I have left my take profit open to see how the market reacts tonight.
Any thoughts and comments please let me know below.