Gap closed on Bitcoin futures.With a candle that can be seen as a hammer, the price closed the gap by taking buy orders that were in the majority compared to sells, the candle is evident. In the related analysis I had written that it would be a very useful level, given that gaps often work well as supports or resistances, in this case it has become a very useful support, a perforation of the minimum of this candle would be a sign of weakness, but let's see better the context in which we find ourselves.
At this moment the price of btc is correcting in the medium term (2/3 months), therefore faced with a movement of approximately 88 days, a correction could occur (which has drawn a new high) linked to this cycle, of course if if the scenario changes, the session count would also change. So far the price is moving higher and there is no reason to think otherwise, so my bullish hypothesis or scenario continues to be useful in understanding where we are now. Possible even very violent increases could appear before long, we are at the end of this correction which has not yet given the final blow, the classic strong decline, unless it was this weekly candle which we can call hammer, the last decline of the correction. Now we need caution and above all trust in the trend.
Gapfilled
Exploring Forex Trading's Price Gaps: Opportunities and RisksWithin the realm of forex trading, price gaps emerge as a frequent and remarkable occurrence, distinguished by substantial disparities between an asset's closing and opening prices. These gaps materialize due to an array of factors, encompassing shifts in investor sentiment, alterations in market liquidity, and the dissemination of consequential news. Acquiring a comprehensive understanding of the diverse types of price gaps, their underlying causes, and the implications they carry assumes paramount importance for traders aiming to effectively exploit these market opportunities while astutely managing the associated risks.
Price gaps come into existence when a discernible void arises between an asset's closing price on one trading day and its subsequent opening price on the following day. These gaps manifest in a variety of forms, each embodying distinctive characteristics and wielding implications for traders. Among the common types of price gaps are breakaway gaps, runaway gaps (also referred to as continuation gaps), and exhaustion gaps.
Breakaway gaps frequently manifest subsequent to a period of consolidation or a significant market event. These gaps act as a signal of potential trend alterations, offering traders opportunities to establish new positions in alignment with the emerging market direction.
Runaway gaps, conversely, arise within an established trend, reinforcing its continuity. They serve as a testament to surging market momentum, often propelled by fresh developments or an influx of trading activity. For traders who have already positioned themselves in line with the prevailing trend, runaway gaps provide affirmation and the potential for further profits.
Exhaustion gaps surface towards the conclusion of a trend, heralding a prospective reversal or temporary pause in the prevailing market sentiment. These gaps are frequently accompanied by dwindling trading volume, serving as a cautious indication for traders to reassess their positions and adapt their strategies accordingly.
Comprehending the causative factors behind price gaps is indispensable for traders seeking to decipher their significance and seize potential opportunities. Price gaps can arise due to sudden shifts in investor sentiment prompted by news releases, economic indicators, or geopolitical events. Moreover, market liquidity discrepancies, particularly during periods of low trading activity like weekends or holidays, can contribute to the occurrence of gaps.
Traders must meticulously evaluate the implications of price gaps and remain cognizant of the associated risks. While gaps can furnish lucrative opportunities, they also entail potential challenges. Swift price movements during gap openings can lead to slippage, wherein executed orders are filled at prices significantly divergent from the intended entry or exit levels. Additionally, the scarcity of liquidity during gap periods can yield widened spreads, underscoring the importance of deploying appropriate risk management techniques.
To adeptly navigate price gaps, traders can employ an array of strategies. These may encompass the utilization of gap trading techniques that harness the initial price movement following a gap, or adopting a more cautious approach that awaits confirmation of the market's response before entering a trade. Furthermore, implementing stop-loss orders and trailing stops can help mitigate risks associated with adverse price movements.
Do Gaps Always Close?
The closure of gaps in trading is not guaranteed, but statistical data suggests that gaps are closed at least 70% of the time, particularly when looking at weekly gaps. However, it's important to note that not all assets reach such closure levels. Among currency pairs, EUR/JPY, GBP/EUR, and GBP/JPY tend to exhibit a higher tendency to compensate for price gaps.
Exhaustion gaps are generally considered the most reliable for closure trades. When attempting to forecast gap closure, it is advisable to analyze the technical chart patterns alongside the fundamental background. If there is a divergence between these factors, it may be wise to exercise caution and refrain from engaging in active trading. In such cases, it is recommended to rely on the forecasts of other instruments to shape the overall trading outlook.
Gaps can pose risks for traders in certain situations:
1) Small trading deposits: If a trader is operating with a limited deposit that does not allow for position insurance when faced with significant and unfavorable price gaps, it can be risky. Insufficient funds to cover potential losses from a large gap can result in substantial financial consequences.
2) Lack of proper risk management: If a trader fails to set appropriate stop-loss levels or neglects to place them at all, particularly when holding positions over the weekend where gaps commonly occur, it can leave them exposed to significant losses if the market moves against their forecast.
3) Random price gaps in low time frames: Gaps that appear sporadically in lower time frames can be misleading and confusing. To avoid making impulsive decisions based on such signals, it is important to synchronize the analysis with fundamental events and consider incorporating technical indicators into the trading strategy.
Traders who pursue short-term trading with small profit goals are particularly susceptible to the risks associated with price gaps. Even a small gap can lead to losses for this category of traders, as their profit margins may be narrow.
In contrast, mid-term and long-term traders typically have less concern about the impact of gaps. Their trading strategies aim for larger profit targets, often spanning hundreds or thousands of points, where the impact of a single gap of a few tens of points is relatively insignificant.
Using Price Gaps In Trading Practice:
Price gaps can be utilized in trading practice using market and pending orders to take advantage of potential opportunities. Considerations such as the probability of closure, gap size, and time frame are taken into account.
For instance, in a 30-minute time frame, if a price gap of at least 20 points is observed at the market opening, the price tends to move within the gap for the first half-hour due to inertia.
In the case of a bullish gap, a market order to buy can be placed, while the Take Profit level can be determined using additional analysis tools. Similarly, for a bearish gap, a sell order can be activated.
If a gap appears against the prevailing trend, the likelihood of the gap closing increases. In such scenarios, pending orders like Buy Stop for an uptrend or Sell Limit for a downtrend can be effective.
One of the challenges is setting an appropriate Stop Loss. Take Profit levels can be adjusted, considering factors such as the Friday closing level, slightly above it, or at local peaks (maximum or minimum) observed on Friday.
It is crucial to exercise caution and consider risk management techniques when trading based on price gaps. Traders should thoroughly analyze market conditions, employ suitable order types, and carefully determine their entry and exit levels to optimize trading outcomes.
In conclusion , price gaps in forex trading serve as important indicators of market dynamics and present potential opportunities for traders. By analyzing the type of gap, incorporating support and resistance levels, and utilizing technical indicators and candlestick patterns, traders can make informed decisions to capitalize on these market phenomena. It's essential to note that gaps do not always close, and traders should be mindful of this fact. To enhance trading strategies, it is beneficial to align technical analysis with fundamental factors and consider the broader market context. Caution should be exercised, especially when trading with smaller deposits and during periods of increased market volatility, in order to manage the risks associated with price gaps effectively. By incorporating thorough analysis and risk management techniques, traders can navigate price gaps with greater confidence and optimize their trading outcomes.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/26/2022 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2022
- PR High: 11921.25
- PR Low: 11882.25
- NZ Spread: 87.00
Evening Stats (As of 1:35 AM)
- Weekend Gap: = +0.23% (filled)
- Session Open ATR: 438.32
- Volume: 39k
- Open Int: 248k
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From ATH: -29.25% (Rounded)
! Hovering over -30% from ATHs !
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 14105
- Mid: 12960
- Short: 11480
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Bitcoin CME GapsThe “Bitcoin CME Gap” is the difference between the trading price of a CME Bitcoin futures contracts when the market opens on Sunday, and when it closes on Friday.
In 77% of these cases the retracement occurs in the subsequent week, before the next CME market open.
No matter which type of trader you are, never forget: “mind the gap”.
Venkeys Daily Chart ResistanceThis is a pretty important resistance for Venkeys. The stock has a tendency to retest 1000 levels. The last time such a retest happened, it broke out of an upper circuit spree. This time around, the candles do not inspire confidence as the most recent three indicate a fair bit of choppiness. Volumes appear to be fairly good and momentum seems sufficient to breach resistance, too. However, it remains to be seen how the stock will react given broad-market cues. As a frozen foods stock, demand should hopefully remain evergreen, with production ramping up due to Unlock 1.0.
Once this resistance is breached, we might see a slowdown at 1330 or so.
Update: 1 gap down left and a few gaps up $TSLA Update on my previous idea: the gap up has been closed, 2 gaps down have been closed with more gaps up created.
We are closing in on the 3rd gap down which also coincide with the golden 0.618 fib and will very likely be closed next week.
I'm expecting a rebound in the days leading to the Q1 delivery numbers announcement with maybe the date given for battery day the last week of March too.
Bonus added: a gap even lower from October that could be closed as most countries already in hidden recession are now closing everything to prevent the virus from spreading and trying to flatten the curve.
AMRN - Getting That Heart PumpingAmarin had a gap down on July 18th that created an Island Reversal pattern. The stock saw another gap down on August 9th. AMRN has pulled back a couple of times after filling the gap creating a double-bottom & a base for the stock. Once again the stock price is testing the top of this fill level but with stochastics reading overbought I would expect another pullback. However, there is a bit of a bullish divergence in price to RSI noted on the chart.
If we can see the next pullback be shallow, falling to around $15.50 - $16 before the next bullish move then I would be looking for an eventual breakout with prices rising to $20. There is another gap above that could lead to $21 in the future.
Facebook using gap as support! +VolTechnicals
Facebook has filled the gap and the 50SMA, now its top is working as support. --- Bull
The yellow rectangle I drew on the bottom wick of today oct.18.19, has an above volume average. --- Bull
Details to enter position
Enter: 185
Stop: 175.4
Sell: 204
RRR: 2:1
* Check out my previous analysis right before the gap (linked)
Gap filled. Time to buy??ROKU has been slaughtered over the last couple weeks. Is it time to buy for at least a bounce? I'm leaning towards yes... but I haven't really gotten an entry reason.
ROKU fell more than 40% from wick to wick on the candlestick chart. That's pretty incredible... however, they have had a tremendously good year. I'm not saying they will go up and retest their all time highs, but why not make a little money off a bounce that is bound to happen at some point. That some point might be now.
The "Fix" is juuuuust about in...SFIX Stitch Fix is one of my faves, and I am a customer as well. if you haven't tried it yet, I would definitely advise. Very nice service. Anyway, technically speaking I am looking for a repeat of history from the last time the 125 MA support was lost. Then it retraced back up to flirt with it as resistance until meeting its short term downtrend resistance intersection, then came back down for the glorious rebuy zone for the long. Shortly thereafter was liftoff. So, I went ahead and bought Aug 16th C27 today for this short, small move back to resistance. Then I will sell, and wait for the dip to my rebuy zone, at which point I will go ahead with a Dec call, most likely the 30 strike depending on what premium is at that time. In addition to above reasons, today officially filled the gap left from the last time it blasted off due to its earnings report, so we should be free now to move on up. Happy hunting and GLTA!!
Symmetrical triangle on Bitcoin CashThere is a symmetrical triangle on bitcoin cash at the moment. The highest volume candle is denoted by the dotted light blue line, this point is used to reference the peak width of the triangle. If this symmetrical triangle was to break out to the upside, the price objective would be ~400. Since this symmetrical triangle came from a downtrend from a top, the price objective of the symmetrical triangle including the pole from the down trend would be 155 which is seen in the light blue box (the light blue box includes the price objective if only the triangle was valid, so the upper price of the box is the price objective of the triangle), but there is strong support due to the gap around in the mid 300's so it is extremely possible that this price objective isn't hit.
No matter what direction this breaks out, this would be a solid trade. Look for a break out and consolidation on the upper or lower bounds of the triangle, or look for a spring or upthrust in the pattern. A low volume spring is very bullish and a high volume upthrust is very bearish. Crudely drawn are some examples of what to look for.
Upthrust: Bull Trap
Spring: Bear Trap
Gap Filled! The Bull Train Ready to Leave the Station?The gap we cautioned about on the S&P 500 Index is now filled! Time to get on the bull train?
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Monstrous Profits Double Top Gap Fill120 pips total
80 from top of second high 40 from the retest of neckline
This is the text book M formation/double top, a scalp trade turned swing trade
Take note of the psychological resistance level as well
The hanging man in London, the drop in NY, retest of neckline and complete the gap fill in Tokyo
Beautiful trade
Basic candle stick pattern, basic double top formation, and the gap was filled