Gaps tend to fillFFIE has been destroyed and shorted the past year as they ran into funding issues for the production of their new car. Now that we have clear funding and a production date, I expect our gaps to fill. Many larger institutions sold out of positions last year with the pressure of the declining stock and took losses. I expect our gaps in the low 2's to FILL.
Gaps
Types of Gaps !!!👨🏫Hello👨🏻🏫, dear traders from all over the world🗺️.
I'm Pejman🙋🏻♂️ & welcome🌸 to one more educational adventure🧭 in Tradingview, but we will not be traders💹 today; We want to look at our charts like a hunter🏹.
We look for every clue🐾 we see so that we can hunt suitable positions💱 like valuable creatures💰 and transfer them to the cages as our accounts💳 or wallets💸.
Although I'm not too fond🙍🏻♂️ of hunting, either legally or illegally.
But I know that hunting good positions in the forests🏞️🌳 of Tradingview is not prohibited😉❗.
So let's get acquainted with these clues🔎 as soon as possible because the price is skittish🙈, and we don't want to waste the hunting time⏳✅.
I said that in Technical Analysis , we look for ways to trade by using the price information, which is recorded on the charts📈. (such as the prey's tracks🔎🐾)
Today I want to introduce one of these clues so that you can become a professional position hunter🏹 by identifying the clues👀;
But don't forget that you should practice🙌🏻, be careful⚠️, and watch your positions👀, so you don't miss them or rush 🏎️💨to the wrong❌ position🙂.
Today's clue is the GAPS . First, let's see what the GAP is🤔.
The gap is nothing. I mean, it is something that is nothing😶🙄.
It is incredibly paradoxical💥! I'm kidding😉, but the space between candles🕯️ or bars is called a GAP.
A gap is created when we see👀 a price gap between two candles🕯️ or bars when the trading volume is high⏫ or low⏬. This difference or space between two candles is called a gap🤏🏻.
It is said that gaps are more valuable✅ in higher time frames among the traders, so much coin, much care👀.
Gaps, or as the Japanese🎌 term "windows," are significant for hunting🏹 positions, so as hunter traders, we should learn these gaps well👌🏻.
The reason🧐 for creating gaps can be factors such as important positive🆒 or negative🙈 news or an increase🔺 or decrease🔻 in supply and demand.
It is interesting to know that gaps are primarily seen in Forex , Stocks , and Commodities (especially when markets close and open).
The space👌🏻 between the candles means that the price has jumped like a rabbit🐰 from one number to the upper☝🏻 different number.
Or, like a monkey🐒, it moved from one number to a lower👇🏻 number.
I tried to make it funny😊 and straightforward👌🏻, but these gaps that move up or down have different types, like the year's seasons🌈☁️.
We have 4️⃣ seasons in a year and also 4️⃣ types of gaps in the charts.
According to personal taste😊, I relate the gaps to the year's seasons and, simultaneously, do not forget the case of hunting positions🏹💰.
So fasten your seat belts💺 because we want to travel in time🧳⏳ to all the year's seasons with this post🚩 and learn about the different price gaps, which are one of our clues🐾 to trap positions🪤.
Let's start with the autumn🍂 season because we are still in it and can understand it better😌.
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The name of this type of Exhaustion 🥱 gap.
They are seen at the end🔚 of a process, which means that the process may change🔄 at any moment.
Just like the autumn🍁 season, it may rain☔ anytime after seeing the clouds🌥️.
Another feature of this gap is the increase🆙 in trading volume, so by paying attention👀 to these points and practicing by reviewing the charts📈, you can easily recognize🔎 this gap.
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The next💁🏻♂️ gap is the Breakaway 🏃🏻♂️ gap.
The breakaway gap is associated with an increase⤴️ in trading volume.
This gap occurs when a critical range is broken🤞🏻, representing a strong💪🏻 start🏁 trend or a sign of trend change.
Like the blooming🏵️ of some trees🌳 in winter☃️ or the sprouting🌱 of plants from under the snow❄️.
Also, This gap is created when the price starts moving from a limited area, like support or resistance ( I'm going to talk about them in the future😉. )
I have to say that the breakaway gap plays a critical👌🏻 role in some of the classic reversal patterns, such as the Head and Shoulders Pattern , Double Top/Bottom Patterns , etc.
When The breakaway gap is combined with Classic Reversal Patterns, the breakaway gap adds to these patterns' validity✅.
If you want to get acquainted with the most important Classic Reversal Patterns of Technical Analysis , I suggest you read the following post👇.
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Now it's time for spring🌸🍀, and I'm going to introduce a gap like spring.
Spring season is a sign✌🏻 of the continuation of life💐, and this gap in technical analysis shows the continuation of a trend📈.
The Continuation gap is also known as a Runaway 🏃🏻♂️ gap, occurring in the middle of a downward↙️ or upward↗️ trend.
This type of gap creates a kind of confidence for traders to enter.
It doesn't occur when the price fluctuates or corrects in a limited area but occurs during a rapid increase or decrease.
So, as a result ☑️, if this gap occurs in an upward trend🔺, it indicates the continuation of the upward movement.
And when it is created in a downward trend🔻, it indicates the entry of more sellers and further price decline.
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Now we have reached✌🏻 the last gap🥰.
This gap is Common , but I should introduce it as the summer☀️ season.
These gaps are very common, And considering the time frame it has, it is expected to fill quickly, which is also called "closing the gap."
The filling or closing of the gap means that the price returns🔁 to the same area where the gap was created, like a criminal returning to the crime scene😄.
This can be true✅ for gaps as well.
Time flies in summer🏝️, and Common and Exhaustion 🥱gaps fill as soon as a blink👁️.
You may have heard👂🏻 that gaps are always filled, but this is not permanent🙅🏻♂️ and only a strong possibility🤏🏻.
For example, Continuation 🏃🏻♂️ & Breakaway gaps usually take a long time⌛ to fill.
But what if the gap doesn't close🤷🏻♂️?
Go to any currency pair and examine👀 the recorded data🗄️; You will find that many gaps take a year or more to close.
It is interesting😃 to know that the Japanese🎌 have another interpretation of the price gap.
They use gaps as continuation and reversal trading patterns (as I said, I'll explain them in future posts🔜😉).
It is interesting to know that the combination of gaps can create the Island reversal pattern.
The Island pattern consists of two gaps ; One up⬆️ and one down⬇️.
We will definitely✅ learn more about these patterns in the following posts🔜, but today we are only focusing on the gaps🧐.
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Another thing I want to add➕ is about the Heikin-Ashi charts💹 that we learned about in the previous post🔙.
Gaps are filtered❌ in Heikin-Ashi charts.
As I said, in this chart, the average is displayed between two✌🏻 consecutive candles; even candlestick patterns are filtered❌.
So, the type of chart is also essential👌🏻 for finding gaps.
Well, I gave you the basic tips to identify these gaps🤏🏻, and now you can carefully look👀 for them in your charts💹.
Practice this information for a bit, as I will be back soon🔜 with an educational post👨🏻🏫 on how to trade💰 with these gaps.
If you have any questions❓, you can ask me💬.
We will get acquainted with new clues🔎 in new posts, so until that day, take care of your knowledge📊 and increase it every day📈, because according to Kofi Anan:
Knowledge is power💪🏻, and information is liberating. Education📚 is the beginning of progress in every society🏙️, in every family👨👩👧👧.
I hope you become stronger🙌🏻 daily by using your knowledge, and I will also increase your progress by teaching you the introduction.
I wish🙌🏻 you happiness, health😍, and success😎.
Market Bias & Top Stock Watches - 12/5/2022Bias: Bearish Chop
Top Watches: Long - NIO, TCOM, ATVI, DVN. Short - CPNG, SWN, BAC, TSLA.
Follow @JLaing for daily review/bias of the market and top stock watches for day trading every morning!
Tune in to my livestream every morning from 9:15 - 10:30 ET to see real live trading and get a more thorough review of my top watches!
Big move in VXX brewingWhat we have here is a very LOOONG pennant on VXX. We already had the breakout back in September and since then have created a whole pennant for the retest of the breakout. From how things look now, the apex of the smaller pennant is due to breakout no later than November 22. The yellow rectangles are gaps within the price action. The retest has a gap to be filled and the breakout target is RIGHT at the gap fill of the second from bottom gap. Breakout target for VXX is $27.30
Combine this chart with what I just recently shared on SPY, shows there are darker days ahead.
Special Gap rules on DRV are 5/5 so far this yearBased on the 2013 publication of the Journal of Technical Analysis, first article, "Analyzing Gaps for Profitable Trading Strategies," I am noticing that you could have used these following criteria to create 5 profitable trades this year on DRV.
Look for:
A larger green candles,
red candle on day before
Green candle crosses the 10-day moving average
Above average volume
DRV is a bearish, leveraged ETF designed for shorting the U.S. Real Estate market. This might continue to yeild great trades through 2023.
SE ~ Lower Lows incoming? Buying Opp incoming?SE, Sea Limited has been suffering massive losses ever since its peak in the fall of 2021. This massive bull run was led with the Tech & Growth Stock boom that's bubble has recently bursted through out the current Bear Market of 2022!
Sea Limited owns multiple varieties of Business in the South-Eastern Asia Region. Businesses Like :
Shopee - Ecommerce Giant
Garena - Gaming + Esports
& Much more smaller companies
Sea Limited has grown a massive amount of revenue, but has most definitely struggled with its debt and spending to make a profit.
Nonetheless, let's get to Technicals!
SE has suffered such huge losses, many wonder where is the bottom!?
My thesis for this Stock is a short / mid term short position, followed by long term accumilation.
Short : SE has 2 major gaps to still be filled from back before COVID, and the gigantic Rally that took place on SE. I see huge potential for this company's future growth, but I think more downside is to come to give SE fair value.
Along with fair value, and these gaps SE has been unable to reclaim any weekly moving averages, and the TTM_SQUEEZE Momentum Indicator shows more bearish momentum coming.
The monthly chart will get to the point of being oversold, probably near these gap fills. At these gap fill areas, and the way down would be a proper time imo to be covering short positions.
The market also seems to have some more pain ahead, and interest rates will only hurt this company and the markets more, driving the stock down fundamentally.
Long : I do believe in this company's long term outlook and performance. I do think that this will take a while to turn around... But if these gaps get filled, the Risk/Reward on SE will be favorable if the company has only grown. I am going to be extremely patient on SE but will be ready to hunt the discount if these gaps do become filled. I Will also keep my eye on the TTM_Squeeze on the MONTHLY chart, as the Monthly chart has been getting extreme momentum to the bearish side, and will look extremely oversold in the coming months with more downside.
Thesis : Short to Gaps ; Long @ Gap Fills
GBPUSD Intraday BiasGBPUSD
Aug 10 1145H GMT+8
Bias is still Bearish. I expect Dollar index to go higer after US Core Inflation release 0830H EST.
4H Descending Channel is still intact
NY Session yesterday produced a 1H SZ (Supply Zone) and FVG (Fair Value GaP). I'm expecting London Session to fill the gap.
I expect London to take out Sellside Liquidity (Sell Stops) before the rally up the 1H FVG.
If the RR for a long setup is good, take it. Otherwise, wait for a better shorting opportunity at the 1H FVG/SZ. Target is an Longterm Lower Low.
Bullish Cypher/Shark on IntelIntel has Recovered a Downside Gap on the Daily and in the process of doing so has also created a Gap down and left a huge Gap yet to be Recover to the Upside. Suspiciously this has all happned near the Pattern Completion Zone of this Potential Bullish Cypher and leads me to believe that this is where intel will begin a Bullish rally to take us to the $50-$60 area.
The Archegos GapHard rejection from what I call the Archegos Gap.
The Archegos gap is a gap up created in SPY during a rally after the infamous HF collapsed and the FEDs RRP which is still climbing to historic levels.
The gap was finally closed in May, only to open a gap down in June that was just barely filled last Friday before selling off to where we are now.
I had a bullish outlook for tech earnings this month until I realized the indexes are doing the exact same song and dance this quarter as it did in April.
That is to say, a strong market rally off the FED pivot prior to the big ERs.
The FED is desperate to lower inflation which touched even higher during the last CPI print.
Hiring freezes are turning into cuts. SHOP is laying off 10% of its workforce today.
I should have seen it coming because I applied for a position at SHOP a few weeks ago and didn’t even get a callback.
What internet company in their right mind would turn up a chance for an internet engineer with 25 years experience amiright?
I was really hoping 362 was the bottom on SPY, but my sense is there is still more pain to come.
Just don’t expect it to be a straight line down.
Everyone is just starting to fall back on credit.
When you start to see households capitulating and selling their trailers, yachts and over paid homes and used cars is when we can start talking about the bottom being in.
My only open position right now is an OTM short position on SPY@320 for Jan23.
SPX - Gaps to fill?? TVC:SPX Hard to imagine but could we see a fast rally back to 4020 to cover the gaps before the next major sell off.
4020 is the 382 from the March high and also the 707 from the recent June high.
That would get people thinking that the drop is over and we are onto new highs.
Watch these levels over this week.
I hope this helps enjoy the day. 👍👍
$BTC to reverse between 24,100 and 19,800I'be been waiting for this moment to hapen for months. 24,100 was the mark I have Bitcoin reversing and it's finally here. This number is the midpoint between the monthly fait value gap, fills a weekly fair value gap, and is just below a liquidity point and is a daily bullish order block all of those things combined is a sure tell sign of a reversal
see chart for previous reference points, Next stop is 40k
BTCUSD, 12k or 9.6k, volume profile and the bad news bearsVolume profile on INDEX:BTCUSD on monthly chart after cycle up in 2019
The high volume cluster at the bottom is obvious. The POC for the whole profile up to the current price today is in the 9.2k range.
The edge of the high volume cluster is around 12k.
There's plenty of liquidity gaps (fair value gaps, FVGs, whatever you like to call them) between here and there.
Those gaps tend to get filled as supply and demand tends to equilibrium, as we're seeing now and profiting from.
Shorters of the world, unite!
Set your leverage right, TP at 12k, watch for a bounce, then long as we come back up to fill in the gaps some more.