Garden Hose Pattern on a High DY REIT... Hurray for VolatilityNYSE:NLY is a bit less bearish in comparison to the other stocks in its peer group of REIT's with Div/Yield over 10%. You can see this since its P/E ratio (using FFO) is much higher, probably due to consistently high analyst ratings and their various reasons for evaluating it with neutral to positive ratings.
As of recently, it has seen a weakness in volatility. In a triangle pattern, it approaches the 10.11 price point. At this point, the trend will see an arc, and a breakout will occur. Nothing trades flat forever, because every living thing has heat. I call this a garden hose pattern... because it sort of looks like a hose spraying a jet... and because I want to...
Set your price points around 10.11 and look forward to a new wave of volatility. These 3-4 cent daily arc heights are stupid.
The price/book value is a bit high, so I believe this is a good point to see a market correction. I would say my advice would be to short, if I had to guess. There may be some upward momentum left, but it will not sustain for long.
