GBPCHF - In a clear resistance zone GBPCHF is approaching a significant resistance zone. This zone has consistently acted as a key area of interest where sellers regained control, leading to prior reversals. If the price confirms rejection through bearish price action, such as wicks signaling rejection or bearish engulfing candles, I anticipate a move downward toward the 1.12180 level.
However, if the price successfully breaks and holds above the zone, this would invalidate the bearish outlook and could open the door for further upside. Monitor price action closely at this critical resistance area.
Proper risk management is essential, given the possibility of price breaking higher. If you have anything to add or a different perspective, I’d love to hear from you in the comments!
GBP (British Pound)
GBPNZD Technical buy opportunity below the 1D MA50.Last time we looked into the GBPNZD pair (October 02 2024, see chart below), we issued a clear buy signal at the bottom of the long-term Channel Up, that easily hit the 2.1900 Target:
Yet again, the price got rejected at the top of the Channel Up and pulled-back where it is consolidating below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). In the 12 months of this pattern, this has always been an excellent technical buy opportunity, with the minimum immediate rally being +4.15%.
As a result, we feel confident buying this pair and target 2.2550.
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EURGBP - Weak Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURGBP has been bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern in blue.
Currently, EURGBP is approaching the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the orange structure and upper blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURGBP is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBP/CHF Breakout Riding the Bullish Wave of the Cup and HandleThe chart for GBP/CHF on the 2-hour timeframe highlights a classic cup-and-handle pattern, a well-recognized bullish continuation setup. The rounded bottom of the cup indicates a period of accumulation, while the subsequent handle reflects a minor retracement and consolidation phase. This pattern suggests a strong potential for upward momentum as buyers regain control and push prices higher.
Key support and resistance levels are clearly defined. The rounded bottom has established firm support at 1.1130, while the handle retracement respected the 1.1198 level, reinforcing it as a critical short-term support zone. The neckline of the cup pattern, now serving as a breakout point, is around 1.1204. If bullish momentum continues, the price is likely to test resistance levels at 1.1270 and further extend towards 1.1350.
The chart also shows dynamic support and resistance through moving averages or bands, with the recent transition to green indicating strengthening bullish momentum. These indicators are acting as a trailing support zone, adding further confidence to the long position.
The long position was initiated at the breakout above the handle consolidation, confirming bullish intent as the price reclaimed the neckline at 1.1204. The stop loss is strategically placed below the handle retracement at approximately 1.1190 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The initial target is set at 1.1270, aligned with Fibonacci extensions and resistance zones, while an extended target lies near 1.1350, suggesting significant upside potential.
Cup-and-handle breakouts typically align with increasing volume during the breakout phase, confirming the strength of the move. Traders are advised to monitor price action closely near key resistance levels to gauge the sustainability of this bullish trend.
The setup presents a disciplined and well-calculated bullish breakout strategy. The technical indicators, pattern formation, and risk management align to support a strong upward move, provided market conditions remain favorable. This chart reflects a clear opportunity for traders aiming to capitalize on the continuation of bullish momentum.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?GBP/CAD is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 1.7827
1st Support: 1.7663
1st Resistance: 1.7985
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?GBP/AUD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.9486
1st Support: 1.9362
1st Resistance: 1.9722
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price drop from here?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8434
1st Support: 0.8391
1st Resistance: 0.8473
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into overlap resistance?GBP/CHF is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.1248
1st Support: 1.1190
1st Resistance: 1.1297
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBP/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.104 level.
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GBPUSD Is Nearing The Daily Trend!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.24000 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.24000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD Double Bottom to 1.033 before ascentUsing SMC (assuming that this is properly executed), we expect that the price is to hit 1.033 levels before an ascent up to 1.1309 then further down again to 1.067 to 1.0595 then ascend further up to 1.1405 wherein 2 scenarios can happen: A. If 1.14650 breaks, then we can confirm an uptrend or B. If 1.135 does not hold, then we can expect 1.03 to break down to 1.005, now with the possibility of reaching its parity price of 0.967. With the fundamentals backing this up, this TA has a better chance of happening.
Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.2368
1st Support: 1.2236
1st Resistance: 1.2492
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2372
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2474
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2239
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 194.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 197.19
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Take profit: 191.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish rise?GBP/CAD has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.7650
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.7556
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.7821
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPNZD - The pound, at peace?!The GBPNZD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the downward trend continues, we can see the demand zone and buy this currency pair in that zone with the appropriate risk reward. The upward correction of this currency pair will provide us with the opportunity to sell it again.
According to Bloomberg, in response to rising borrowing costs, the UK bond market has requested that the government reduce the issuance of long-term bonds next year. During annual consultation meetings held on Monday, traders strongly advocated for a reduction in the maturity of bonds issued for the fiscal year 2025-2026 compared to current levels.
The majority of investors favor increasing the issuance of short-term bonds due to declining demand for long-term bonds from pension funds. The Debt Management Office mentioned in its meeting minutes that the market requires greater flexibility due to “uncertainty.”
The recent rise in UK bond yields has posed new challenges for the government, and these proposals could help the government adapt to the shifts in demand.
As reported by the Financial Times, UK Treasury Minister Rachel Reeves has expressed support for regulatory plans aimed at reducing restrictions on mortgage lending.These plans, which are being reviewed by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), aim to allow banks to take on more risk with mortgage loans, enabling more people to become homeowners.
In an interview with the Financial Times, Reeves stated her willingness to consider the FCA’s proposals for easing mortgage restrictions. She said, “I am fully prepared to explore ideas that can help working families achieve homeownership.”
This week, Reeves traveled to Davos to participate in the World Economic Forum and promote the UK as a prime destination for investment. This effort is part of the Labour government’s strategy to stimulate economic growth, as the UK experienced a recession in the second half of last year.
Given the stringent fiscal rules Reeves has imposed on herself and the decline in business confidence following her decision to raise employer national insurance contributions in the October budget, the Treasury Minister has faced significant political pressure since the start of the year. The Treasury is at the forefront of the government’s efforts to push regulators to introduce growth-enhancing measures. Last week, Reeves met with several UK regulatory officials to gather their ideas on this matter.
Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that the number of job vacancies in the UK decreased to 812,000 in the quarter ending December. Additionally, the economic inactivity rate dropped to 21.6% in the three months ending November.
Traders have increased their bets on an interest rate cut by the Bank of England, expecting a reduction of 64 basis points this year.
Moreover, December data indicates that the UK’s public sector net debt (excluding banking groups) rose to £17.8 billion, up from the previous figure of £11.2 billion. Public sector tax receipts increased to £19.9 billion, a notable rise compared to the previous £13.0 billion. Similarly, central government net debt climbed to £19.9 billion, up from £16.3 billion previously.
Meanwhile, in the latest Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction in New Zealand, the GDT price index increased by 1.4%, while whole milk powder prices rose by 5%.
GBPCHF - Accumulation phase !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in accumulation for the last couple of months, so before a distribution in one of the direction I expect to see a manipulation of buy/sell side liquidity.
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Long GBP/CHF - Wait for Wedge Breakout-GBP/CHF could be on the verse of reversing based on a 1H wedge, if we get a breakout above the trendline, we could go long for a scalp for a test of a 1.1200, reaction there would determine our next step. Wedge is valid with three waves. Wait for breakout to enter.
B setup
Peace
Bearish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.2372
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2474
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2239
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
FTSE (UK100)BIAS: BULLISH
The FTSE(UK100) still ranging between 8400 and 8000... Break range and expect a big move (9K or retest 7800).
That rejection of 8100 makes me bullish bias X 2
If bias was to change
A solid push and resistance found around 8100-8000 would be expected.
Unless specifically timed with a low chance of alteration by external forces, anticipating the exact timing of events is unrealistic.