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GBP (British Pound)

Bullish bounce?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which has been identified as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 0.8377 1st Support: 0.8326 1st Resistance: 0.8461 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Momentum builds in GBP/USD and NZD/USD following tariff delayThe U.S. dollar weakened sharply in recent sessions as President Trump's announcement that the proposed 50% tariffs on EU imports will now be delayed until July 9, giving markets temporary relief. GBP/USD edged toward 1.3600, testing levels last seen three years ago. The RSI sits just under 60, suggesting there’s still room before overbought conditions are reached. Volume has been gradually increasing, potentially reinforcing the strength of the breakout. Risk-on flows also lifted the Australian and New Zealand dollars. NZD/USD has broken above the Ichimoku cloud and rose 0.62% on the day. Price is well above the Tenkan-sen (blue) and Kijun-sen (red), indicating strong upward momentum. However, the pair is pulling back slightly after the sharp breakout, suggesting short-term consolidation.
by BlackBull_Markets
Could the price bounce from here?EUR/GBP is falling towards the support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level too ur take profit. Entry: 0.8373 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 0.8322 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 0.8444 Why we lik eit: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
GBPUSD - One More Leg for Bears to Take Over!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern marked in red. However, it is currently approaching the upper bound of the wedge acting as an over-bought zone. And the $1.365 - $1.375 is a strong resistance zone. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of resistance and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
4
GBPAUD - One More Leg for Bears to Take Over!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPAUD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. However, it is currently approaching the upper bound of its channel acting as an over-bought zone. And the $2.1 - $2.104 is a strong resistance zone. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of resistance and upper blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPAUD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
3
Heading into Fibonacci confluence?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 1.3640 1st Support: 1.3459 1st Resistance: 1.3747 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
GBP/CHF "Pound vs Swiss" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Scalping/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/CHF "Pound vs Swiss" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk ATR & MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe nearest or swing low or high level for pullback entries. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 1H timeframe (1.08300) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 🏴‍☠️Primary Target - 1.11200 (or) Escape Before the Target 🏴‍☠️Secondary Target - 1.12500 (or) Escape Before the Target 💰💵💸GBP/CHF "Pound vs Swiss" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Scalping/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. ☝☝☝ 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets and Overall outlook score..., go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
GBP/AUD - Bullish Channel (22.05.2025)The GBP/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 2.0961 2nd Resistance – 2.1047 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
36
GBPJPY: Weekly overview + Significant zonesHello dear traders, The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone. The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points. I've doubled the short-term channel because it was so thin ;-). * I don't use 189.663 zone to take short! There are too many moving S&R around it. This analysis is valid until the end of the week. ************************************** Important news that could change the direction of the trade: Wed: Great Britain CPI of April.
Long
by AliSignals
GBPUSD: Weekly overviewThe indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone. The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points. * I don't trade the white zone (1.32190), the channel borders and median are so close to it and any breaks below it does not necessarily mean a potential continue in the break direction. My most important zone is the blue one (1.34291). I'm more ready to take short from it. however, the long option is possible if confirmed. This analysis is valid until the end of the week. ************************************** Important news that could change the direction of the trade: Wednesday: Britain CPI
Short
by AliSignals
GBPJPY Channel Down making a Lower High rejectionThe GBPJPY pair rose aggressively since the last time we gave our buy signal (April 11, see chart below), quickly hitting our conservative 109.250 Target: The price has since made a Lower High rejection at the top of the Channel Down but remains supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Once broken and it closes a 1D candle below it, we will have bearish break-out signal. Our Targe will be 185.250, which will be the standard -5.85% decline that all 3 previous Bearish Legs had within the Channel Down. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
3
IS THE BULLISH CHANNEL NEARING EXHAUSTION OR JUST GEARING UP?GBPUSD OUTLOOK – IS THE BULLISH CHANNEL NEARING EXHAUSTION OR JUST GEARING UP? 📊 Macro Overview: The USD continues to soften slightly as markets begin pricing in a potential rate cut by the Fed later in Q3. Meanwhile, the British Pound (GBP) is holding firm, supported by stronger-than-expected UK macroeconomic data—particularly retail sales and inflation figures. However, UK fiscal concerns remain a headwind, and GBPUSD is highly sensitive to upcoming U.S. data—especially Core PCE and employment figures this week. 📉 Technical Analysis: On the 1H chart, GBPUSD is moving within a broad ascending channel and is now approaching the upper resistance trendline at 1.3555 – a key zone that could trigger short-term profit-taking. EMAs 13 and 34 are still in bullish alignment, supporting ongoing momentum. Despite the bullish setup, current candle structure suggests a potential pullback to the 1.3448 support zone before a continuation higher—if buyers regain control. 🔑 Key Price Levels: Resistance Zones: 🔸 1.3555 – Channel top resistance 🔸 1.3586 – Extended resistance zone Support Zones: 🔹 1.3448 – Technical and Fibo confluence 🔹 1.3398 – Major structure support in case of breakdown 🛠️ Trade Scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: BUY on retracement Entry: 1.3448 (watch for bullish confirmation on H1) Stop Loss: 1.3394 Take Profit: 1.3500 → 1.3555 → 1.3585 ✅ Scenario 2: SELL scalp from resistance Entry: 1.3555 Stop Loss: 1.3588 Take Profit: 1.3500 → 1.3460 🧠 Final Thoughts: GBPUSD remains bullish in structure but is testing key resistance levels. A clean pullback to the 1.3448 region may provide a strong buying opportunity if confirmed by price action. If this level breaks, bearish divergence could kick in and push the pair back to deeper support zones. Stay alert for high-impact economic releases and trade with solid risk management!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
5
GBP/USD - Triangle Breakout (23.05.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3502 2nd Resistance – 1.3534 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
64
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support, which is a pullback support. Pivot: 193.76 1st Support: 191.56 1st Resistance: 194.80 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
5
GBP/JPY Holds Key Support as Bullish Momentum BuildsA bullish setup has emerged on GBP/JPY, with recent price action suggesting bullish momentum is building. With GBP strengthening against USD, GBP/JPY may present a higher-probability bullish scenario compared to USD/JPY in the near term (though this also looks bullish to my eyes over the near term). GBP/JPY held above key moving averages midweek. GBP/JPY failed to close below its 200-day SMA on both Wednesday and Thursday, while yesterday’s session also respected support at the 50-day EMA and the 192.00 handle. Momentum indicators support the bullish case, with the daily RSI trading above 50 after rebounding from its most oversold level in six weeks. As long as prices hold above Thursday’s low, bulls may look for a retest of the cycle highs near 196.00. ** Please note that Japan's CPI data drops in >30 minutes ** Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
Bearish drop?GBP/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3442 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 1.3505 Why we like it: There is a resistance level at the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 1.3318 Why we like it: There is a support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBPUSD: MACD Cross confirms more upsideGBPUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.696, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 36.278) as it's been inside a Channel Up since the start of the year (January 13th 2025 low). At the moment the 1D MA50 is holding and provides the short term support. The 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross, validating the new bullish wave. We are bullish, aiming for another +3.63% HH rise (TP = 1.3600). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
Falling towards 38.2% Fibonacci support?GBP/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st, pullback resistance. Pivot: 191.56 1st Support: 190.35 1st Resistance: 193.65 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
#002 GBP/CHF SHORT Investment Opportunity 👋 Hello, I am Forex Trader Andrea Russo, founder of the SwipeUP Method, a professional analysis approach based on 16 integrated modules that combines artificial intelligence, cyclicality, macro data, technical analysis and institutional positioning. Today I present a new SHORT investment opportunity on GBP/CHF, analyzed and validated according to my DEFINITIVE PROMPT. 📌 Trade Parameters Pair: GBP/CHF Direction: Short Main Timeframe: 8H Entry Point: 1.10745 (Red/Purple Box Intersection) Stop Loss: 1.11515 (End of Red Box) Take Profit: 1.08335 (End of Purple Box) Risk: ~77 pips Target: ~411 pips Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5.33 Expected Return: +3.71% SwipeUP Model Reliability: 91% 🔍 SwipeUP Method Analysis (16 Modules) 1. Multi-timeframe Technical Analysis Weekly: Correction after Historical Bearish Impulse. Daily: Bullish Impulse Exhausted Below Key Resistance. 8H: first bearish breakout on dynamic support, with pullback completed. ✔️ Short trend confirmed on H8 and daily. 2. Technical indicators WaveTrend: complete bearish crossover in overbought zone. Stochastic: confirmed cross down. EMA: breakout below all moving averages. ✔️ Total bearish alignment of indicators. 3. Cyclical and harmonic analysis Harmonic completed (Bat type) with theoretical target in TP zone. Weekly cycles show exhaustion of the bullish movement. ✔️ Cyclical and short harmonic validation. 4. Mathematics and statistics Fibonacci 61.8% retracement completed. 127.2% extension targeted as short target. ✔️ Favorable mathematical patterns. 5. Market Sentiment 72% long retail GBP/CHF (fxssi.com). Favorable misalignment for short. ✔️ Valid contrarian strategy. 6. Institutional positioning COT: net accumulation in CHF by non-commercials. CHF seen as a safe haven currency in times of macro uncertainty. ✔️ Big player positioning confirms short. 7. Fundamental and macroeconomic analysis GBP weakened by persistent inflation and neutral BoE outlook. CHF supported by conservative SNB policy. ✔️ Fundamental scenario favors short. 8. Implied and historical volatility Volatility compression in progress → potential imminent directional explosion. ✔️ Optimal technical timing. 9. Pattern Backtesting Similar patterns on GBP/CHF have shown 78% success. Average time to target: 6–9 days. ✔️ High historical confidence. 10. Confirmation with AI models GAN model and Prophet confirm short directionality with 84% probability. ✔️ AI in alignment. 11. Real-time data updates All information is updated as of May 21, 2025, 15:34 UTC+2. ✔️ Analysis based on fresh and accurate data. 12. Historical study (last 50 years) Forced bull phases on GBP/CHF followed by medium-term corrections are common in UK-Swiss economic cycles. ✔️ Consistent historical pattern.
Short
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
GBPCHF - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows. No opposite signs. Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VladimirRibakov
GBPCHF Breaks Rising Wedge – Reversal Targets 1.0940 and 1.0815GBPCHF has broken down from a rising wedge formation on the 4H chart, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to bearish control. The pattern break comes near the 50% retracement level, with price now trading below ascending trendline support. With fundamental headwinds weighing on the British pound and safe-haven demand supporting the Swiss franc, the setup favors a short bias targeting the 1.0940 and 1.0815 zones. 🔍 Technical Analysis Pattern: Rising wedge → broken to the downside Breakout Confirmation: Price has closed below the wedge support (trendline) Key Support Levels: 1.0940 → 38.2% fib + previous structure support 1.0815 → 23.6% fib retracement + horizontal support zone 1.0608 → Full wedge base (longer-term target) Resistance / Invalidation: 1.1150 – a close back above this level invalidates the breakdown Candle Behavior: Bearish structure forming with lower highs Clean engulfing candle closed below wedge 📉 Bias: Bearish (confirmed technical reversal) 🌍 Fundamental Context 🇬🇧 British Pound (GBP) UK CPI expected to rise (3.3% forecast), which may limit BoE cuts, but not bullish enough to support GBP Political uncertainty resurfaces (Labour slipping in polls) BoE speakers are split; no clear support from policy 🇨🇭 Swiss Franc (CHF) Safe-haven flows rising on: Global growth slowdown Tensions between U.S.–Iran Downgrade of U.S. debt → risk aversion favors CHF SNB remains cautious, but CHF gains defensive strength in risk-off conditions 🎯 Trade Setup Bias: Sell Entry Zone: 1.1080–1.1100 (breakout confirmation) Targets: TP1: 1.0940 TP2: 1.0815 TP3: 1.0608 (extension target) Stop Loss: Above 1.1150 ⚠️ Risk Factors CPI surprise tomorrow could cause GBP spikes — be cautious around the release If equities rally hard or CHF weakens globally, price could retest the wedge structure before falling BoE hawkish surprise could challenge short-term bearish bias 🧭 Conclusion GBP/CHF has broken out of a rising wedge — a classic bearish reversal signal. The technical break aligns with macro weakness in GBP and CHF strength in a risk-off environment. Short trades remain valid below 1.1150, targeting a drop to 1.0940 and 1.0815 in the coming sessions.
Short
by ultreosforex
7