GBP/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello,Friends!
We are targeting the 1.120 level area with our short trade on GBP/CHF which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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GBP (British Pound)
GBP/AUD has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?Price is currently reacting off a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could fall to our take profit.
Entry: 1.90535
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.91057
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.89455
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.2673
1st Support: 1.2606
1st Resistance: 1.2740
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GBPJPY The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 7-2 to keep the Bank Rate unchanged, aligning with broad expectations. Swati Dhingra and Dave Ramsden again voted to lower the rate by 25 basis points to 5.00%.
The BoE indicated that as part of the August (rate cut) forecast, the Committee will review all available information to assess whether the risks of persistent inflation are diminishing. Based on this assessment, the Committee will determine how long the Bank Rate should be maintained at the current level.
Despite CPI falling to 2% in May, the Bank expects CPI to "rise slightly" in the second half of the year due to base effects from last year's energy price declines. Additionally, the Bank noted that services inflation at 5.7% was "somewhat higher" than projected in the May monetary policy report.
In terms of growth, GDP appears to have grown "more strongly than expected" in the first half of the year but remains at a quarterly growth rate of around 0.25%.
Market Outlook: We are less concerned with the timing of the BoE's first rate cut and more focused on the expected limited and gradual rate cuts. For us, the biggest issue is not necessarily the timing of the first rate cut, but the pace and extent of rate cuts after the first one. In an era of global economic fragmentation, supply-side fluctuations, and fiscal activism, 2% is the lower bound for inflation, not the upper limit. This suggests a gradual easing cycle, with rates stabilizing above pre-pandemic levels.
Gbpjpy again has a potential buy pattern and if it crosses the pivot we can first expect a down market and further a potential further downward or upward retracement.
bullish targets:
202.05
202.30
202.57
202.80
Bearish Targets:
201.50
201.28
201.02
200.80
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Based on the provided chart for the GBP/USD 4-hour timeframe, heBased on the provided chart for the GBP/USD 4-hour timeframe, here’s the technical analysis:
### Observations:
1. **Current Trend**:
- The pair is currently in a downtrend, with a series of lower highs and lower lows.
2. **Order Block (OB)**:
- An order block is identified around the 1.2700 level. This zone often acts as a significant area of resistance due to institutional orders.
3. **Liquidity Zone**:
- The liquidity zone is marked below the current price, suggesting a potential target for the bearish movement.
4. **Retracement**:
- The price has the potential to retrace to the identified order block around 1.2700 before continuing its downward movement towards the liquidity zone.
### Analysis:
- **Retracement to Order Block**:
- It’s likely that the price might retrace to the order block around the 1.2700 level. This zone could act as resistance, where sellers may step in, increasing selling pressure.
- **Bearish Continuation to Liquidity Zone**:
- Following the retracement to the order block, the price is expected to continue its bearish trend. The liquidity zone below represents an area where stop-loss orders may be clustered, making it an attractive target for bearish momentum.
### Potential Trade Plan:
1. **Entry**:
- Consider entering a short position if the price retraces to the order block around 1.2700 and shows signs of rejection (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns or increased selling volume).
2. **Stop Loss**:
- Place a stop-loss order above the order block, possibly around 1.2730 to 1.2750, to account for potential false breakouts.
3. **Target**:
- Aim for the liquidity zone as the primary target, which is below the 1.2500 level.
### Risk Management:
- Ensure proper risk management by not risking more than 1-2% of your trading capital on this setup.
- Monitor the trade closely for any signs of reversal or unexpected market movements.
### Conclusion:
The chart indicates a probable bearish scenario where a retracement to the order block may provide a good entry point for a short position. The ultimate target would be the liquidity zone below the current price. Always confirm with additional technical indicators and keep abreast of any fundamental news that might impact the GBP/USD pair.
GBP_CHF RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅GBP_CHF will be retesting a resistance level soon around 1.1340
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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GBPCHF: French Election Risk May Increase Demand on CHFHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring GBPCHF for a selling opportunity around 1.13900 zone, GBPCHF was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.13900 support and resistance zone.
Fundamentally with the current risk on the EURO with French election the demand on CHF may increase despite the rate cut as it's considered a safe haven.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPCHF Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPCHF.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.130.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.127 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPCHF : Short Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the GBPCHF chart. After breaking the uptrend line, the market trend is now bearish. The price has made a pullback to this level after it managed to break the specified support level. We expect this level to maintain the downward trend of the price and the price will fall to around 1.11800. Good luck.
GBPCHF - Short after filling the imbalance !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for short position. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 1.14000.
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GBPUSD is approaching an important support areaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.26600 zone, GBPUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.26600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR/GBP Poised for Seasonal Upswing as July BeginsAs July kicks off, the EUR/GBP pair is entering a period of seasonal strength, supported by historical trends and favorable technical indicators. Historically, EUR/GBP has shown a tendency to perform well during this time of year, and this seasonality is further bolstered by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report. The report indicates that the Euro is currently the preferred asset among institutional investors, often referred to as "smart money."
Recently, the EUR/GBP pair rebounded from the 0.8400 support level, a critical area that has provided a strong base for price action. This rebound, coupled with the seasonal patterns and smart money positioning, presents a compelling case for a bullish setup.
Given these factors, we are now looking for opportunities to enter long positions on the EUR/GBP pair, anticipating continued strength in the Euro as the month progresses.
GBPCHF - Already Over-Sold!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 GBPCHF has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel in red.
However, GBPCHF is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPCHF approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBPUSD: Next few daysHello traders,
The mid-term trend is bearish but we witnessed a reversal to the bottom of the linear regression channel. the short-term trend is bullish.
There are two possible scenarios. reversing from current zone and reversing from the base zone. Remember that breaking below the 1.2650 is sign of a trend change.
In case of reversal from current zone we we could consider 1.2750 as the first TP and top of bearish channel is our final TP. But in case of any deeper correction I'll consider smaller position size and set my TP around 1.2703
GBPCAD About to test the 1D MA50. Sell opportunity.The GBPCAD pair is on the latest Bearish Leg of the underlying Channel Up (blue) pattern and is about to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 14. Once the 1D MA50 breaks, we expect a continuation of the Bearish Leg all the way to the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up.
Since 2023, -2.66% to -3.08% pull-backs have been common on this pair. As a result, we are looking towards the minimum -2.66% decline, which gives us a Target of 1.71500 and will make a technical Higher Low on the Channel.
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GBPUSD - Short Trade IdeaHello guys,
Relatively straight-forward idea here. Price took out buyside liquidity in the form of equal highs, on an additional level outside the view of the chart as well. This is a trade to retrace back into a discount and take out sellside liquidity, as well as return to a weekly BISI.
Trade is illustrated at a market order at current price with stoploss above the high. DCA limit entries can be taken if price retraces. As usual, be wary of high impact news taking out the high one more time.
Enjoy <3
- R2F