Buy GBP/USD Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2710
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.2812
2nd Resistance – 1.2905
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.2650. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Ichimoku Cloud Support: The current price sits comfortably above the Ichimoku cloud, a technical indicator that often signals bullish momentum when the price is above the cloud.
Thank you.
GBP (British Pound)
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/CAD is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.75140
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.75979
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.73398
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off overlap support?GBP/AUD is falling towards a support level which is an overlap support that aligns wit the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.90387
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.89407
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.91601
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPCHF | Short D1 | Market Exec | Incoming Risk-OffTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1 and H1 time-frames
- Stochastics are also Overbought in multiple Cross-CHF pairs and even on USDCHF pair.
- Price action is close to a Supply Zone
- Price action is close to multiple Resistance Trendlines & top of Parallel Channel as well
- Targeting the 38% Fibo retracement for this trade
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- There seems to be some disconnect between asset classes and with everyone already so 'risk-on', the risk-off build up momentum is ripe for the taking.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.1570 - 1.1650
SL @ 1.1718
TP 1 @ 1.1425 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.1276
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.60 (Depending on Entry Level)
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Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2762
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2813
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2649
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 1.2756
1st Support: 1.2654
1st Resistance: 1.2812
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GBP/USD Eyes Potential Rebound from 1.2660 Support AreaGBP/USD closed in negative territory on Thursday, snapping a three-day winning streak. The pair appears to find support on Friday around the 1.2660 area, a key level that could mark the beginning of a bullish rebound. Several technical indicators suggest a potential upside move from this support zone.
The 1.2660 support area has emerged as a critical level where the pair seems to stabilize after recent declines. Notably, there are a couple of divergences on both the RSI and Stochastic indicators, indicating potential bullish momentum. Divergences in these indicators often signal that the prevailing trend may be weakening, paving the way for a reversal.
From a technical perspective, the observed divergences in the RSI and Stochastic indicators at the 1.2660 level strengthen the case for a rebound. These indicators measure momentum and oscillation, respectively, and their divergences suggest that the selling pressure might be easing, making room for a potential upward movement.
Given these technical signals, we are looking for a rebound from the 1.2660 support zone, with a potential bullish impulse in the near term. Traders should monitor the price action closely at this level for confirmation of a reversal. A sustained move above this support could trigger further gains, potentially resuming the pair's previous uptrend.
In conclusion, while GBP/USD has faced recent selling pressure, the technical outlook at the 1.2660 support area suggests a possible bullish rebound. The divergences on the RSI and Stochastic indicators reinforce this view, providing a positive setup for traders looking for an upside move. As the market stabilizes, attention will be on whether the pair can leverage this support for a renewed bullish impulse.
Buy GBP/CAD Double BottomThe GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Double Bottom Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Double Bottom After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.7433.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.7520
2nd Resistance – 1.7573
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.7395. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you.
Potential bullish rise?GBP/USD has reacted off a support level which is a pullback support and could rise to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2664
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.2630
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.2762
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bracing for UK Inflation & BOE decision In the UK, inflation data expected tomorrow is projected to fall to 2% in May, down from 2.3% in April. This would mark the first time since April 2021 that inflation has hit the Bank of England’s 2% target. However, a positive inflation report is unlikely to result in a rate cut at Thursday’s meeting, especially with an election on July 4th. Markets are pricing in an initial rate cut for August.
Technically, the pound/dollar has been trading sideways recently. With GBP/USD breaking below 1.2700, the first support level is at 1.2667, the May 24 low. For any more downside, the next target could be the 100-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2643, followed by 1.2600.
Limiting the downside could be the recently released US retail sales data. US retail sales grew by a modest 0.1% in May, below the expected 0.2% gain. Excluding autos, retail sales fell by 0.1%. Additionally, April retail sales were revised down from flat to a 0.2% decline.
GBP/USD Nears Monthly Low as Fed Maintain Interest Rate FirmnessThe Pound Sterling (GBP) continued its decline against the US Dollar (USD) for the third consecutive trading day on Monday. The GBP/USD pair is currently hovering near its monthly low, around 1.2660, as the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish stance on interest rates maintains the US Dollar's strength.
Fundamental Analysis
Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Outlook
The Fed's current position is to reduce interest rates only once this year. However, financial markets are speculating that the Fed might implement two rate cuts and begin unwinding its restrictive policy framework starting from the September meeting, with potential subsequent cuts in November or December. This speculation is driven by the soft US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports for May, which have increased expectations for early rate cuts.
Impact on GBP/USD
The Fed’s firm stance on maintaining higher interest rates supports the US Dollar's appeal, exerting downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair. Despite the market's expectations for rate cuts, the immediate outlook for the USD remains strong, making it difficult for the GBP to gain ground.
Technical Analysis
Divergence and Support Levels
Despite the bearish trend, technical analysis reveals that the GBP/USD pair is showing a divergence on the H4 timeframe. Divergence occurs when the price movement contradicts the signal from technical indicators, often suggesting a potential reversal or slowdown in the current trend.
The current price action is also situated in a demand area of support, which aligns with the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. These Fibonacci levels are commonly used to identify potential support and resistance zones where price reversals might occur.
Trading Strategy
Given the technical setup, we have identified a range area where the price is currently trading. Although the pair has seen a significant drop, the divergence and support confluence suggest a potential for a reversal or at least a temporary stabilization.
To manage risk effectively, a stop loss is placed just below the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci support levels. This ensures that if the price breaks through these key support areas, it signals a clear change in the main trend, and the trade can be exited with minimal losses.
GBPCHF: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF broke and closed below a key daily support.
Retesting the broken structure, the price formed a narrow range on a 4H time frame.
London session opening pushed the prices lower.
The pair broke a support line of the range, leaving a strong bearish clue.
I think that the market may keep falling.
Next support - 1.1224
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GBPJPY H4 - Sell SignalGBPJPY H4
We have pinned into our first sell zone here on GBPJPY. 200.800 price has been wicked on the H4 and we have the London volume to see where this may now take us. Would like to see this zone hold and rejections form from this price.
If resistance does break, we have the yearly high sell zone as a second approach (final attempt). Lets see what unfolds.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/CAD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.75140
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.75979
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.73398
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/CHF is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.13675
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with he 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.14435
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.12186
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP is approaching a significant resistanceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.84900 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.84900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD (Technical and fundamental ) Bearish attentionTechnical Analysis of GBP/USD
The price already dropped after stabilizing under 1.2693, and still running to get 1.2628.
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below 1.2695, it is expected to drop to 1.2627. A further decline below this level could see the price reach 1.2572.
Bullish Scenario:
To shift to a bullish trend, the price must reverse and stabilize above 1.2700, potentially targeting 1.2783.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Price: 1.2700
- Support Levels: 1.2627, 1.2572, 1.2541
- Resistance Levels: 1.2780, 1.2820, 1.2898
Today's Expected Movement Range:
The price is expected to fluctuate between 1.2693 and 1.2627.
Tendency: Bearish trend
In summary, maintaining a position below 1.2695 supports a bearish outlook, with lower support targets in focus. Conversely, trading above 1.2700 could indicate a bullish reversal, aiming for higher resistance levels.
Fundamental Analysis: US Dollar Gains Amid Key Data Releases and Fed Appearances
US Dollar Rises Early Monday:
The US dollar strengthened against its major trading partners early Monday, except for a slight decline versus the euro. This movement comes ahead of a busy week filled with significant data releases and appearances by Federal Reserve officials.
Monday's Focus:
- Empire State Survey: The week begins with the New York Federal Reserve's Empire State survey for June at 8:30 am ET, providing the first insight into manufacturing conditions for the month.
- Fed Speakers: New York Fed President John Williams speaks at 12:00 pm ET, followed by Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker at 1:00 pm ET, and Fed Governor Lisa Cook at 9:00 pm ET.
Tuesday's Highlights:
- Key Data Releases: Retail sales and industrial production data.
- Fed Appearances: Six scheduled appearances by Federal Reserve officials.
Wednesday's Schedule:
- Juneteenth Holiday: A lighter day with only weekly mortgage applications data and the National Association of Home Builders' sentiment data.
Thursday's Highlights:
- Jobless Claims and Housing Data: Weekly jobless claims, housing starts, and the Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing index.
Friday's Highlights:
- Economic Indicators: Flash data releases.
In summary, the US dollar's movement this week will be closely influenced by retail sales, industrial production data, and various Federal Reserve officials' speeches, setting the stage for significant market activity.
EURGBP to find sellers at market?EURGBP - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bearish.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 0.8455.
We look to Sell at 0.8455 (stop at 0.8473)
Our profit targets will be 0.8410 and 0.8400
Resistance: 0.8455 / 0.8470 / 0.8485
Support: 0.8425 / 0.8410 / 0.8395
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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GBP/CHF BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello,Friends!
We are now examining the GBP/CHF pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 1.145 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBPCHF tries to find resistance after recoveryPOUND STERLING OANDA:GBPCHF ANALYSIS
- Enough US data to go around this week: ADP, services PMI and NFP
- GBP/CHF attempts to find resistance as the pair recovers from overbought territory
THERE’S ENOUGH US DATA TO GO AROUND THIS WEEK
There is a lack of UK data this week, but it shouldn't be ignored for sterling-related pairs. FX movements increased in Q1 and central banks are now considering interest rate cuts. The question is when will they have the confidence to start.
In contrast, US data has been plentiful. ADP data added to the strength seen in the job market. US services PMI data contributed to the dollar's short-term pullback after declines in "new orders" and "prices" in March, resulting in a moderate headline reading of 51.4. There is significant Fed speak today, with Jerome Powell standing out.
OANDA:GBPCHF ATTEMPTS TO FIND RESISTANCE AS THE PAIR RECOVERS FROM OVERBOUGHT TERRITORY
Now that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) surprised markets with a 25 basis point cut in March, the Swiss Franc appears vulnerable. However, since the SNB meeting, GBP/CHF has failed to trade above the March 21st high, witnessing long upper wicks which ultimately fell short of the mark.
The pair also attempts to recover from overbought territory and so there may be room for a shorter-term pullback should bears pile in from here. The gold overlay is the yield differential for the pair (GB 10 year bond yield -Swiss 10 year yield) and has helped, to some degree, explain the path of the pair.
Support sits at the recent swing low around 1.1345 with resistance at 1.1487.