Bearish drop?EUR/GBP has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.83078
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.83303
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.82609
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP (British Pound)
Bullish bounce off pullback support?GBP/CHF is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.1169
1st Support: 1.1109
1st Resistance: 1.1277
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD Channel Up on (1h) bottomed.The GBPUSD pair is trading inside a Channel Up.
The price made contact with its bottom today and is giving a buy signal.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.2800 (+1.50% rise, same as the last bullish wave).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) hit the same level as on November 26th. That was the previous Higher Low of the Channel Up.
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Could the Cable bounce from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2609
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2508
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.2752
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.83100 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 190 area, GBPJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 190 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPCHF: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GBPCHF
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GBPCHF
Entry Point - 1.1231
Stop Loss - 1.1261
Take Profit - 1.1178
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Mastering GBPJPY: Key Trading Zones Revealed for Optimal Entries
Greetings, traders! Welcome to this GBPJPY market analysis, where we focus on identifying higher-probability trading opportunities.
In this video, I start by analyzing the yearly down to the daily charts, highlighting key trading zones, and discussing the confirmations we look for to optimize our swing entries.
If you like the breakdown, boost the idea and follow to receive more ideas.
Trade safely
Buy GBP/AUD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.9525
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.9578
2nd Resistance – 1.9606
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Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
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GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.27600 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.27600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Could the Cable reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.2859
1st Support: 1.2616
1st Resistance: 1.3044
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/GBP is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8308
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.8338
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8260
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 3H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.116 level.
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GBP/JPY Weekly Analysis My prognosis for GBP/JPY for the upcoming week.
Bearish
Here's why:
We've moved off a weekly FVG after having a weekly MSS. There are REL's below where my 'weekly target' line is. We have the liquidity to drive to those areas, the only area of bullish behaviour is the weekly FVG located right about the REL's. Be cautious once we mitigate these areas.
GBPJPY - Already Over-Bought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPJPY has been bullish trading within the rising channel in blue.
Currently, GBPJPY is approaching the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong supply and structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green supply and upper blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBPJPY - Yen will continue to grow?!The GBPJPY currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. If it continues to move towards the demand zones, we can buy with a suitable risk reward.
The upward correction of this currency pair towards the supply zone will provide us with the next selling position.
Higher inflation in Tokyo has increased the likelihood of a Bank of Japan interest rate hike in its December meeting. The Cabinet Office of Japan released its September economic report, maintaining its overall assessment of the country’s economic condition. According to the report, Japan’s economy continues to recover at a moderate pace.
The report also highlighted an improvement in bankruptcy conditions, marking the first positive trend in this area in 42 months. This improvement reflects greater stability within Japan’s business sector. Furthermore, the report noted a slowdown in the rise of corporate product prices, which could lead to a more balanced market. The Cabinet Office emphasized the need to closely monitor U.S. economic policies, as shifts in these policies could significantly impact Japan’s economy.
Analysts at JP Morgan predict that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates twice in 2025, in April and October, bringing its policy rate to 1.0% by the end of the year. Additionally, they forecast two further rate hikes in 2026, pushing rates to 1.5%.
JP Morgan noted that the Bank of Japan’s independent monetary policies could result in weaker performance for Japanese yields compared to other developed markets.
Meanwhile, the Japan Manufacturing Workers Union, representing small and medium-sized manufacturing enterprises, has demanded a minimum base wage increase of 15,000 yen in next year’s wage negotiations. This request exceeds last year’s demand by at least 3,000 yen and marks the highest wage increase proposed in the union’s history. The ultimate goal is to achieve an overall wage increase exceeding 19,500 yen. This development could be seen as positive news for Japan’s government and central bank, as rising wages might indicate mounting inflationary pressures, supporting the normalization of monetary policies.
Tamaki, a member of Japan’s Democratic Party for the People (DPP), stated that the Bank of Japan should evaluate its policies based on wage outcomes for small businesses. He warned that excessive tightening of monetary policy could risk a return to deflation. Tamaki stressed the importance of not rushing changes in monetary and fiscal policies.
In the UK, Finance Minister Rachel Reeves announced a £26 billion ($33 billion) business tax hike that could result in the loss of up to 130,000 jobs. If employers pass this financial burden onto the workforce by reducing employment, the unemployment rate could increase by 0.4%. The analysis also suggests that businesses might respond to higher employer national insurance contributions by cutting working hours or staff.
Separately, the Bank of England recently reported results from its latest stress tests, indicating that all major UK financial institutions are resilient enough to withstand worst-case economic scenarios. While the results have not raised specific concerns, the Bank emphasized its commitment to ongoing close monitoring of the situation.
Potential bullish bounce?GBP/JPY is currently reacting off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 190.67
1st Support: 189.08
1st Resistance: 192.28
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBP/USD - H4 Chart - Rising Wedge BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Rising Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Days.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.2695, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2862
2nd Support – 1.3006
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
GBPCHF - Short position active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect bearish price action after price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish OB + institutional big figure 1.12000.
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GBP_CHF RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅GBP_CHF will be retesting a resistance level soon at 11240
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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GBPUSD to find buyers at previous support?GBPUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A higher correction is expected.
Intraday signals are mixed.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 1.2610.
We look to Buy at 1.2610 (stop at 1.2565)
Our profit targets will be 1.2745 and 1.2800
Resistance: 1.2700 / 1.2750 / 1.2800
Support: 1.2600 / 1.2550 / 1.2500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPCHF: Bearish Trap or Opportunity in the Making?On the GBP/CHF 4-hour chart, price action indicates a potential bearish shift after grabbing liquidity above previous highs and sharply rejecting the 1.1200 supply zone, a premium price area.
The market filled inefficiencies within a fair value gap (blue zone) and is now positioned for a potential continuation downward. If price holds below the supply zone, we could see bearish momentum targeting 1.1165 as the first key support level, with further downside potential toward 1.1140.
A break above the supply zone would invalidate the bearish bias, so risk management is crucial, with stops placed above 1.1205. This setup relies on confirmation of lower lows and aligns with smart money concepts for precision trading.
EURGBP - Interest rates will stay high for a long time!?The EURGBP currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of a valid failure of the ceiling of the channel, we can see a supply zone and resell within that zone with a reward for the appropriate risk. The breaking of the drawn upward trend line will provide us with the path for the downtrend of this currency pair to the support range.
According to expert analysis, President-elect Donald Trump’s commitment to imposing tariffs on imports from Mexico to the United States could have a greater negative impact on European automakers like Volkswagen and Stellantis, as well as their suppliers, than any direct tariffs on European Union goods.
Should these tariffs be implemented, significant questions would arise regarding the future of global automakers’ operations in Mexico, particularly European manufacturers. Many companies have established factories in Mexico to take advantage of cheaper labor and proximity to the lucrative U.S. market. In response, some automakers may choose to relocate their production facilities to the U.S., abandoning their operations in Mexico.
Bernstein analysts stated in a report to clients that Trump’s tariff threats, if enacted shortly after his inauguration in January, leave little time for automakers and suppliers to adjust to major supply chain disruptions. They wrote: “The consequences of tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada for U.S. manufacturers are so significant that they do not appear to be merely a bargaining tool.”
Similarly, Stifel analysts noted that around 65% of the vehicles Volkswagen sells in the U.S. would lose their competitive edge if tariffs on imports from Mexico were applied. Volkswagen’s largest car plant in Mexico, located in Puebla, produced approximately 350,000 vehicles in 2023, including Jetta, Tiguan, and Taos models, all destined for the U.S. market.
While automakers and suppliers are exploring various scenarios, predicting future developments remains challenging due to the uncertainty surrounding final decisions.
Nick Klein, vice president of Chicago-based OEC, remarked: “Based on past experience, Trump is likely to use the tariff threat as leverage, but predicting his exact actions is difficult.”
Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, has suggested that the European Union should engage in discussions with the U.S. regarding potential tariffs rather than immediately implementing retaliatory measures. Lagarde reiterated previous warnings about the adverse effects of a full-scale trade war, proposing that the EU could offer to purchase certain U.S. goods as a gesture of willingness to negotiate. She also stated that it is still too early to assess the impact of these tariffs, but if implemented, they might cause short-term inflationary effects.
Nagel, a member of the ECB, warned that Trump’s proposed tariffs could increase inflation in the Eurozone, presenting a significant risk. He pointed out that if wage growth slows, upward pressure on prices in the services sector would diminish. He also highlighted that Germany’s economy faces challenges that could lead to a recession in the final quarter of the year, with its economic performance lagging behind the Eurozone average.
Philip Lane, ECB Chief Economist, emphasized that restrictive monetary policies should not be maintained for an extended period. In an interview with Les Echos, he advocated for a gradual reduction in interest rates, noting that the rapid rate hikes have curtailed housing investment and encouraged saving over spending. Lane predicted that most inflation targets will be achieved by next year unless new political or geopolitical risks arise. He stressed that monetary policy should not remain excessively restrictive and that further adjustments are needed to achieve stable inflation. Lane also forecasted a rise in consumption during 2025-2026 and called for monetary policy to address both downside and upside risks.
Meanwhile, a UBS note revealed that despite stronger-than-expected inflation data in the UK and the Bank of England’s recent rate cut, market sentiment toward the British pound remains bearish. The inflation figures align with BOE Governor Andrew Bailey’s cautious stance, consistent with his recent call for a gradual approach to rate cuts. The BOE’s reduction of the base rate by 25 basis points to 4.75% on November 7 fits within this broader strategy.