Trump Bullish for USD! Farage Next for GBP?!With the way the media is promoting Nigel Farage more day by day & getting his face out there, I’m starting to think his been ‘selected’ as the next U.K. Prime Minister. They’re drip feeding the idea into the publics head.
Also, with the way the media is releasing more & more race hate content & dividing people, it’ll be ‘completely normal’ when a far right politician into power, as no one will question it or even think to say he had no support behind him. With all the race hate & division content being promoted by the media, we’ll see a lot more aggro against coloured people & immigrants. This’ll be the main factor used to make the public believe Nigel Farage was put into power by the public.
This is just my theory. Let’s see how it pans out!
GBP (British Pound)
GBPCHF at Key Support – Bullish Bounce ExpectedGBPCHF is approaching a key demand zone, marked by historical price reactions and strong buying pressure in the past. This area has consistently acted as a turning point, where buyers regained control, driving prices higher.
There is a high probability of a bullish reversal if price action confirms buying pressure (e.g., bullish engulfing candles or long lower wicks signaling rejection).
I anticipate a bullish move toward the 1.11691 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
GBP/JPY Bearish Channel (20.01.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. FX:GBPJPY
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 188.64
2nd Support – 188.00
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
EURGBP to continue in the bullish channel?EURGBP - 24h expiry
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.8429.
We look to buy dips.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
A break of the recent high at 0.8463 should result in a further move higher.
We look to Buy at 0.8431 (stop at 0.8409)
Our profit targets will be 0.8489 and 0.8499
Resistance: 0.8454 / 0.8464 / 0.8485
Support: 0.8436 / 0.8420 / 0.8404
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GBPJPY - Will the pound continue to weaken?The GBPJPY currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. If the corrective movement continues towards the supply zone, we can sell with a suitable risk reward.
According to the latest Bloomberg survey, the UK government faces significant challenges in restoring investor confidence, as the pound and British bonds continue their downward trend. Following a decline in UK markets early in 2025 due to rising concerns over debt and inflation, about 51% of the 250 participants in last week’s survey predicted the pound would fall to between $1.15 and $1.20 by the end of June. This would mark the currency’s weakest level in over two years.
Meanwhile, 45% of participants anticipate greater volatility in the pound, with 10-year UK bond yields expected to rise above 5% this year.Taylor, a member of the Bank of England, emphasized the importance of staying vigilant against potential risks. He suggested that recent data indicate a worsening economic outlook and that interest rates should be reduced promptly to avoid further challenges.
In Japan, households expect prices to rise in the coming year. The percentage of households with such expectations increased slightly from 85.6% in the previous survey to 85.7%. However, five-year inflation expectations have seen a slight decline. According to the Bank of Japan, average annual inflation expectations among households stand at 11.5%, based on the latest survey.
Goldman Sachs economists predict that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates next week. The firm also remains optimistic about the yen, expecting any action by the Bank of Japan in January to support the currency. Market pricing suggests that an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan is almost certain.
According to Bloomberg, Kazuo Ueda, Governor of the Bank of Japan, will evaluate the need for a rate hike on Friday. Expectations for an interest rate increase have grown, provided that potential shocks from the early days of Trump’s presidency do not materialize.
While other central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, are focused on rate cuts, the Bank of Japan is moving in the opposite direction, aiming for a gradual return to conventional monetary policies.
The Bank of Japan is set to announce its first interest rate decision of 2025 on Friday. During its final meeting in 2024, the bank decided to keep rates unchanged. Governor Ueda stated that more data is needed to justify a rate hike, highlighting concerns about wages and uncertainties surrounding Trump’s economic policies.
Since then, new data has shown a significant rise in November inflation, with December inflation pressures also intensifying. Wages also grew in November. Additionally, a summary of opinions from the December meeting indicates that a rate hike could occur sooner than investors anticipate.
Given these developments and recent remarks from BoJ officials, investors assign an 80% probability to a 0.25% rate hike. However, the Bank of Japan has a long history of disappointing expectations for rate increases. If Trump adopts an aggressive stance on tariffs in his upcoming speech, the BoJ may once again refrain from raising rates, potentially leading to a decline in the yen.
If the Bank of Japan does raise interest rates, the yen is likely to strengthen, but the associated risks are asymmetrical. The negative impact of refraining from a hike could outweigh the positive effect of an increase. Nonetheless, a further decline in the yen might prompt Japanese authorities to intervene to support the currency.
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.2364
1st Support: 1.2099
1st Resistance: 1.2531
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPJPY is below:
The market is trading on 1.1373 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable GBPJPY continuation.
Target - 1.1313
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 190.800 zone, GBPJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 190.800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPCHF Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPCHF for a selling opportunity around 1.11500 zone, GBPCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.11500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURGBP Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.84200 zone, EURGBP is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.84200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURBGP: Sell signal on the Channel Down top.EURGBP is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.286, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 49.271) as it crossed over the 1D MA200 and almost touched the top of the short term Channel Down. This is a solid first entry for a short, the second being under the 1W MA200 near the dashed trendline of the long term Channel Down. Target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (TP = 0.82800).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
USDCHF GOING UPTechnical Analysis:
The EUR/USD is showing bullish momentum, breaking above key resistance levels. The pair is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming an uptrend. A bullish crossover in the MACD and rising RSI suggest further upside potential. Key resistance is at 1.10, with support holding strong at 1.085. A breakout above 1.10 could open the path toward 1.12.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Euro is supported by robust economic data, including better-than-expected PMI figures and hawkish signals from the ECB. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure as the Fed signals a pause in rate hikes amid cooling inflation. Diverging monetary policies and improving sentiment in the Eurozone favor further EUR/USD gains.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) forming a potential triple topThe chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) forming a potential **triple top** pattern at the key resistance zone of around 102,600. This is a bearish reversal structure, signaling potential downside if confirmed. Here's the short analysis:
1. **Key Observations**:
- **Triple Top Formation**: Indicates strong resistance at the 102,600 zone.
- **Bearish Structure**: Price previously rejected from this zone twice, leading to a significant decline.
- **Break of Structure (BOS)** and **Change of Character (ChoCh)** labels hint at bearish momentum after failed attempts to break resistance.
2. **Next Steps**:
- **Wait for Confirmation**: The chart suggests waiting for bearish confirmation, such as a strong rejection or a BOS to the downside, before entering a sell position.
- **Target Levels**: Downside targets could be the next significant support levels, likely around 100,000 and 96,000, as indicated by the arrow.
3. **Risk Management**:
- If price breaks above the resistance (invalidating the pattern), bullish momentum could continue, so stop-loss placement is essential above the resistance zone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Long GBPCHF - Trading Range Trade- GBP/CHF is currently trading at the bottom of a trading range. It is currently completing a double bottom major trend reversal. ABC elliot reversal.
- Tarfet is 1.1180 and above see reaction and get out in case of weakening bulls.
- TR breakouts fail 80% of the time. This trade is high probability.
B setup
Peace
! REALLY NOT SURE ABOUT THIS ONE ! GBPJPY FALLINGSince there are no indicators except for the RSI, it would seem logical with the current drawdown and divergence for the price to keep falling ;
however there's nothing sure about this, it is just an arrow showing the potential direction,
we'll update if we get more info
CHFJPY STILL NOT SUREOn one hand, it has de go back up to reach the high of the blue rectangle ;
on the other hand, it is well gone for a big descent, and it would not be crazy to think the hard blue KL is the actual low.
We'll have to be careful over the next few days because they'll be decisive regarding the pattern the curb is taking.
No matter what happens, it is to go up, the question is where s the entry ?
GBPNZD SHORTS MOREGBPNZD have been bearish for a while and I am looking forward to continue with the trend. I expect a third touch to the top trendline or a double top formation as an override depending on how reacts on the zone. The third touch will be more preferable for me, with 2.17015 as first target and 2.14440 as the second target.
Bearish drop?GBP/NZD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2.1897
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2.2076
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2.1671
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPCHF Scenario 2.1.2025On this chart the market created an sfp above the high followed by a decline the price continues to move around the poc at the price level 1.128680 we have two scenarios but both are short first with the first scenario creating an sfp below the low and going for higher prices.
GBPCHF The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPCHF next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1190
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1256
My Stop Loss - 1.1159
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK