Elliott Wave Favors More Downside in GBPJPYDecline from 2.28.2023 is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 2.28 high, wave 1 ended at 160.02 and rally in wave 2 ended at 164.14. Pair resumes lower in wave 3 towards 159.19, and wave 4 ended at 160.49. Last leg lower wave 5 ended at 158.51 which completed wave (1). Wave (2) corrective rally ended at 163.34 as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (1), wave W ended at 162.18, and pullback in wave X ended at 158.94. Wave Y higher ended at 163.34 which completed wave (2).
Pair resumes lower in wave (3) with internal subdivision as another 5 waves in lesser degree. Down from wave (2), wave ((i)) ended at 160.67 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 161.86. Pair has resumed lower in wave ((iii)) and broken below wave ((i)). Down from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 159.91 and wave (ii) rally ended at 161.01. Expect pair to continue lower within wave (iii) of ((iii)). A break below wave (1) at 158.51 would confirm the bearish view and rule out a double correction. Near term, as far as the pivot at 163.34 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swings for further downside.
Gbp-jpy
GbpJpy - Manipulation Point TradingBias: Open
Market Cycle: n/a
MP's for todays trading...
Even though yesterday was a 1st push in market cycle, I am not against trading a break and retest above 161.41..
No1 preference is still short.
162.04 is a strong on the Daily, 4h & 1h - a KL and also 50% retracement from yesterdays push down..
GBPJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 163 zone. GBPJPY is trading in a downtrend and now seems to be rejecting 163 support and resistance zone around the trend. if the rejection is confirmed i would consider the bearish channel support as a target. Fundamentally the Yen is considered a safe haven in time of uncertainty and during crisis so i still expect JPY be outperforming considering also that the market is expecting major changes in monetary policy from the BoJ.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 164 zone, one of the reasons i want to consider GBPJPY shorts is that JPY is considered as a safe haven in time of uncertainty. Technically we have noticed that extending pullbacks are approaching the major trend so i will be watching the price action around 164 supply and demand zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPYGBPJPY has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
GBPJPY | Sell Sentiment!The GBP/JPY currency pair is a popular trading pair that represents the value of the British pound in relation to the Japanese yen. The GBP/JPY pair is known for its volatility and is heavily influenced by a range of factors, including economic indicators, political events, and market sentiment.
In recent months, the GBP/JPY pair has experienced a bearish trend, meaning that the value of the pound has been declining relative to the Japanese yen. This trend has been driven by a range of factors, including concerns about the economic impact of Brexit on the UK economy, uncertainty about the future direction of UK monetary policy, and broader market volatility related to the COVID-19 pandemic.
In the short term, the market sentiment for the GBP/JPY pair remains bearish, with many analysts predicting continued weakness for the pound against the Japanese yen. Some of the trends that are contributing to this sentiment include ongoing uncertainty about Brexit negotiations and potential changes in UK monetary policy. Additionally, the Japanese yen is often considered a safe-haven currency during times of market volatility, which could contribute to further weakness for the pound in the short term. However, it is important to note that market sentiment can change rapidly based on new information and events, so it is important to monitor the situation closely if you are trading or investing in this currency pair.
GbpJpy - Manipulation Point TradingBias: Short
Market Cycle: Open
500 pips on GJ is a full market cycle in a day, so we can trade with an open bias as per the 15m strategy rules.
MP's are the daily levels on my chart, I would prefer to trade short from 162.200 so I will wait for my setup...
Short-term, we have support turned resistance on the 4h at the asian high, so there are some possibilities there???
GbpJpy - Manipulation Point TradingBias: Long
Market Cycle: 2
GJ is in cycle phase 2, Monday was a daily SR and a full retracement on the daily PA followed by yesterdays full ADR move to the upside.
163.11 and 162.83 are both levels within our permitted retracement area to look for longs.
Price will eventually target the imb from 28th Feb,