R2F Weekly Analysis - 6th October 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
Gbp-jpy
GBPJPY One pullback to give before strong rally.GBPJPY is trading inside a CHannel Up since May 2021.
Having a strong correction in July, the price has stabilized on a shorter term Channel Up.
A similar Channel Up was formed after the previous bottom in January - March 2023 and then the price rallied by +20%.
Expect a similar bullish wave. Buy and target 217.00.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
GBPJPYAs per our last mind we asked you guys which pair you want and analysis for. The public has asked for GBPJPY . Here is our view.
As of now, GBPJPY is sitting at our PBA 2 (Pullback Area). If we break above 193.290 (October 1st highs) we will continue to the upside .
However ,
If we break below our PBA 2 192.000 , we could see a downside move to our PBA 1 . Breaks below could also result in lower prices.
We advise you not to enter in any trades until breaks of either 193.290 or 192.000 .
We will send out the update once a break happens.
KEY NOTES
- GBPJPY has fallen to our PBA 2.
- Important levels to break are 193.290 or 192.000.
- Break above 193.290 would confirm higher highs.
- Break below 192.000 would confirm lower lows.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
GBPJPY: Bull Flag to start a great rally.GBPJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.480, MACD = 0.880, ADX = 34.811) as it's been basically consolidating since last Friday with the price ranging around the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200. This consolidation is being done while the 1D RSI shows a Bullish Divergence in a Channel Up. Last time this happened was in March 2023, a Bullish Flag that pushed the price later aggressively to the top of the 2 year Channel Up. We turn heavily bullish on GBPJPY (TP = 220.000).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
GBPJPY H1 - Short SignalGBPJPY H1
This play was huge yesterday, a monster 332 points in total we saw GBPJPY sell off, immediately from the EUR/LON bell too. Those first hourly candles sold off as much as 160 points, offering around 2 to 2.5R in very quick succession. This was really enjoyable to see unfold. No doubt ***GBP pairs as mentioned have be wild to trade recently, especially with the trading antics we saw on Friday, with the 600 point swing.
Lets see what else is offered today, sitting on the side-lines until things start to shake up for us and offer the next entry points.
GBPJPYGBPJPY . Potential long opportunity.
We believe that GBPJPY will continue to the upside after coming down to our PBA (Pull Back Area). Our entry is sitting at the pullback area at 190.402 . We are looking for breaks of 193.289 and 195.862 which would confirm our target 197.500 where our TP is sitting at. Our SL is sitting at 188.127 and if broken, it would result in deeper pullbacks which would not be out of the ordinary based on a weekly timeframe.
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 190.402
- SL: 188.127
- TP: 197.500
KEY NOTES
- GBPJPY has fallen to our PBA.
- Break above 193.289 and 195.862 would confirm higher highs.
- Break below our SL would result in deeper pullbacks.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Bearish drop?GBP/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 193.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 195.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 190.36
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY H8 - Short SignalGBPJPY H8
We have a nice setup here yet again, with our crosshairs on that 193 handle for GBPJPY. Last weeks price movement on Friday was wild, to say the least, over the eastern session we took off 100's of points, before closing the day down towards 190 price. 600 points from top to bottom we saw, from the likes of ***JPY, this was very impressive!
With the exception of the fakeout to the upside, albeit it headline driven, we have now seen a subsequent correction, which takes us back towards that 193.000 handle, a confluence zone and an area we could look to sell.
Stops would be around 50 points at 193.500 covering recent highs, and take profit targets would be every 100 points.
Overlap support ahead?GBP/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 189.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 186.62
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 193.29
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY: Inverse Head and Shoulders calls the bottom.GBPJPY got oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 28.124, MACD = -0.770, ADX = 29.222) as it was rejected today on the 1D MA50. On Sep 16th it touched the bottom of the long term Channel Up and rebounded, while the 1D RSI has been on a bullish divergence. We expect this bottom to be in the form of an Inverse Head and Shoulders. We are aiming for the 1D MA200 and the 0.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 150.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Potential bullish bounce?GBP/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 193.28
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 190.41
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 199.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 161.80% Fibonacci extension.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY Best long-term buy signal you can get.The GBPJPY pair closed last week above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and this week opened above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). The long-term pattern has been a Channel Up since the September 2022 market bottom and since the July-August Bearish Leg, the pair has been pricing its new bottom (Higher Low).
The break-out above the 1D MA50, while at the same time the 1W RSI breaks above its MA, has been the ultimate long-term buy confirmation during the last bottom formation in February 2023. Since the Bullish Leg that followed rose by +20.15% and a little below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, we expect a similar rally, thus settling for a 220.000 Target.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Could price reverse from here?GBP/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 193.28
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 196.02
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 189.04
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Pullback resistance ahead?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support level which is an overlap support.
Pivot: 193.28
1st Support: 188.98
1st Resistance: 195.93
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Fed's Bold Rate Cut Raises Stakes for BoE and BoJ Both the Bank of England (BoE) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) are not expected to cut interest rates at their respective meetings today and tomorrow.
The US Federal Reserve just chose to cut its own rate by 50 basis points. So, how might the BoE and BoJ decisions be affected?
Bank of America projects the BoE will leave its Bank Rate at 5.0%, with the pound potentially gaining. However, gains could be capped if policymakers lean dovish. Additionally, a currency strategy note from HSBC says that the sharp appreciation of the British pound against the U.S. dollar may be nearing its limits.
Masamichi Adachi, chief Japan economist at UBS Securities, cautioned that if the BoJ raises rates Friday, just days after the Fed's rate cut, “markets would likely face increased turbulence.”
Bearish drop?GBP/JPY has reacted off the resistance level that is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 186.48
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 189.15
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 183.16
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY 1hr TF Bullish Setup (Weak Low + Double Bottom + -OB)ICMARKETS:GBPJPY looks bullish considering we jump in at the double bottom where market structure will shit (Break of Structure) which is also a weak low, from there we can see the target being just below the negative order block. SL is tight for this setup to minimize risk whereas reward ratio is 6RR.
Overlap resistance ahead?GBP/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 187.87
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.3% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 189.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 184.86
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/JPY Faces Bearish Pressure with Key Support Levels in FocusGBP/JPY Technical Analysis
Current Outlook: The price of GBP/JPY is currently trading near the pivot zone, showing bearish momentum. It appears poised for further downside, as it is struggling to hold above key support levels.
Best Scenario: The downtrend scenario is the most likely, with the price pushing lower toward the support zone. If the price breaks below 184.11, it could further decline towards the next major support at 182.49 and potentially reach 180.18, otherwise stability above 186.400 means will try to touch 188.200
Key Levels:
Pivot Zone: 186.37
Resistance Levels: 188.29, 191.58, 193.29
Support Levels: 184.11, 182.49, 180.18
Expected Range Today: The price is expected to move between 186.37 and 184.11, with a bias toward further downside pressure.
Overall Trend: The overall trend remains bearish, especially if the price breaks below 184.11, signaling further downside potential. Stabilization above the pivot zone at 186.37 could shift the trend, but for now, the downtrend dominates.
previous idea: