Buy GBP/NZD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.2053
2nd Support – 2.2132
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Gbp-nzd
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?GBP/NZD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2.1903
Why we like it:
There is a pullback suppor tlevel that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retraecment.
Stop loss: 2.1720
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2.2098
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPNZD - The pound, in relative peace!The GBPNZD currency pair is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and has left its downward channel. In case of a downward correction, we can see demand zone and buy this currency pair in that zone with a suitable risk reward.
According to recent data, the UK’s economic indicators have shown various changes. M4 money supply, a key economic measure, has declined by 0.1%, compared to the previous figure of 0.6%. This drop may reflect reduced liquidity in the economy.
In the area of consumer credit, the Bank of England reported that this metric reached £1.098 billion, lower than the forecast of £1.3 billion and the previous figure of £1.231 billion. This may indicate a decline in consumer demand for credit.
Meanwhile, significant growth has been observed in the mortgage sector. Mortgage lending rose to £3.435 billion, surpassing the forecast of £2.7 billion and the previous figure of £2.541 billion. This increase suggests an improvement in the housing market and growing demand for mortgages.
Additionally, the number of approved mortgages reached 68,303, exceeding the forecast of 64,500 and the previous figure of 65,647. This growth further highlights increased confidence and momentum in the housing market.
Andrew Bailey, the Governor of the Bank of England, has addressed the financial and economic state of the UK, highlighting key concerns. He warned that price corrections could disrupt financing but expressed confidence that households and businesses would remain resilient against economic challenges.
He also predicted that the UK’s economic growth would continue “sustainably.” Bailey pointed to heightened global risks and uncertainties while emphasizing that there is no conflict between financial stability and economic growth. Additionally, he noted that geopolitical risks remain elevated.
According to Bloomberg and a CBI survey, tax pressures on UK businesses have caused a significant decline in the private sector. For the first time in two years, the budget has been identified as the main reason for reduced business activity.
Companies have warned that hiring plans are at their weakest level since the COVID pandemic. Business activity in the UK has been declining for the first time in over two years as firms reduced jobs and limited investments following the October budget. According to the Confederation of British Industry’s (CBI) monthly growth index, a £26 billion ($33 billion) increase in payroll taxes and prolonged uncertainty caused by a three-month wait for the next budget after the Labour Party’s decisive victory in the July 4 election have significantly impacted private sector sentiment.
The UK plans to review the design of its new labor survey in the spring. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that overall employment levels are now 313,000 higher than before the COVID pandemic. The economic inactivity rate has decreased by 0.1% to 22.1%, while the unemployment rate has remained steady at around 4.2%. Employment rates for the period from April to June 2024 increased by 0.1%, reaching 74.6%.
GBPNZD: Turning bearish if the 1D MA50 breaks.GBPNZD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.440, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 26.806), trading right over its 1D MA50. If broken, it will be the validation of the new bearish wave of the 1 year Channel Down. The 1D RSI is forming the very same Arc pattern as the May bearish wave. Upon validation, we will get short and aim for the 1D MA200, over the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 2.12500).
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GBPNZD - How will the BOE decision affect the pound?The GBPNZD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. In case of downward correction, we can see the demand zones and buy this currency pair within those zones with appropriate risk reward.
The Bank of England has lowered its interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to 4.75%. According to the Bank’s monetary statement, GDP is projected to grow by 0.2% in Q3 2024 compared to the previous quarter (September forecast: 0.3%) and increase by 0.3% in Q4 this year. The goal is to keep the interest rate restrictive enough until the risks of inflation persistently returning to the 2% target diminish.
Andrew Bailey, the Bank of England’s governor, noted that the rate of inflation decline has been faster than expected. However, further reduction in service price inflation is still needed to maintain the consumer price index at the 2% target level, and sufficient spare capacity will be essential to reach this goal in the medium term.
The rise in the employer’s national insurance contribution, included in the budget, is expected to have a slightly inflationary effect on prices and a marginally negative impact on wages and corporate profitability. The combined effect of increased employer national insurance and minimum wage is likely to raise hiring costs, with the net impact on inflation yet to be determined.
Adrian Orr, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s governor, highlighted geopolitical tensions as a significant risk to the economy, expressing concern over the economy lagging behind the interest rate cuts.
Orr also emphasized that climate change poses an existential threat to New Zealand, calling for serious attention to this issue. This view reflects deep economic and environmental concerns in the country.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Financial Stability Report indicates that the financial system remains resilient despite the economic downturn, with risks under control. Banks anticipate a slight increase in non-performing loans, although this level remains below what was experienced during previous economic recessions. Debt servicing costs have peaked and are now declining, with mortgage interest rates dropping over the past six months. Although many households and businesses are under financial pressure and some borrowers face challenges with rising unemployment, domestic economic challenges persist.
GBPNZD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPNZD for a selling opportunity around 2.17 zone, GBPNZD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2.17 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Buy GBP/NZD BreakoutThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2.1480
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2.1600
2nd Resistance – 2.1675
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2.1385. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
GBPNZD Strong buy signal at the bottom of the Channel Up.The GBPNZD pair has been trading within an 11-month Channel Up and since its break below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on August 28, it has been forming the new bottom. Monday saw it approaching the Higher Lows trend-line and with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) just below it as a Support, we believe that we've seen the new Low.
In fact, as the 1D RSI made a Double Bottom, it resembles the Channel's last bottom formation on June 06. The final confirmation of the bullish break-out will be when a 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50. We expect at least a +4.45% rise, thus targeting 2.19000 on the medium-term.
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Gbpaud a big u turn on the price,oHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Gbpaud managed to break higher and watching for long setups.bis to the upside
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GBPNZD Bearish DivergenceThe market has responded to a bearish divergence on the 1H chart, leading GBPNZD to pull back from a key resistance zone. After reaching the strong resistance level of 2.12700, the market formed a daily long-tailed bar, signaling a rejection of that level. Given the overall bearish trend and the appearance of a large bearish candle, the market is likely to continue pulling back toward support levels. It may drop further from the resistance zone and potentially break out of the upward channel as it aims to test those support areas. The target is the support level around 2.10500
Buy GBP/NZD Descending TriangleThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Descending Triangle pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 2.1057, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.1167
2nd Support – 2.1231
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2.0973. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Potential bullish rise?GBP/NZD has reversed off the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to ur take profit.
Entry: 2.1347
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2.1220
Why we like it:
A pullback support level lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2.1711
Why we like it:
A pullback resistance level aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPNZD Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.The GBPNZD pair is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 7-month Channel Up and has already completed a +4.40% rise since its recent Higher Low. That is the exact rise % that the previous two Bullish Legs of the Channel achieved.
As a result this is close to the most optimal sell signal we can get. Both previous Bearish Legs that followed such top sell signals, reached at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Therefore, our short-term Target on this pair is 2.09500.
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GBPNZD Simple Trade Plans PRE New Zealand InflationA rampant GBP Post UK Elections and a dovish stance coming out the RBNZ have provided us with a significant rally to start to look short on (Carefully).
If CPI comes in higher, we may see a reversal of the latest NZD sentiment, ultimately dropping GBPNZD (not a given).
Short side bias comes at local highs, extreme push. Likely to weaken.
Bearish drop?GBP/NZD is currently as a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2.08864
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 2.09868
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 2.07681
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?GBP/NZD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2.07254
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2.08612
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 2.06216
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPNZD 1D MA50 rejection. Sell Signal.The GBPNZD pair recently made a Bearish Break-out as it broke below the Channel Up and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), introducing a new Channel Down pattern. On Monday we saw the latest rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been holding as Resistance since May 03.
As long as it holds, we expect the new Bearish Leg to start. The previous one stopped after a -2.75% decline, which currently gives a price tag at a little below 2.0300. However we will use a more modest Target, aiming at 2.04000 (a little above Support 2).
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Could GBP/NZD bounce from here?Price is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2.06739
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 2.06069
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 2.07731
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.