EURUSD sellsEntered during London session, rejection from CE of the orderblock, targeting 1:3 RR
Trade I will hold through the day
Simple, see how it pans out
Gbp-usd
Time for some Premium price actionEverything is in place for GU to start moving bearish. At this point we wait for London session and look for all the stars to align.
GBPUSD | 21 JANGood evening, traders! My bias for short term longs towards the supply zone persists, although I feel like an H&S is forming on the Hourly and reverse might start solidifying around current price-points. Will keep you posted
Weekly Review on Price Action!This past week I flipped to Bearish on GU. But as we came into Tuesday they decided to pull back on the price. This week I'm and surely going in Bearish. This is a premium set up for a nice swing to the down side.
GBPUSD | Jan 19Looks like the pair has found solid demand zone around 1.26770 and short term long opportunities may be found. Would love to see the close before entering anything as it will also give us a closure on the weekly, which would drive the public interest. Personally got stopped out on the pullback with a 1:1 trade. Stay safe!
The Bottom is about to fall out!!!GU has been building up for this drop all week! Closely monitoring price for London open as we have GBP news just before open and USD news just before NY open. I'm thinking we should get a nice swing move to break the low that was created this week.
Sell GBPUSD Bearish Channel GBP/USD has formed a bearish channel pattern on the H1 timeframe, indicating a potential for further downside.
Pattern: The price has been making lower highs and lower lows within the channel, creating a downward sloping trend.
Sell Entry: A break below the channel support at 1.2665 could be an opportunity to enter a short trade.
Targets: Potential bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.2558 and 1.2498.
Stop Loss: A stop loss could be placed above the channel resistance at 1.2703.
Factors Underpinning the Downward Pressure:
Risk-Off Sentiment: Global markets are facing uncertainties, driving investors to seek refuge in safe-haven currencies like the US dollar. This has put downward pressure on the relatively riskier pound sterling.
BoE Policy Divergence: The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates at a slower pace than the US Federal Reserve, potentially widening the interest rate differential between the two economies. This could further weaken the pound against the dollar.
Trading Considerations:
Confirm Breakdown: Wait for a clear break below the lower boundary of the channel to validate the bearish momentum and potentially trigger sell trades.
Manage Risk: Implement stop-loss orders above the resistance level to limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses course.
Monitor Fundamentals: Stay informed about economic data releases and central bank communications from both the UK and the US, as they can significantly influence the GBP/USD pair's trajectory.
GBPUSD | Short ideaGBPUSD is showing a big red 4h candle in the resistance zone. I expect a move down from here to the support zone at the 1.26150 level. (Take profit line)
Let me know what your outlook is on the GBPUSD!
The Move we All have been waiting for!!! GU is finally approaching a zone that I have been waiting to see it react to. The Dollar is very bullish so I'm expecting to get a nice sell opportunity in this area. To see it moving bullish now during Asian range it builds my anticipation for seeing some bearish action for London. Sitting on hands for now.
GBPUSD: Unraveling CPI Insights and Potential USD StrengthIn today's trading session, our focus is on GBPUSD, where we are monitoring a potential selling opportunity around the 1.27100 zone. The currency pair, which had been trading in an uptrend, has recently broken out and is currently in a correction phase, nearing the retrace area at the 1.27100 support and resistance zone.
Adding a fundamental perspective to our analysis, let's delve into the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The numbers from previous months indicate a pattern of stable inflation, with the most recent CPI figures coming in at 3.4%, surpassing the forecasted 3.2% and showing a slight decrease from the previous month's 3.7%. This data suggests a relatively well-managed inflation scenario.
Examining this from a broader economic standpoint, stable or slightly increasing inflation might contribute to a stronger US dollar. Investors and traders often view stable inflation positively as it reflects a healthy economic environment. The Federal Reserve, in such circumstances, might have room to consider tightening monetary policy, potentially leading to USD strength.
Considering these fundamental factors alongside technical analysis, traders should carefully assess the potential impact on GBPUSD. As always, trade safe.
Sell GBPUSD Channel BreakoutWeaker inflation, higher unemployment and gloom from policymakers.
The fall in inflation is not the only issue holding the BoE back from hikes.
BoE’s decision to pause and the probable end to policy tightening represents a loss of interest rate support
Price breaks the channel now, its Good chance to sell now.
Thank you
Might get back to 1.29GBPUSD May get back to 1.29 soon after a strong rejection to the upside on the 8/4 hours charts.
Pullback to Entry! We have Bearishness!Now GU has shown us that it is ready to move bearish. Now looking for a decent pull back for entry on a position. Hoping that we can get for London so a possible nice Sell opp coming for NY session.
Can News give us a Entry?Everything lines up for a great sell opp. But I need to see a nice pull back for entry and a high made mid week in order for me to be interested in selling. Im watching orderflow and all is lining up so far. Will wait for news before pulling trigger.
GBPUSDUntil price continue holds the 1.2720 level, i would be looking for buying opportunities on intraday timeframes, or if price come to 1.2795 major support level and shows the depletion in bullish momentum, i would be looking for Sell opportunities on intraday timeframes
Reviewing GU from a Swing perspectiveWe are now 2 weeks in on the new year and as the major players come back in to the market it looks like they spent the first 2 weeks of the year accumulating orders to go bearish. As we come into the new week we are looking for more signs that price wants to go bearish now.
BUY GBPUSD H4 ChannelCentral Bank Meetings:
Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC): This takes center stage on Wednesday, January 10th. A 50 basis point (bps) rate hike is widely anticipated, but the market will be looking for any hints about the future trajectory of rates. A more aggressive tightening path could strengthen the pound against the dollar.
Economic Data:
US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): Released on Friday, January 6th, a strong jobs number could strengthen the dollar and weigh on GBP/USD. Conversely, a weak reading could have the opposite effect. 400,000 new jobs are expected, which would be positive for the US economy.
UK GDP: The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for December on January 10th. Consistent economic growth could support the pound, while a slowdown could weaken it. The market expects a 0.3% month-over-month increase.
Weekly Forecast (Jan 8 to Jan 12) :
GBP/USD - H4 Chart - Channel Formation
Always wait for strong Conformation in Short term for entry. 👈👈👈
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Break it on down!Now that we have a break of last weeks high I feel that GU is ready to change direction in the trend and flip to bearish. As we finish out Asian range I'm looking for signs that it wants to flip.
GBPUSD Breakout and Potential Retrace with hot CPI numbersHey Traders, in today's trading session, our focus centers on GBPUSD, specifically eyeing a selling opportunity around the 1.27250 zone. The pair, having broken out of its recent uptrend, now resides in a correction phase, drawing nearer to the retrace area at the crucial 1.27250 support and resistance zone.
Adding depth to our analysis, the recent release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is paramount. This economic indicator, gauging the average change in prices over time, plays a pivotal role in shaping market sentiment. The unexpected strength in the CPI figures can have profound implications for the US dollar. The market was anticipating a softer print, and the surprise deviation could lead to a reassessment of the dollar's value.
Understanding the dynamics behind CPI is essential. A robust CPI often signals potential inflationary pressures, prompting central banks, including the Federal Reserve, to consider adjusting monetary policy. The market's initial expectation of a milder CPI could have factored into traders' sentiment, but the unexpected strength might prompt a reevaluation. The prospect of a more hawkish stance from the Fed, aiming to curb inflation, could contribute to increased demand for the US dollar.
It's crucial for traders to monitor these macroeconomic indicators closely, recognizing their influence on currency movements. The nuanced interplay between economic data, central bank decisions, and market expectations creates a complex tapestry that savvy traders navigate. In times of data surprises, flexibility and adaptability become key attributes in adjusting trading strategies.
As we navigate the markets, it's imperative to exercise caution and employ robust risk management strategies. The volatility triggered by unexpected economic data releases can lead to rapid market movements. Establishing clear risk parameters, setting stop-loss orders, and diversifying portfolios are essential practices in mitigating potential downsides.
In conclusion, GBPUSD's current correction phase provides an opportune moment for traders to assess the evolving market dynamics. The unexpected strength in CPI data adds an intriguing layer to the equation, emphasizing the importance of staying informed and agile in response to market shifts.
Trade wisely,
Joe
GBPUSD Potential UpsidesIn today's trading session, our attention is on GBPUSD, where we are observing a potential buying opportunity around the 1.26300 zone. GBPUSD is currently trading in an uptrend, and it is in the midst of a correction phase, gradually approaching the trendline at the pivotal 1.26300 support and resistance area. This technical setup indicates a possible opportunity to initiate a buying position, aligning with the prevailing upward trajectory in GBPUSD.
As we closely monitor the price action, the 1.26300 support and resistance area becomes a crucial zone to watch for signs of a reversal or a continuation of the uptrend. Traders should carefully assess the market dynamics around this level and employ effective risk management strategies to capitalize on potential buying opportunities in GBPUSD.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD - Bullish Move ExpectedThe British Pound vs. US Dollar (GBP/USD) duo has been on an impressive winning streak, extending its gains for five straight days. This upward momentum is being fueled by positive investor sentiment and a slight softening of the US Dollar.
Recent labor data from the US has weakened the Federal Reserve's case for interest rate cuts. Based on current market expectations, there's a 62% chance that the Fed will keep rates unchanged in its March meeting. Also, the New York Fed's 1-year inflation expectations have moderated from 3.36% to 3.01%.
Raphael Bostic, President of the Atlanta Fed, remarked that inflation in the US has eased more than he had anticipated. He also observed that the rise in unemployment has been less pronounced than expected, given the decline in inflation. Bostic added that the Fed is in a strong position at present.
On the British Pound front, DeAnne Julius, a former member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, doesn't see the central bank lowering interest rates in 2024. She acknowledged that the escalating tensions in the Middle East could trigger another round of energy price hikes, leading to inflationary pressures.
This week, investors will be closely monitoring the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Thursday. On Friday, UK economic data, including monthly GDP, Industrial Production, and Manufacturing Production for November, will be released. Additionally, several Fed officials are scheduled to speak, including Thomas Barr on Tuesday (today), John Williams on Wednesday, and Neel Kashkari on Friday.
GBPUSD IdeaAfter price tapped our higher timeframe POI(supply), it began to retrace back into the previous range with momentum. It then touched the base of the range a few times before pushing up, forming liquidity within the upper range. These touches formed what most would identify as support, which is also liquidity that price could target right after taking out all internal range liquidity. Higher timeframe analysis suggest we could potentially be at the beginning of a bearish trend, so this with all this information we are able to look for sells (at least short term). Price could use an established 1h supply to initiate it's move to target liquidity below support previously mentioned, together with medium term trendline liquidity that rests below this support. This is where we get an opportunity to jump in for a ride.
GBPUSD | Bullish outlookGBPUSD is in a big uptrend and has only now seen some big bearish moves at the start of the year.
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GBPUSD hasn't really made a new low and is still holding the 1.26100 level pretty hard.
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If we see big bullish moves in the upcoming week. I will be looking for a break of the resistance level and then a retest of the resistance zone and new highs being made.
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When this happens I will be looking for long positions.
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Let me know what you think!
