GBPUSD: BoS, weak GBP, strengthening USDI'm expecting a big collapse from this pair over the next few weeks.
I'm seeing a Break of Structure on the lower timeframes, with 1hr retest.
GBP data shocking and certainly indicating recession, USD not looking like a recession. Heightening global conflict could also lead to a stronger USD.
I'm going short on this pair, first target 1.255.
Gbp-usd
GBPUSD - Top-Down Analysis 📹 From Daily To H1Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #GBPUSD.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GBPUSD Top Down Analysis January 23, 2024Top-down Analysis.
In this video, we take a close look at the GBPUSD to find out where it is going. Using a top-down analysis, we have examined all possible directions of price movement in the short term and long term, respectively.
We are expecting to catch a down move that will give us a potential of 147 pips in profit if it goes our way.
GBPUSD | Jan 19Looks like the pair has found solid demand zone around 1.26770 and short term long opportunities may be found. Would love to see the close before entering anything as it will also give us a closure on the weekly, which would drive the public interest. Personally got stopped out on the pullback with a 1:1 trade. Stay safe!
Sell GBPUSD Bearish Channel GBP/USD has formed a bearish channel pattern on the H1 timeframe, indicating a potential for further downside.
Pattern: The price has been making lower highs and lower lows within the channel, creating a downward sloping trend.
Sell Entry: A break below the channel support at 1.2665 could be an opportunity to enter a short trade.
Targets: Potential bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.2558 and 1.2498.
Stop Loss: A stop loss could be placed above the channel resistance at 1.2703.
Factors Underpinning the Downward Pressure:
Risk-Off Sentiment: Global markets are facing uncertainties, driving investors to seek refuge in safe-haven currencies like the US dollar. This has put downward pressure on the relatively riskier pound sterling.
BoE Policy Divergence: The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates at a slower pace than the US Federal Reserve, potentially widening the interest rate differential between the two economies. This could further weaken the pound against the dollar.
Trading Considerations:
Confirm Breakdown: Wait for a clear break below the lower boundary of the channel to validate the bearish momentum and potentially trigger sell trades.
Manage Risk: Implement stop-loss orders above the resistance level to limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses course.
Monitor Fundamentals: Stay informed about economic data releases and central bank communications from both the UK and the US, as they can significantly influence the GBP/USD pair's trajectory.
The Move we All have been waiting for!!! GU is finally approaching a zone that I have been waiting to see it react to. The Dollar is very bullish so I'm expecting to get a nice sell opportunity in this area. To see it moving bullish now during Asian range it builds my anticipation for seeing some bearish action for London. Sitting on hands for now.
GBPUSD: Unraveling CPI Insights and Potential USD StrengthIn today's trading session, our focus is on GBPUSD, where we are monitoring a potential selling opportunity around the 1.27100 zone. The currency pair, which had been trading in an uptrend, has recently broken out and is currently in a correction phase, nearing the retrace area at the 1.27100 support and resistance zone.
Adding a fundamental perspective to our analysis, let's delve into the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The numbers from previous months indicate a pattern of stable inflation, with the most recent CPI figures coming in at 3.4%, surpassing the forecasted 3.2% and showing a slight decrease from the previous month's 3.7%. This data suggests a relatively well-managed inflation scenario.
Examining this from a broader economic standpoint, stable or slightly increasing inflation might contribute to a stronger US dollar. Investors and traders often view stable inflation positively as it reflects a healthy economic environment. The Federal Reserve, in such circumstances, might have room to consider tightening monetary policy, potentially leading to USD strength.
Considering these fundamental factors alongside technical analysis, traders should carefully assess the potential impact on GBPUSD. As always, trade safe.
Sell GBPUSD Channel BreakoutWeaker inflation, higher unemployment and gloom from policymakers.
The fall in inflation is not the only issue holding the BoE back from hikes.
BoE’s decision to pause and the probable end to policy tightening represents a loss of interest rate support
Price breaks the channel now, its Good chance to sell now.
Thank you
Reviewing GU from a Swing perspectiveWe are now 2 weeks in on the new year and as the major players come back in to the market it looks like they spent the first 2 weeks of the year accumulating orders to go bearish. As we come into the new week we are looking for more signs that price wants to go bearish now.
BUY GBPUSD H4 ChannelCentral Bank Meetings:
Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC): This takes center stage on Wednesday, January 10th. A 50 basis point (bps) rate hike is widely anticipated, but the market will be looking for any hints about the future trajectory of rates. A more aggressive tightening path could strengthen the pound against the dollar.
Economic Data:
US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): Released on Friday, January 6th, a strong jobs number could strengthen the dollar and weigh on GBP/USD. Conversely, a weak reading could have the opposite effect. 400,000 new jobs are expected, which would be positive for the US economy.
UK GDP: The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for December on January 10th. Consistent economic growth could support the pound, while a slowdown could weaken it. The market expects a 0.3% month-over-month increase.
Weekly Forecast (Jan 8 to Jan 12) :
GBP/USD - H4 Chart - Channel Formation
Always wait for strong Conformation in Short term for entry. 👈👈👈
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