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Gbp-usd

GBPUSD Potential bullish reversal coming?Fundamental Analysis GBP/USD market movers The governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, recently spoke about how the inflation readings for April are expected to show a significant drop as the effects of higher fuel and food prices from last year are no longer in the equation. Although there are signs that inflation is easing, Bailey also mentioned that the secondary effects of high inflation are still present and that there are potential risks for inflation in the future. Bank of England's recent policy meeting went as expected with no surprises. The BoE decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.50%, which was the same decision made at the previous meeting. This decision was voted on by a 7-2 majority. In the UK, inflation is currently at 10.1%, which is more than double the 4.9% reading in the US. The core inflation rates in both countries are closer, with the UK at 6.2% and the US at 5.5%. However, this suggests that the UK will likely continue to raise interest rates after the Federal Reserve (Fed) has stopped, which may benefit the Pound Sterling over the US Dollar as global investors tend to prefer currencies with higher interest rates to invest their money. Looking at the US Dollar and the potential risks associated with the US debt ceiling default. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen recently warned that a failure to raise the debt ceiling could result in an "economic and financial catastrophe." This could have an impact on the US Dollar moving forward. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Producer Price Index (PPI) for April, with both the annual headline and core figures coming in slightly below expectations. Additionally, the US Department of Labor's weekly Initial Jobless Claims were higher than expected, with 264K new first-time unemployment claims filed. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, from our point of view, GBP/USD remains in a long-term uptrend, advantaging long over short holders even if price was to break below the TL, which would means that the current correction will be longer and deeper before breaking the Highs of May 2022, please see chart analysis above for details.
Long
by financialflagship
GBP is BossBullish Setup The next HH HL is the sinal of the Bullish Trend start Here’s the 4hr Elliott wave Chart from the 4/14/2022 New York update. In which, the rally to 1.6866 high ended 5 waves from the 2/10/2023 low in wave (1) & made a pullback in wave (2). The internals of that pullback unfolded as Elliott wave double three correction where wave W ended at 1.6579 low. Then a bounce to 1.6835 high-ended wave X & started the next leg lower in wave Y towards 1.6547-1.6369 blue box area. From there, buyers were expected to appear looking for new highs ideally or for a 3-wave bounce minimum. GBP Funamentals The GBP has experienced a notable rally in recent weeks, positioning it as the top-performing currency among the G10 nations this year. The unexpected success story of the GBP, now dubbed the "King of G10 FX," can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, the rebound can be attributed to a series of positive UK data releases in recent months, which were influenced by the significant decline in European energy prices and subsequent improvements in commodity terms of trade. Additionally, the persistent UK inflation, combined with reduced post-Brexit tensions between the UK and the EU, as well as diminished risks of another independence referendum, have enhanced the attractiveness of GBP-denominated assets. Asia overnight The sentiment was mixed during Asian trading as investors grappled with concerns surrounding the US debt ceiling. However, their optimism was boosted by China's better-than-expected exports data. Fig1: China headline news from 09/05/2023 There were also reports from newswires suggesting that Chinese authorities might announce additional measures to bolster the economy. Currently, Asian markets were trading with a mixed performance, while S&P500 futures showed a slight decline. In the G10 foreign exchange market, trading remained within narrow ranges, with the Norwegian krone (NOK) and Euro (EUR) underperforming, while the US dollar (USD) and Japanese yen (JPY) outperformed. Kazuo Ueda, the Governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), stated that the central bank would discontinue its Yield Curve Control (YCC) policy once inflation consistently reaches 2%. However, this statement didn't come as a surprise and maintained investors' view of the new BoJ Governor as dovish. In March, Japan's wage growth continued to be lacklustre, with real wages experiencing a YoY decline of -2.9%. This data is unlikely to prompt any policy changes by the BoJ. USD: Debt ceiling, regional banks, and the Fed The short-term outlook for the USD is heavily influenced by the ongoing drama surrounding the US debt ceiling in Congress and the outlook for regional banks in the United States. Market concerns regarding the prospects of regional lenders are unlikely to ease following the recent release of the Senior Loan Officers Survey. Additionally, the political deadlock over the US debt ceiling is expected to continue negatively impacting the USD. During the day, foreign exchange (FX) investors will closely monitor the high-level meeting between President Joe Biden and US congressional leaders, which aims to resolve the impasse over the debt ceiling. In terms of its impact on the FX market, any signs of progress between Democrats and Republicans towards a potential bipartisan solution, such as a short-term extension of the debt ceiling, could help the USD regain strength across the board. Conversely, indications that the political impasse has worsened may dampen the appeal of USD-denominated assets.
Long
by DaveBrascoFX
will the cable trade higher when BoE increases rates .. 1.30000?gbpusd , great british pound / u.s. dollar (the cable) economic outlook : on May 11 2023 the BoE is meeting and it is expected that they will hike the interest rates and even though on May 3 the Fed are also expected to lift rates there is a interest rate differential as the Fed are also planning to pause raising interest rates which could signal the british pound outperforming the u.s dollar. more positive for the sterling as, the united kingdom government is said to have borrowed less that expected which means there will be a fiscal stimulus that could add more bullish momentum on the cable. technicals : price has been trading is consolidation phase with the psychological low of the sideways range @ 1.19000 and the high @ 1.24500. bullish momentum is in control of price as price is respecting and holding bullish trendline by trading above it and is trading above the high of the consolidation phase @ 1.24500. i have targets at weekly supply level of proximal price @ 1.27800 but overrall bullish targets @ 1.30000 supply and demand FX:GBPJPY put together by : Pako Phutietsile presented by : @currencynerd courtesy of : @TradingView
Long
by currencynerd
2
GBP USD - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISAn extended period of U.S. dollar depreciation is approaching. The greenback could be relatively stable in the near term, as some additional Fed tightening combined with the potential for mildly unsettled markets could provide temporary support for the greenback. However, we expect the U.S. currency to come under pressure as aggressive Fed easing starts in Q4-2023. We forecast the trade-weighted dollar to soften 3% over the balance of 2023, and by a further 5% in 2024.
Long
by thunderpips
GBPUSD - Trend-Following Setup ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. GBPUSD is has been overall bullish trading inside the fat rising red channel, and it is currently rejecting the upper bound. As we approach the lower red trendline, we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes. Moreover, the green zone is a strong support. 🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower red trendline. (acting as non-horizontal support) As per my trading style: As GBPUSD is sitting around the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
4
GBP/USD INTRADAY LONG3 Main AIO corresponding to valid order blocks 1- Supply that formed before big push to the downside creating a Choch on 1h TF, although maing swing low was not broken. bullish bias for higher timeframes 2- Principal Area of interest with order placed with appropriate risk management, has it the last demand formed before new high is formed on the 1h in confluence with demand sitting at 0.705 fib level of the structural move. In confluence with the POC of volume profile correspondent to the beggining until start of today london session. 3- Demand just below sitting on 0.786 fib level of structural move where if price reaches the area I will look for LTF confirmations to place order There is a significant increase in the volume traded per session as the week develops. last major volume, made price range after creating a new high. Although the build up in volume is aided of price oscillating to the upside. I take that as volume that intends to break structure meaning creating a new swing high. For the reasons above i am bullish for today.
Long
by vsliziario