Get started

Gbp-usd

GBP/USD drops to 1.2075 on downbeat UK inflationAs the UK inflation data disappoints, GBP/USD takes offers to refresh the intraday low near 1.2100, adding strength to the first daily loss in three days. Nonetheless, the UK Consumer Price Index fell 10.1% year on year in January, compared to 10.3% expected by the market and 10.5% previously. With this, headline inflation has fallen for the third consecutive month after reaching a 41-year high in October. More importantly, the Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy items, fell to 5.8% year on year, down from 6.2% expected and 6.3% in previous readings. Given the mostly negative UK inflation figures, as well as the mixed jobs report from the previous day, the GBP/USD could fall further, as Bank of England (BoE) officials have recently highlighted the data dependency for further rate hikes. Furthermore, a separate Reuters survey of economists predicted no more than one rate hike of 25 basis points (bps) in March before the BoE initiates policy pivot calls. Because Fed policymakers are comparatively more hawkish despite recent soft US inflation, the GBP/USD could face additional downside pressure. Alternatively, the Financial Times (FT) reported that UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt are open to a deal with workers that includes a lump sum payment by backdating next year's pay award. This follows previous attempts by UK firms to raise labor pay in order to support inflation and put a floor under the GBP/USD price. Despite an unimpressive US Consumer Price Index (CPI), hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) comments and a recovery in US Treasury bond yields appear to be exerting downward pressure on the Cable pair. Against this backdrop, US 10-year Treasury bond yields remain stable at around 3.75%, after rising three basis points (bps) the previous day to re-establish a six-week high, while the two-year counterpart follows suit by poking 4.62%, near 4.61% at the latest. However, the S&P 500 Futures fell half a percent, tracing Wall Street's losses and favoring the US Dollar's haven demand, allowing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to post its first daily gain in three days, up 0.27% intraday near 103.55 by press time. Following the initial market reaction to key UK data, GBP/USD traders should await US Retail Sales and Industrial Production details for January, as well as the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index for February, for clear direction. However, a few central bankers from the Fed and the BoE are scheduled to speak, which may entertain Cable traders ahead of Friday's UK Retail Sales.
Short
by FOREXN1
5
GBPUSD H4: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 1.2170On the H4 time frame, prices are facing bearish pressure from the resistance zone at 1.2170, in line with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and 61.8% Fibonacci extension where we could see a further drop below this zone to the support zone at 1.1920. This support zone coincides with the graphical area and 100% Fibonacci extension. Failure to hold below the 1.2170 resistance zone could see prices push higher to the next resistance zone at 1.2280. Prices are holding below the Ichimoku cloud as well, supporting the bearish bias.
Short
by T3-Consultancy
Possible breakdown below 1.20GBP is above 1.20. That is why I obstain from shorting it now. Its risky to short it for now. It is very strong support level. But price poked below it a few times (indicates weakness and future breakdown. The more price pokes through support the weaker it gets). Trendline breakdown with a strong bearish candle indicates move lower. So do also lower low and lower highs. Price might retest monthly close before it starts trending down. IF price makes higher high on daily, it will end at 1.30. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
Short
by ICFX
GBP/USD forecast ahead of key inflation data It is prudent to examine the strength of the US dollar against the pound in the lead up to two very important inflation data reports. First is the US inflation data due on Wednesday morning at 2.30 am (NZDT). And second is the UK’s inflation data on Wednesday night at 8.00 pm (NZDT). The annual US inflation rate to January 2023 is expected to fall to about 6.2% from 6.5% in December of 2022, and in doing so will continue the decline of consumer prices for a seventh straight month. However, a smaller than expected decline in the US inflation data might shake a little more bulls off the GBP/USD frontline, after it dropped from 1.2400 to below 1.2030 last week, its weakest level since January 6, and breaking through its upward trendline. The decline in UK inflation is expected to fall from 10.55 to 10.2%, but it has been beating expectations and falling more than forecast in its previous 2 releases, so another beat might be on the cards and putting the GBP back on the front foot. GBP/USD attempted to bounce back last Thursday after establishing support at 1.2015 but failed to close above the 200-EMA. This failed move meant the GBP/USD ended the week with a big red candle, engulfing the previous bullish candle that tried to move past the 200-EMA. The rejection at the 200-EMA means there is resistance at around 1.2121, which could be considered a lower high in the downtrend. Stronger-than-expected US inflation or weaker-than-expected UK inflation could see GBP/USD breaking below 1.2018, with 1.1900 a potential target for the downward move. On the opposite side of the trade, GBP/USD may rise to 1.2189 or even 1.2318 from a swing perspective. Look for a closing above the 200-EMA and the 1.2121 resistance area for this to happen.
by BlackBull_Markets
GBPUSD a short opportunity 🦐In technical analysis, a distribution block is often viewed as a sign that the market is losing steam after a strong bullish trend. This can be an indication that the market is starting to correct itself, and that the trend may be reversing. In the case of GBP/USD on the 4 hour timeframe, the price breaks below the distribution block and If then will retests the previous support, which has now become resistance, it could be a sign to consider a short order according to Plancton's strategy. This is because the retest of the former support level at a lower price could indicate that the market is not able to sustain its previous bullish trend and that the bears are now in control.
by InkyGrip
16
GBP/USD faces further weakness near termAs described in our last idea on GBP/USD a Double top occurred after the release of economic news. Economist Lee Sue Ann and market strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group believe that further declines in the GBP/USD exchange rate are still likely to occur over the coming weeks. Key Quotes Day and Night: Even though we anticipated a decline in the value of the pound last Friday, we maintained that "1.2120 is unlikely to be in danger." GBP, however, lost more ground than was anticipated, falling as low as 1.2047. The slide has room to go down to the support of 1.2000 even if it is plainly oversold before stabilization is probable. The next support level at 1.1950 is probably out of reach right now. Resistance is at 1.2100, but stabilization of the GBP's weakening would only be indicated by a breach of 1.2150.
by FOREXN1
11
j.Hejazi | GBP/USD Double Top with Bearish SignalsThe GBP/USD currency pair has formed a double top pattern with a divergence on the MACD indicator, which has been confirmed. The price is currently heading towards the neckline, which is the key level of 1.18550. At this level, there are several factors that may provide support, including the 200-day moving average, the ascending weekly trendline, and the 23.60 Fibonacci level. There is a high likelihood that the price may bounce off this zone of support, but if it breaks through 1.18550, it will be considered a sell signal. Follow My Telegram Channel for Up-to-Date Buy/Sell Signals Based on This Analysis “frx_experts” ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let me know your thoughts in the comments, and show your support by liking the idea. Please follow if you're interested in more ideas like this. Your support is greatly appreciated!
Short
by Candlestick_OB
2
GBPUSD Potential for Bearish Drop | 3rd February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for GBPUSD is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a pullback sell entry at 1.22920, where the overlap resistance is. Stop loss will be at 1.24012, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 1.20997, where the overlap support an 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Short
by Rockqet
GBPUSD Double Top rejection but Support cluster below.The GBPUSD pair is pulling back significantly after a Double Top rejection at 1.2455. The first Support offered is within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the bottom of the Channel Up is has been trading on since October. If that holds, we'll take it as a short-term buy back to the 1.2455 Double Top Resistance. A closing above should further extend the rally to the 1.2675 May 27 High. However a break below the Channel Up, will be a sell break-out signal, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) with the best long-term buy beyond that level being on the 1.1845 Support. In both cases, we will only buy any further if the June 01 2021 Lower Highs - 1W MA200 (red trend-line) Resistance Cluster breaks. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
1