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Gbp-usd

GBPUSD to the 1.21? 🦐GBPUSD after testing with a spike retraced at the 0.886 Fibonacci level and is looking for direction. The market overall remains in a bullish trend in the short term and a new recent high can be seen. How can i approach this scenario? I will wait for a possible break of the resistance area and if that happen i will set a nice long order according to the Plancton's strategy rules. ------ Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
by InkyGrip
24
GBP USD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSGBP FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BEARISH BASELINE A looming recession has been a key source of Pound weakness and has kept pressure on Sterling despite ongoing BoE hikes. At their NOV policy decision, the BoE’s updated projections showed a deeper and longer recession than previously thought, as well as a stern push back against current market pricing for the high implied rate path. However, rate markets did not respond to this with only marginal downside in terminal rate expectations. With the new budget now out of the way, the markets should turn their attention to what this means for the economic outlook and means economic data & BoE policy should start to matter a bit more again. Unfortunately, the week ahead is extremely light so the main driver will probably be overall risk sentiment. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES With recession the base assumption, any incoming data that surprises meaningfully higher could trigger relief for the GBP. With focus on stagflation, any downside surprises in CPI or factors that decrease inflation pressures are expected to support the GBP and not pressure it. Any overly positive takes from BoE speak regarding the budget could be taken as a positive for Sterling. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES With recession the base assumption, any material downside surprises in growth data can still trigger short-term pressure. With focus on stagflation, any upside surprises in CPI or factors that increase more inflation pressures are expected to weigh on the GBP and not support it. Any overly negative takes from BoE speak regarding the budget could be taken as a negative for Sterling. BIGGER PICTURE The fundamentals for Sterling remain bearish with the UK already in a recession based on recent data. At least the new PM has provided some calm to the fiscal situation and political uncertainty though. Expectations are for a lot of pain ahead for the UK economy which means the fundamental outlook remains bearish. But with a lot of bad news priced, we’re looking for shortterm upside opportunities. USD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: BULLISH BASELINE The Fed is on a data-dependent (meeting-by-meeting) policy stance, meaning incoming growth, inflation and jobs data remains a key driver for short-term USD volatility where we expect a cyclical reaction for both the USD and US10Y (good data expected to be supportive for the USD and US yields while bad data is expected to pressure the USD and US yields). The Fed is still under pressure to continue hiking rates and ramping up QT, but last week’s decent deceleration in the OCT CPI report has given markets some solace from inflation angst. Money markets shed about 30bsp off the implied terminal rate. As a result of this the USD saw intense selling but has largely stabilized this week. Like we’ve said many times, right now is all about the data. The data will lead the Fed, which means the data is what we should follow for high probability short-term directional flows for the USD. In the week ahead, we have a few of important data points such as ISM Manufacturing PMI and NFP on Friday. However, also pay close attention to the scheduled speech from Fed Chair Powell on Wednesday. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES With the Fed signalling a data dependent policy stance, we expect a cyclical reaction from the USD with incoming US data. Thus, extremely good growth, inflation or jobs data is expected to trigger short-term bullish reactions in the USD. If the cyclical outlook continues to weaken, the USD’s safe haven status still matters. Any incoming catalysts that increase deep recession fears and triggers strong moves lower in risk assets & bonds can trigger safe haven flows into the USD. With a lot priced for the Fed and USD, the bar is high for hawkish Fed surprises, but any aggressive Fed speak talking up a >5.5% terminal rate can trigger further USD upside. The speech from Fed Chair Powell will be important. If he delivers the same stern hawkish tone that accompanied the prior FOMC presser, it can provide upside for the USD. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES With the Fed signalling a data dependent policy stance, we expect a cyclical reaction from the USD with incoming US data. Thus, extremely bad growth, inflation or jobs data is expected to trigger short-term bearish reactions in the USD. If the cyclical outlook starts to improve, the USD’s safe haven status still matters. Any incoming catalysts that decrease deep recession fears and triggers strong moves higher in risk assets & bonds can trigger safe haven outflows out of the USD. With a lot priced in for the Fed and the USD, it won’t take much to disappoint on the dovish side. Any big concerns about growth from Fed speakers could trigger outflows. BIGGER PICTURE The fundamental outlook for the USD remains bullish as long as the Fed stays aggressively hawkish and cyclical concerns put pressure on risk sentiment. However, it’s also important to remember that the data leads the Fed. That means, even though the USD remains fundamentally bullish in the currency negative cyclical environment, it’s short-term direction will largely be determined by the incoming data. Thus, in the current context, we prefer trading the USD in the short-term with scalps out of key US economic data points.
by thunderpips
9
SHORTING GBPUSD For the short term LOLKey: Orange bars= Take profit Areas Blue bars= Key areas Overview For the long term I believe that this pair is going to be bullish. However, in the short term I think that there could be an opportunity to hop on and get in on the retrace down to the 1.1930 levels, because that is the last place where price stopped at, and it also lines up well with the Fib-retracement tool. The Plan Currently price is in a mini consolidation. I am going to wait for price to break and retest my lower key level (1.2060) before getting in for a Sell down 1.1930, the orange lower level. Plan B If you fail to plan you plan to fail . In the case that price doesn't break my lower key area , it could go long. If it wants to go long I will wait for price to break and retest my upper key area (1.21500) before getting into a buy up to 1.2250. * I have also set up alerts around my key areas so I can be ready for price when it gets there. Information created and published by you on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
Short
by Rob-ert-Na-than-iel
GBP USD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSGBP FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BEARISH BASELINE A looming recession has been a key source of Pound weakness and has kept pressure on Sterling despite ongoing BoE hikes. At their NOV policy decision, the BoE’s updated projections showed a deeper and longer recession than previously thought, as well as a stern push back against current market pricing for the high implied rate path. However, rate markets did not respond to this with only marginal downside in terminal rate expectations. With the new budget now out of the way, the markets should turn their attention to what this means for the economic outlook and means economic data & BoE policy should start to matter a bit more again. Unfortunately, the week ahead is extremely light so the main driver will probably be overall risk sentiment. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES With recession the base assumption, any incoming data that surprises meaningfully higher could trigger relief for the GBP. With focus on stagflation, any downside surprises in CPI or factors that decrease inflation pressures are expected to support the GBP and not pressure it. Any overly positive takes from BoE speak regarding the budget could be taken as a positive for Sterling. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES With recession the base assumption, any material downside surprises in growth data can still trigger short-term pressure. With focus on stagflation, any upside surprises in CPI or factors that increase more inflation pressures are expected to weigh on the GBP and not support it. Any overly negative takes from BoE speak regarding the budget could be taken as a negative for Sterling. BIGGER PICTURE The fundamentals for Sterling remain bearish with the UK already in a recession based on recent data. At least the new PM has provided some calm to the fiscal situation and political uncertainty though. Expectations are for a lot of pain ahead for the UK economy which means the fundamental outlook remains bearish. But with a lot of bad news priced, we’re looking for shortterm upside opportunities. USD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: BULLISH BASELINE The Fed is on a data-dependent (meeting-by-meeting) policy stance, meaning incoming growth, inflation and jobs data remains a key driver for short-term USD volatility where we expect a cyclical reaction for both the USD and US10Y (good data expected to be supportive for the USD and US yields while bad data is expected to pressure the USD and US yields). The Fed is still under pressure to continue hiking rates and ramping up QT, but last week’s decent deceleration in the OCT CPI report has given markets some solace from inflation angst. Money markets shed about 30bsp off the implied terminal rate. As a result of this the USD saw intense selling but has largely stabilized this week. Like we’ve said many times, right now is all about the data. The data will lead the Fed, which means the data is what we should follow for high probability short-term directional flows for the USD. In the week ahead, we have a few of important data points such as ISM Manufacturing PMI and NFP on Friday. However, also pay close attention to the scheduled speech from Fed Chair Powell on Wednesday. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES With the Fed signalling a data dependent policy stance, we expect a cyclical reaction from the USD with incoming US data. Thus, extremely good growth, inflation or jobs data is expected to trigger short-term bullish reactions in the USD. If the cyclical outlook continues to weaken, the USD’s safe haven status still matters. Any incoming catalysts that increase deep recession fears and triggers strong moves lower in risk assets & bonds can trigger safe haven flows into the USD. With a lot priced for the Fed and USD, the bar is high for hawkish Fed surprises, but any aggressive Fed speak talking up a >5.5% terminal rate can trigger further USD upside. The speech from Fed Chair Powell will be important. If he delivers the same stern hawkish tone that accompanied the prior FOMC presser, it can provide upside for the USD. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES With the Fed signalling a data dependent policy stance, we expect a cyclical reaction from the USD with incoming US data. Thus, extremely bad growth, inflation or jobs data is expected to trigger short-term bearish reactions in the USD. If the cyclical outlook starts to improve, the USD’s safe haven status still matters. Any incoming catalysts that decrease deep recession fears and triggers strong moves higher in risk assets & bonds can trigger safe haven outflows out of the USD. With a lot priced in for the Fed and the USD, it won’t take much to disappoint on the dovish side. Any big concerns about growth from Fed speakers could trigger outflows. BIGGER PICTURE The fundamental outlook for the USD remains bullish as long as the Fed stays aggressively hawkish and cyclical concerns put pressure on risk sentiment. However, it’s also important to remember that the data leads the Fed. That means, even though the USD remains fundamentally bullish in the currency negative cyclical environment, it’s short-term direction will largely be determined by the incoming data. Thus, in the current context, we prefer trading the USD in the short-term with scalps out of key US economic data points.
by thunderpips
6
Forecast GBPUSD#GBPUSD Good day, traders! Don't forget to put your thumbs up and write your comment if you like the idea The pound dollar on the D1 timeframe forms the right shoulder of the H&S pattern, in the event of a complete formation of the figure, I will consider the long in order to work out the pattern and break through the sloping trend resistance of the downward channel DISCLAIMER: The opinion of the author may not coincide with yours! Keep this in mind and consider in your trading transactions before making a trading decision.
Long
by airstels
3
GBPUSD - Bulls in controlGBPUSD - Intraday - We look to Buy at 1.1970 (stop at 1.1875) Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. We are trading at overbought extremes. A lower correction is expected. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher. Our profit targets will be 1.2235 and 1.2660 Resistance: 1.2110 / 1.2660 / 1.3295 Support: 1.1760 / 1.1490 / 1.1215 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Will the GBPUSD continue climbing?Manufacturing and services PMI data for the UK was released stronger than expected at 46.2 and 48.8 respectively. Combined with the weakness of the DXY, the GBPUSD broke above the 1.19 round number resistance level to climb strongly to the upside, ending the trading session at the 1.2050 price area. Currently trading just below the 1.21 price level, further upside is anticipated following a consolidation and possible slight retracement. If the GBPUSD continues to trade higher, the next key resistance is at 1.23.
Long
by JinDao_Tai
3
GBPUSD D1: Bearish outlook seen, potential reversal below 1.2080On the daily time frame, prices are testing the daily supply zone at 1.20800, in line with the graphical support-turned-resistance level and 88.6% Fibonacci retracement. This presents an opportunity to play the drop to the next support target at 1.1620 which coincides with the Fibonacci confluence levels and graphical support zone. Stochastics is testing resistance as well in the overbought region where we could see a reversal, supporting the bearish bias.
Short
by T3-Consultancy
GBPUSD Potential For Bullish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for GBPUSD is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. To add confluence to this bias, price has also broken above the ascending trend line. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 1.16820, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 1.20487, where the 88% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 1.13638, where the previous swing low is. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
1
GBP/USD Decline is coming💷💵💷💵GBP/USD Decline is coming 💷💵This post is a continuation of my previous post: 💷💵Following the recent rises which I predicted below: 💷💵The time has come to attack the declines again. 💷💵We are at a very interesting resistance zone determined by the cluster of levels at 0.618 of the entire downward wave and 0.236 of the largest upward correction. 💷💵I still believe that we are in for declines on this pair. 💷💵I am looking out for the nearest support around the cluster of levels 1.618 of the largest upward correction and 1.618 of the current upward momentum. 💷💵The scenario I am playing out is a descent continuation of the declines with a target level at the support zone. 💷💵*Please do not suggest the path I have drawn with lines this is only a hypothetical scenario for further increases. 🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post then I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
Short
by InvestMate
13
InvestMate|GBP/USD Worth the risk?💷💵💷💵GBP/USD Worth the risk? 💷💵That's how I recently predicted the first downward impulse on GBP/USD: 💷💵This time it is time for an update and to broaden my perspective on this pair. 💷💵Begin with the fact that since 25 September the Pound on all pairs has shown strength and a massive wave of strengthening of this currency has started since the breakout of new lows. 💷💵We've had a couple of major corrections along the way, but looking at this indecision from investors about the direction we would take and the lack of willingness to buy. I am inclined to think there is a good chance of seeing a clear downward correction at the current point. 💷💵The place where it could end has been marked by a support zone that I have determined based on a cluster of two levels. The first level is the 0.5 fibo level of the entire upward wave that started after the largest downward correction in the current uptrend. The second is the 1:1 level of the largest downward correction in the current upward wave that started on 25 September. 💷💵I have also determined a resistance zone based on the space between the 0.5 and 0.618 levels of the largest upward wave from the peak. 💷💵The scenario I'm playing out is the start of the next wave of weakness in the pound against the dollar, taking into account smaller corrections along the way which, in the perspective of the next weeks, will end at the support zone marked on the chart. 💷💵*Please do not suggest the path I have drawn with the lines this is only a hypothetical scenario. 🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
Short
by InvestMate
1
GBPUSD Bullish long-term on two targets.The GBPUSD pair has turned bullish long-term after it broke above the February 21 Lower Highs trend-line on November 10. It is close to the first target of this break-out, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). If it gets hit, we are only willing to re-buy again above the 1.2285 Resistance (August 01 High) and target the 1W MA200 (red trend-line) and June 01 2021 Lower Highs trend-line). There is an obvious Channel Up (dashed lines) leading this uptrend but the true Support is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) slightly below. As long as it holds, we can continue buying the pull-backs. A break below it though, restores the bearish trend and the pair would target 1.1000 initially. Notice that the 1W RSI is on its highest level since the February 21 High while the 1W MACD is on the strongest Bullish Cross in recent years. Both of them indicate potentially the start of a new long-term bullish trend. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
4
GBPCAD long to short ideaAs we showed in our mark up last Sunday, we expected price to hit our higher zone! Which it did!! BUT, never gave us the short entry that we was looking for, now we have cleared that target we are looking to follow the bullish order flow up to the next POI.... from there we are going to look for shorts again, REMEMBER follow order flow and don't force your entries! wait for them to show themselves.... IF YOU LIKE THIS IDEA SHOW US BY HITTING THAT LIKE & SHARE BUTTON!
Short
by PipSurfingSociety
GBP USD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSGBP FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: WEAK BEARISH BASELINE A looming recession has been a key source of Pound weakness and has kept pressure on Sterling despite ongoing BoE hikes. At their NOV policy decision, the BoE’s updated projections showed a deeper and longer recession than previously thought, as well as a stern push back against current market pricing for the high implied rate path. However, rate markets did not respond to this with only marginal downside in terminal rate expectations. With the new budget now out of the way, the markets should turn their attention to what this means for the economic outlook, and means economic data & BoE policy should start to matter a bit more again. This week the highlight will be S&P Flash PMIs, but a slew of BoE speak will be interesting after the budget. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES With recession the base assumption, any incoming data that surprises meaningfully higher could trigger relief for the GBP. With focus on stagflation, any downside surprises in CPI or factors that decrease inflation pressures are expected to support the GBP and not pressure it. Any overly positive takes from BoE speak regarding the budget could be taken as a positive for Sterling. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES With recession the base assumption, any material downside surprises in growth data can still trigger short-term pressure. With focus on stagflation, any upside surprises in CPI or factors that increase more inflation pressures are expected to weigh on the GBP and not support it. Any overly negative takes from BoE speak regarding the budget could be taken as a positive for Sterling. BIGGER PICTURE The fundamentals for Sterling remain bearish with the UK already in a recession based on recent data. At least the new PM has provided some calm to the fiscal situation and political uncertainty though. Expectations are for a lot of pain ahead for the UK economy which means the fundamental outlook remains bearish. USD FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK: BULLISH BASELINE The Fed is on a data-dependent (meeting-by-meeting) policy stance, meaning incoming growth, inflation and jobs data remains a key driver for short-term USD volatility where we expect a cyclical reaction for both the USD and US10Y (good data expected to be supportive for the USD and US yields while bad data is expected to pressure the USD and US yields). The Fed is still under pressure to continue hiking rates and ramping up QT, but last week’s decent deceleration in the OCT CPI report has given markets some solace from inflation angst. Money markets shed about 30bsp off the implied terminal rate. As a result of this the USD saw intense selling but has largely stabilized this week. Like we’ve said many times, right now is all about the data. The data will lead the Fed, which means the data is what we should follow for high probability short-term directional flows for the USD. In the week ahead, the only major data highlight is the S&P Global Flash PMIs and perhaps the FOMC meeting minutes. POSSIBLE BULLISH SURPRISES With the Fed signalling a data dependent policy stance, we expect a cyclical reaction from the USD with incoming US data. Thus, extremely good growth, inflation or jobs data is expected to trigger short-term bullish reactions in the USD. If the cyclical outlook continues to weaken, the USD’s safe haven status still matters. Any incoming catalysts that increase deep recession fears and triggers strong moves lower in risk assets & bonds can trigger safe haven flows into the USD. With a lot priced for the Fed and USD, the bar is high for hawkish Fed surprises, but any aggressive Fed speak talking up a >5.5% terminal rate can trigger further USD upside. POSSIBLE BEARISH SURPRISES With the Fed signalling a data dependent policy stance, we expect a cyclical reaction from the USD with incoming US data. Thus, extremely bad growth, inflation or jobs data is expected to trigger short-term bearish reactions in the USD. If the cyclical outlook starts to improve, the USD’s safe haven status still matters. Any incoming catalysts that decrease deep recession fears and triggers strong moves higher in risk assets & bonds can trigger safe haven outflows out of the USD. With a lot priced in for the Fed and the USD, it won’t take much to disappoint on the dovish side. Any big concerns about growth from Fed speakers could trigger outflows. BIGGER PICTURE The fundamental outlook for the USD remains bullish as long as the Fed stays aggressively hawkish and cyclical concerns put pressure on risk sentiment. However, it’s also important to remember that the data leads the Fed. That means, even though the USD remains fundamentally bullish in the currency negative cyclical environment, it’s short-term direction will largely be determined by the incoming data. Thus, in the current context, we prefer trading the USD in the short-term with scalps out of key US economic data points.
by thunderpips