GBPUSD H8 - Long Signal 1.30 HANDLE GBPUSD H8
We broke slightly south of our 1.30 handle and psychological price late last week, that being said, it was fairly minor, merely just 30 points. We have now adjusted our entry price and SL positioning in the case this setup wants to attempt to break higher. We have an attractive area of support and demand, mixed with the previously mentioned confluences.
Not a great deal of data out today, so maybe it’s worth monitoring these trading zones and prices and waiting until the volume really starts to drive in. DXY approaching that 104.000 number, this is where we would expect rejections and therefore GBPUSD to climb higher, but in the interim, this may lead GPBUSD to trade south of 1.30 again in the short term. Let’s see what unfolds, but this is certainly on the watchlist this week.
GBP
GBPCAD Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.The GBPCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Up for more than 1 year (since September 28 2023) and since September 30 2024 has been on Lower Highs. The last time we saw such a trend-line as on the April 16 2024 Lower High, after which a strong short-term rejection took place.
We expect a similar selling sequence to take place that should be contained however above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Our Target is 1.77000 (Support 1).
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GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.30650 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.30650 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Could the Cable rise from here?The price has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3033
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.2981
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.3146
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Could the Cable rise from here?The price is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3034
1st Support: 1.2977
1st Resistance: 1.3103
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD BUY TO $1.3200 (UPDATE)GBPUSD is still holding bullish as expected. We saw a deeper Wave V move happen, breaking below the previous Wave 4 low which I did say could happen. In turn sellers also broke structure to the downside, meaning in the future GBPUSD should move lower, but after a retracement first.
Wave 1 (5 Sub-Waves) complete. Now time for a move up towards Wave 2!
Buy GBP/NZD BreakoutThe GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 2.1480
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2.1600
2nd Resistance – 2.1675
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 2.1385. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Pullback resistance ahead for the Cable?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3033
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3080
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with th23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.2940
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish momentum to extend?GBP/CAD is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 78.6% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.7896
1st Support: 1.7829
1st Resistance: 1.7957
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPJPY Pull back signalGBPJPY is trading on a Channel Up but has turne sideways recently, indicating a potential top.
The last major formation has been a Death Cross (1d) and last time we had one was on January 17 2023.
The similarities between the two patterns are strong.
The MA200 (1d) is holding for now, if it breaks it will be the sell trigger for the trade.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell if the MA200 (1d) breaks.
Targets:
1. 188.600 (above the 0.786 Fib).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is also trading inside a Channel Up and also portrays similar attributes as the 2023 fractal.
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GBP/JPY : Technical Analysis and a signal!hello guys!
it is a risky position!!
Rising Channel:
The price has been trending upward within a well-defined ascending channel. However, it is currently testing the upper boundary of this channel.
Resistance Zone (Red Box):
Strong resistance is seen around the 196.117 level.
The price attempted to break through this resistance but faced rejection multiple times, suggesting a bearish reversal could be imminent.
Support Levels (Green Area):
There’s a key support level of around 187.953.
This support aligns with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, making it a potential target for any upcoming bearish move.
Bearish Momentum:
The price shows signs of weakness as it struggles below the red resistance zone.
A corrective move downwards is expected, with the first target around the 190.000 psychological level, followed by a potential drop to the 187.953 support zone.
Risk-Reward Setup:
The chart shows a clear risk/reward scenario, where a break below the 194.462 zone may trigger a sell-off towards lower levels.
If Sep CPI slows, GBPUSD could fall further
The UK's September Claimant Count Change rose to 27.9K, surpassing the market expectation of 20.2K. The UK unemployment rate in August dropped to 4.0%, the lowest level since last April. Attention now turns to the UK's September CPI results, with the market expecting a decrease to 1.9% from the previous 2.2%. If the CPI slows down, it could lead to increased expectations of further rate cuts by the BoE, putting pressure on the pound.
GBPUSD showed sluggish consolidation between 1.3030-1.3100 for eight consecutive trading days. The price briefly tested the support at 1.3050, awaiting further price triggers for a rebound. If GBPUSD fails to hold the support at 1.3050, the price may fall further to 1.2960. Conversely, if GBPUSD breaches both EMAs and the resistance at 1.3250, the price could gain upward momentum to 1.3435.
GBPUSD has flattened the decline. Potential rebound ahead.GBPUSD is trading inside a Bullish Megaphone since the April 22nd low.
Typically it bottoms after the price crosses under the MA50 (1d), which it did last week.
Even though the bottom of the Megaphone is a bit lower, R/R suggests that those are solid buy entry levels.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.3670 (the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, where all 3 previous Highs were priced).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) has flattened and its MA trend line is approaching. A crossing will confirm the bullish signal.
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GBPUSD BUY TO $1.3200 (UPDATE)Bullish momentum seems to be holding up for GU & price action looks like it is getting ready to break above the current trendline, which'll indicate market is ready for further upside.
Price compression within Wave IV to V is getting tighter, so if DXY weakens this week, it'll support further GU upside.
GBPUSD BUY TO $1.3200 (UPDATE)Since my update on GU since last night, price action has moved as I called it! Price has broken above the trendline, with a strong 4H bullish candle. Further indication that market is now in a bullish structure.
Wave 1 (5 Sub-Waves) complete. Now time for a move up towards Wave 2!
GBP/USD Fluctuates in a Narrow Range Amid Economic DataOn Tuesday, the GBP/USD pair traded within a narrow range between 1.3077 and 1.3080, showing a slight rebound from a demand area. Despite the modest movement, the market is still waiting for more significant developments before making larger moves.
UK Economic Data Supports GBP Stability
Earlier on Tuesday, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) released key employment data, which provided some support for the British Pound. The ILO Unemployment Rate for the three months leading up to August eased to 4.0%, down from 4.1% in July. Additionally, Employment Change figures showed an increase of 373K in August, up from 265K in July, indicating continued resilience in the labor market.
However, the report also showed a slight softening in wage inflation, as the Average Earnings excluding Bonus dropped to 4.9%, down from 5.1%. While wage growth moderated, the overall labor market data was positive enough to give the Pound some stability in the early session.
US Data and Market Outlook
The economic calendar is light for the US on Tuesday, with no major data releases expected. The market’s focus will shift to Thursday when the USD Core Retail Sales (m/m), Retail Sales (m/m), and Unemployment Claims are due to be released. These reports are expected to bring more volatility to the GBP/USD pair, as they will provide insights into the strength of the US economy and the potential direction of the US Dollar.
Until these data are released, the British Pound may continue to hold onto small gains, but the overall market mood remains cautious.
Technical Outlook: Bearish Momentum Ahead?
From a technical standpoint, GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure, and we anticipate a potential continuation of this trend. While the pair has found some temporary support around the current levels, we expect the bearish momentum to continue until the pair reaches a more solid demand zone around the 1.2800 level.
Until the pair approaches this level, we are refraining from opening any new positions, waiting for more clarity on market direction and potential retracement signals.
Conclusion
GBP/USD is holding steady in a narrow range as UK labor market data provides temporary support. However, the overall outlook remains cautious, with the potential for further bearish pressure. Investors should keep an eye on Thursday’s US data releases, which could trigger more significant movements in the pair. For now, we are waiting for GBP/USD to reach a stronger demand area before considering any new positions.
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Sell GBP/USD Bearish ChannelThe GBP/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.3062. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2988
2nd Support – 1.2960
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.3090. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Today High Impact News :
GBP - GDP, Trade Balance
EUR - German CPI
USD - PPI
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.