GBPJPY H4 - Short SignalGBPJPY H4
Potential shorts in the firing line here on GBPJPY. This 188.100 price is trading very close to this 188 whole number, we could start to see some resistance, rejections and sell-off from this trading zone. We have previously sold off a huge 3000 points over the last few weeks, one of the biggest corrections we have seen in a VERY LONG time.
It will be interesting to see how we perform during market open in 15 minutes for the UK session. Based on the swing high price dated 01/08/2024 to recent low price dated 05/08/2024, we are also trading at a key 618 corrective level.
GBP
Trading the Inflation Sandwich: What to Watch?Trading the Inflation Sandwich: What to Watch?
US CPI inflation (Consumer Price Index).
The CPI report is expected to confirm a continuation of the disinflationary trend observed in recent months. Analysts predict the annual inflation rate to edge down to 2.9%, while the core inflation rate is likely to decelerate to 3.2%.
This ongoing cooling of inflation could bolster expectations for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to lower interest rates in September.
Should inflation continue its downward trajectory, the FOMC may shift its focus to job numbers with greater intensity.
Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate decision
Of the 31 economists surveyed by Reuters, 9 expect the central bank to maintain its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 5.5% for the ninth consecutive meeting, while 12 forecast a 25-basis point rate cut.
A decision to hold could lend support to the New Zealand dollar (NZD), whereas a rate cut might exert downward pressure.
Traders might like to keep an eye on the AUD/NZD cross, with key resistance and support levels possibly at $1.0975 and $1.0843
UK CPI inflation
Following the Bank of England’s (BoE) recent decision to cut the Bank Rate by 25 basis points to 5.0%—the first reduction in four years—a fresh inflation report is due from the UK.
Headline CPI inflation for July is expected to rise to 2.3% year-on-year from June's 2.0%, with estimates ranging from 2.0% to 2.4%.
Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, is projected to hold steady at 3.5%, with a slight margin of variation between 3.3% and 3.5%.
R2F Weekly Analysis -10th August 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
GBPCAD Waiting for the 1D MA200 to confirm the bottom.The GBPCAD pair broke this week below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and is (including today) on a 2 day green streak. However this is technically not convincing for us to buy as despite holding the Internal Higher Lows trend-line, it is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) that has confirmed the major Higher Lows (bottoms) of the 11-month Channel Up.
In fact, it was a similar Internal Higher Lows trend-line that broke on April 01 2024 and despite a short-term rebound, broke downwards to confirm a bottom on the 1D MA200. As a result, we are waiting for that ideal technical opportunity to long and target 1.8000.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
GBPUSD: Dovish BoE and Strong DollarHey Traders,
Today, we’re focusing on GBP/USD for a potential selling opportunity around the 1.27600 zone. The pair is currently in a downtrend and is undergoing a correction phase, approaching this critical support and resistance area.
The British Pound faces significant pressure due to a dovish stance from the Bank of England, which has signaled a more cautious approach to monetary policy. This dovish outlook, combined with ongoing economic challenges and recession risks in the UK, is weakening the GBP. On the other hand, the US Dollar is strengthening, driven by the current recession risk USD is considered a safe haven.
This combination of factors supports the likelihood of further declines in GBP/USD as it approaches the 1.27600 zone. We should watch for bearish signals at this level for a potential selling opportunity.
UK Housing Market Lifts GBP/USD Amid Social UnrestGBPUSD – technical overview
Signs have emerged of the market wanting to put in a longer-term base after collapsing to a record low in September 2022. The door is now open for the next major upside extension towards the 2023 high at 1.3143. Any setbacks should be well supported ahead of 1.2500.
R2 1.2861 – 12 June high – Strong
R1 1.2800 – Figure – Medium
S1 1.2673 – 6 August low – Medium
S2 1.2613 – 27 June low – Strong
GBPUSD – fundamental overview
The Pound was still struggling on Wednesday from all the social unrest in the UK. However, we did see some demand on the back of UK house prices rising the most since January. Key standouts on Thursday’s calendar come from US initial jobless claims, wholesale inventories, and some Fed speak.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
GBPJPY 10H / (Consolidation Zone)GBPJPY Analyse
The price will consolidate between 188.290 and 186.378 till breaking.
there is two scenarios after breaking the pivot zone
Bearish Scenario: stability under 186.378 by closing 4h canlde will supporr falling to get 184.120 and 182.450 then should stabilize under it to get a next bearish station 177.930
Bullish Scenario: the price should break 188.291 to be uptrend till 191.580
Key Points:
Pivot Line: 187.400
Support lines: 184.115, 182.495, 180.180
Resistance Lines: 188.290, 189.975, 191.585
Tendency: Downward
Bullish reversal off 61.8% Fibonacci support?GBP/AUD is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.93444
1st Support: 1.91604
1st Resistance: 1.95355
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPAUD to find buyers at market price?GBPAUD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
A lower correction is expected.
Price action has formed an expanding wedge formation.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 1.9475.
We look to Buy at 1.9475 (stop at 1.9395)
Our profit targets will be 1.9675 and 1.9715
Resistance: 1.9625 / 1.9690 / 1.9760
Support: 1.9475 / 1.9400 / 1.9335
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURGBP: Dovish BoE and Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.85800 zone, EURGBP is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.85800 support and resistance area.
We would also consider the current dovish stance from the Bank of England, that should trigger further GBP weakness against EURO.
Trade safe, Joe.
Sell GBP/USD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.2760
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.2680
2nd Support – 1.2637
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.2834. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
Bearish reversal?The Cable is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level that acts as pullback support.
Pivot: 1.2827
1st Support: 1.2721
1st Resistance: 1.2885
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/GBP Finds Support at 0.8400: Potential for a Bullish SetupAs anticipated, the EUR/GBP currency pair has found support around the 0.8400 level, aligning with our previous forecasts. This area has proven to be a strong demand zone, where buyers seem poised to initiate a retracement, potentially driving the price higher.
Currently, the EUR/GBP pair remains within a consolidation phase. However, market sentiment indicates that buyers are preparing to step in, suggesting a possible upward movement. The current market conditions also coincide with a seasonal trend, historically known to favor an increase in EUR/GBP value over the coming weeks.
Our comprehensive analysis of supply and demand dynamics supports the outlook for a bullish retracement. We are particularly focused on identifying long position opportunities, as the demand area around 0.8400 demonstrates significant support for the pair. Traders should watch for confirming signals of a breakout from the consolidation phase, which could mark the beginning of a sustained upward trend.
In conclusion, the EUR/GBP is showing promising signs of a rebound from its current support level. With the convergence of technical analysis and seasonal factors, we are optimistic about the potential for a bullish retracement. Monitoring the pair closely for entry points in long positions could yield favorable trading opportunities in the near future.
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/GBP in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Potential bullish rise?GBP/NZD has reversed off the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to ur take profit.
Entry: 2.1347
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2.1220
Why we like it:
A pullback support level lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2.1711
Why we like it:
A pullback resistance level aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD: Are we in a recessionary environment? Hey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.28400 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 128400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Eurgbp Getting Ready For Solid bullish Rally 500 Pips Conflicts In Middle East Effecting Global Stocks Markets And Currencies Badly As Per The Chart It Will Effect Eur Gbp Too In Coming Days
Eurgbp Looking Bullish For Midterm In 3 Days Timeframe Recently Breaks Crucial Horizontal Resistance And Testing Falling Wedge s Trendline Too Incase Of Falling Wedge Breakout expecting 500 Pips Bullish Wave In Coming Days
GBP/USD: Bearish Position OpportunityThe GBP/USD pair is currently retesting a previous strong supply area, with the price in an overbought condition. This situation presents a compelling opportunity for a bearish position for several reasons:
1. Overbought Condition: The price has reached an overbought level, suggesting that a reversal or pullback could be imminent as buyers may be exhausted and sellers could step in to take control.
2. Commercial Traders' Bearish Positions: Commercial traders, who are typically considered the "smart money" due to their significant market influence and insider knowledge, are currently holding bearish positions. This indicates a strong expectation of downward movement in the GBP/USD pair.
3. Retail Traders' Long Positions: Retail traders, who are often on the wrong side of the market, are still predominantly long. This contrast between commercial and retail traders' positions can serve as a contrarian indicator, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Considering these factors, we are looking to enter a bearish position on the GBP/USD pair. The retest of the strong supply area, combined with the overbought condition and the positioning of commercial and retail traders, provides a solid foundation for anticipating a potential decline in the pair's price.
✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2700
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2620
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.2781
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?GBP/CAD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to our take profit.
Entry: 1.77221
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.78162
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.75989
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPAUD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPAUD for a selling opportunity around 1.96250 zone, GBPAUD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.96250 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.