Sell EUR/GBP Channel BreakoutThe EUR/GBP pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.8392, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8340
2nd Support – 0.8305
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.8422. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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GBP, HUGE UPSIDE! Back to Long-standing 38-year support!!!I checked GBP tri-monthly chart which is not usually posted here -- and the pair is already telling us something on the direction it wants to go at broader long term spectrum.
On the tri monthly data, GBP has started shifting its trend --- bouncing off it perfectly on a 38-year long standing very solid support.
The pair's last visit to this price range was on April 1985.
The pair is back at 1.0 FIB LEVEL (on tri-monthly) -- this is outrageously beyond bargain.
Histogram wise, another higher lows was created conveying the current price range to be the last base price before the series of incoming series of ascend. Incoming Price valuation will be above average -- and that's an understatement.
Bubble up volume (bottom indicator) finally appeared after almost 2 years (last one was July 2021). This is the 2nd straight appearance in 6 months this year, cementing the intention of the pair's target direction.
Confidence on this pair's long term direction is firm.
A 10% increase from current price within the next 12-16 months (very long candle on tri-monthly) is very possible.
Spotted at 1.25
TAYOR.
Safeguard capital always.
GBPJPY Channel Up driving the price to 210.000GBPJPY is trading inside a 1hour Channel Up.
The price is currently between the 1hour MA50 and MA200, consolidating after the most recent Higher Low on October 31st.
This is a technical buy opportunity directed towards the top of the Channel Up.
The last two bottom rallies rose by +3.15%. Buy and target 201.000 (+3.15%).
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GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.29800 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.29800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY, a rebound play is in order.GBPJPY, a fave of traders who value volatility recently corrected significantly to 181 range from the highs of 183.
Recent 4H metrics suggests a close fight between bull and bears -- with bulls having a slight edge now from the current range. A new base may have been formed already at this price range with notable net buying activity registered this past couple of days.
The pair is currently bouncing off a 0.5 FIB level, a major order block support.
Expect some attempt to reverse to the upside in the next coming days.
Spotted at 181.30
TAYOR.
Safeguard funds always.
GBP/CAD D1: Potential Breakout from Rising Wedge with Double TopOn the daily chart of GBP/CAD, I’ve identified a Rising Wedge pattern with a Double Top formation within it, signaling a strong potential for a significant bearish movement. A similar pattern previously occurred on September 9, 2023, when a bearish breakout from the Rising Wedge was confirmed by a double top, followed by a sharp downtrend.
Currently, the same pattern has reappeared, with the price forming the second peak of the double top, but a breakout confirmation is still pending. The next price movement is illustrated by blue arrows, indicating the expected downward direction if a breakout occurs. Additionally, the breakout area is marked with a red rectangle to clarify the critical support level that needs to be breached, while the double top’s peak is highlighted with an orange circle to emphasize this key pattern level.
The strategy plan here is to wait for a breakout below the Rising Wedge support line to open a sell position. The profit target is set at the 1.7310 level, with a stop loss placed above the double top level, around 1.8200. If a breakout confirmation occurs, the bearish movement is expected to drive the price closer to the set profit target.
GPBUSD Bearish Megaphone starting new wave.GBPUSD is trading inside a Bearish Megaphone for the past 30 trading days.
The price may now be supported by the 1hour MA50 but has formed the bearish formation it had on all prior tops under the Falling Resistance.
The 1hour RSI has formed a similar topping pattern.
As a result, this is a standard sell signal for the Bearish Megaphone.
All declines reached the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, so we can target at least the previous Low at 1.2850.
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EURGBP to attract buyers at market price?EURGBP - 24h expiry
Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 0.8412.
The primary trend remains bearish.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
We look for a temporary move higher.
We look to Sell at 0.8412 (stop at 0.8434)
Our profit targets will be 0.8357 and 0.8347
Resistance: 0.8397 / 0.8420 / 0.8448
Support: 0.8369 / 0.8353 / 0.8340
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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FTSE UK100 Reaches Key Demand Area Amid Seasonal TrendsThe FTSE UK100 index has recently reached a crucial demand area, igniting traders' interest amid seasonality patterns observed over the past decade. Historically, this time of year tends to witness upward momentum in the index prices, making this a significant area for potential bullish moves. Given the historical context, many traders are closely monitoring developments as they assess whether the index will follow suit and initiate a rally.
From a fundamental perspective, the recent Commitment of Traders (COT) report provides a tantalizing glimpse into market dynamics. It reveals that while retail traders are predominantly bearish, "smart money"—the institutional investors—appear to be accumulating long positions. This divergence is notable; retail sentiment often serves as a contrarian indicator. With smart money stepping in at a demand zone, there is potential for a bullish reversal, which could support the index as it seeks to capitalize on favorable seasonal trends.
Moreover, the broader economic landscape remains conducive to this optimistic outlook. As the UK grapples with various macroeconomic factors, including inflation rates and monetary policy responses, investor sentiment has become increasingly nuanced. A stronger performance in the FTSE may be supported by sectors that typically thrive during this time, such as commodities and financial services, providing tailwinds for the index.
As traders look ahead, the focus on a bullish scenario is intensifying. The critical consideration is whether the FTSE UK100 can sustain momentum above the demand area, signaling a recovery phase that may align with both historical patterns and smart money positioning. If the index can maintain its footing and demonstrate strength in the coming sessions, it may very well affirm the bullish sentiment among those advocating for a market upturn.
In summary, the convergence of seasonal patterns, contrasting market sentiment as illustrated by the COT report, and the strong fundamental backdrop paints a compelling picture for the FTSE UK100. Traders are poised to explore opportunities in a potentially bullish scenario, keen to see if the index will follow historical tendencies and deliver a strong performance in the latter part of the year. As always, careful monitoring of market developments will be essential in navigating this promising but complex landscape.
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GBP/USD Soars to 1.2970 as U.S. Employment Data Weighs on DollarIn the early hours of the London session on Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair has jumped toward the 1.2970 mark, aligning with our previous forecast. The U.S. Dollar (USD) is feeling the pressure from sellers, primarily stemming from disappointing Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data released for October, which has provided a boost to the major currency pair.
Federal Reserve Rate Cut on the Horizon
Following a significant 50 basis points (bps) rate cut in September, which marked the beginning of the Fed's easing cycle, market expectations are now leaning towards a further reduction of 25 bps at the upcoming November meeting. Traders are pricing in this possibility with approximately a 97% probability, contributing to the Greenback's decline as investors brace for the upcoming U.S. presidential election and the Fed's critical interest rate decision later this week.
Technical Analysis: Demand Zone Bounce
From a technical standpoint, the recent price movement indicates a rebound from our identified demand zone. The setup suggests potential for further upside as it aligns with the broader market sentiment. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report supports this outlook, showing no significant changes in trader positioning that would alter the prevailing market dynamics.
Preparing for Market Volatility
As the U.S. elections approach, traders should be prepared for enhanced volatility in the market. The uncertainty surrounding the election outcomes, coupled with anticipated shifts in U.S. monetary policy, could result in considerable fluctuations across various asset classes. The eventual victor of the election could shape expectations for fiscal strategies, regulatory changes, and economic recovery plans, all of which are likely to influence market sentiment and asset performance in the forthcoming weeks.
Conclusion
The recent movement of the GBP/USD towards 1.2970 highlights the continued impact of economic data and monetary policy expectations on currency pairs. As the market prepares for significant events this week—the U.S. presidential election and the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates—traders must remain vigilant. Understanding the interplay between electoral outcomes and monetary policies will be essential for navigating the potential market turmoil that awaits in the days ahead.
Previous Forecast
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DXY + EURUSD Analysis (4th Nov 2024)Here is my analysis for the DXY and EURUSD for the edification of a learner.
As we know the US elections are coming up, so we are likely going to see some manipulation and volatility this month. It will be very interesting. I caution anyone to not take high leveraged swing trades during this time unless they are in a gambling mood.
- R2F
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3022
1st Support: 1.2909
1st Resistance: 1.3105
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPNZD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPNZD for a selling opportunity around 2.17 zone, GBPNZD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2.17 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.29300 zone, GBPUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.29300 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPAUD -UK will continue its economic growth?!The GBPAUD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that zone with appropriate risk reward.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast that Asia’s economy will grow by 4.6% in 2024 and by 4.4% in 2025. Downward price pressures from China could impact countries with similar export structures and lead to trade tensions.
The UK Debt Management Office (DMO) plans to auction £59.2 billion in conventional long-term government bonds in the fiscal year 2024-2025. According to the DMO, the net issuance of government bonds for this fiscal year is projected to reach £296.9 billion.
Meanwhile, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has indicated that the previous government did not provide all necessary information, and if it had, their spring budget forecast would have been significantly different.
OBR forecasts suggest that the consumer price index (CPI) will reach 2.6% in 2025 (compared to the 1.5% forecast in March), 2.3% in 2026 (March forecast 1.6%), 2.1% in 2027 (March forecast 1.9%), 2.1% in 2028 (March forecast 2.0%), and 2.0% in 2029.
The forecasts also project GDP growth of 2.0% in 2025 (March forecast 1.9%), 1.8% in 2026 (March forecast 2.0%), 1.5% in 2027 (March forecast 1.8%), 1.5% in 2028 (March forecast 1.7%), and 1.6% in 2029.
Reeves, the UK Chancellor, stated that there will be more plans aimed at boosting economic growth. Yesterday, the UK sold £2.25 billion in bonds maturing in 2053, with a bid-to-cover ratio (B/C) of 3.15, up from the previous 3.08. The average yield on these bonds was 4.831%, higher than the previous yield of 4.735%.
Bearish drop?GBP/CHF is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 1.11743
1st Support: 1.11090
1st Resistance: 1.12120
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the EUR/GBP reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support level.
Pivot: 0.84541
1st Support: 0.84046
1st Resistance: 0.84860
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GU could be getting ready to Reverse!Now that we are in a new month AND its election week next week the market could get very volatile. Dollar has been moving bearish all week and most are still expecting it to move bullish. I'm thinking its more likely to turn bullish for a little while. Leaving the Election news to give it the bullish push it needs to start pushing back up. This could lead to some significant moves in the market. We just have to remain ready!
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Falling towards pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD)n is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2908
1st Support: 1.2866
1st Resistance: 1.3024
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GU is volatile...but we need more data for direction...I cant really call it at the moment. Price is indecisive as we come to the monthly transition. The last day of the month and anything can happen. Watching for a solid direction and sitting on hands for now until London open. Expecting some good price action for both sessions going into Thursday.
GBPUSD Channel Up emerging. Short term buy.GBPUSD recently broke to the upside the former Channel Down of October and a Channel Up emerged from it.
It already formed a Golden Cross (1h) today, technically a very bullish pattern.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.3035 (top of Channel Up)
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is on low enough levels again to justify a technical buy.
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