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EURGBP to continue in the bullish channel?EURGBP - 24h expiry Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. 20 4hour EMA is at 0.8429. We look to buy dips. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. A break of the recent high at 0.8463 should result in a further move higher. We look to Buy at 0.8431 (stop at 0.8409) Our profit targets will be 0.8489 and 0.8499 Resistance: 0.8454 / 0.8464 / 0.8485 Support: 0.8436 / 0.8420 / 0.8404 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
GBPJPY - Will the pound continue to weaken?The GBPJPY currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. If the corrective movement continues towards the supply zone, we can sell with a suitable risk reward. According to the latest Bloomberg survey, the UK government faces significant challenges in restoring investor confidence, as the pound and British bonds continue their downward trend. Following a decline in UK markets early in 2025 due to rising concerns over debt and inflation, about 51% of the 250 participants in last week’s survey predicted the pound would fall to between $1.15 and $1.20 by the end of June. This would mark the currency’s weakest level in over two years. Meanwhile, 45% of participants anticipate greater volatility in the pound, with 10-year UK bond yields expected to rise above 5% this year.Taylor, a member of the Bank of England, emphasized the importance of staying vigilant against potential risks. He suggested that recent data indicate a worsening economic outlook and that interest rates should be reduced promptly to avoid further challenges. In Japan, households expect prices to rise in the coming year. The percentage of households with such expectations increased slightly from 85.6% in the previous survey to 85.7%. However, five-year inflation expectations have seen a slight decline. According to the Bank of Japan, average annual inflation expectations among households stand at 11.5%, based on the latest survey. Goldman Sachs economists predict that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates next week. The firm also remains optimistic about the yen, expecting any action by the Bank of Japan in January to support the currency. Market pricing suggests that an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan is almost certain. According to Bloomberg, Kazuo Ueda, Governor of the Bank of Japan, will evaluate the need for a rate hike on Friday. Expectations for an interest rate increase have grown, provided that potential shocks from the early days of Trump’s presidency do not materialize. While other central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, are focused on rate cuts, the Bank of Japan is moving in the opposite direction, aiming for a gradual return to conventional monetary policies. The Bank of Japan is set to announce its first interest rate decision of 2025 on Friday. During its final meeting in 2024, the bank decided to keep rates unchanged. Governor Ueda stated that more data is needed to justify a rate hike, highlighting concerns about wages and uncertainties surrounding Trump’s economic policies. Since then, new data has shown a significant rise in November inflation, with December inflation pressures also intensifying. Wages also grew in November. Additionally, a summary of opinions from the December meeting indicates that a rate hike could occur sooner than investors anticipate. Given these developments and recent remarks from BoJ officials, investors assign an 80% probability to a 0.25% rate hike. However, the Bank of Japan has a long history of disappointing expectations for rate increases. If Trump adopts an aggressive stance on tariffs in his upcoming speech, the BoJ may once again refrain from raising rates, potentially leading to a decline in the yen. If the Bank of Japan does raise interest rates, the yen is likely to strengthen, but the associated risks are asymmetrical. The negative impact of refraining from a hike could outweigh the positive effect of an increase. Nonetheless, a further decline in the yen might prompt Japanese authorities to intervene to support the currency.
Short
by Ali_PSND
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.2364 1st Support: 1.2099 1st Resistance: 1.2531 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
EURBGP: Sell signal on the Channel Down top.EURGBP is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.286, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 49.271) as it crossed over the 1D MA200 and almost touched the top of the short term Channel Down. This is a solid first entry for a short, the second being under the 1W MA200 near the dashed trendline of the long term Channel Down. Target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (TP = 0.82800). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) forming a potential triple topThe chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) forming a potential **triple top** pattern at the key resistance zone of around 102,600. This is a bearish reversal structure, signaling potential downside if confirmed. Here's the short analysis: 1. **Key Observations**: - **Triple Top Formation**: Indicates strong resistance at the 102,600 zone. - **Bearish Structure**: Price previously rejected from this zone twice, leading to a significant decline. - **Break of Structure (BOS)** and **Change of Character (ChoCh)** labels hint at bearish momentum after failed attempts to break resistance. 2. **Next Steps**: - **Wait for Confirmation**: The chart suggests waiting for bearish confirmation, such as a strong rejection or a BOS to the downside, before entering a sell position. - **Target Levels**: Downside targets could be the next significant support levels, likely around 100,000 and 96,000, as indicated by the arrow. 3. **Risk Management**: - If price breaks above the resistance (invalidating the pattern), bullish momentum could continue, so stop-loss placement is essential above the resistance zone. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Bearish drop?GBP/NZD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2.1897 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 2.2076 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 2.1671 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Potential bullish reversal?GBP/AUD is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.9649 1st Support: 1.9486 1st Resistance: 1.9816 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?GBP/NZD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2.1897 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 2.1966 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 2.1671 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBGJPYHey Traders! Let’s Dive Into GBP/JPY 🔍 Here’s a breakdown of an exciting setup I’m watching closely on GBP/JPY (Daily timeframe). It’s shaping up to be a textbook bearish continuation let me walk you through the key details: Bearish Flag Pattern The chart shows a classic bearish flag in action. After a strong sell-off (the flagpole), the price has been consolidating within an upward-sloping channel, forming the "flag." This is often a pause before the next leg down, and the measured move suggests we could see significant downside if the flag breaks. Entry & Confirmation Patience is key here! I’m looking to enter at 188.000, but only after confirmation. Ideally, I want to see price rejection at the bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) or clear signs of selling pressure at this level. No confirmation, no trade—that’s how I roll. 😉 Stop Loss (SL) The stop loss is placed just above the flag's upper boundary. If price breaks above, it invalidates the pattern and signals that the bears may have lost control. This small risk is worth taking for the potential reward ahead. Targets to Watch Here’s where it gets exciting: First target: 179.000 – A key intermediate support level. Final target: 160.000 – A major historical support zone and the projected move from the flagpole. If the breakdown plays out as expected, this could be a fantastic risk-to-reward setup. 🎯 Key Levels to Keep in Mind Resistance at 199.000: The ceiling holding back upward momentum. Support at 188.000 & 179.000: Zones where price may react before heading lower. My Take This setup screams bearish momentum, but as always, I’m waiting for confirmation before pulling the trigger. The bearish flag, coupled with a clean breakdown at the FVG, could pave the way for a strong move south. Discipline and proper risk management are non-negotiable—don’t chase it! 🚨 What’s your view on GBP/JPY? Let me know in the comments! 💬 Trade safe, RAY Feel free to tweak this as needed! NO FINANCIAL ADVICE
Short
by Ray_1717
1
GBPUSD /Sterling Hits 8-Month Low Amid Bearish MomentumGBP/USD Analysis Sterling Weakens to an 8-Month Low The British pound has dropped to $1.240, marking its lowest level in eight months. This decline is driven by concerns over the UK’s economic resilience and a stronger US dollar. The UK economy remains stagnant, with revised Q3 figures showing no growth, adding to the challenges faced by Prime Minister Keir Starmer's new government. Furthermore, the Bank of England's dovish stance in its final 2024 rate decision has placed additional pressure on the pound. Trade tensions also weigh on the pound, particularly with former US President Trump's proposed tariffs, which could disrupt UK trade. Technical Outlook The GBP/USD pair maintains a bearish momentum, though a correction to 1.2485 is possible, especially if the price stabilizes above 1.2409. If the price breaks 1.2485 and closes a 4-hour candle above it, this could signal the start of a bullish continuation towards 1.2610. Conversely, if the price reverses and stabilizes below 1.2409, it could drop further to test 1.2315. A sustained move below 1.2409 would strengthen the bearish outlook, with potential targets at 1.2315 and 1.2215. Key levels Pivot Line: 1.2409 Resistance lines: 1.2485, 1.2532, 1.2611 Support Lines: 1.2315, 1.2215, 1.2150 Trend Outlook Consolidation: Between 1.2409 and 1.2485 Bearish: Below 1.2400 Bullish: Above 1.2486
Short
by SroshMayi
GBPJPY Buy signal on a 5-month bottom.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 05 2024 bottom and yesterday it made a Higher Low at the bottom of the pattern. This has been a buy opportunity 2/2 times and based on the similarities with the September 11 2024 Low, we can expect the new Bullish Leg to start and peak on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Our Target is 204.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
2
Bearish drop?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 192.49 1st Support: 190.20 1st Resistance: 193.37 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
GBPCAD - possible sells?Here is our view on GBPCAD . Potential short opportunities. We believe that GBPCAD could continue to the downside . We have two possible entries . One could be at the pullback at 1.78061 . The second entry could be at the break of previous lows sitting at 1.76267 . We are aiming for the target and deeper lows sitting at 1.74818 . We can expect the higher pullback to be visited if 1.77443 is broken. PARAMETERS ; for the pullback trade - Entry: 1.78061 - SL: 1.78773 - TP: 1.74818 PARAMETERS ; for the break trade - Entry: 1.76267 - SL: 1.76971 - TP 1.74818 KEY NOTES - GBPCAD remains bearish. - Break above 1.77443 would confirm a pullback to our first entry sitting at 1.78061. - Break below previous lows (1.76267) would result in deeper pullbacks. Happy trading! FxPocket
Short
by FxPocket
2
Potential bullish rise?EUR/GBP has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 0.8361 1st Support: 0.8263 1st Resistance: 0.8490 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
Potential bullish reversal?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.2067 1st Support: 1.1867 1st Resistance: 1.2321 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets