EUR/GBP: Assessing Lagarde's Rate Cut RemarksHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.85700 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.85700 support and resistance area.
Recent remarks from ECB President Lagarde indicating the likelihood of rate cuts have injected uncertainty into the EUR/GBP pair. The prospect of monetary policy easing in the Eurozone tends to exert downward pressure on the Euro against the British Pound. Investors interpret such signals as indicative of economic weakness or the need for stimulus measures, which can dampen the appeal of the Euro relative to the Pound. Therefore, Lagarde's commentary on potential rate cuts may contribute to further downside pressure on EUR/GBP as traders factor in the possibility of looser monetary policy in the Eurozone compared to the UK.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBP
Sell GBP/USD Bearish Channel The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe displays a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This pattern suggests ongoing selling pressure and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming hours.
Key Points:
Bearish Channel: The price has been trading within a descending channel characterized by two falling lines: a falling resistance line and a falling support line. This ongoing downtrend signals continued selling pressure.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2590, positioned close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.2502 and 1.2454, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken channel resistance line at 1.2635. This helps limit potential losses if the trend unexpectedly reverses.
Thank you.
Fundamental Focus: GBPUSD Eyes CPI ImpactHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.26300 zone. GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.26300 support and resistance area. Recent CPI data from the US revealed a core CPI of 0.4% in February, surpassing expectations of 0.3% and indicating inflationary pressure. This suggests that the Federal Reserve may be less inclined to cut rates in March, potentially strengthening the US dollar against the British pound. Keep an eye on this fundamental factor as we assess trading opportunities in GBPUSD. Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD1h - On Friday, we switched to a long context based on the hourly timeframe. Additionally, we entered the area of the FVG news event. Despite the structural long movement, liquidity always takes priority for me before making any decisions. Therefore, I would like to see a Friday high update, after which we may continue the short movement towards the targets outlined below.
EURGBP Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.85400 zone, EURGBP was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.85400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY 18/02/24GJ giving some nice areas for potential moves, mainly i can see we are using the short term lows as a clear area to build up liquid for a deeper retracement, if this move does take place it will shift us back into a bearish swing range as the 5min price action is currently sitting within a bullish range, this range isn't the strongest but is still valid in terms of a short term bias within price.
If we do shift bearish il be looking towards the major demand sitting at our last internal low in price, this of course will also act as liq so running this a possibility. always keep in mind higher timeframe bias is only validated with lower timeframe confirms and trade entries, so be sure to always trade with order flow.
Potential weakness for EURGBPHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Could see price heading down, but do now 0.8500-10 is a key zone on the daily for EURGBP.
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
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Gbpusd Buy Gbpusd made a double bottom after a strong downtrend that left inefficacies in the market. if we look at most recent p.a we can see price broke previous internal equal highs and grabbed liquidity. price started retracing down after breaking 1.26090(where equal highs were located.) which was the last major high. it also created a choch ob that is still unmitigated. there is still a large amount of liquidity past 1.26090 an a unmitigated supply zone at 1.27730. i expected price to retrace to the 15m choch ob and to grab liquidity to fuel its upward movement.
GBPUSD Confluence Analysis: Fed's Monetary Policy Outlook ImpactHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.26700 zone. GBPUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently, it is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.26700 support and resistance zone.
Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, it's essential to consider the recent statements from the Federal Reserve regarding the monetary policy outlook for March. The Fed has signaled that a rate cut in March is unlikely, which has implications for the USD and, consequently, for GBPUSD. This guidance suggests a stance towards maintaining the current interest rate levels, which could potentially strengthen the USD against other currencies, including the British Pound.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Sell GBP/USD Bearish ChannelThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe displays a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined bearish channel pattern.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.2580, positioned close to the channel resistance. This offers an entry point near a potential reversal zone.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.2501 and 1.2453, marking previous support zones within the channel.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken channel resistance line at 1.2615. This helps limit potential losses if the trend unexpectedly reverses.
Thank you.
GBP/USD yawns as UK retail sales soarThe British pound has edged lower on Friday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2578, down 0.17%.
UK retail sales were more than impressive, surging 3.4% m/m in January. This crushed the market estimate of 1.5% and followed a 3.3% decline in December. The reading was the largest monthly gain since April 2021. The sharp gain was driven by increased sales of food and fuel. On an annualized basis, retail sales rebounded with a 0.7% gain, compared to a 2.4% decline in December and well above the market estimate of -1.4%.
Traders can be forgiven for scratching their head after the latest retail sales report, which points to consumers spending with gusto. Just a day earlier, the markets were digesting the news that the UK economy had entered a recession late in 2024, after recording back-to-back quarters of negative growth. GDP fell 0.3% in the fourth quarter and 0.1% in the third quarter. What gives?
The answer could well be that the UK economy, although hurting, may be turning a corner. The sharp rise in interest rates has cooled down the economy and lowered inflation dramatically, but this effect appears to be fading fast. The “R” word (recession) may be making headlines but it is a shallow recession and the economy could quickly return to growth mode with some decent economic data.
The Bank of England meets on March 21th and will try to make sense of where the UK economy is headed. The BoE has kept rates unchanged since August and there is pressure on the central bank to provide some relief to households and businesses and lower rates. At the same time, inflation remains sticky and the BoE is determined to stamp out high inflation and bring it closer to the 2% target before it lowers rates.
GBP/USD is testing support at 1.2597. Below, there is support at 1.2550
There is resistance at 1.2676 and 1.2723
BUY GBPUSD Channel BreakoutThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a bullish channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Bullish Channel Breakout: The price has been trading within an upward-sloping channel characterized by two converging lines: a rising support line and a rising resistance line. This ongoing uptrend signaled continued buying pressure. However, the recent break above the upper resistance line at 1.2610 signifies a potential trend continuation in the breakout direction.
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position around the current price of 1.2582, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the previous resistance levels within the channel, now acting as potential support zones: 1.2610 and 1.2673. Further upside targets could be determined using other technical analysis methods like Fibonacci retracements or extensions.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken channel resistance line, ideally around 1.2560. This helps limit potential losses if the price reverses and breaks back down.
Thank you
GBPCHF: Pullback From Key Level 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF is trading in a bullish trend.
The price recently broke and closed above a key horizontal resistance.
The broken structure turned into a solid support.
We may expect a pullback from the broken structure.
I see a bullish breakout of a resistance line of a falling channel on an hourly time frame
as a confirmation.
Initial target - 1.113
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GBPJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Pre-UK GDPToday's focus: GBPJPY
Pattern – Breakout
Support – 188.25? 186.14
Resistance – 189.88
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the GBPJPY on the daily chart.
After what looked like a new breakout, sellers have started to test buyer confidence after news hit JPY traders yesterday. The question remains: will we see buyers hold the breakout and continue to push higher, or will we see sellers break through and possibly retest 186.14 support?
Another factor to keep an eye on is UK GDP; it's due at 6 pm AEDT today.
Good trading.
GBPUSD - Trade Idea (ICT Concepts)I'm anticipating lower prices on GBPUSD. The CPI move yesterday confirmed this bias. I am now looking for continuation lower. I don't believe price will move too much higher to fill the inefficiency. There is a signature Gap on the 4h timeframe that I will be framing this short on.
Possibly adding confluence with a Judas Swing coupled with the Classic Tuesday High of the Week.
The stoploss is for illustration only. I would wait for a lower timeframe shift in market structure along with BISIs being disrespected and SIBIs being created.
- R2F
GBPUSD - Price can leave triangle and rise to $1.2710 levelHi guys, this is my overview for GBPUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price entered to flat, where it first broke resistance level, which coincided with resistance area.
Then GBP declined to support level and at once bounced up to resistance area, after which in a short time fell back.
Price rose to resistance area again, made little correction, and then rose back to this area, after which made downward impulse.
British Pound exited from flat, breaking $1.2610 level, but also it entered to triangle, where rose higher this level.
At the moment, price trades near resistance line of triangle, and in my mind, GBP can correct to support line.
After this movement, British Pound will bounce up to $1.2710 level, thereby exiting from triangle.
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