Sell GBPAUD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/AUD pair on the H1 chart exhibits a bearish signal suggesting a potential decline in the coming hours. A recent downward breakout from a triangular consolidation pattern could offer a shorting opportunity.
Key Points:
Triangle Breakout: The price has been confined within a triangle formation, characterized by converging support and resistance lines. This often indicates indecision before a decisive move. However, the recent break below the lower support line at 1.9265 suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside.
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price near 1.9265, offering an entry point close to the breakout level.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the support levels of 1.9114 and 1.9027, marking previous support zones within the triangle.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the resistance 1.9400
Fundamental Updates :
Bank of England (BoE) Meeting and Interest Rate Decision (Feb 2): While the BoE is expected to raise rates again, the focus will be on the size (25bps or 50bps) and future policy guidance. Dovish pronouncements could weaken the GBP and support AUD selling against it.
Risk-Off Sentiment: A general deterioration in global market sentiment could drive investors towards the safe-haven AUD and put downward pressure on GBP/AUD.
Thank you.
GBP
GBPCAD Quadruple top on 1D?The GBPCAD pair delivered a solid buy trade last time we analyzed it (October 05 2023, see chart below), easily hitting the 1.71110 Target, on a structure rise:
The price is now signaling a bearish call as it has been rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the July 17 2023 High. This is technically a Quadruple Top if it stays that way and naturally there is strong sell potential behind it. The natural support levels are the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the latter of which is trading exactly on the Higher Lows trend-line, which is our first Target (1.6950).
If the price closes below the 1D MA200 and Higher Lows trend-line, we will re-short and target the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is just below Support 1. What makes selling a stronger probability right now is the formation of a 1D MACD Bearish Cross, which has been a sell signal with 100% accuracy for the whole 2023.
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Can GU give us a break in structure this week?As we hope into this new week I'm starting the week looking for a break of highs. Ultimately I'm bearish but need to see this break for them to go full on bearish. For a much better entry on a short. Long as I see the volume continue to support the Narrative I will get in where I can.
Deciphering US Core PCE: A Blueprint for GBPUSD TradersIn today's trading session, GBPUSD enthusiasts are poised for a buying opportunity around the 1.26800 zone, leveraging the pair's uptrend amidst a correction phase. However, amidst the technical considerations, a deeper dive into the fundamental landscape reveals the looming influence of the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index m/m.
The significance of this economic indicator lies in its role as a measure of inflation and its consequential impact on USD strength and weakness. Delving into the historical trends of US Core PCE data unveils a nuanced narrative. Examining previous releases, such as December's reading of 0.1% against a forecast of 0.2%, juxtaposed with November's 0.2%, and October's 0.3%, provides insight into the evolving inflationary landscape.
This detailed analysis illuminates a trend of fluctuating PCE readings, painting a picture of economic uncertainty and potential volatility in the USD. As traders brace for tomorrow's announcement, expectations lean towards a potential soft print, further solidifying the case for potential USD weakness.
Against this backdrop, GBPUSD traders find themselves at a crucial juncture, weighing the technical support and resistance levels against the backdrop of evolving fundamental dynamics. The confluence of technical and fundamental factors underscores the importance of a holistic trading approach, blending technical precision with a nuanced understanding of market fundamentals.
As the trading session unfolds, traders are advised to remain vigilant, navigating the intricacies of GBPUSD's trajectory amidst the unfolding economic landscape.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Eurchf and Gchf bias to short Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Looking for shorts for both of these pairs, I have mentioned it towards the end of my last week's live stream. You can check it out.
Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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HelenP. I British Pound will continue grow to resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you British Pound analytics. A few moments ago price rebounded from the support level, which coincided with the support zone and rose to 1.2735 points, but then it turned around and made impulse down to 1.2500 points, thereby breaking the 1.2600 level. After this, the price in short time rose back to this level and also broke it, after which GBP made an impulse up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Then price bounced from this level and started to trades inside consolidation, where the price declined to the support level, after which turned around and made impulse up to the resistance zone, and even higher. But soon GBP fell back, making a fake breakout, and later rose again to a resistance level. After this movement, GBP rebounded down from the 1.2775 level to the support level and soon bounced back, but a not long time ago British Pound rebounded from the resistance level again and it trades below. For my mind, GBP will make a small movement down one more time and then continue to grow to the 1.2775 resistance level, which coincides with the top part of the consolidation. For this case, I set my target at this level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURGBP Potential continuation to downsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.85550 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.85550 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD Tight consolidation. Prepare to trade the break-out.The GBPUSD pair has been trading sideways within the very tight range formed by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of an emerging Channel Down pattern. In fact while the 1D MA50 has been holding since January 17, the Lower Highs have since December 28, already with 3 clear rejections on them.
This technical squeeze will naturally break in the coming days and technically the way it first breaks to, that will be the dominant trend for the next 4-6 weeks. If it closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA50, before the 1D MACD forms a Bullish Cross, we will sell and target the bottom of the 1 year Channel Up at 1.2250. If it closes above Resistance 1 (1.2825) while forming a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, we will buy and target the next Resistance at 1.3150.
The reason we use the 1D MACD as a parameter is that every full Bullish Cross it made below the 0.00 barrier, was the start of very aggressive rallies. The times that failed to complete it (e.g. August 22 2023), it extended an already strong downtrend.
Notice also the relevance of the 1D Golden and Death Crosses. The last 1D Death Cross (October 17 2023) formed a market bottom and started a rise, while the 1D Golden Cross before it (January 11 2023), led to a market top and declined, both of which are the opposite of their technical expectations. Currently we are after a 1D Golden Cross (January 05 2024), so if the previous inverse correlation applies again, it should favor a bearish trend.
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Freaky Friday! Going into Monthly TransitionSo we have come to the end of the week and the news from NY session yesterday kept price from moving bullish with the structure. Ultimately price is bearish but they need to go break the highs first before flipping to bearish. Maybe that break can happen some time between now and Monday. The end of the Month is next week so I'm sure something crazy could end up happening today.
The last push before the collapse So if you been following my post I been bearish on GU pretty much all month looking for entries on a bear move. Price broke structure with GBP news today and started pushing up. Looks like they are looking to take out Highs first before going full on Bearish. So waiting for news tomorrow to see if it wants to finally confirm it wants to go bearish. So for now I'm Temporarily Bullish.
GBPJPY: Systemic Top being formed. Sell.GBPJPY is on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.529, MACD = 1.210, ADX = 62.251), which is a natural consequence of the strong 3 week rally since the January 2nd bottom. However this rally appears to have come to an end as not only has the price hit and got rejected twice on the R1 level (188.660) but the 1D RSI has also reach the top of its six month Channel Down and is reversing.
The price action's HH trendline is a little higher, so we can allow some space for a final blow off top before a selloff. The Sine Waves so a clear and very consistent Peak-Bottom pattern and right now the price is exactly on the Peak. Consequently, we consider the current price level as a low risk sell opportunity. We are targeting the 1D MA200 (TP = 182.350).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EURGBP Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.85600 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.85600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPUSD: On the bearish threshold. Be ready to short it.GBPUSD is being rejected repeatedly at the top of the multimonth Channel Down but the 1D MA50 is still supporting it. However the squeeze has gotten to narrow and being on a neutral 1D technical setting (RSI = 50.057, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 25.323), we expect a bearish breakout soon below it. The similarities of the 1D RSI with last August, show that there is significant downside potential. We will short if we do get a 1D candle close under the 1D MA50 and target the S2 level (TP = 1.2230).
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GBPUSD: BoS, weak GBP, strengthening USDI'm expecting a big collapse from this pair over the next few weeks.
I'm seeing a Break of Structure on the lower timeframes, with 1hr retest.
GBP data shocking and certainly indicating recession, USD not looking like a recession. Heightening global conflict could also lead to a stronger USD.
I'm going short on this pair, first target 1.255.
GBPUSD - Top-Down Analysis 📹 From Daily To H1Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #GBPUSD.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Decoding GBPNZD: CPI Trends Point to Potential NZD WeaknessIn today's trading session, our focus is on GBPNZD, where we are eyeing a buying opportunity around the 2.08000 zone. GBPNZD is currently traversing an ascending channel and is in a correction phase, approaching the channel support at 2.08000.
Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data indicates a trend of softening inflation in New Zealand. Looking at the previous CPI figures, we observe a declining pattern from 2.2% in October 2022 to 1.8% in October 2023. The expected CPI on January 23rd is 0.5%, signaling a potential continuation of subdued inflationary pressures.
This soft print in CPI may impact the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), as a lower-than-expected inflation rate could prompt concerns about economic growth and lead to a dovish stance by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Traders should factor in the possibility of NZD weakness in their decision-making process.
Turning to technicals, GBPNZD's ascending channel provides a clear structure, with the correction approaching the channel support at 2.08000. Considering the channel's historical behavior, a potential target could be the channel resistance at 2.10.
As traders navigate this opportunity, a comprehensive analysis that combines both technical and fundamental factors is crucial. This dual perspective enables a more informed approach to trading decisions.
Trade safe, Joe.