GBPJPY Heading to the Channel's Top. Sell alert.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 05 bottom. The price is above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and has already made a Higher High on September 27, which was immediately sold by the market.
Based on the previous peak formation of the Channel Up though, we could see a Double Top Higher High rejection in the coming days like the one on September 02. The 1D RSI made a Higher High also before the start of the September Bearish Leg, and right now it hasn't done so.
As a result, we will wait for a short opportunity a little higher and then target the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (like the September 11 Low) at 188.800.
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GBP
Bullish reversal?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3031
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2940
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3159
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish reversal?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could reverse to the 23.6% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.3032
1st Support: 1.2947
1st resistance: 1.3152
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP: Significant upside potential on the short term.EURGBP is neutral on its 1D techhnical outlook (RSI = 48.804, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 22.675) as it consolidates having failed to cross over the 1D MA50. Given the 1 year Channel Down pattern, the 1D MA50 shouldn't stand as a Resistance for long, since the price is having this rebound after a clear LL on its bottom. We expect the 1D MA200 to be tested (TP = 0.8500) with the upside potentially extending as high as +2.80%.
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Bullish reversal off major overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3031
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2940
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3159
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Cross Roads for the CableOn the Weekly, we see that the market is in a Bullish swing. After prices rallied to form the high, it has begun the bearish retracement, dipping towards the reversal zones which are refined from the existing PB of the Weekly.
This narrative above is also the same for the Daily chart. On the Daily, not only dow e see a chart that is bullish and now retracing bearish into the refined zone, but we can notice that at this time, price is well inside the zone, and even threatening to break bearish and breach the zone.
Now my analysis:
I expect the Daily reversal zone to hold. Where that happens, we expect to see prices go all the way up to hit Daily liquidity target and at the same time give us an extension of the current bullish swing on both the Daily and Weekly charts. If it does go this way, we will pull our our panzy pips trading system and begin to catch trades on the extension rally.
On the other hand, in the unlikely event that our daily zone fails, we will expect to see prices retrace deeper and dip lower towards the weekly reversal zone, from where we will watch out for reversals inside that zone. The rally will be expected to begin from there, and from there drive prices all the way up towards the Weekly liquidy target. This is gonna be one hell of a rally, so y'all better be ready to cath some great deal of profit off of that rally.
As usual, we will look to trade that rally applying our same trad entry systems unique to panzy pips traders.
See you at the top of that cliff guys ...
Will GBP Drop Further? Bearish Pressure Mounts Near Key LevelThe British Pound (GBP) continues to face downside pressure near the key level of 1.3100 against the US Dollar (USD) during Monday’s London session. The GBP/USD pair remains under strain as the US Dollar holds firm, near a seven-week high, bolstered by strong Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for September, released last Friday. This robust US labor market performance has further supported the dollar's strength.
In our previous analysis, we closed our positions on this pair (view chart below):
GBP/USD Previous Forecast.
Bearish Sentiment: Continuation or Reversal?
Looking ahead, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that retail traders remain heavily on the bearish side, which adds weight to the possibility of further downside pressure. While there is no immediate position to open, we will be closely monitoring market developments.
Given the fundamental outlook, our attention will turn to a potential long position if the price retraces to our identified Demand area. Until then, we remain cautious, awaiting clearer signals for a possible entry point as the market evolves.
Conclusion
With the US Dollar's recent strength driven by solid economic data, the GBP/USD pair continues to hover near critical levels. While the current sentiment leans bearish, we will keep a close watch on fundamental shifts and technical signals to reassess future trade opportunities.
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GBPJPY H4 - Short Signal GBPJPY H4
For those that watched the market analysis and live charting video, you would have seen us discuss GBPJPY and the 195 psychological price/sell zone. We have since seen this zone tested and subsequently rejected. How much mileage this setup has... I don't know, but if we can break 194.500, we should see a send lower.
A break and candle close around or below 194.500 is important, breaking this H4 and H1 consolidation, EUR and LON session could certainly be enough to drive this setup where is needs to go.
Potential bullish rise?The Cable has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.3101
1st Support: 1.2947
1st Resistance: 1.3237
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
R2F Weekly Analysis - 6th October 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
GBPJPY One pullback to give before strong rally.GBPJPY is trading inside a CHannel Up since May 2021.
Having a strong correction in July, the price has stabilized on a shorter term Channel Up.
A similar Channel Up was formed after the previous bottom in January - March 2023 and then the price rallied by +20%.
Expect a similar bullish wave. Buy and target 217.00.
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GBPJPYAs per our last mind we asked you guys which pair you want and analysis for. The public has asked for GBPJPY . Here is our view.
As of now, GBPJPY is sitting at our PBA 2 (Pullback Area). If we break above 193.290 (October 1st highs) we will continue to the upside .
However ,
If we break below our PBA 2 192.000 , we could see a downside move to our PBA 1 . Breaks below could also result in lower prices.
We advise you not to enter in any trades until breaks of either 193.290 or 192.000 .
We will send out the update once a break happens.
KEY NOTES
- GBPJPY has fallen to our PBA 2.
- Important levels to break are 193.290 or 192.000.
- Break above 193.290 would confirm higher highs.
- Break below 192.000 would confirm lower lows.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Potential bullish rise?GBP/USD has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3100
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3007
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.3230
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPJPY: Bull Flag to start a great rally.GBPJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.480, MACD = 0.880, ADX = 34.811) as it's been basically consolidating since last Friday with the price ranging around the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200. This consolidation is being done while the 1D RSI shows a Bullish Divergence in a Channel Up. Last time this happened was in March 2023, a Bullish Flag that pushed the price later aggressively to the top of the 2 year Channel Up. We turn heavily bullish on GBPJPY (TP = 220.000).
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GBPUSD reached the 1day MA50. Double netry buy opportunity.GBPUSD is about to test the 1day MA50, which is intact since August 13th.
The pattern is a Channel Up and even though its bottom is a little lower, the 1day MA50 should technically be a first buy entry on this pattern.
If the price drops more, you can use the bottom of the Channel for a 2nd entry.
A rebound of the 1day RSI on its Support Zone, confirms the buy signal.
Target on both occassions 1.3500.
Previous chart:
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GBP/USD Pulls Back as USD Strengthens Ahead of Core PCE DataThe GBP/USD pair edged lower during the Asian session on Friday, retreating from the highest levels it had reached since March 2022, around the 1.3435 region, which was touched the previous day. The decline was largely driven by a technical reversal after the pair tested a key daily supply-demand zone. This move coincides with data from the latest **Commitment of Traders (COT) report**, which shows that retail traders remain strongly bullish on the GBP.
Despite the bullish positioning from retailers, the pair saw a pullback as the market anticipates important economic data out of the United States, including the **Core PCE Price Index** for the month of November. A positive reading from this inflation gauge could add further support to the US Dollar (USD) and push the GBP/USD pair lower. The USD is expected to strengthen if the data signals persistent inflationary pressures, which could keep the Federal Reserve cautious about loosening monetary policy too quickly.
However, expectations regarding the Bank of England (BoE) are playing a counterbalancing role. The BoE is widely seen as taking a more gradual approach to cutting rates compared to the US Federal Reserve, which could help support the British Pound (GBP) in the medium term and limit losses for the GBP/USD pair. Still, with immediate market momentum and potential upside for the USD, the pair remains under pressure in the short term.
In light of these developments, we are maintaining a **short position** on GBP/USD, as the combination of technical resistance and USD strength points to further downside in the near future. While GBP sentiment remains supported by BoE policy expectations, today's price action suggests that USD demand is likely to drive the pair lower, especially with key data releases on the horizon.
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Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?GBP/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.7694
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.7578
why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.7868
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Overlap support ahead for the Cable?The price is falling towards the pivot and could reverse to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.3721
1st Support: 1.3148
1st Resistance: 1.3320
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.