GBPCHF Bearish BOS and projected retreat to continue fallingThe price has just made a new bearish break in high temporalities, this may indicate that it wants to continue falling... this is why I can project a retreat to the marked levels to continue falling. Remember that it is always better to take 3 entries with adjusted Stop Loss and good risk management compared to 1 single entry and with stop loss giant.
(1) Break this level produce a new bullish BOS in Lower time frame, ideal to expect that the price does not break the previous minimum and that it continues to rise until the next marked level.
If the price rises above the last red rectangle and the candle does not close above it, it has only been a liquidity takeover to continue falling.
Gbp_chf
GBP/CHF: Betting a Turn-Around (not BREXIT)1,36744 GBP/CHF GBP/CHF buy
> 1,34122 GBP/CHF GBP/CHF still buying
= 1,34121 GBP/CHF GBP/CHF last Stop Lost Price
< 1,34120 GBP/CHF GBP/CHF neutral (new Analysis)
= 1,41099 GBP/CHF GBP/CHF 1. Target (this Summer 2016)
= 1,46129 GBP/CHF GBP/CHF 2. Target (this Summer 2016)
GBP/CHF heading for a fallUsing 3 moving averages and plotting support and resistance can tell a lot about the "state" of price. We see our moving averages bullish from early July, peak in the middle of August and since then consolidate. There is an important long-term support/resistance line in the vicinity of 1.4650 which is where price lies now. The moving averages are now bearish, and we are looking for the support/resistance line to break.
On Tuesday, the Swiss report trade balance numbers where they have beaten the forecasted number the last five times. A beat is bullish for the CHF. Also on Tuesday BOE Governor Carney speaks and I anticipate he will work to weaken the GBP with his speech.
The British report retail sales numbers on Thursday, which have been weak recently as well.
Sea Lion Capital Management LLC