GBPAUD → The start of correction within the up-trend is possibleFX:GBPAUD continues to strengthen within the framework of the uptrend. The price updates the local maximum and continues to seek trend resistance
The currency pair may make a correction against the resistance of the ascending channel. The price may reach the upper boundary of the ascending range and form a false breakout or other traps for players.
Price consolidation or a reversal setup below the ascending line can be a signal to start a correction. If a correction is formed, the market will have the potential to decline to 1.95613 and even to 1.93924
Moving averages indicate a strong bullish trend.
Support levels: 1.95613, 1.93924
Resistance levels: 1.96200, trend resistance
I expect growth up to the upper boundary of the trend with the subsequent rebound and formation of correction to the support
Regards R. Linda!
GBPAUD
GBPAUD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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GBP AUD - the road to 2.0+ Updates:
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Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
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GBP/AUD Long structure with entry point!Good morning traders. I was taking a look at GBP/AUD after the recent increase in GDP data, and it seems that the pound is gearing up for a strong rally. In my view, I foresee a slight retracement around 1.9460 where we have a confluence at H1, an intersection between two trendlines, and a demand zone – three clear signals for a long entry. Of course, everything needs to be contextualized, and the right confirmations should be awaited before entering long. Comment below and leave a like. Greetings from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
GBPAUD : Short Trade , 1hHello traders, we want to check the GBPAUD chart. After breaking the ascending channel, the price is moving in a downward trend and has pulled back to the specified key level. We expect this level to act as a resistance level and cause the price to fall further. . We expect the price to fall to around 1.93400. Good luck.
GBPAUD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
AUD breakout traders – look to the yuan for inspirationAs is typically the way in FX trading the breakout traders see a set-up on the higher timeframes and either the market uses these levels to fade the move, or the breakout fails to gain traction and ultimately reverses.
Those seasoned traders who use breakouts for trade entry – often momentum and trend-followers – know the percentage of breakouts that lead to trending conditions is typically low. It is why they target ‘outlier’ moves within a distribution and subscribe to the view that the win/loss ratio is not a major concern. The strategy will typically run win rates of 30-40% but will focus more on the reward-to-risk trade-off.
Extracting as much profit from each trade is where they make their money and that is where the science of holding positions kicks in.
We may end up with many small losing positions, but when we win it is ideally a 5 to 10R. Holding, as I say, is key and that is never easy – it is why having a rules-based strategy can pay dividends. When the market breaks out and goes on a run you must know when to hold and when to fold.
Granted, FX markets have a higher propensity to revert to a mean than commodities or equity indices, but the AUD screams out as currently fitting this dynamic. Notably, EURAUD, AUDUSD, AUDCHF and GBPAUD screened on the breakout radar yesterday, but have since failed to follow through with the move.
China is at the heart of the AUD recent moves. USDCNH has always been a strong guide for me on AUD flows, and while I have been of the view that weaker external demand needs a weaker currency – the PBoC is doing the utmost to push back on the yuan weakness, with consistently stronger yuan ‘fixings’ (seen each day at 11:15 AEST).
As a driver, we’ve seen a slightly better China CPI print today at -0.3% and USDCNH has sold off, in turn, this has lifted the AUD.
The statistical correlation between AUD and CNH has broken down of late, but for those trading AUDUSD or the AUD crosses through Asia, the influence of the yuan is still incredibly significant.
Tactically, if we are to see an upside break of 7.2500 (in USDCNH) I’d have far higher conviction we’ll see a closing breakout in these AUD pairs.
Patience is always our best friend in trading, especially when using leverage, as we need to nail our entries – so having the set-ups on the radar and waiting for the market flow to push a trade is prudent.
One could say we’re at peak negative sentiment towards China, and next week’s China economic data (industrial production, retail sales, fixed asset investment) is likely to see a more pronounced positive reaction to a beat than a negative one to a miss. That is a risk to manage, but if the AUD kicks lower in these pairs it could be meaningful and certainly be welcomed by those that like to trade continuations.
GBPAUD – slowing down but still bullish 31 July, 2023This pair has been neutral recently, it does make bullish moves but retraces all or most of that move. The last daily candle however was quite strong and, in my opinion, we may see a significant bullish continuation next week.
Chasing price is not in my trading plan, I prefer to wait for a pull back. If price continues without one, I am happy to let it go. Two possible areas to look for a bullish continuation are the significant s/r around 1.9130 or the intermediate level of 1.8970.
Nothing is 100% in trading, so as always, use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades. If you like my content, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get even more.
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GBPAUD ____ INCOMING BULLISH MOVEHello Guys,
This pair is on my radar for one very strong reason amongst others... which is... in the monthly timeframe, the price is to continue the impulse leg... in the weekly timeframe, the price is printing the impulse leg and in the daily timeframe, price is retracing which I expect will get into the daily order block then continue the rally that is expected on the daily, weekly and monthly timeframes.
You will also notice that the price has formed relatively equal lows (sell-side liquidity) on the lower timeframe which I have indicated on the chart for you to see which is just above the daily order block. As we know, liquidity and imbalances are what attract price... hence, I expect it to be swept which gives more reason why price might get to the daily order block.
Once this happens, I will go to the 1-hour and wait for my trade setup to go long.
My target price is gotten from the weekly chart.
See correlated pair analysis: EURAUD & GBPCAD
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EURAUD ANALYSIS
GBPCAD ANALYSIS
Cheers,
Jabari
GBPAUD I Previous break of resistance and return to structureWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPAUD Analysis - Listen to video!
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GBPAUD I Intraday short from resistanceWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPAUD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
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GBPAUD - Will The AUD Continue To Be Bearish?Analysis:
Bullish Confluences
In an upwards trend
Break & retest of a previous area of resistance for support
38.2% fib retracement level present
Upwards trendline present
GBP is the second strongest major currency where as the AUD is the 7th strongest major currency
25K short positions decrease for the GBP
2K short position increase for the AUD
Bearish Confluences
30K long position decrease for the GBP
1K long position increase for the AUD
Stay Safe - The JPI Team
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