1:10 RR Sell Setup for GBPCHF Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
Based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, the following analysis has been conducted:
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H4
Swing Structure:
The current swing structure is bearish with a perfect Break of Structure (BOS). Inducement has been taken, and the corrective swing move is almost complete.
A Breaker Block (BB) Point of Interest (POI) area shows weakness in the internal structure, making it a critical zone.
The POI BB & Fair Value Gap (FVG) are identified at the initial level of the Premier zone of the impulsive swing.
Support: The previous support has now become resistance after the breakout, making this area a key Change in Polarization (CIP).
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
No significant chart patterns have formed to support this move yet. However, it’s important to wait and observe what happens when the price reaches the level.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
The "Inside: Narrow Range 4" pattern is intact. The breakout from this pattern will determine the next short or initial move.
Volume:
🟢 Significant volume was observed at the lowest level of the swing, but there was no volume during the corrective move. This lack of volume indicates a lack of interest from bulls in the current move. Most players are still interested in selling, as the bearish trend remains strong.
Momentum RSI:
🟢 The market is currently in a bearish to sideways zone. There is no sign of a range shift, but the RSI line has taken resistance at the 60 level multiple times, indicating selling momentum is still present.
Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Contraction is fully in form, and after the breakout, the next move in volatility will be decided. Given the current bearish trend, another volatile bearish move is expected.
Strength ADX:
The ADX is currently neutral, indicating no clear strength dominance from either bulls or bears at this moment.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐
This setup is rated as a 50/50 probability due to the neutral ADX and lack of supporting chart patterns, indicating a balanced risk.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️ POI: Breaker Block
💡 Decision: Sell limit
🚀 Entry: 1.1172
✋ Stop loss: 1.1240
🎯 Take profit: 1.0507
😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 10 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 10 days
SUMMARY:
This analysis suggests a cautious bearish setup with an entry at 1.1172, a stop loss at 1.1240, and a take profit target at 1.0507. The risk-to-reward ratio is 10:1, and the expected duration for the trade is around 10 days. The lack of volume during the corrective move, resistance at the RSI level, and intact Narrow Range pattern suggest a probable continuation of the bearish trend. However, the setup carries a balanced risk due to the neutral ADX and lack of clear supporting patterns. Monitoring the price action as it reaches the POI is crucial for confirming the trade's viability.
Gbpchfsell
GBPCHF Bank Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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GBPCHF Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaAnalyzing the GBPCHF, we can clearly see that it has been in a strong bullish trend recently. The price is currently overextended and approaching a key resistance level. As we approach the end of the week, we often see aggressive stop runs, especially on Thursday and Friday. I will be looking for a potential entry if this currency pair retraces into my optimal entry zone.
In the video, I explain my perspective on price action, market structure, and the trend. Please note, this content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and it's crucial to use responsible risk management strategies.
GBPCHF : Short Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the GBPCHF chart. After breaking the uptrend line, the market trend is now bearish. The price has made a pullback to this level after it managed to break the specified support level. We expect this level to maintain the downward trend of the price and the price will fall to around 1.11800. Good luck.
GBPCHF - Short after filling the imbalance !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for short position. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 1.14000.
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GBPCHF I Impulse correction in process Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPCHF Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
GBPCHF Bearish Robbery Plan To make MoneyMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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GBPCHF - Expect long position ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I want price to go a little bit lower to fulfill the imbalance and then to reject from institutional big figure 1.13000 + FIBO 0.618 level.
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GBPCHF Short Trade Setup A #short trade opportunity recently presented itself on the #poundswissy (#GBPCHF) #trading chart 📉.
This is indicated by the #bearish inverted pin bar candlestick 🕯️ pattern on the 1.14873 horizontal resistance level (the bodies of the candles are actually below the level).
This indicates a rejection of the same level, with potential price move in the downward ⬇️ direction (#sell).
Sufficient downward momentum should see price dumping towards the 1.12000 psychological level and possibly testing the strength of the 1.11665 horizontal support level.
As always, please apply appropriate risk management.
Happy trading!
#crosspair
GBP/CHF - Anticipating Bearish Momentum from Key ResistanceGBP/CHF is forming an Anti-Cypher Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the 4-hour chart. This pattern indicates a potential reversal in the current trend.
Key Levels and Trendlines:
The price is approaching a key resistance area and a 4-hour trendline, suggesting a possible reversal from the bullish momentum.
Entry and Stop Loss:
Considering the Anti-Cypher pattern and the resistance levels, a prudent entry point for a short position is 1.1385. The stop loss should be placed at 1.14500 to mitigate potential losses.
Take Profit Targets:
We have identified three take-profit targets
TP-1: 1.13235
TP-2: 1.12650
TP-3: 1.12035
These levels align with potential support areas and provide suitable profit-taking opportunities.
Conclusion:
Based on the analysis of the Anti-Cypher pattern, key resistance levels, and trendlines, we anticipate a bearish momentum from Point D. Traders may consider entering short positions at 1.1385 with stop loss at 1.14500 and targeting TP levels at 1.13235, 1.12650, and 1.12035 respectively. As always, it's essential to closely monitor the market for any changes and adjust the strategy accordingly.
Time To Sell At 1.15??There has been no stopping the bulls on this pair since it made the lows at the end of last year towards the 1.06 area.
Its took the exact path I planned out in the idea that I posted in October last year dropping down towards 1.06 before rallying back up towards 1.15 (read related idea below)
So what next for this pair ?? Given the extent of the rally and the fact we are now approaching a key resistance area @ 1.15 I'd say a short term sell off is on the cards from here.
The daily chart shows this resistance a lot clearer in fact before that breakdown towards 1.06 price had been stuck in a range between 1.10 and 1.15 for quite some time with sellers stepping in every time 1.15 was hit.
If we zoom into the lower 4HR chart there is clear slowing of momentum occurring as price approaches 1.15 with every pop higher getting quickly sold of.
Too me this is a clear sign that sellers are starting to position themselves into selling positions and buyers are profit taking anticipating a move down from 1.15.
I will be looking for sell signals on my TRFX indicating as we hit the 1.15 level targets for this positions will be the newly created weekly DEMAND/BUY zone around 1.12 and we may even get a deeper correction down towards 1.10.
I would expect buyers to start buying again at these levels and if there is a clear break and close above the 1.15 level then a move up to the 1.21 Monthly SUPPLY/SELL zone is highly possible.
Though before this occurs I expect a sell off first.
Hope you enjoyed the read let me know your thoughts below.
GBPCHF - Long active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I expect bullish continuation after price filled the imbalance and then rejected from bullish order block.
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GBPCHF - Potential long idea ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. I expect price could continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish order block.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
GBPCHF Analysis on Weekly Time Frame GBPCHF: Anticipating a Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge
The GBPCHF pair is showing signs of forming a falling wedge pattern on the weekly chart, a development that typically signals bullish momentum ahead. This pattern is recognized by converging trendlines that slope downwards more steeply at the resistance line than at the support line, suggesting a slowdown in the downtrend and a potential reversal.
Key Observations:
Pattern Development: The falling wedge is not yet complete, but the converging trendlines suggest its formation.
Bullish Signal: This pattern often precedes a bullish breakout, indicating a potential reversal of the preceding downtrend.
Volume: Look for declining volume as the pattern develops, which often leads to a volume spike upon breakout.
Trade Strategy:
Entry Point: Consider a long position if a breakout above the upper trendline occurs.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below the most recent swing low within the wedge.
Take Profit: The height of the wedge at its widest point can be used to project the upward target from the breakout point.
Risk Management:
Confirmation: Await confirmation of the breakout with an increase in volume.
Market Sentiment: Keep abreast of market news and sentiment, as these can influence the breakout’s strength and sustainability.
Trade ideas are speculative and should be used in conjunction with a comprehensive trading strategy and risk management.
This trade idea is based on the falling wedge pattern, which is generally considered a bullish chart pattern in technical analysis. It’s important to wait for the pattern to fully form and for the breakout to occur before considering any trades. Happy trading!
GBPCHF Analysis on 1 Hour ChartGBPCHF: Exploiting the Diverging Triangle for Swift Gains
The GBPCHF pair has formed a diverging triangle pattern on the hourly chart, suggesting a potential breakout. This pattern, characterized by two diverging trendlines, indicates increasing market volatility and the possibility of a strong price movement.
Key Observations:
Pattern Structure: The diverging triangle is identified by a support line that is more horizontal and a resistance line that is steeper.
Impending Breakout: The pattern typically results in a breakout, which can occur in either direction.
Volume: An increase in volume during the breakout can confirm the pattern’s validity
Trade Strategy:
Entry Point: Monitor for a breakout above the resistance line or below the support line for entry.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just outside the triangle’s boundary opposite to the breakout.
Take Profit: The distance between the widest part of the triangle can be used to estimate the profit target from the breakout point.
Risk Management:
Confirmation : Seek additional confirmation through other technical indicators or candlestick patterns.
Market News: Stay alert to news events that could trigger increased volatility and affect the breakout direction.
Trade ideas are speculative and should be used in conjunction with a comprehensive trading strategy and risk management.
This trade idea is based on the diverging triangle pattern, which is less common than its converging counterpart but can signal significant price moves. It’s crucial to validate the breakout with volume and other indicators for a robust trade setup. Happy trading!
SHORT GBP/CHF from 1.2518I noticed a double top and a potential M-Top formation at resisTNCE ON gbp/chf this morning.
The neckline of the M-Top has just broken and we have other BEARISH signals.
The under used and under appreciated Andean Oscillator has seen the red SELL line move awau from zero indicating the possible entry of BEARS into this market.
We now need to see now is the green BUY line of the Andean Oscillator read less than the signal line (currently the green sell is higher than the signal line) so this trade is a touch premature as we do not have that confirmation but the RSI on H1 was reading 78 an hour ago and is now reading 69 so its dropping from overbought levels.
The MACD has yet to catch up with the price so we do not have a SELL confirmation on MACD which would preferrable.
The double top is the key selling point (as it were) for this trade so I'm in a bit early with this trade but it will result in more pips if it works out.
STOP is above the high at 1.1269 but I'll be closing this trade early if there are signs that GBP/CHF BULLS are not finished with this market.