GBPJPY
GBPJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPJPY H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 194.593, an overlap resistance level and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
Our take profit is set at 191.781, near a key support level where price may find buying interest.
The stop loss is placed at 197.012, a pullback support level.
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GBPJPY Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 191.076.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 189.587 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPJPY Is Very Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 190.065.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 191.727.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Potential bearish reversal?GBP/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 192.22
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 193.80
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 190.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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GBP/JPY Bearish Channel (20.01.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. FX:GBPJPY
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 188.64
2nd Support – 188.00
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GBPJPY Update: Bulls in Control? Watch This Key Move Unfold!We’re back with an update on our GBPJPY trade on January 20th, Martin Luther King Day. If you haven’t seen our previous breakdown, be sure to check it out to see how everything unfolded step by step.
We’re still holding strong at the 190.02 level, and despite a wick on the weekly candle, there’s a lot of selling pressure within that move. Scaling down to the daily timeframe, we saw a liquidity sweep at 189.54, which provided confirmation for potential upside.
On the H4 timeframe, a bullish engulfing candle confirmed a break of structure on H1, pushing price to 190.40. We patiently waited for a pullback and entered our first position on Friday, with stops placed below the 189.38 level, targeting a 1:1.5 risk-to-reward, which was successfully hit at 190.97.
Today, January 20th, we added a second position after the breakout of the 190.40 level, entering at 190.53, with stops secured below the 189.88 area. This position has also reached its 1:1.5 target, and we’re now riding it risk-free, aiming for further liquidity grabs.
We’ve already cleared liquidity at the 190.91 and 190.50 levels, with the next targets set at 192.40 and potentially 193.00, where we anticipate consolidation before a push to 194.70, a key liquidity zone.
Currently, we’re floating at 82 pips in profit, and our first target is secured while we hold for potential further gains. Let’s see how this unfolds!
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
GBPJPY - Will the pound continue to weaken?The GBPJPY currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. If the corrective movement continues towards the supply zone, we can sell with a suitable risk reward.
According to the latest Bloomberg survey, the UK government faces significant challenges in restoring investor confidence, as the pound and British bonds continue their downward trend. Following a decline in UK markets early in 2025 due to rising concerns over debt and inflation, about 51% of the 250 participants in last week’s survey predicted the pound would fall to between $1.15 and $1.20 by the end of June. This would mark the currency’s weakest level in over two years.
Meanwhile, 45% of participants anticipate greater volatility in the pound, with 10-year UK bond yields expected to rise above 5% this year.Taylor, a member of the Bank of England, emphasized the importance of staying vigilant against potential risks. He suggested that recent data indicate a worsening economic outlook and that interest rates should be reduced promptly to avoid further challenges.
In Japan, households expect prices to rise in the coming year. The percentage of households with such expectations increased slightly from 85.6% in the previous survey to 85.7%. However, five-year inflation expectations have seen a slight decline. According to the Bank of Japan, average annual inflation expectations among households stand at 11.5%, based on the latest survey.
Goldman Sachs economists predict that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates next week. The firm also remains optimistic about the yen, expecting any action by the Bank of Japan in January to support the currency. Market pricing suggests that an interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan is almost certain.
According to Bloomberg, Kazuo Ueda, Governor of the Bank of Japan, will evaluate the need for a rate hike on Friday. Expectations for an interest rate increase have grown, provided that potential shocks from the early days of Trump’s presidency do not materialize.
While other central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, are focused on rate cuts, the Bank of Japan is moving in the opposite direction, aiming for a gradual return to conventional monetary policies.
The Bank of Japan is set to announce its first interest rate decision of 2025 on Friday. During its final meeting in 2024, the bank decided to keep rates unchanged. Governor Ueda stated that more data is needed to justify a rate hike, highlighting concerns about wages and uncertainties surrounding Trump’s economic policies.
Since then, new data has shown a significant rise in November inflation, with December inflation pressures also intensifying. Wages also grew in November. Additionally, a summary of opinions from the December meeting indicates that a rate hike could occur sooner than investors anticipate.
Given these developments and recent remarks from BoJ officials, investors assign an 80% probability to a 0.25% rate hike. However, the Bank of Japan has a long history of disappointing expectations for rate increases. If Trump adopts an aggressive stance on tariffs in his upcoming speech, the BoJ may once again refrain from raising rates, potentially leading to a decline in the yen.
If the Bank of Japan does raise interest rates, the yen is likely to strengthen, but the associated risks are asymmetrical. The negative impact of refraining from a hike could outweigh the positive effect of an increase. Nonetheless, a further decline in the yen might prompt Japanese authorities to intervene to support the currency.
GBPJPY and USDJPY Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 190.800 zone, GBPJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 190.800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPJPY Sell/Short Signal 2In continuation of GBPJPY downtrend we have officially smashed through the first TP without any issues and a smooth come down on what we have seen in previous days highs that could not sustain. I still see this going down to the second TP then go all the way down to the third TP completing the entire targets range we have analyzed to make. Please be sure to use proper risk management and as well proper caution on how much you leverage for all your trades. Thanks for stopping by to see our charts!
AUDJPY NEXT STEPAUDJPY is falling towards these two red lines ;
the first line is obvious, the tough thing to forecast is what's happening after reaching this one, does it go back up before reaching the next one ?
For us, its should be a "head and shoulders" pattern, meaning some pretty smooth but sure descent towards lower prices, without going back up.
GBPJPY at a Crossroads: The Setup You Can’t Afford to MissWhat’s up, traders! We’re back with an update on GBPJPY as of January 17, 2025. The pound-yen pair continues to keep us on our toes with its range-bound behavior, but we’re breaking down exactly where we believe the market is headed next.
In this video, we’re dissecting the levels that are holding strong, the possible upside plays, and the crucial areas where liquidity is likely sitting. From analyzing key weekly and daily levels to pinpointing potential entries on the H1 and H4 timeframes, we’re laying it all out for you.
We’ll also review the positions we closed earlier for a combined 2:1 risk-to-reward win and how the market dynamics shifted to create new opportunities. With the weekly candle close approaching, are we setting up for the next big move? Watch the breakdown to find out.
If you’re serious about staying ahead in the markets, this is a must-watch. Don’t forget to like, share, and drop a comment below with your questions or pairs you’d like to see analyzed next. Let’s keep winning together!
GBP/JPY - reverse for test of EMA on 4H? Play for tmr or Monday- Wedge bottom could be playing out on the GBP/JPY on the 30 Min (also visible on 15 min):
- Downtrend is weakening as seen on the 2h chart, bulls are able to make money as well as pullbacks are becoming more significant. There is a slight overextension of the 20EMA on the Daily timeframe and shows the downtrend is becoming slightly climatic. RSI is starting to show divergence on the 15 and 30 min timeframes (although weak signals in my opinion, be really careful with such signals following aggressive downtrends. It shows that selling pressure is weakening but does not mean buyers will be the next ones to step in.)
- If wedge bottom is completed, a reversal with clear consecutive bull bars on the 5 and 15 min timeframe could open the door for a scalp at worse or a quick swing until the 4h 20 EMA (around 191.500 at time of writing).
Most importantly, this is a low probability trade, we are entering longs after two aggressive tight bear legs. Manage your risk efficiently and scale up if you do not see clear entry points. C+ setup at best.
Peace
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
GBP/JPY LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/JPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously falling on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 194.042 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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XAU/USD : Gold Surges Above $2700: Volatility Looms! (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we see that, as anticipated, the price experienced another strong rally, breaking above $2700. Today, gold reached $2711 before encountering a bearish order block, triggering a correction. Currently, it is trading around $2703.
With key reports like Retail Sales and Unemployment Claims ahead today, gold is expected to see heightened volatility. Given the current momentum, further correction is likely. The first corrective target for gold is $2698.5, with subsequent targets to be updated in future analyses. Stay tuned!
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