GBP/JPY: A Steady Climb—Is Now the Time to Join?As GBP/JPY continues its steady ascent within a robust bullish channel, the currency pair presents an intriguing opportunity for traders. This chart analysis highlights the pair's long-standing adherence to the ascending trend line, showcasing a potential entry point as the bullish momentum persists. The consistent upward movement, supported by solid trading volumes, suggests a favorable climate for those considering participation in this trend. Traders should remain vigilant of any shifts in market sentiment that might affect this trajectory, but the current pattern could offer promising prospects for strategic entries.
GBPJPY
GBP/JPY H4 | Bullish uptrendGBP/JPY could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 203.04 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 201.85 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 204.25 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
The yen fell to near its lowest level in 38 yearsThe Yen has fallen to extra than one hundred sixty Yen consistent with USD, elevating worries that Japanese government will interfere once more to include this scenario.
Reuters suggested that on June 27, the Yen fell to extra than one hundred sixty Yen consistent with USD, close to its lowest degree in 38 years. The Yen has fallen approximately 2% at the month and 12% at the yr towards the USD.
According to Xinhua, at one factor in the course of the day, the USD turned into buying and selling at one hundred sixty.05 yen, marking the bottom degree when you consider that April 29.
Recently, the Japanese Government has signaled the opportunity of suitable intervention to reply to immoderate volatility. Previously, for the reason that cease of April, the Japanese Government spent 9,790 billion Yen (approximately extra than 60 billion USD) to push the Yen up 5% from its lowest degree in 34 years.
Analysts say that even though the danger of intervention has increased, the Japanese Government can be looking ahead to the United States private intake expenditure (PCE) statistics file earlier than getting into the marketplace.
“Exchange prices and the charge of decline are each essential elements for the Ministry of Finance to recollect intervening,” stated Boris Kovacevic, international macro strategist at international bills enterprise Convera in Austria. the Forex market marketplace. However, reducing volatility withinside the alternatives marketplace suggests that the current boom has now no longer met the Ministry of Finance`s criteria. Policymakers may also await the PCE file earlier than creating a very last choice earlier than the cease of the week."
In a scenario in which the Yen is devalued, families in Japan are nonetheless suffering with each day residing costs. This scenario is basically because of the weaker Yen, making imported items extra expensive. The Japanese authorities is seeking to take extra measures to lessen inflation.
GBP/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
GBP/JPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently rising on the 8H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 201.551 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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GBPJPY where can reverse ? ( swing trade ... )hello dear forex trader
this price action for gbpjpy
my structure level on dayli time frame ...
price near the price reversal zone between fibou extension 2.618 and fibou retrecment on dayli time frame ...
i expect higher high and lower low in 1 h and 4h time frame
after confirmation we can open sell position \
stop loss need for any position
good luck
Trading Idea: Shorting GBPJPY Amid Conflicting Signals from JapaThe recent statement from Japan's Finance Minister about possibly giving up FX intervention due to its ineffectiveness, which seems to suggest acceptance of the yen's continuous weakness, directly conflicts with recent BOJ communications.
Considering this, shorting GBPJPY becomes a highly volatile decision. Nonetheless, a trade is a trade. If this trade goes well, profits are expected within 2 hours. If not, that's part of the game.
Trade Setup:
Short GBPJPY
Entry : 202.97
Stop-Loss : 203.21
Target 1 : 202.60
Target 2 : Open
Strategy:
- Volatility Consideration : Acknowledge the high volatility due to conflicting statements from Japan’s Finance Minister and BOJ.
- Risk Management : Set stop-loss at 203.21 to manage potential losses.
Profit Targets :
Target 1 : 202.60
Target 2 : Keep open
Remember to breathe and prepare for the next trade. What’s your take on this situation? Do you see a different angle or strategy? Share your thoughts and insights below!
GBPJPY BULLISH RALLYPraise Jesus❤✝
💕4hr Analysis💕
Currently see, price still in a full on bullish trend. Price recently broke that pink zone hasn't yet retested it, but as soon as there is wick exhaustion which indicates bullish momentum best believe its full on buys!! Secondly price pulled back to 61.80% fib level and 23% fib level which indicate continuation of the trend..
Expected move to 202.873
🎉1hr and 15min🎉
While on these two time frames price already hit price reversal fib number levels, and with a wick exhaustion candle at the top on 1hr .. You can expect to see some short term bearish movement . But don't get too caught in, as that can be short pullback to continue further to the top. While on the 15min price broke a major trendline, at the top and retested with candle wick exhaustion indicating bullish trend.
ADVICE ;Move with major structure, to avoid being caught up and wiped at the end of the day. Take it step by step, if its not clear wait for clear setups as am doing😊
💟Daily Analysis.💟
On the Daily chart, price is full on the bullish side, price retested a zone with wick exhaustion at the bottom indicating bullish moves all through, till 203.134..
ADVICE; Take price extremely slow move with what is presented with you. Step by step..
Above all move with wisdom in Christ
GBPJPY: Day 3 breakout long in the market, high of the month
Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week ✅ no daily cycle
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout ✅
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump ✅
Dump&Pump
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: Secondary, the market is stil on the frontside move, I cannot exclude the possibility of trend continuation if after MRN a dump and pump is identified into previous level of interest (HOD, CP etc etc)
Short: Primary, considering the current level, HOD, HOW, HOM, signal day, look like the market is accumulating volume up high for a potential strong down move. I will not touch this market until MRN released, and remember, I'm not trying to guess a direction, day 3 long can also blow off in the direction of the trend. If the news won't be catalyst, and a pump and dump will be identified, I would consider it just a scalping day, why? because I do not see any lower low of daily level for a down major move.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
Gold Price Surge: Reaching Targets and Aiming Higher Above $2333By re-analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour time frame, we can see that, as expected, gold started to rise and hit the targets of $2329 and $2332. Now, gold is trading around $2331, and we need to wait for a price consolidation above $2333 to confirm further growth. The next targets for #gold are $2337, $2344, $2348, $2352, and $2356.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GBPJPY → Breaking the psychological level. What's next, 215.0?OANDA:GBPJPY is getting ready to break resistance (ATH for 15 years). In the long term, there is upside potential to 215.8. A strong bullish formation is forming on H4-D1
On the monthly timeframe, price is in the 195-215 range. Bulls kept the defense above the support, at the same time a pre-breakdown setup is forming on the chart, the focus of which is on the resistance at 200.6. The psychological level may be broken in the nearest future, which may provoke the market to active growth towards 202-205, further towards 215 (medium-term perspective).
Japanese Central Bank is not doing well, today we expect news in the US: CPI, FOMC and FED meeting, inflation data is expected to be neutral.
Resistance levels: 200.6
Support levels: 199.9
Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair has a strong bullish bias. If the bulls are able to consolidate above 200, this zone will become a strong support in the medium term.
Regards R. Linda!
Momentum Unstoppable: GBPJPY Buy Using RSAI Blueprint StrategyIn this video, I'll be discussing a recent buy position I took on GBPJPY using my effective RSAI Blueprint strategy. The trade capitalized on strong momentum, and despite sentiment shifts, the trend remained unphased.
I’ll walk you through my analysis and the factors that influenced my decision to go long on GBPJPY. You'll see how the RSAI Blueprint strategy identifies key indicators that signal robust trading opportunities.
Join me as I break down the specifics of this trade, showcasing how the RSAI Blueprint strategy can consistently capture winning trades even amidst shifting market sentiments. Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more insights and updates on profitable trading strategies.
GBP/JPY H4 | Falling to pullback supportGBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 200.98 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 199.89 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 202.70 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPJPY Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉 Examining the GBPJPY on the daily timeframe, we can see it’s in a bullish trend. It has reached a key resistance level, and while I’m interested in going long, I won't do so at the current level. Just below the current trading level, there’s a bullish imbalance on the 30m timeframe along with a bullish order bock. I prefer waiting for a retracement to the 50-61.8% Fibonacci level that happens to coincide with these levels for an ideal entry. In the video, we discuss the trend, market structure, price action, and other important aspects of technical analysis. Please note, the video is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. 📊✅
GBPJPY set to break trendline supportIdea No : 10
8 out of our last 9 ideas were successful and 1 still running, let's talk about 10th
GBPJPY is in a bull run for quite some day now but started to show lags and over bought conditions
we are now facing 2 trendlines and 1 of them appears to be breaking down
therefore expect it to follow our red arrow soon
GBPJPY The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 7-2 to keep the Bank Rate unchanged, aligning with broad expectations. Swati Dhingra and Dave Ramsden again voted to lower the rate by 25 basis points to 5.00%.
The BoE indicated that as part of the August (rate cut) forecast, the Committee will review all available information to assess whether the risks of persistent inflation are diminishing. Based on this assessment, the Committee will determine how long the Bank Rate should be maintained at the current level.
Despite CPI falling to 2% in May, the Bank expects CPI to "rise slightly" in the second half of the year due to base effects from last year's energy price declines. Additionally, the Bank noted that services inflation at 5.7% was "somewhat higher" than projected in the May monetary policy report.
In terms of growth, GDP appears to have grown "more strongly than expected" in the first half of the year but remains at a quarterly growth rate of around 0.25%.
Market Outlook: We are less concerned with the timing of the BoE's first rate cut and more focused on the expected limited and gradual rate cuts. For us, the biggest issue is not necessarily the timing of the first rate cut, but the pace and extent of rate cuts after the first one. In an era of global economic fragmentation, supply-side fluctuations, and fiscal activism, 2% is the lower bound for inflation, not the upper limit. This suggests a gradual easing cycle, with rates stabilizing above pre-pandemic levels.
Gbpjpy again has a potential buy pattern and if it crosses the pivot we can first expect a down market and further a potential further downward or upward retracement.
bullish targets:
202.05
202.30
202.57
202.80
Bearish Targets:
201.50
201.28
201.02
200.80
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GBP/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/JPY right now from the resistance line above with the target of 197.285 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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GBPJPY Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 201.26
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 200.41
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SMART MONEY CONCEPT EXPLAINEDThe Smart Money Concept (SMC) involves understanding the behavior and strategies of institutional investors to inform trading decisions. Within SMC, there are several key components and strategies, including concepts like CHoCH (Change of Character), BOS (Break of Structure), FVG (Fair Value Gap), and others. Here's an in-depth explanation of these concepts:
1. Change of Character (CHoCH)
Definition
CHoCH refers to a significant shift in market sentiment or trend. It's a point where the market changes direction, indicating a potential reversal.
Identification
Higher Highs to Lower Lows (or vice versa): In an uptrend, CHoCH occurs when the market stops making higher highs and starts making lower lows, signaling a possible downtrend.
Volume and Momentum Shifts: Increased volume or momentum in the opposite direction can also indicate a change of character.
Application
Entry/Exit Points: CHoCH helps traders identify potential entry and exit points by signaling when a trend might be reversing.
2. Break of Structure (BOS)
Definition
BOS occurs when the price breaks a significant support or resistance level, indicating a continuation or reversal of the trend.
Identification
Support/Resistance Levels: When price breaks these levels with strong momentum, it signals a BOS.
Swing Highs and Lows: A break above a previous swing high or below a previous swing low is considered a BOS.
Application
Trend Confirmation: BOS helps confirm the direction of the trend, allowing traders to align their trades with the prevailing market direction.
3. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Definition
FVG represents a price gap left in the market where there was a rapid price movement, often due to high volatility or significant market orders.
Identification
Price Gaps: FVGs are visible as gaps on the price chart where little to no trading occurred.
Imbalance Zones: These are zones where the buying and selling are not balanced, leading to rapid price movement.
Application
Retracement Points: FVGs often act as magnets for price, as the market tends to revisit these gaps to fill them, providing potential retracement or entry points for traders.
4. Other Major Parts of the Smart Money Concept
Liquidity Pools
Definition: Areas in the market where a large number of orders are clustered, typically around key support and resistance levels.
Application: Institutions often target these areas to trigger stop-loss orders, creating liquidity for their trades.
Order Blocks
Definition: Consolidation areas where institutions place large buy or sell orders, creating a base for future price movement.
Identification: These are visible as zones of consolidation on the chart.
Application: Order blocks can act as strong support or resistance levels, providing potential entry or exit points.
Institutional Candles
Definition: Large candlesticks that represent significant institutional activity.
Identification: These candles are usually much larger than the surrounding ones and often occur at key levels.
Application: They signal strong buying or selling interest from institutions, indicating potential future price direction.
Stop Hunts
Definition: The practice where institutions push the price to trigger stop-loss orders placed by retail traders to create liquidity.
Identification: Sudden, sharp price movements towards obvious stop-loss levels.
Application: Recognizing stop hunts can prevent premature exits and provide entry points at better prices.
Market Cycles
Accumulation Phase: Period where smart money is building positions, often characterized by sideways price movement with low volatility.
Mark-Up Phase: After accumulation, the price starts to move upward rapidly as institutions push the market in their favor.
Distribution Phase: Institutions begin to offload their positions, leading to sideways movement with high volatility.
Mark-Down Phase: Following distribution, the price moves downward rapidly as institutions sell off their positions.
GBP/JPY Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel!
Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on GBP/JPY , dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
🚀 Current Price Action
From the current price action, we observe that the price is presently at a premium level. We've noted the previous month's high ( PMH ) and the previous day's high ( PDH ), indicating a potential continuation to the upside.
⏳ Lower Time Frame Observations
On lower time frames, such as the 1-hour chart, there are order blocks below the previous week's high ( PWH ), suggesting possible reactions at these levels. We anticipate that the price may reach the PWH before reversing downward to target the sell-side liquidity below.
📉 Sell-Side Liquidity Targets
For sell-side liquidity, the key levels to watch are the previous week's low ( PWL ), which aligns with an Equal Low ( EQL ), making it a significant target. Additionally, there are internal liquidity levels such as Fair Value Gaps ( FVG ) and Sell-Side Liquidity ( SSL ) zones.
🔍 Overall Expectation
Overall, we expect the price to extend slightly higher before initiating a new move to the downside. To position ourselves effectively, we need confirmation from lower time frames, specifically the 1-hour and 15-minute charts.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
Exploring GBP/JPY today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning!
⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.