GBP/JPY short🧩 GBP/JPY Swing Short Setup
📍 Entry:
Sell Limit: 194.75
🛡️ Stop Loss (Above Resistance Wick):
SL: 196.20
→ Covers minor breakout/fakeout above 195 zone while protecting against invalidation
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 190.00
(Structure floor + first major reaction zone)
TP2: 185.00
(Clean horizontal support and demand zone)
TP3 (Swing Target): 180.00
(Large macro target — monthly structure retest)
🧠 Rationale Recap:
Price is consolidating just under multi-year resistance (195–200)
Fundamentals align: GBP weakening, JPY strengthening in risk-off environment
Strong R:R, clean rejection zone, and macro pressure potential
GBPJPY
WHY USDCAD IS DROPPING ?? DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD is currently reacting from a strong daily supply zone after a sustained upside move, and we are now seeing clear signs of bearish structure forming. Price has broken through multiple short-term supports and is now trading around the 1.38600 level, sitting right above a key demand zone that held in late 2023. Given the aggressive sell-off and rejection from the 1.43400–1.44500 resistance range, the market appears to be preparing for a deeper retracement. My bearish target is 1.34600, which aligns with the previous major demand level and psychological support.
Technically, the chart shows two strong bearish engulfing moves from supply, followed by lower highs and lower lows. This shift in structure combined with repeated rejections from resistance zones indicates the momentum is shifting in favor of sellers. If the current zone fails to hold on the retest bounce, we could see a strong continuation leg down. I expect a minor correction toward 1.41600 before further downside resumes, offering an ideal risk-reward short setup for swing traders.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian Dollar remains firm, supported by strong crude oil prices as WTI holds above $85 amid geopolitical tensions and production cuts. At the same time, recent U.S. data has shown mixed signals, with sticky inflation keeping the Fed cautious, but slowing job growth and consumer spending raising concerns. If oil prices remain elevated and Fed rate cut expectations increase later this quarter, the USDCAD pair is likely to stay under pressure.
With CAD strength driven by energy markets and the USD facing headwinds from softening macro indicators, this setup aligns both technically and fundamentally for a bearish continuation. I’ll be watching for clean rejections from the 1.40000–1.41600 resistance zone before loading more shorts toward 1.34600. Patience is key — this could be a high-probability move in the coming weeks.
GBPJPY Channel Down bottom reached. Rebound expected.Last time we looked into the GBPJPY pair (March 20, see chart below) we had a sell signal which dully delivered our 188.550 Target:
This time we have the price at the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the extended Channel Down, with the 1D RSI almost reaching the 30.00 oversold limit. All such bottoms were followed by a rebound that hit at least the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before a new Channel Down Lower Low.
As a result, we are going for a short-term buy here, targeting a potential contact with the 1D MA50 at 190.250.
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GBP/JPY Triangle Breakout (11.04.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 184.40
2nd Support – 182.60
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Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci retracement?GBP/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 186.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 184.39
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 189.96
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GBPJPY downtrend continuation below 190.96The GBPJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 190,96 which represents the current intraday swing high.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 190.96 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 184.78 with further potential declines to 182.70 and 177.80 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 190.96 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 192.65 resistance, with a potential extension to 194.33 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the GBPJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 190.96 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
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GBPJPY: From Oversold Bounce to Potential DowntrendFenzoFx—The GBP/JPY currency pair bounced from 184.42 due to RSI 14 being oversold. As of now, it trades near 187.7, having erased 1.0% of recent gains.
The trend remains bearish with prices below the 50-period simple moving average and the 50.0% Fibonacci resistance level at 190.2. Support is at 187.0, and a drop below this could target 184.42.
The Bullish Scenario
However, if GBP/JPY surpasses 190.2, bullish momentum may extend to 192.0.
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USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDCAD IS DRROPPING. DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSUSDCAD is currently trading around 1.4200 after a clean retest of a previously broken support zone, which has now turned into a strong resistance level. Price action is confirming the bearish structure as we see a gradual yet consistent drop from the highs of 1.4540. With the rejection seen from the supply zone and recent lower high formation, momentum is shifting further in favor of the sellers. I am now targeting 1.3800 for the next key level, aligning with both technical confluence and fundamental sentiment.
Technically, the structure is clear: we had a failed breakout above 1.4450, followed by a decisive bearish engulfing move. The market then completed a textbook retest at the 1.4340–1.4450 supply zone before resuming the downside move. The current formation on the 12H chart shows a lower low and lower high sequence intact, signaling a trend continuation to the downside. The highlighted zones also provide ideal reward-to-risk setups for continuation traders.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian dollar is gaining strength due to rising oil prices, with WTI crude now climbing back above the $85 mark. This directly supports the loonie given Canada’s oil-export-driven economy. Meanwhile, US economic uncertainty around upcoming CPI data and shifting Fed rate cut expectations continue to weigh on the dollar’s upside momentum. Additionally, recent risk-on sentiment in global markets is pushing flows into commodity-linked currencies like CAD.
With technicals and fundamentals aligning, I remain firmly bearish on USDCAD. As long as price remains below the 1.4340 resistance, I’m looking for continuation toward the major demand zone near 1.3830–1.3800. This setup offers a clean 1:3+ risk-to-reward profile, and I will be scaling in further on bearish confirmations as the market progresses.
Nas100 continuation lower?Good evening traders, I am busy with my market recap and I saw this beautiful idea on nas100/US100 or whatever name your broker uses.
Indices have been pretty bearish from our understanding as we saw price crush, well my thought process when analysing chart is question based, question like did price move above our weekly opening price to give us our manipulation phase in the power of 3, and in this case or in the case of this analysis the answer is yes it moved higher following this week’s open. Today in the 1 hour TF we have a structure shift lower and before we can do anything we need to see price come higher to Atleast the FVG that is marked on the chart, I know ICT teaches deeper about FVG but for me it’s fine for price to completely cover it. Or if maybe the OTE(optimal trade entry) is the method you use to enter trades it’s still fine or even order blocks if maybe you can see any than it’s also completely fine.
Currently price is showing momentum lower and maybe it’ll close prices lower but if we close the daily candle above the midpoint of the weekly gap we can expect price go than trigger the limit.
AUDCAD…When is enough, enough?!Good day traders, we back with another beautiful idea on AUDCAD but here we not focusing on buying and selling but rather to test a study I’m currently busy with, well in a nutshell I’m studying inside day candle stick pattern, currently on the 4hour TF we have a big bearish candle followed by a lot of small bullish candle sticks but all that trading is happening inside that one big 4 hour candle.
How I like to interpret this pattern in my years of back testing this pattern(still am)😂 inside day candles can be used as both a continuation or a reversal pattern but but depending on the market structure!! What price is doing currently on the 1hr TF I like to explain it to my friends as a beautiful lady who only wants your money 😂😂 because price is making traders believe that the reversal has started but truth is price is still gonna move lower the the liquidity resting below before moving higher to reverse the big move we saw last week and beginning of this current week.
We can expect price to take to low of Monday than shift structure higher to confirm our bias that price will reverse. Remember we study price and time not technical analysis.
GBPJPY H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 191.02, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 187.32, a multi-swing low support.
The stop loss is set at 193.72, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibo retracement.
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GBP/JPY: Yen Strength Pushes Price Toward Key SupportGBP/JPY has posted a decline of more than 3% over the last four trading sessions, with bearish momentum growing as the market increasingly favors the Japanese yen in the short term. Demand for the yen has risen sharply since last week, when Donald Trump announced a minimum 10% tariff on all imports into the United States. This was further reinforced today by new comments proposing additional 50% tariffs on China, following Beijing’s announcement of countermeasures against the U.S.
The yen is historically considered one of the safest currencies, and the recent surge in uncertainty has helped it hold strong against the British pound.
Wide Sideways Range
The pair remains within a broad long-term range, bounded by a ceiling near 198.676 and a floor around 186.932. Although recent selling has brought the pair close to the lower boundary, price action has not yet been strong enough to break this level, keeping the sideways channel as the dominant technical formation to watch for now.
MACD
The MACD indicator has started to show a shift in market momentum, with the histogram oscillating below the zero line. This reflects ongoing bearish pressure based on recent moving average behavior, and as long as this pattern persists, selling momentum in GBP/JPY may become increasingly relevant in the coming sessions.
RSI
The RSI also reflects a bearish tone, with the line currently holding below the 50 level. However, the indicator is gradually approaching the oversold zone near the 30 level, which is typically where selling pressure may begin to ease, potentially opening the door for short-term bullish corrections.
Key Levels:
192.493 – Key resistance: Located in the middle of the broader range and roughly aligned with the 200-period moving average. Persistent price action near this level may signal the beginning of a bullish bias in the short term.
190.144 – Tentative zone: This level may act as a potential area for short-term bullish corrections.
186.932 – Current support: Positioned at the bottom of the broader range. If price action breaks below this level, it could pave the way for a much more significant downtrend in the sessions ahead.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
GBP/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GBP/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 193.172
Target Level: 187.511
Stop Loss: 196.946
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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LONG ON GBP/JPYGJ has Taken a dive since last week.
The Jpy Index is now over brought and should begin falling.
This will cause most of the XXX/JPY pairs to rise.
EJ, NJ, and GJ all look great for a buying opp.
GJ has a morning star on the 15min TF, I am waiting for price to pullback to the FVG or demand area on the 15min TF before entering long.
This is a sell limit order risking 65 pips to make over 300 pips.
See you at the top.
ICPUSDT READY TO FLY AGAIN ?? ICPUSDT is currently forming a classic falling wedge pattern on the chart, which is widely recognized as a bullish reversal signal. The price has been compressing within this narrowing range and is now approaching a key point where a breakout is highly likely. With strong support being respected and buyers gradually stepping in, the setup is aligning well for a potential upside move.
Volume levels have been steadily increasing, confirming growing investor interest in Internet Computer (ICP). This increasing participation from traders and investors alike can often serve as a reliable indicator that a breakout may occur soon. Technical indicators such as RSI and MACD are also hinting at a momentum shift that aligns with a bullish scenario.
Given the strength of this chart formation and the positive volume dynamics, ICPUSDT could potentially see a price gain in the range of 90% to 100%+ from current levels. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, especially for those who are entering early before the breakout confirms with stronger candles above resistance. A retest of the wedge breakout, if it happens, could also provide a second opportunity to enter.
ICP is also gaining traction among long-term investors due to its unique blockchain technology aimed at decentralizing the internet. The ongoing development and community support around the project adds more fundamental strength to this setup. Keep an eye on it for confirmation of the breakout!
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GBP/JPY "The Dragon" Forex Bank Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/JPY "The Dragon" Forex Bank. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
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however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (190.000) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 199.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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GBP/JPY "The Dragon" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
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📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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GBPJPY Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 189.486.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 183.143 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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