GBP/JPY Multi-Timeframe Analysis & Probability Estimation **Timeframes Covered:**
- **30-Minute (M30)**
- **1-Hour (H1)**
- **4-Hour (H4)**
- **Daily (D1)**
**Key Observations Across Timeframes:**
**1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis:**
- **Short-term:** (M30, H1) Price is trading near **equilibrium (~189.600 - 189.800)** with minor bullish structure.
- **Mid-term:** (H4) Price is rejecting from a previous **liquidity zone**, but still inside a bearish structure.
- **Long-term:** (D1) Overall, **GBPJPY is still bearish** with price bouncing from the **discount zone (188.000 - 187.500)** but failing to break above **key resistance (190.500 - 191.000).**
**2. Supply & Demand Zones:**
- **Premium Zone (~190.500 - 193.000):** Strong supply zone, price may reject if it reaches this level.
- **Discount Zone (~187.500 - 186.500):** Strong demand zone where price recently found buyers.
- **Equilibrium (~189.600 - 189.800):** Price is currently consolidating, meaning market is undecided.
**3. Liquidity Areas & Key Levels:**
- **Previous Daily High (PDH ~190.000) & Previous Weekly High (PWH ~192.000):** These levels may act as liquidity magnets.
- **Previous Weekly Low (PWL ~187.500):** If price drops, this will be the next area of interest for liquidity.
- **Weak High near 190.500:** If price struggles here, expect a reversal.
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**Probability-Based Scenarios:**
**1. Bullish Scenario (Move Towards 190.500 - 192.000)**
- **Probability: 50%**
- **Reasons:**
- Short-term bullish momentum (M30 & H1) suggests price might push toward the **premium zone (190.500 - 192.000).**
- If price **breaks and holds above 189.800**, it could push higher.
- Liquidity above **PDH (190.000) could be a target** before a potential rejection.
**2. Bearish Scenario (Drop Below 188.500 Towards PWL)**
- **Probability: 50%**
- **Reasons:**
- **H4 & D1 remain bearish**, meaning a continuation of the downtrend is still possible.
- If price **fails to hold above 189.600**, expect a move lower towards **188.500 or even 187.500 (PWL).**
- The **0.618 Fibonacci level (190.626) is acting as strong resistance.**
**Final Thoughts & Trade Plan:**
- **Market is currently in a neutral zone (50/50 probability)**, meaning it can go either way.
- **Key Confirmation Levels:**
- **Above 189.800:** Bullish towards **190.500 - 192.000**.
- **Below 189.600:** Bearish towards **188.500 - 187.500**.
GBPJPY
GBPJPY A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
GBPJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 189.95 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 189.26
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPJPY trend continuation?Next week, we can expect the continuation of the trend. The technical analysis is fully explained in the chart, but what needs to be watched are the fundamental reports:
Manufacturing PMI on Monday, (impulsive move)
Tuesday nothing (correction move)
Services PMI on Wednesday, (impulsive move)
Jobless Claims on Thursday, (impulsive move)
and NFP along with Fed Chair Powell's speech on Friday. (impulsive move)
We expecting high volatility during news events. Trade what you see, not what you think.
GBPJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 189.489.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 188.370 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
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ENTRY POINT (150.100) to (150.200) 📊
FIRST TP (149.700)📊
2ND TARGET (149.300)📊
LAST TARGET (148.900) 📊
STOP LOOS (150.700)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum. @fxopen
GBPJPY capped by falling resistance at 191.16The GBPJPY price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 191.16. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 191.16 level could target the downside support at 188.90 followed by 187.12 and 185.60 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 191.16 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 193.68 resistance followed by 194.70 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GBP/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/JPY with the target of 187.757 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? (READ CAPTION)The USD/JPY daily chart confirms that the price followed our analysis precisely, dropping from the expected zone and completing a 500+ pip correction, hitting all three targets: 152.70, 151.70, and 151, before reaching 148.00.
I anticipate a short upward move before another potential decline. The next probable target for USD/JPY is 148.65. Keep an eye on price action for confirmation!
THE LATEST ANALYSIS :
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DeGRAM | GBPJPY retest of dynamic supportGBPJPY is in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel, but it has already reached the dynamic support, which previously acted as a rebound point.
On the 1W Timeframe, the chart is in the accumulation zone, which is characterized by the fact that volumes have increased and the pair is held in a certain trading zone.
Before reaching the lower trend line, a harmonic pattern was formed, the potential of movement of which held under the 50% retracement level.
We expect price growth after fixing above the mentioned retracement level.
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum. @fxopen
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?GBP/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 190.68
1st Support: 187.74
1st Resistance: 193.06
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GBP/JPY on the 45-minute timeframe ,GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) on the 45-minute timeframe.
Chart Analysis:
• Trading Plan: The chart highlights an “ENTRY ZONE”, indicating a potential buying area.
• Potential Movement: The green triangle suggests that the price might move upwards toward 190.372 or 190.889.
• Rejection Points: Certain areas where price faced selling pressure (marked with green circles) indicate previous resistance levels.
• Support Level: The zone between 188.772 - 188.950 acts as support, where the price might bounce back up.
This chart seems to follow a breakout or bounce trading strategy, where buying is expected in the “ENTRY ZONE” with targets around 190+ levels.
GBPJPY H1 I Bullish RiseBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 189.11, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 189.99, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 188.20, a swing low support level.
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GBPJPY: Channel Down on its new bullish wave.GBPJPY is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.292, MACD = -0.960, ADX = 36.514) as since the February 13th LH and rejection near the 1D MA50, it was been on its new bearish wave. The 1D RSI doesn't give a buy signal until it hits its S1 Zone, so we remain bearish on this pair with a typical TP = 185.500, unless the RSI hits S1 first, in which case you'll be encouraged to take profit earlier.
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum. @fxopen
USDCHF Bullish Flag: Breakout Potential Toward 0.92USDCHF is currently trading at 0.899 and forming a bullish flag pattern, signaling a potential breakout toward the 0.92 target. The bullish flag is a strong continuation pattern that occurs after a sharp upward move, followed by a consolidation phase. If the price successfully breaks above the flag’s resistance, it could trigger a new bullish wave, driving USDCHF higher.
Technically, the bullish flag suggests that buyers are accumulating positions before the next breakout. A confirmed breakout above the flag’s upper trendline, with increased volume, could validate the uptrend. Traders should watch key resistance zones and look for strong bullish candlestick formations to confirm the breakout momentum toward 0.92.
On the fundamental side, the US dollar remains strong due to the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. If economic data from the US continues to show resilience, the dollar could gain further strength against the Swiss franc. Additionally, the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) monetary policy stance, which has remained relatively dovish, could contribute to CHF weakness, supporting the bullish outlook for USDCHF.
In summary, USDCHF is currently consolidating within a bullish flag, preparing for a potential breakout toward 0.92. A strong move above resistance, combined with bullish fundamentals, could accelerate the upside momentum. Traders should keep an eye on US economic data and risk sentiment to confirm the trade setup.
GBPJPY and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPJPY jumps above 190.50The GBP/JPY pair climbs to around 190.70 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The British Pound (GBP) gains strength against the Japanese Yen (JPY) following the release of the UK's January Retail Sales data.
The Office for National Statistics reported on Friday that UK Retail Sales rose by 1.7% month-on-month in January, compared to a decline of 0.3% in December. This figure exceeded the market's expectation of a 0.3% increase. On a yearly basis, Retail Sales grew by 1.0% in January, compared to a previously revised increase of 2.8% (originally 3.6%), surpassing the forecast of 0.6%. The GBP remains strong in immediate response to the positive UK Retail Sales figures.
GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) 4-hour analysis,GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) 4-hour analysis on OANDA, incorporating key technical levels:
Key Levels & Zones:
• Entry Zone: 189.198 - 189.241, acting as a potential buy area.
• Support Zone: 187.295 - 187.948, marked in red, indicating a strong support area.
• Resistance Levels:
• 190.374 (first target)
• 191.926 (second target)
• 193.052 (major resistance level)
Price Projection & Analysis:
• The price is currently testing the entry zone, suggesting a potential bounce from this level.
• If the price holds above 189.198, a bullish move towards 190.374 and beyond is expected.
• A break below 187.921 could lead to further downside towards 187.295 or lower.