GBPJPY TRADE UPDATE: Is the Bull Run Still On? | Reading CandlesGBPJPY TRADE UPDATE: Is the Bull Run Still On? | Reading Candles
In our latest video, we’re revisiting the GBPJPY trade setup shared earlier this week. With an entry at 188.813, a protective stop loss at 186.814, and a target at 195.170, this swing trade was built on a solid confluence of structure, price action, and momentum bias.
So far, price has respected the entry zone and is making a slow but steady climb. In the video, we break down what’s happening now, how the market reacted to recent news events, and whether the move still has enough steam to reach our target.
We also touch on:
The importance of letting your trade breathe
How to manage open profits without micromanaging
Why patience is one of your most profitable skills
This isn’t just about GBPJPY—it’s about trading with a plan and letting the probabilities play out.
Have you ever exited a trade too early, only to watch it hit your original target later? Let’s talk about that in the comments.
📺 Watch the full update on and stay locked in.
GBPJPY
GBPJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 189.100 zone, GBPJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 189.100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDJPY has just completed a clean breakout above a well-defined descending channel on the 4H chart, signaling the beginning of a short-term bullish wave. This move reflects a technical shift in sentiment as buyers reclaim control after weeks of selling pressure. The breakout candle closed above the upper trendline, indicating a strong potential for continuation. The target zone appears to align with the previous resistance zone around 147.68, where price reacted multiple times in the past, creating a well-defined liquidity area.
From a fundamental standpoint, the dollar is regaining traction following a stabilization in U.S. Treasury yields and a slight pullback in geopolitical tensions. Market participants are also pricing in a slightly more hawkish Fed tone, as inflation remains persistent and jobless claims continue to show strength. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan remains firmly dovish, with no indication of tightening policy anytime soon, reinforcing yen weakness and supporting the upside momentum in USDJPY.
This current price action is not just technical—it is aligned with macro drivers. The divergence in monetary policy stance between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan continues to be a key bullish factor for USDJPY. As long as U.S. inflation remains sticky and Fed officials lean toward holding or even hiking rates, this pair is likely to stay supported on dips. Add to that Japan’s fragile domestic consumption outlook and persistent intervention threats, and USDJPY may find itself grinding higher toward resistance zones.
In conclusion, with the channel breakout confirmed and fundamentals favoring a bullish bias, I’m eyeing upside continuation toward 147.68. A tight stop below 140.20 makes the setup attractive in terms of risk-reward. I'll be watching price reaction at interim levels, but the structure is clean and the setup has strong confluence—perfect for capturing this short-term wave.
GBPJPY Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 189.024.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 187.906.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 186.077 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the GBP/JPY pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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New Pair under my belt, GBPJPY! Let's see how this goes.. I have been closely monitoring GBP/JPY, currently trading around 188.775. The pair has been hovering near resistance, and multiple technical indicators suggest momentum is weakening. My focus is on institutional absorption near 188.75–189.00, where price has struggled to break higher.
Examining price action, I see rejection wicks forming near resistance, confirming potential sell-side control. MACD divergence on the hourly timeframe indicates slowing momentum, and RSI is hovering around 54.69, reflecting a neutral stance rather than strong bullish continuation. ADX at 18.83 suggests the trend is weak, meaning price could be consolidating before a directional move.
Support sits near 187.50–188.00, where price has previously shown demand. If institutions absorb sell orders here, a long position toward 189.00 may develop. However, if price fails to hold above 188.75, a short trade targeting 187.50 aligns with institutional rejection patterns. With volume showing signs of clustering near resistance, the probability of a pullback is increasing.
At this point, I am watching how price reacts near key liquidity zones. If sellers continue defending 188.75, I will wait for bearish confirmation before executing a short trade. Alternatively, if price holds above 188.50 with bullish volume, I will reassess my bias for a potential breakout toward 189.50. Managing risk effectively and waiting for clear signals will be the key to executing the best trade setup.
GBP/JPY: Bearish Bias Pushes Price Toward Key Support LevelOver the last three trading weeks, the GBP/JPY pair has depreciated by more than 3%, establishing a firm bearish bias in favor of the yen in the short term. This perspective has remained intact primarily due to growing expectations of a more dovish monetary policy from the Bank of England, which left its interest rate unchanged at 4.5% in its latest meeting. Markets now anticipate a 25 basis point rate cut at the upcoming May 8 meeting, potentially bringing the rate down to 4.25%.
This expectation is supported by the fact that inflation in the UK currently stands at 2.6%, close to the central bank’s 2% target, further justifying the possibility of additional rate cuts in the short term. Lower interest rates in the UK reduce the appeal of GBP-denominated assets, which in turn can drive selling pressure on the pound.
Safe-Haven Demand for the Yen
It is also important to note that the Japanese yen is historically seen as a safe-haven currency, due to its relative stability compared to other major currencies. As the global tariff conflict intensifies and economic growth prospects weaken, demand for the yen is likely to increase further in the short term. This dynamic could lead to continued downside pressure on GBP/JPY.
Broad Sideways Channel Still Intact
Since August 2024, GBP/JPY has traded within a well-defined sideways channel, with resistance around 198.676 and support near 186.932. Recent bearish moves have not been strong enough to break below this key support, suggesting that this lateral formation remains the dominant structure for upcoming sessions.
Indicators Show Growing Neutrality:
MACD:
The MACD histogram is currently sitting around the neutral 0 line, indicating that the average momentum of recent moving averages remains in balance, with no dominant force in either direction.
RSI:
A similar situation is seen in the RSI, which is hovering near the neutral 50 zone. This reflects a constant balance between buying and selling pressure.
Together, these indicators suggest persistent neutrality, likely due to the strong support zone that the price is currently testing.
Key Levels to Watch:
190.14: A near-term resistance level, aligned with the Ichimoku cloud barrier. A bounce toward this level could reactivate short-term bullish momentum.
192.493: A significant resistance, located at the convergence of the 100- and 200-period moving averages. A return to this area could reinforce the validity of the sideways channel still visible on the chart.
186.93: Key support level, located at the lower boundary of the broad sideways range. Bearish moves that manage to break below this level could mark the beginning of a much more significant downtrend in the upcoming sessions.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
EURJPY --- bullish or bearish detailed analysis EURJPY is currently offering a high-conviction long opportunity as the pair completes a classic falling wedge breakout pattern on the daily timeframe. Price is now trading around 162.45 and has just broken out of a well-defined descending trendline, validating the bullish momentum shift. With the recent higher low formation and the wedge breakout confirming bullish market structure, the next leg toward the 167.36 zone is on the table, aligning with a clean resistance level and historical price reaction zone.
Fundamentally, the Euro is underpinned by the ECB’s cautious stance on rate cuts, as inflation in the Eurozone remains above the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid growing divergence between the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary policy and other global central banks maintaining relatively tight conditions. BoJ’s reluctance to tighten, combined with consistent intervention threats, hasn’t been enough to halt the Yen’s decline, making EURJPY an attractive long in the current macro backdrop.
Technicals align perfectly here—after a solid rally from the wedge bottom, EURJPY consolidated in a descending channel and has now broken out for a second time, repeating a bullish continuation pattern. The structure remains clean with clear invalidation below 161.26, offering a strong reward-to-risk ratio on continuation toward 167+. The multiple confluences of trendline breakouts, bullish market structure, and macro divergence make this a premium swing setup.
Highly searched keywords like “EURJPY breakout,” “falling wedge pattern,” and “JPY weakness” will drive additional traffic to this idea. With both price action and fundamentals in sync, this trade idea is structured to maximize upside potential while keeping risk controlled. A clean, strategic long setup that reflects disciplined execution and market awareness.
GBPJPY - Sell Opportunity Following Resistance Test?Based on the 4-hour chart of GBP/JPY, the pair has been consolidating within a range after a significant decline from the 195.00 area. The currency is currently testing resistance around the 189.00 level, marked by the blue highlighted zone. We anticipate a temporary break above this consolidation zone as price completes a correction, which would offer an attractive selling opportunity. Traders should watch for price action confirmation after the break above the zone before entering short positions, as the broader trend appears to remain bearish.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHFJPY TECHNICAL AND FUNADEMENTALS DETAILS ANALYSISCHFJPY has just broken out of a long-term descending channel on the daily chart, currently trading near 174.09. This breakout is technically significant, as it marks the end of a prolonged downtrend and suggests the beginning of a potential bullish reversal. The price action shows a clean breakout above the upper channel resistance, followed by a healthy retest—textbook price behavior when momentum shifts to the upside. With this structure flip, we are now positioning for a continuation towards the 182.40 zone, which aligns with a previous key resistance and measured move projection.
This breakout is supported by strong fundamentals. The Swiss Franc remains firm, driven by Switzerland’s resilient economic data and the Swiss National Bank’s cautious monetary stance. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to struggle as the Bank of Japan maintains its ultra-loose policy, despite recent signs of inflation picking up. The yield differential and risk-on sentiment are weighing heavily on JPY, making it an ideal quote currency for this bullish CHF move. Traders are increasingly favoring CHFJPY in the current macro landscape due to this divergence.
What makes this setup even more attractive is the clean technical structure paired with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The stop below the retest area around 171.63 offers tight risk management, while the upside potential toward 182.40 presents a strong 1:3+ R/R swing opportunity. These types of breakouts—especially after extended consolidation—often lead to trend-following momentum plays that institutions favor.
CHFJPY is now on many watchlists across TradingView due to this breakout from a descending channel, which is a highly searched pattern by technical traders. This pair is poised to deliver a profitable swing trade backed by both technical strength and macro alignment. If momentum continues, we could see a strong bullish leg throughout Q2.
GBP_JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅GBP_JPY is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 189.669
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 188.000
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPJPY for a selling opportunity around 189.600 zone, GBPJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 189.600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
DeGRAM | GBPJPY Broke Down Triangle📊 Technical Analysis
GBP/JPY continues to move within a triangle, staying below the 189 level.
The 189.00 level remains a strong ceiling; rejection here signals continued downside.
If pressure holds, price may retest support around 184.75.
✨ Summary
Technical weakness + soft UK data + JPY strength = bearish setup. Below 189.00, GBP/JPY may target 184.35.
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GBP/JPY testing critical zoneThe GBP/JPY is testing a critical resistance area between 189.20 to 190.00. For as long as this area holds as resistance, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Should the selling resume from here, we could see the Guppy trade down to test the key support range between 185.00 to 186.00 again.
However, if the GBP/JPY breaks decisively above the 189.20 to 190.00 range, then that could potentially pave the way for a short-squeeze rally towards the next major resistance in the 193.00 to 194.20 range, where we also have the 200 day MA converging.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GBP/JPY Bearish Reversal Setup–Eyeing Breakdown from Supply Zone1. Supply Zone (Resistance Area) 🟦 Supply Zone:
Located around 189.500–190.000
🔺 Price got rejected here multiple times — strong selling pressure.
2. Ascending Trendline Support
📈 Trendline connecting higher lows (marked with yellow dots)
🟡 Support tested multiple times, acting as a rising wedge structure.
3. EMA (7) — Exponential Moving Average
⚫️ EMA (black line) is currently near price — indicating short-term trend stalling.
4. Bearish Breakout Setup
🔻 Anticipated price drop shown with red/orange arrows
📉 If price breaks below trendline:
🎯 Target Point: 186.600
⬇️ Expected drop: ~1.51%
5. Price Movement Outlook
🔁 Possible minor pullback before breakdown
⛔️ Bearish signal increases if the trendline fails.
Summary (with emojis):
📍 Entry Idea: Short near resistance zone (189.500–190.000)
⛓ Trigger: Break of trendline support
🎯 Target: 186.600
⚠️ Stop-loss: Above 190.000 (above supply zone)
#GBPJPY: Will JPY Drop or Continue The Bullish Trend? As JPY strengthens, all ‘XXXJPY’ pairs sold heavily. This trade war scenario is uncertain, so it brings significant risk. If strong news supports the US DOLLAR, we’ll likely see a sharp price drop. Use accurate risk management and analyse before blindly following any advice.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best.
Thanks for your support and love.
Team Setupsfx_
GBPJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25GBPJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25
Key- to await price to show its play.
The longer term retrace is of course the set that FRGNT would potentially call an A - set up, higher time frame order block long, lower time frame breaks, you know the drill. BUT what if price action does not match your forecast. We must adapt if the position makes sense.
Let's see if GBP has the legs to break 15' structure in London.
We are interested.
One thing is for sure, GJ moves and we endeavour to be part of those dances!
-15' break of structure first prior immediate long.
Trade well!
FRGNT X
WHY GBPAUD IS BULLISH ?? DETAILED ANALYSISGBPAUD is currently breaking out of a textbook falling wedge pattern on the 2H timeframe, a structure widely recognized for its bullish implications. After an aggressive bullish impulse at the start of April, the pair entered a consolidation phase marked by lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent breakout above wedge resistance signals a potential continuation of the prior bullish trend. This clean technical breakout, combined with tight consolidation, suggests a build-up of bullish pressure likely to push the pair toward the 2.1300–2.1600 zone.
From a technical standpoint, the falling wedge pattern acted as a corrective structure following strong bullish momentum. The breakout confirms buyers stepping back in, with a solid support base forming around 2.0800. As long as GBPAUD holds above this level, the bullish outlook remains intact. Volume has also started to increase post-breakout, which typically reinforces the validity of the move.
On the fundamental side, the British pound is gaining traction amid optimistic UK economic indicators and renewed hawkish undertones from the Bank of England. Traders are pricing in a more cautious approach to rate cuts compared to other central banks, which gives GBP an edge. On the other hand, the Australian dollar is under pressure due to weak employment data and China-related risk sentiment, both of which are weighing on AUD. This divergence creates a favorable macro backdrop for GBPAUD bulls.
This setup is gaining attention among traders on TradingView due to its clear structure and the alignment between technicals and fundamentals. With a bullish breakout confirmed, I'm expecting follow-through momentum in the sessions ahead. Watching for intraday retests near 2.0850 for possible re-entries, with a medium-term upside target near the 2.1500 zone.
Why Gold bullish ?? Detailed AnalysisXAUUSD is currently showing strong bullish momentum after completing a clean retest of the breakout zone near 3200. Price action confirmed this level as new support, and we are now seeing price bounce back with conviction. This structure is a classic continuation setup, and as long as price holds above the retest zone, the next leg higher toward the 3265–3300 range looks highly probable.
Technically, the 8H chart displays a strong impulse move followed by a controlled pullback into a demand zone. Price formed a higher low and immediately pushed back into bullish structure, signaling continuation. If gold stays above the 3200–3180 level, I expect buyers to maintain control, and the market could drive further upside targeting the previous swing high and beyond. The rejection wicks and volume spike at the base of the retest add to the bullish conviction.
From a fundamental standpoint, gold continues to benefit from a combination of factors including global uncertainty, persistent inflation, and dovish sentiment from major central banks. With US inflation data keeping rate cut expectations alive and the dollar softening slightly, gold remains a preferred hedge. Additionally, increased demand from central banks and institutions continues to support gold's long-term uptrend.
This setup is one of the most closely watched on TradingView right now due to its clean structure and strong confluence. With macro and technical conditions aligned, this bounce off support could lead to another wave of bullish momentum. As a professional trader, I’m staying long-biased above 3180 and will look for momentum confirmation to scale into the next bullish wave.