GBPJPY: Price action and potential setupsGBPJPY remains choppy from a price action perspective with higher highs followed up by lower lows. Much like USDJPY both bulls and bears seem to lack conviction at this stage with the descending trendline growing more vulnerable with each retest.
As its stands and barring any intervention a break above the trendline is growing more and likely as the 100-day MA provides support to the downside. resting around the 181.774 mark.
Key Levels to Keep an Eye On:
Support levels:
181.77
180.00
178.33
Resistance levels:
183.00
184.06
186.72
Gbpjpy_outlook
GBPJPY: Hello traders! The return of Sphyn♦️ Wage pressure in the UK eases, the pound weakens compared to the euro and dollar
🔹 Oil prices stabilized thanks to hopes that the US will ease sanctions on Venezuela
① Oil prices stabilized on Tuesday after falling more than $1 on Monday. US crude oil is currently trading around 86.95 USD/barrel, down about 0.1%. Markets expect the US will ease sanctions on oil-producing Venezuela and Washington is stepping up efforts to prevent the Palestinian-Israeli conflict from escalating.
② Multiple sources said Monday that the Venezuelan government and opposition plan to resume long-stalled negotiations on Tuesday; President Maduro said this would benefit the 2024 election, a move that could prompt Washington to ease sanctions.
③ Oil prices rose sharply last week on concerns that the conflict in the Middle East could widen, with Brent crude prices rising 7.5%, the largest weekly increase since February.
④ US President Biden will visit Israel on Wednesday. Israel is preparing to escalate its offensive against Hamas militants, sparking a humanitarian crisis in Gaza and raising fears of a wider conflict with Iran.
⑤ ANZ Research said in a report on Tuesday, "Risks remain, with Iran's Foreign Minister warning that the war could expand to other fronts and is approaching the inevitable stage ."
⑥ The Biden administration is looking to increase oil flow to the global market to ease high oil prices. But due to a lack of recent investment, it will take some time for Venezuela to actually increase oil production.
GBPJPY; Massive Head & Shoulders forming on the Weekly!A massive Head & Shoulders formation on the Weekly chart (and, obviously, on the daily), forecasting a -9% plummet in this pair upon completion . (I.e. It will have to break down, first!)
There are a host of reasons why a total break down in this pair would be fundamentally justified, as well, but to highlight a few, in lead words:
- Cheap continental (EU) capital flow has long ceased - Brexit;
- Since 1990, while ~40% of EU manufacturing profits have "trickled down" to the "average Joe"s the same wealth transfer was limited to only ~8% of the UK's population. (E.g. Germany financed virtually all of the British capital expansion in the last 30 years which Britain freely squandered away, permanently.)
- Probably the most interesting/significant factor is this:
IFF A.I. fulfills even a fraction of the "hopes" attributed to it's recent rise and practical promises (GPT-x, etc.), interestingly enough Britain is in the "sweet spot" to be the most devastated by any value added by the "A.I. revolution"! (We have conducted an extensive, multi-month research project before arriving to this conclusion. Time allowing, we will attempt to include the most practical/trading related aspects of those results here.)
- Japan continues to come out of it's 30 year slumber and there are tangible signs of continuation of this progression. Also, in the presently unfolding multi-polar "new world order" the undeniable winning block will be most likely the NAFTA + Japan "manufacturing & trading block". At present, the two fastest developing regions of the world are;
1) Texas + Northern Mexico;
2) Japan + S.E. Asia (while China's problems remain well out of reach for any solution - I.e., demographics, etc.)
We are actively looking for a Short Entry at these levels.
Here is a closeup - Daily;
GBPJPY: 400+ PIPS SETUP Do Not Miss Outdear traders, hope you had a great weekend, now back to the business , we are expecting price of GBPJPY to reach the top in coming days, as the JPY will continue the bearish trend. GBP however, it is yet to be bullish as long as DXY remain extremely bullish. It will be hard for the prices to have strong bullish price action.
GBP JPY SELLHello, according to my analysis of the gbpjpy pair, there is a high possibility of a downside. The price broke the double button pattern. With a very large red negative candle. It indicates the strength of the sellers. We also notice the rapid return to the bullish channel as shown in the analysis, but it could not get out of it. In the coming days, we expect a further drop to 182,000 levels in the first phase. And the level of 180.00 in the second stage, good luck to all
GBPJPY week 25.09 - 29.09.2023Short term: GJ seems to be following the downtrend
But below, GJ has a Quasimodo liquidity zone forming.
It looks like this area is quite solid.
To create a clear uptrend, we need GJ to at least be able to break above the Sellzone.
Plan :
Canh buy: 179.55 and 178.8.
Canh sell: 182,995/ 183,675
If Sell picks up first, the Buy bet is still valid.
If Buy picks up and the train runs, consider reducing the order volume.
Maybe the liquidity will be enough for a pull up
GBPJPY 20/09 MovePair : GBPJPY ( British Pound / Japanese Yen )
Description :
Symmetrical Triangle in Short Time Frame as an Corrective Pattern and it has Breakout the Lower Trend Line and Completed its Retest it will Reject from Lower Trend Line of Corrective Pattern " Falling Wedge " in Long Time Frame or Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
GBPJPY: JPY traders attempt a recovery!The GBP/JPY pair slid to a new five-week low after touching 182.51 on Thursday, falling off 184.00 in the final trading session of the week.
The British Pound (GBP) has struggled to develop further momentum against the Japanese Yen (JPY) recently, with the Guppy marking a move towards the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) after failing to maintain maintained the key level of 186.00 at the end of August.
GBP/JPY marked its 2023 low in early January when the pair traded into the 156.00 region. GBP has done a good job of taking advantage of JPY's weakness since then, with Guppy still up around 17.50% on the year.
GBPJPY: today!As long as 185.76 resistance holds, further decline is expected in GBP/JPY. Break of 182.66 will resume the fall from 186.75. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 182.39) will argue that it’s already in a larger scale correction and target 176.29 support next. On the upside, break of 185.67 resistance will indicate that the pull back from 186.75 has completed. Further rise should then be seen through 186.75 to resume larger up trend.
GBPJPY: focus on the UK GDP releaseThe BoE has actually adopted a more cautious stance recently, as is clear from Governor Andrew Bailey's statement that the central bank is approaching the peak of its interest rate hike cycle. Despite persistent inflationary pressures, the BoE faces a delicate balancing act, as being too aggressive with interest rate hikes could endanger the UK economy.
SELL GBPJPY zone 184.400 - 184.500
Stoploss: 184.850
Take Profit: 183.700 (backtest breakout)
Take Profit: 183.000 (support zone)
GBPJPY: So perfect chart!The GBP/JPY pair is on track to end the day close to its starting point, as market fluctuations caused the Guppy to trade back and forth due to changing sentiment. Traders of Pound Sterling (GBP) are preparing for a data-heavy economic calendar in the United Kingdom (UK) during the first half of the week. Meanwhile, broad-market support for the Yen (JPY) has increased following comments from officials at the Bank of Japan (BoJ) over the weekend, suggesting that negative rates may come to an end in Japan.
GBPJPY: GBP/JPY trades with negative bias near weekly low, manages to hold above 184.00 mark
The GBP/JPY pair is experiencing a slight downward trend for the second consecutive day on Friday and remains near the lower end of its weekly range during the Asian session. However, spot prices are able to stay above the 184.00 level, which should make aggressive bearish traders cautious and prepare for any potential further decline in value.
GBP/JPY's 30-Minute Support and ResistanceIn the intricate realm of forex trading, precision is paramount. Each level, each movement holds a crucial piece of the puzzle. Let's delve into the technical intricacies shaping the journey of the GBP/JPY pair within the 30-minute timeframe.
Finding Ground: Dual Support Levels
Amid these critical minutes, GBP/JPY locates its footing with not one, but two support levels:
Primary Support - 183.706: This serves as the initial anchor for the pair, providing a foundation that potential rebounds and recoveries can build upon.
Secondary Support - 183.300: A backup in case the pair faces increased pressure, this level bolsters its potential to resist further downward movement.
Conquering Challenges: Resistance Unveiled
However, the path forward is punctuated with challenges. The pair encounters a single resistance point, serving as a barrier that demands an earnest effort to overcome:
Resistance 1 at 184.790: This pivotal point marks the primary hurdle for GBP/JPY's upward ascent. A successful breach could signal a shift in market sentiment, opening doors for potential further gains.
Insights to Navigate: Charting the Course
For traders and keen observers, the interactions between GBP/JPY and these support and resistance levels are a treasure trove of insights. Each movement, each break, holds significant clues about the prevailing market sentiment.
The dual supports at 183.706 and 183.300 create a resilient platform, offering opportunities for potential recoveries. Yet, the challenge presented by the resistance at 184.790 underscores the need for a concerted effort to drive the pair upward.
As time ticks within this 30-minute span, the movements of GBP/JPY unfold like a compelling narrative. The interplay between support and resistance, between the ambitions of buyers and the strategies of sellers, forms a dynamic storyline that traders keenly follow, seeking to uncover the short-term trajectory of this captivating currency pair.
GBPJPY: Today!The GBP/JPY cross posts modest gains but remains below the 184.00 barriers during the early Asian session on Friday. The cross currently trades around 183.85, gaining 0.07% on the day following the release of Japanese inflation data.
The Statistics Bureau of Japan reported on Friday that the Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, fell to 2.9% YoY from 3.2% in the previous month, against 3.0% market predictions, while the Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food and Energy remained stable at 4.0% YoY.
GBPJPY: Breaking the uptrend, the downtrend begins to form!GBP/JPY marked an all-time high at 186.77 in the early trading hours of the Asian session on Tuesday. Spot price is trading around 186.50 at the time of writing. The pair retreats from the all-time high as it appeared to be a barrier. A break above that level could help the GBP/JPY pair to explore higher highs around the 187.00 psychological level.
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GBPJPY: Price growth prospect!The GBP/JPY pair continues its upward trend, despite a slight dip towards the 183.40s level at the time of writing, supported by various factors. The Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) remains below the price levels, while the crossing of Tenkan-Sen above Kijun-Sen has opened doors for further price appreciation, as observed in Thursday's session.
GBPJPY: Trends are difficult to identifyGBP/JPY takes offers to refresh the intraday low near 183.50 during the first loss-making day in six amid early Monday morning in Asia. In doing so, the cross-currency justifies the market’s sour mood amid a light calendar, as well as ignores the hawkish concerns about the Bank of England.
GBPJPY: Back to get liquidity when not breaking resistanceGBP/JPY lacks momentum while making rounds to 182.70-80 during early Wednesday in London, fading the two-day winning streak. In doing so, the cross-currency pair juggles multiple risk catalysts and the fears of the UK’s economic slowdown, as well as mixed central concerns, during the sluggish markets.
GBPJPY: The recovery is negligible!The GBP/JPY exchange rate is recovering from recent losses during the early Asian trading session on Friday. The cross trade is currently hovering around 181.62, marking a 0.24% increase for the day. The disparity in monetary policy stances between the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) acts as a headwind for GBP/JPY transactions, creating an adverse effect on its performance.