GBPJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe price moved exactly 400pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) to set the tone for bearish momentum. In the last week, and with the appearance of a double top pattern; the Pound appears to have found the crucial resistance at JY158 to incite a second downward spiral. The JY158 area already stopped buyers in October 2021 and January 2022. The JY157 area also stopped buyers during the course of last week trading session to signal a bearish momentum.
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom) | Descending Channel
Observation: i. Despite an overall bullish momentum on this pair (see weekly time frame); the JY157 area has been resisting price action since October 2021 to reveal a bearish tendency at this juncture in the market.
ii. Since testing the JY158 area on the 10th of February 2022, price action has continued to find lower highs which culminated in a breakdown of Key level (JY156.450) at the beginning of last week trading session.
iii. This development gave rise to multiple rejections of the JY157 area to make this area our new supply zone for future selling opportunities.
iv. It is important that we put into consideration that the multiple rejections of the JY157 area share a confluence with the bearish trendline that has been guiding price action since the 10th of February 2022.
v. In this regard, I shall be looking to take a sell position below the key level identified at JY156.450 with an opportunity to add to my existing position at a breakdown/retest of the JY155.450 area in the coming week(s).
vi. Mind you, the early hours/days of the new week might see a price climb to test our new supply zone around the JY157 area to incite further decline... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 3 to 7days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Gbpjpyforecast
No men's land for the GBPJPY. The GBPJPY has been trading in a giant consolidation range and has been on a uptrend in this range since December 2021. Are we going to see continued upside or is price going to break down from here? It is unclear just by looking at the charts, in the short term, these levels looks good for a long but control your risk to a bare minimum. We are pretty neutral on this pair for this month.
Will JPY continue its run?Hi Traders,
JPY pairs strengthened last week and price action is showing us that we can get another push down. Price has been moving within an ascending channel which we had a double top pushing price to the lower boundary on Friday. If we get an impulse breakout with a LTF correction, this will validate another entry for a sell position.
Be patient with your entry and ensure all of your rules are met.
Comment below and share your view on this pair! Support me by clicking the like button if this helps you.
Good luck!
GBPJPY chopping its way up!THe GBPJPY give up the gains it made in one fell swoop on the last day of the trading week. We expect to see price recover from here in choppy fashion to complete a wave 5 impulse before a macro trend reversal for the pair. This level is great for a buy if you can get in at market open next week, otherwise wait for the choppy range to form and a break out of the range to get in. Our upside target is around 170.
GBPJPY SHORTS 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bearish price action on GJ as price is rejecting a bearish orderblock on h4 targeting the trend line liquidity where a lot of retails put their stops below old lows, we have bearish candlestick momentum confirmation on h4 + jpy index is bullish, we go LOWER.
What do you think ? Commnet below..
GBPJPY top-down analysis Hello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Short GBPJPY I will keep my bias on sells because on the following reasons:
1- Price is currently at Weekly Fib level 0.382, which is also a major resistance zone;
2- Double Top Pattern (4H);
3- 1 Engulfing bearish candle " (4H);
4- MA 18 and EMA 8 are crossing to the down side (4H);
5- MACD is losing strength and starting to give sell confirmation (4H).
6- On the Daily and 4H I see a Descending Bearish Continuation Triangle
NOTE: Price might react with NY opening.
GBPJPY False Break?currently GBPJPY is trying to form a bullish movement. But I see movement rather than bullish while GBPJPY is not so good from a price action point of view. Then I found that there are 2 Fibbonaci areas, namely 50.0 Internal Retrachment and 1.618 external retracement meeting a minor resistance at 155.414. My assumption is if the price is not able to penetrate the area and false break. Possibly the price will move bearish again to touch the strong support area at 153.138.
Note : The market will always change, I'm just sharing my view on the possibility the market will go away. If you have a different perspective from your analysis view, let me know in the comments.
GBPJPY 4H ProjectionGBPJPY 4H Projection
My view on GBPJPY for 4H.
GBPJPY is falling in a downtrend
Which is a LOT for such a major pair, especially given
That the bulk of the action happened in the last few weeks
So the pair is locally oversold
And I think that those who are in the short trades
Are looking for a level at which to close their positions
GBPJPY INTRA-DAY SHORTS 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bearish price action on GJ on a intra-day basis as price takes out previous daily high and asian highs fillling a bearish imbalance on M30 on its way, we can see at the LTF that bears are gathering momentum so we should go to the downside.
What do you think ? Comment below..
GbpJpy- New leg down is probableAfter reaching a high of 157.50, GbpJpy dropped pretty fast to 153 zone.
Now the pair is in recovery and, considering the flag formation from the recent bottom, continuation to the downside is probable.
155.50 is resistance and a good place to search for selling opportunities
GBPJPY, new high in B1?The pound against the yen has previously failed to reach a good entry level, and the MCS, not being in excess of strength, has also not sent any signals; the MML in H4 has attracted the price and from here two scenarios open up:
1. Look for a new high in B1 to enter the 6-month short
2. Breaking down MML, price that is lost in the void, MCS that is neutralized and waiting for a new signal
Option 2 speaks for itself, if instead it were looking for a maximum in B1 we could take advantage of the half-yearly cycle for a fairly short trade since, on the annual we are already bullish from the beginning of January '22 for the second half of the cycle (A1).