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Gbpjpyshort

GBPJPY Ueda faces risk of market collapse as Bank of Japan weighMr. Kazuo Ueda of the Bank of Japan is in a predicament. If he sticks to policy this week, there is a risk that the yen will fall to a 10-year low and the yield control program will come under attack from speculative markets. If the Governor simultaneously raises the upper limit of 10-year yield curve control, either explicitly or implicitly, the Governor could raise long-term interest rates to levels that are inconsistent with economic fundamentals, which is the Governor's goal. The achievement of stable inflation would be at risk. In a sign of how tense the monetary policy debate will be, BOJ officials are likely to monitor developments in yields right before deciding whether to adjust the YCC, the people said.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPJPY | Will BoJ allow Diamond to shine? From technical point of view, we have clear Diamond pattern on a daily timeframe . As you can see on my chart, latest rally broke through the upper dynamic resistance, but got quickly pushed down while creating equal highs. Market closed at a key lvl static support area and dynamic one , from Diamond formation. Based on just technical side, I'm expecting small correction to retest 182.080 , it is Camarilla long breakout pivot point. After possible rejection, price should move South and break below diamond pattern with possible move to Short breakout Camarilla point at 180.470. But what about fundamental side? Well, Bank of Japan might overshadow other Banks in the upcoming week , if Ueda and other members decide to give us something unexpected. Due to experts, there is possibility for another YCC tweak, but I don't think it will be enough to support YEN to higher extend. Ex-BoJ member thinks that negative rates may stop by year-end, and that's exactly what we are looking for. Some word or single thought that could signalize potential end of negative rates. Carefully watch that meeting since it will be crucial. And here we have Bank of England. BoE is expected to keep the Bank Rate unchanged at 5.25% . Everything will depend on narration of BoE's members. Pause + Neutral stance won't cause any sharp moves in my opinion. Have a great day y'all! All the best
Short
by fxintouch
1
GBP/USD Hits Three-Week Low Below 1.2100"GBP/USD extends this week's decline from near 1.2300, touching a three-week low in Asian trading on Thursday, pressured by a stronger US dollar. The pair weakens further below the key 1.2100 level and faces selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart drops below 50, and the latest 4-hour candles close below the 100-period and 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA), indicating a downtrend. The level at 1.2100 (a psychological threshold) is considered the main support. If buyers fail to defend this level, further losses towards 1.2050 (the recent low) could be witnessed. To attract technical buyers, GBP/USD needs to surpass the resistance zone of 1.2190-1.2200, where the 100-period SMA and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level converge. In this scenario, 1.2250 (the 200-period SMA) and 1.2300 (the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level) could be seen as the next resistance levels. After a sharp decline on Tuesday, GBP/USD rallied back to 1.2200 on Wednesday. However, market caution prevented a sustained recovery. US data released on Tuesday revealed that private sector business activity expanded slightly faster in early October compared to September, with the S&P's global composite PMI improving from 50.2 to 51. While US Treasury bond yields continued to decline, the US dollar benefited from the optimistic PMI data, putting pressure on GBP/USD. In early European trading on Wednesday, US stock index futures traded negatively, and the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note maintained a modest daily increase of around 4.85%, supporting the US dollar. In the latter part of the day, the US New Home Sales data for September will be considered for new momentum. Some policymakers at the Federal Reserve have expressed concerns about the negative impact of high-interest rates on the housing market. Therefore, a significant decline in this data could immediately harm the US dollar. On Thursday, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its initial estimate of third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth.
by Gwen_Humuna
GBPJPY Yen weakens to match low for year, raising intervention rTOKYO: Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said on Thursday that authorities would closely monitor the yen's movements after it fell by more than 150 points against the dollar, and continued to warn investors on Thursday against selling the currency. Pressure is mounting on the Bank of Japan to change its management of bond yields as interest rates rise globally. Reuters reported this week, citing sources familiar with the matter, that a possible increase in the current yield cap, which was set just three months ago, is being discussed ahead of next week's monetary policy meeting.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
GBP/USD Approaches 1.2270 Ahead of PMI DataGBP/USD continues its upward momentum since Thursday, trading above the 1.2270 level in the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair receives support from the US Dollar (USD) adjustment, coupled with improved risk sentiment. Although GBP/USD started higher after testing the 1.2100 level, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart remains below 50, indicating the downward trend persists. If the pair closes below 1.2100 in the 4-hour timeframe, sellers might take action. In this scenario, the 1.2050 level (the recent low) could be the next target before 1.2000 (psychological level). On the upside, the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) forms a dynamic resistance at 1.2150, preceding 1.2180 (SMA 100) and 1.2200 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent downtrend). Feel free to let me know if you need further assistance or if there's anything specific you'd like to add!
by Gwen_Humuna
2
GBP/JPY LOOKING BEARISH!We can clearly see this pair is in a BEARISH Trend by looking at the Daily timeframe. Switching to the 1 Hour Timeframe, I can get a better picture of when I need to enter this market. Price has tested the Pivot all week and continues to bounce between it and a strong support at 181.250. MACD showed me a cross, RSI is under the MA and price is under all of my EMA's for added confluence. Entry - 181.785 TP- 181.250 SL-182.035 Hoping for a little over 50 pips for this trade! Cheers! FX:GBPJPY
Short
by Lady_Pippin
1
GBPJPY: Price action and potential setupsGBPJPY remains choppy from a price action perspective with higher highs followed up by lower lows. Much like USDJPY both bulls and bears seem to lack conviction at this stage with the descending trendline growing more vulnerable with each retest. As its stands and barring any intervention a break above the trendline is growing more and likely as the 100-day MA provides support to the downside. resting around the 181.774 mark. Key Levels to Keep an Eye On: Support levels: 181.77 180.00 178.33 Resistance levels: 183.00 184.06 186.72
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
1
GBP/USD Dips, Awaits UK CPI DataGBP/USD faced consecutive losses, trading around 1.2160 in Asian markets on Wednesday. Positive US economic data applied pressure. The pair retreated after reaching 1.2200, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, the 50 and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) confirming significant resistance. The 4-hour chart's Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 40, indicating accumulating bearish momentum. Immediate support lies at 1.2130 (static level). Closing below it in the 4-hour timeframe could bring further selling pressure, possibly testing temporary support at 1,2100 (static, psychological level) before targeting 1,2050, the recent downtrend's endpoint. If GBP/USD rises above 1,2200 and confirms it as support, it could aim higher towards 1,2250 (static) and 1,2300 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement level). The pair reversed its trend after breaching 1,2200 on Monday, dropping to the 1.2150 region on Tuesday. Short-term technical outlook indicates bearish momentum and potential additional losses if the 1,2130 support fails. US Retail Sales data for September is on the economic horizon, with a negative surprise possibly impacting the USD. However, GBP/USD might stand firm unless a significant, positive market sentiment change occurs. Stay tuned for updates on this evolving situation.
by Gwen_Humuna
1
GBPJPY: Hello traders! The return of Sphyn♦️ Wage pressure in the UK eases, the pound weakens compared to the euro and dollar 🔹 Oil prices stabilized thanks to hopes that the US will ease sanctions on Venezuela ① Oil prices stabilized on Tuesday after falling more than $1 on Monday. US crude oil is currently trading around 86.95 USD/barrel, down about 0.1%. Markets expect the US will ease sanctions on oil-producing Venezuela and Washington is stepping up efforts to prevent the Palestinian-Israeli conflict from escalating. ② Multiple sources said Monday that the Venezuelan government and opposition plan to resume long-stalled negotiations on Tuesday; President Maduro said this would benefit the 2024 election, a move that could prompt Washington to ease sanctions. ③ Oil prices rose sharply last week on concerns that the conflict in the Middle East could widen, with Brent crude prices rising 7.5%, the largest weekly increase since February. ④ US President Biden will visit Israel on Wednesday. Israel is preparing to escalate its offensive against Hamas militants, sparking a humanitarian crisis in Gaza and raising fears of a wider conflict with Iran. ⑤ ANZ Research said in a report on Tuesday, "Risks remain, with Iran's Foreign Minister warning that the war could expand to other fronts and is approaching the inevitable stage ." ⑥ The Biden administration is looking to increase oil flow to the global market to ease high oil prices. But due to a lack of recent investment, it will take some time for Venezuela to actually increase oil production.
Long
by Sphyn-Trader
2
GBPJPY; Massive Head & Shoulders forming on the Weekly!A massive Head & Shoulders formation on the Weekly chart (and, obviously, on the daily), forecasting a -9% plummet in this pair upon completion . (I.e. It will have to break down, first!) There are a host of reasons why a total break down in this pair would be fundamentally justified, as well, but to highlight a few, in lead words: - Cheap continental (EU) capital flow has long ceased - Brexit; - Since 1990, while ~40% of EU manufacturing profits have "trickled down" to the "average Joe"s the same wealth transfer was limited to only ~8% of the UK's population. (E.g. Germany financed virtually all of the British capital expansion in the last 30 years which Britain freely squandered away, permanently.) - Probably the most interesting/significant factor is this: IFF A.I. fulfills even a fraction of the "hopes" attributed to it's recent rise and practical promises (GPT-x, etc.), interestingly enough Britain is in the "sweet spot" to be the most devastated by any value added by the "A.I. revolution"! (We have conducted an extensive, multi-month research project before arriving to this conclusion. Time allowing, we will attempt to include the most practical/trading related aspects of those results here.) - Japan continues to come out of it's 30 year slumber and there are tangible signs of continuation of this progression. Also, in the presently unfolding multi-polar "new world order" the undeniable winning block will be most likely the NAFTA + Japan "manufacturing & trading block". At present, the two fastest developing regions of the world are; 1) Texas + Northern Mexico; 2) Japan + S.E. Asia (while China's problems remain well out of reach for any solution - I.e., demographics, etc.) We are actively looking for a Short Entry at these levels. Here is a closeup - Daily;
by Nemo_Confidat