GBPUSD Daily Chart Analysis: Key Resistance and Bullish Channel The daily chart for GBP/USD reveals a clear uptrend with price action forming a bullish channel. The pair is currently trading around 1.31621, approaching a critical resistance zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone:
The price is heading towards a major resistance around 1.39, a level which has historically acted as a strong ceiling. This resistance could halt the upward movement unless a significant breakout occurs.
Support Levels:
The lower trendline of the channel is acting as dynamic support. If the price retraces, the 1.30 level should provide a cushion for potential buying pressure, maintaining the bullish trend.
Trading Strategy:
Buying Strategy:
Traders can look for a pullback to the lower boundary of the channel around 1.30 for a potential buying opportunity. A stop loss can be placed just below the trendline, targeting the resistance at 1.39.
Breakout Strategy:
A breakout above the 1.39 resistance would signal a continuation of the long-term bullish trend, opening up the possibility for further gains toward higher resistance levels.
RSI Confirmation:
The RSI indicator is approaching overbought territory but still has room to push higher. This suggests that the bullish momentum could continue until resistance is tested.
Conclusion:
With GBP/USD trading within a rising channel, the focus remains on how the price interacts with the 1.39 resistance level. A pullback to the lower trendline offers buying opportunities, while a breakout above resistance would signal further bullish potential.
Gbplong
Over+750 pip in GBP/AUD in our last call(07/31/2024)in our last analysis
We were expecting a big rally for GBP/AUD. Since then the price moved in our favor and made over +750 pip for us.
Despite weaker CPI data for AUD, we are now looking for a correction in the 1.98 zone.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
GBP/USDLast week, the Pound Sterling (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD) exchanged minor gains, with the GBPUSD pair surpassing 1.2750 for the first time in two months.
Notwithstanding its robust commencement to the week, the Pound Sterling encountered challenges in the face of a resurging US Dollar, ultimately accumulating moderate gains and perpetuating the preceding week's ascent.
The central theme of this week was the diminishing anticipation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE). This was partially mitigated by renewed demand for the US Dollar, which tempered optimism surrounding the British Pound.
As expectations of a June rate cut by the BoE were dampened by the delayed decline in UK inflation, GBPUSD reached a two-month high of 1.2762. In contrast, cautious remarks from Fed officials and ardent sentiments expressed in the minutes of the May Fed meeting countered expectations of aggressive rate cuts, reviving demand for the US Dollar and instigating a decline in the GBPUSD pair.
In April, the ONS reported a monthly decline in retail sales of 2.3%, compared to expectations of -0.4% and March's -0.2%. Notwithstanding this, the Pound Sterling managed to maintain its value above 1.2700, as the USD was unable to sustain its strength heading into the weekend due to improving risk sentiment.
In the daily chart of GBP/USD, the recent price showed a buying pressure above the dynamic 20-day EMA line. Moreover, the rising RSI line above the 50.00 level with a confluence of bullish pressure from the 100 day SMA could extend the gain towards the 1.2828 resistance level.
However, a failure to break this line with a daily close below the 20 DMA could initiate a downside correction.
GBPUSD D1 FORCAST (Bullish)
On Friday , The GBPUSD experienced Significant volatility leading to a notable Uptrend moment. This Action in the formation of a low Resistance liquidity Zone, indicatating minimal resistance for the price moment through This level. Additionally the price left relatively equal low, suggesting the pressure of H4 sell Stop.
Are you ready to ride this? More than 3,000 pips { 21/03/2024}Educational Analysis says GBPUSD may move in this range for some time according to my technical.
Broker - FXCM
This is not an entry signal. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why this range?
Because the market is in an uptrend on 4 hour zoom out time frame, the market tried to put fake Change of Character duping the traders for a while.
But now we can go long from this zone marked out with risk to reward ratio tool.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table in the future for us.
Please check the Comment section on how it turned out for this trade.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
GBPUSD DAILY TIMEFRAME FORECASTAs the price still in uptrend and have not yet breaking the support so eye will keep on going for LONG and then wait for the profits at the resistence level . So price is likely to keep moving up. So it expect to to buy when ever the price make a support at lower timeframe like 15mins
GBP/USD analysisGBP/USD has broken daily extreme low due to a weekly order block therefore we can say that it is in a down trend. It has been in a consolidation period since half way through December and has finally broken out the range taking liquidity to the downside. In doing so it has left a 4H order block and a huge imbalance on the 1H timeframe. It can either go up to the order block where I would be considering sells, or it could partially fill the imbalance and then start to sell. In the meantime I will be taking buy trades on the 15m and 5m chart until it reaches the premium area of the imbalance. I hope you guys will find this helpful.
GBP/USD Holds Below 1.2650, Signals Potential UptrendGBP/USD maintains its position below the lower boundary of the ascending regression channel, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) exhibiting a sideways movement above the 50 level, indicating a potential uptrend in the near future.
The level at 1.2780 (static level) is considered a temporary resistance before 1.2830 (the endpoint of the latest uptrend, highest point on December 28) and 1.2860 (midpoint of the ascending channel).
On the flip side, support levels are situated at 1.2750 (lower limit of the ascending channel), 1.2710-1.2700 (Simple Moving Average 100 periods (SMA), static level), and 1.2670 (SMA 200 periods).
The GBP/USD pair's dynamics suggest a cautious optimism, with attention focused on how the currency pair navigates the mentioned resistance and support levels. Traders will be monitoring the RSI for potential confirmation of the anticipated uptrend, while being mindful of key technical levels for potential shifts in market sentiment.
GBP/USD Rises to 1.2800 on Weakness in the US DollarGBP/USD has rebounded and climbed above the 1.2750 level after dipping to 1.2700 earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggled to find demand in the US trading session as the latest data showed a slight slowdown in the year-on-year PPI in December. GBP/USD remains above the lower limit of the ascending regression channel, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moving flat above 50, indicating a potential upward trend.
The level at 1.2780 (static level) is considered a temporary resistance before 1.2830 (end point of the latest upward trend, highest level on December 28) and 1.2860 (midpoint of the ascending channel).
On the flip side, support levels are at 1.2750 (lower limit of the ascending channel), 1.2710-1.2700 (Simple Moving Average 100 periods, static level), and 1.2670 (Simple Moving Average 200 periods).
Dollar Rebounds as Traders Reconsider Fed Rate Cut ExpectationsGBP/USD - The British pound weakened significantly against the greenback, dropping to 1.2625 from its previous level of 1.2735. Immediate support is anticipated at 1.2600 for the pound, followed by 1.2570 and 1.2540. Immediate resistance sits at 1.2660 (overnight high), 1.2700, and 1.2740. Expect increased volatility in Sterling within the range of 1.2600-1.2700. Trading expected within this range for the day.
"GBP/USD Forecasted to Reach 1.3500 in 2024"In a recent note, the global FX head at Goldman Sachs has indicated that GBP/USD is poised to extend its upward momentum to reach 1.3500 in the coming year. Citing correlations with stocks and alleviated concerns about global recession, GBP exhibits a "positive and reliable relationship with higher stock prices."
The recent strength of the British pound is attributed, in part, to the broad weakening of the U.S. dollar. However, since early November, the pound has also demonstrated strength based on trade-weighted fundamentals, performing exceptionally well in a moderately volatile interest rate environment and amid rising stock prices. The outlook since November has been promising, and expectations are for further gains in the upcoming year. This is why Goldman Sachs believes that the British pound has considerable room for appreciation as the market embraces the 'soft landing' perspective.
Upcoming elections are likely to encourage additional fiscal support while easing trade tensions with the EU. Both factors are expected to contribute to domestic growth, mitigating the risk of a recession and bolstering the British pound.
As we anticipate the unfolding of 2024, the projections for GBP/USD remain optimistic, driven by a combination of global economic dynamics, domestic factors, and a supportive political landscape. Investors and traders alike will be closely watching these developments as they navigate the foreign exchange market in the coming year.
"GBP/USD Forecasted to Rise to 1.3500 in 2024"In a recent update, the global FX head at Goldman Sachs has predicted that GBP/USD is poised to extend its upward momentum to reach 1.3500 next year. Citing correlations with stocks and easing concerns about global recession, Goldman Sachs notes that GBP has a "reliable positive relationship with higher stock prices."
The recent surge in the British pound is partly attributed to the broad weakness of the US dollar. Since early November, the pound has also strengthened based on trade-weighted grounds, showcasing resilience in an environment of moderate interest rate volatility and rising stock prices. Goldman Sachs anticipates more of the same in the coming year, asserting that the British pound has ample room for appreciation as the market embraces the notion of a "soft landing."
The upcoming elections are likely to both encourage additional fiscal support and alleviate some trade conflicts with the EU. Both outcomes are expected to bolster domestic growth, mitigate the risk of recession, and further support the British pound.
As we approach 2024, the forecast for GBP/USD looks optimistic, driven by a combination of global economic factors and domestic political developments. Investors will be keenly observing the unfolding dynamics in the currency markets as the British pound aims for new heights against the US dollar.
GBP/USD Resilient Above 1.2800 Amidst Dollar WeaknessGBP/USD saw a slight uptick above 1.2800 in early European trading on Thursday, supported by the prolonged weakness of the US Dollar due to bets on the Fed's dovish stance. US unemployment benefit claims data was released in a relatively quiet market. The currency pair, currently trading just above 1.2700, may find technical buyer interest if it confirms this level as support. In such a case, 1.2750 and 1.2790-1.2800 serve as potential resistance levels. Failure to hold above 1.2700 could prompt support at 1.2660 (50-period SMA), 1.2630 (100-period SMA), and 1.2600 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement). GBP/USD, influenced by broad USD selling pressure on Thursday, sought to recover losses, maintaining stability around 1.2700 as the market assessed the latest UK data on Friday.