GBP/USD bulls eye a retest of 1.2800GBP/USD remains in a strong uptrend on the daily chart, although prices began retracing on June 16th. We're now looking for momentum to revert to its bullish trend.
Whilst prices failed to hold above May high, they're now back above them having formed a 3-day bullish reversal pattern (Morning Star). A small bearish inside day formed due to the 3-day weekend in the US, and prices remain beneath a retracement line. But bulls could seek evidence of a swing low around support zones such as 1.2664/67 (weekly pivot point/May high) or the 1.2575 (volume node and lower 1-week implied volatility band).
We're targeting the 1.800/50 area near cycle highs and the upper implied volatility band.
Gbplong
GBPCAD - Inverse head and shoulders pattern forming?Analysis:
Price last week managed to put in a new higher high showing us that we're in an upwards trend meaning that we only want to be going long on this pair. At this level we saw that price held as support if we look left so we expect that it will hold again. Now for this particular setup we don't have any fib levels which we usual look for but we do instead have another pattern, an inverse head and shoulders pattern. This is a bullish chart pattern which is often followed by a bullish move after the second shoulder is formed which is what we expect and this second shoulder lines up with our support level. To add further to this level of support we have a previous downwards trendline that was broken and now is being retested for support. We expect that buyers will set here and will want to hold this level making it a good buying opportunity. Taking a look at the fundamentals we have the GBP which is the 3rd strongest major currency compared to the CAD which is the 2nd weakest major currency so this is already going in our favour, but we get even more confluence as we dig deeper. As of the most recent report for institutional positioning on the CAD we saw an increase in both long and short positions so this is pretty neutral but this isn't the same story for the GBP. As of the most recent report on the GBP for institutional positioning we saw an increase in long positions and a decrease in short positions showing the strength of the GBP and we expect that this will continue. Overall the technicals and the fundamentals are pointing to bullishness on this pair which is why we have our long bias on GBPCAD.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
GBP/USD pulls back into key support clusterGBP/USD has pulled back from its highs and looks like it wants to build a base above the May 2022 high. An inverted hammer formed on the daily chart around the 10-day EMA and momentum has turned higher ahead of the European Open.
The near-term bias remains bullish above Friday’s low and for an initial move to 1.2800 or around the 1.2850 highs. A break above which brings the 1.29 handle into focus, just below the upper 1-week implied volatility band.
GBPAUD - Will The AUD News Change The Trend Direction?Analysis:
Looking at this pair we're able to see that price is making a move to the upside. This is confirmed when we take a closer look at price and we can see that price is forming a series of higher highs and higher lows which confirms our bullish thesis. Currently price is sat at a key level which has held as both support and resistance in the past so we expect that this level will be respected and will hold again. Fundamentally the GBP is the 3rd strongest major currency pair and each week it gains more and more strength, whereas the AUD is the 3rd weakest major currency pair making it not very attractive to buy. Although the AUD did have some bullish news last night we don't expect that this will continue especially after the AUD news that we're expecting tonight. If the news later tonight comes out bullish for the AUD then this will invalidate our idea however if the news comes out bearish for the AUD then we'd have everything that we need to enter long on this pair.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
EURGBP - More Bearish Pressure To Come?Analysis:
Price was stuck in an area of consolidation for a while but we've seen that area be broken and price has made a substantial move to the downside indicating to us that we are only interested in shorting this pair. We're currently at an area of previous major support and we expect that this level will now hold as resistance and price will continue its move to the downside. For added confluence we also have a downwards trendline that has been respected multiple times showing us that the bears are in control of this market. So with this trend line lining up with our area of resistance there is a good chance that we will see price continue its move to the downside. Fundamentally the EUR is the strongest major currency whereas the GBP is the 3rd strongest major currency. Although this doesn't go in our favour this isn't the full picture. For many weeks now we've seen the GBP gain more and more strength and we expect this to continue whereas we're seeing institutions closing their long positions on the EUR. So although currently the EUR is stronger then the GBP we can see this changing in the future which is why we are bearish on this pair.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
GBPCHF - A Break Finally?Analysis:
Price was in this beautiful downwards trend until recently where we saw a break of that trend. Price managed to break with a strong daily candle signalling to us that there could be a possible change in the trend direction. Price has now pulled back to a key level which has held multiple times as support and as resistance so we expect that it will hold again. We have other confluences as well which line up with our idea. At the area of support we also have the 50% and the 61.8% fib retracement levels which we expect buyers will be sat at willing and wanting to push price higher which works in our favour. At this level we also have the retest of the previous downwards trendline which could hold as support, so this again goes in our favour. Taking a look at the fundamentals the GBP is the 3rd strongest major currency pair currently and with the GBP gaining more and more strength each week we can't see this changing for a while. The CHF is pretty neutral being the 4 weakest major currency pair but again with the current market conditions and the strength of the GBP this is a trade that we will be looking to enter long.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
GBPUSD - Powerful IMPULSE leg 200pips GBPUSD is showing a really good STRENGTH from last week, right now we are reaching OVERBOUGHT levels but DIRECTION on this trade is still LONG.
#1 ENTRY (Risk Entry, Good Reward) -: Enter LONG only when price pullback to the BASELINE/Automated KEY ZONE.
INVALIDATION
Invalidation on this trade happens only when DXY SHORT play get invalidated (See the DXY idea to check the exact levels)
TARGETS
If LONG gets triggered, exit here will be at PMtH level (Previous Month High).
P.S I trade with literally zero complicated analysis and still maintain 90% HIT RATE on my LIVE TRADES and ideas.
GBPUSD Long Trade Idea 4H chart GBPUSD CHART ANALYSIS POSTED ON WEDNESDAY 07 JUNE 2023
Let's see how this pair will perform based on the analysis.
Make sure you do your research and based on your confluence please look for the entry.
Don't rush your trades without any confirmation.
Trade safe and use always proper risk management.
Thanks in advance for checking my trade idea.
Looking for GBPAUD dips.GBPAUD - 24h expiry
Previous support located at 1.8700.
Previous resistance located at 1.8800.
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
We look to Buy at 1.8650 (stop at 1.8599)
Our profit targets will be 1.8775 and 1.8800
Resistance: 1.8775 / 1.8800 / 1.8850
Support: 1.8700 / 1.8650 / 1.8600
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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GBP/USD: 12/05. Buyer's OpportunityGBP/USD remains on the defensive near 1.2530 even as it renews the intraday high ahead of the all-important UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data early Friday. Not only positioning ahead of the data, but optimistic market expectations and fears of a positive surprise also allowed the Pound to ease its recent losses.
GBP/USD trades near the lower limit of the ascending retracement channel, currently at 1.2560. The 50-period simple moving average (SMA) also consolidated that support. In the event that the pair confirms it as resistance, then 1.2530 (100-period SMA) would align with the next downside target ahead of 1.2510 (psychological level, static level) and 1.2450 ( 200 period SMA).
On the other hand, 1.2680 (static level) forms temporary resistance ahead of 1.2670 (midpoint of ascending retracement channel). A close above the four-hour close could attract buyers and prompt another move higher towards 1.2710. OANDA:GBPUSD
GBPUSD: Will the Pair Continue to Show Volatility?The GBPUSD currency pair has been showing increased volatility recently, thanks in part to the saga around SVB and Credit Suisse. As of Wednesday 22nd and Thursday 23rd March 2023, price action saw resistance around the 1.23000-1.23500 level, with Friday 24th March confirming it. It's interesting to note that this level held price from Tuesday 24th January until Thursday 2nd February 2023.
With this background in mind, we expect price action to find minor support around the 1.21000 or 1.19920 level. If the level holds, we anticipate a bull run to target the 1.2150 price level.
Looking ahead, the last trading week for the month of March 2023 has several important events that could impact the GBPUSD currency pair. The first is the BOE Gov Bailey Speaks, which is scheduled for Tuesday 28th March at 9:45 am GMT. This could provide insight into the Bank of England's current monetary policy and future direction, which could impact the currency pair.
Later that day, there will be another BOE Gov Bailey Speaks event, this time scheduled for 3:00 pm GMT. This event could provide additional insight into the central bank's stance on the economy and any potential policy changes.
Long GBPUSD, target 1.240
GBPUSD is currently testing support around 1.231, once the support is confirmed to be valid, it will rise to around 1.240.
So today we will focus on the support around 1.231. When the support is confirmed to be valid, we can go long, and the target is around 1.240-1.244.
I released the trading strategies of EURUSD and GBPUSD today, and I will continue to publish gold, BTC, etc. later. If you are trading them, you can follow me, if you have any questions, you can tell me, and I will help you answer them.