Gbpnzdforecast
GBP/NZD Long to 1.90 or 1.8445 Comment Your ThoughtsAccording Mark McCormick, Global Head of FX Strategy at TD Securities, suggests to go long on GBP/NZD cross at current levels, targeting a move to 1.90 and a stop of 1.8445.
Key Quotes
“While all the G10 shows downside growth momentum, the USD, for its part, falls into the worst quadrant that shows dual deceleration. Even so, NZD takes top shop in terms of the overall worst ranking and GRMI doesn't help its ranking this week. We also expect a weak NZ CPI print that could catalyze NZD downside.”
“For GBP, while it has plenty of Brexit risks to manage, we note this week's event calendar offers smoother sailing. Furthermore, GBP checks a few boxes in the desirable (tactical) contrarian trade column, reflecting its weight in these baskets. It is also trading with a 2% discount to HFFV against the USD. When we calculate the cross NZD HFFV levels, GBPNZD is trading at a whopping 5.3% discount!”
GBPNZD Strength DecreasingGBPNZD has printed a bearish rejection candle. There seems to be a slowdown in volatility. If price can break this trend line and retest it we will see price take back down to the previous low at 1.84000. If price continues its bullish momentum, price can potentially push up into the next zone between 1.97000- 1.98000.
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