What Next 2.10 Looks Crucial?This currency pair has caught my attention due to its recent breakthrough of the 2.10 resistance zone last week, propelling it upwards to around 2.13. But what lies ahead?
Initially, it's worth noting that on the lower timeframe charts, we're witnessing a significant overbought condition. This hints at an impending retracement. In fact, signs are already emerging that a downward move towards the 2.10 resistance-turned-support level could be in the works. I've taken the initiative to initiate a short position based on this outlook.(see image below)
While the potential for a more substantial correction can't be dismissed, I'm particularly keen to observe how price behaves at the crucial 2.10 level. This resembles a situation we encountered at 2.05 earlier, where after an initial breakout towards 2.10 (for a detailed breakdown, refer to my previous post from about a month ago), a subsequent retracement occurred, finding firm support at 2.05.(see image below)
Should we begin to notice the establishment of a support structure on the lower timeframes (4-hour and 1-hour) in the vicinity of 2.10, akin to what transpired around 2.05, it sets the stage for a potential new bullish leg, targeting the 2.175 region that marked the high during the rapid rally of 2020.
For a more pronounced correction to materialize, my criteria involve a decisive momentum break beneath the 2.10 level, followed by a weekly close below this threshold. Should these conditions be met, my sights are set on 2.05 or potentially lower.
Currently, a short-term SELL trade has been triggered at 2.125. My initial target stands at 2.10, with a pivotal breakeven point at 2.116. At this juncture, I'll close 50% of the position and adjust the stop loss to match the entry price.
The trajectory of a deeper correction or the potential onset of the next bullish phase hinges on how price responds in the vicinity of 2.10.
Hope you enjoyed the read
Gbpnzdsell
GBPNZD - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a strong bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. Firstly I expect price to make a retracement in order to fill imbalances and only after that to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 2.10000.
Fundamental analysis: Upcoming week on Wednesday will be released Cash Rate on NZD, also yearly CPI on GBP. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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GBPNZD Sell Trade: High Probability, 1:6 Risk-Reward Adventure!"Introduction:
Hello fellow traders! Today, we are back with an exciting long-term trade opportunity:
Sell GBPNZD : 2.09450
Take Profit : 1.99403
Stop Loss : 2.11150.
We will exit the trade if the Bank of England (BoE) maintains a hawkish rhetoric without softening. In this article, we will delve into the technical analysis and fundamental factors supporting this trade, all while keeping in mind the timeless wisdom of forex proverbs that guide us towards high probability trades.
Technical Analysis:
The decision to enter a sell trade at 2.09450 is driven by a compelling technical setup. The price level has consistently shown strong resistance, experiencing multiple rejections. Moreover, when applying Fibonacci Retracement levels from 1.89374 to 2.09450, we anticipate a 50% retracement downward. This enticing setup offers a remarkable 1:6 Risk Reward ratio, enhancing the trade's potential for substantial profit.
"The trend is your friend."
This age-old saying reminds us to align ourselves with prevailing market trends. As I have already mentioned that the GBP weakens in August 2023, the technical setup for the GBPNZD sell trade complements the broader downtrend, increasing our chances of success.
Fundamental Analysis:
The prevailing market sentiment suggests the BoE is likely to raise interest rates by 0.25% while signaling an end to their tightening policy. As a result, bearish traders are gearing up to capitalize on this expected scenario.
"Trade what you see, not what you think."
While expectations may be clear, as traders, we must be adaptable. If the BoE surprises with a more aggressive 0.50% rate hike or maintains their hawkish stance, the British pound could experience a significant surge. Staying open-minded and ready to adjust our strategy ensures we are prepared for all possible outcomes.
Economists are raising concerns over downside risks for the British pound. The market may have overestimated the BoE's hawkishness over the past three months, and the UK economy's stagnation presents challenges in a G10 context.
"Cut your losses short and let your profits run."
As we venture into this trade, we must adhere to this timeless wisdom. If the trade doesn't unfold as expected, we should be ready to exit with minimal losses. Conversely, if conditions align with our analysis, we should let the profits run, maximizing our gains.
Conclusion:
The GBPNZD sell trade presents an enticing opportunity with its high probability setup and favorable Risk Reward ratio. However, it's essential to stay vigilant and agile, considering both technical and fundamental factors that may influence the trade's outcome. As traders, let us heed the wisdom of forex proverbs, guiding us towards successful and rewarding journeys in the dynamic world of forex trading. Happy trading!
Revolt of the colonies - why NZD will triumph over GBPI am splitting the trade into 2 entries:
One right here at the current market price and a sell limit order at the high of 2.09000.
The balance of power between the former colony and its rulers will shift soon:
GBP view:
- UK inflation came in lower than expected today. This was also likely because.
1. many leading economic indicators were already hinting at this in advance
2. analysts have been wrong in their forecasts for UK CPI more often in the past.
- UK inflation will fall more than the market currently expects in the coming months.
-> Most (but not all) of the BOE's priced-in rate hikes will have to be priced out.
- Core inflation will remain sticky for now, but will also fall more sharply from Q4 2023 onwards
-> Instead of the lavishly priced-in rate hikes, the BOE will tend to cut rates from 2024 onwards
-> This will weigh on the GBP
- US PMIs were bad this week
- UK retail sales came in higher (as I forecasted) than the market expected this week, so I can't rule out a pullback in GBP
NZD View:
- Inflation data from New Zealand came in higher than expected
-> The RBNZ says it has ended its rate hike cycle, but it may be forced to raise rates again in October or November.
-> This will ultimately be decided by the NZ jobs data at the beginning of August.
Prepare for Action: 1000 Pip Move On The Horizon ??We're approaching a key area on the chart that holds massive potential. It's the Monthly SUPPLY/SELL zone, a zone that emerged in 2020 during the chaos of CV when we witnessed an incredible near 1000 pip spike in just minutes, reaching an astounding 2.17. While revisiting those levels may be unlikely, we have a great short opportunity.
Here's what I want to see is a climb towards the Weekly resistance level at 2.10, marked prominently in RED on the chart. This level presents a prime area for considering short positions, although hitting it precisely may not always happen. Timing and adaptability are key.
Consequently, my strategy involves keeping an eye out for SELL signals as we edge above 2.09 and incrementally building a short position. The profit potential for this pair is substantial, with an initial target at 2.05, denoted by the green shade. Not only does this level serve as a former weekly resistance, now turned support, but it also possesses the appeal of being a round number.
Once we reach 2.05, anticipate a potential bounce towards 2.075, followed by a significant SELL OFF that could drive us towards the 2 handle and even lower. This move has the potential to yield several hundred, if not over a thousand pips.
I hope you found this analysis insightful and engaging. If you enjoyed it, I appreciate your support through likes and follows!
GBPNZD Long Term Trading Idea Hello Traders
In This Chart GBPNZD 4 HOUR Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today nzdcad analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPNZD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPNZD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts.
GBPNZD - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPNZD.
Technical analysis: As I said in my previous analysis I expect price to make a retracement on daily timeframe, so on 4H we can see that price took buy side liquidity and rejected from bearish order block, so I opened a short position.
Fundamental analysis: Upcoming week we have news on GBP. On Wednesday will be released yearly CPI and on Thursday Interest Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis, as these news are one of the most important.
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GBP/NZD Made Head&Shoulders Pattern ,Ready For Sell After RetestThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GBPNZD-4HR INCOMING STRONG SELL Hey Everyone, We had a long bullish impulse on FX:GBPNZD , price broke out and sellers now have control. Looking at 4HR market structure, price is looking to drop significantly to fill up the gap that price have left behind.
Let's not miss out on a great opportunity, thank you for your support :)
GBPNZD - Long after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily perspective, so I am looking for longs. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill that huge imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.99000.
Fundamental analysis: Upcoming week on Wednesday we have news on GBP, will be released monthly GDP & on Thursday on NZD will be released quarterly GDP. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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GBPNZD - Long from discount zone ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs from discount zone. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.99000.
Fundamental analysis: Next week we have news on GBP, on Thursday will be released Interest Rate supported by Bailey speech. The rate is forecasted to increase, this means strength in currency which can support our analysis.
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Potential Sell Opportunity - GBP/NZDI will be considering a sell when the 1HR closes. The market must trade through the current 1HR Low for a validated entry. The market is reacting beautifully to the 2.01000 level with rejection. Also the 20EMA/50MA are in a confirmed downtrend. I will be taking this trade into new lows as a target.
GBPNZD : Short Trade ,4hHello traders, we want to check the GBPNZD chart in the 4-hour time frame. The price is moving in an ascending channel and has reached a strong resistance level as well as the ceiling of the ascending channel. We expect this level to stop the upward trend of the price and cause the price to fall. Until the targets are determined. Good luck.
GBPNZD sell Entry : 2.03140
Stop : 2.05480 , Target1 : 2.00780 , Target2 : 1.98450
Risk/Reward Ratio : 2
GBPJPY SETUP Hello guys,As we see gbpjpy is moving bullish and now has reached near to its major daily resistance (167.677 )and there is really good sell opportunity. But as always remember dont enter right now wait until it gives confirmation on daily time frame which i think most probably it will give us at the end of this week or the start of next week than you can enter sell and you can get atleast 300+ pips . Enjoy the profit if you are having any difficulty let us know we will be happy to help you
GBPNZD - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPNZD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking longs, but for now I expect a retracement to till the imbalances lower. As well we have a normal divergence which indicates bearish price action.
Fundamental analysis: Wednesday on 5th of April will be released Official Cash Rate on NZD, which was forecasted to increase by 0.25%, this means strength in currency which could support our move.
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