GBPNZD Strong buy signal at the bottom of the Channel Up.The GBPNZD pair has been trading within an 11-month Channel Up and since its break below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on August 28, it has been forming the new bottom. Monday saw it approaching the Higher Lows trend-line and with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) just below it as a Support, we believe that we've seen the new Low.
In fact, as the 1D RSI made a Double Bottom, it resembles the Channel's last bottom formation on June 06. The final confirmation of the bullish break-out will be when a 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50. We expect at least a +4.45% rise, thus targeting 2.19000 on the medium-term.
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Gbpnzdsignals
GBPNZD Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.The GBPNZD pair is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 7-month Channel Up and has already completed a +4.40% rise since its recent Higher Low. That is the exact rise % that the previous two Bullish Legs of the Channel achieved.
As a result this is close to the most optimal sell signal we can get. Both previous Bearish Legs that followed such top sell signals, reached at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Therefore, our short-term Target on this pair is 2.09500.
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GBPNZD 1D MA50 rejection. Sell Signal.The GBPNZD pair recently made a Bearish Break-out as it broke below the Channel Up and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), introducing a new Channel Down pattern. On Monday we saw the latest rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been holding as Resistance since May 03.
As long as it holds, we expect the new Bearish Leg to start. The previous one stopped after a -2.75% decline, which currently gives a price tag at a little below 2.0300. However we will use a more modest Target, aiming at 2.04000 (a little above Support 2).
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GBPNZD Dip buy opportunity on the 1D MA50.The GBPNZD pair gave us a strong buy signal last time we called on it (January 05 2024, see chart below) and even broke above the former Channel Down pattern:
The trend transitioned into an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) and recently broke above its top. It has formed the first 1D Golden Cross in 1 year (since March 27 2023), so on the long-term we have confirmed a new bullish trend.
Right now we are looking for a short pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) followed by an aggressive expansion towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which is the typical target of the IH&S. Our target is lower on Resistance 1 at 2.15900.
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GBPNZD Buy signal on a Channel Down.The GBPNZD pair has had a strong decline since our last sell call (November 24, see chart below) breaking even below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line):
The price is currently rising after making a Lower Low but not at the bottom of the (blue) Channel Down. For that reason we consider the emergence of a Diverging Channel Down that can break above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200.
In any case the probability for a short-term rise is very high as the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross and the last such formation below 0.00 (October 11), pushed the price all the way to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result our target is now 2.05200.
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GBPNZD ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Guys,
This pair has been on my radar for a long time now. Let's break down this pair.
On the monthly timeframe, a bearish CHOCH was formed and if you use your fib to measure the retracement, you will notice that the price has retraced more than the equilibrium price, meaning that GBPNZD is in a premium zone. This doesn't mean it would be wise to short the pair just like that.
On the weekly timeframe, using your fib you will also notice that price has retraced to the equilibrium price.
On the daily timeframe is where it gets interesting, notice the sell-side liquidity (equal lows) and also the imbalance (FVG) as drawn on my chart. Also, price has formed a bearish CHOCH on the daily timeframe.
If price should retrace into the daily supply orderblock, I will go into the 1 hour timeframe to wait for my trade setup.
Keep this pair on your radar.
Follow for more updates like this.
Cheers,
Jabari
GBPNZD Sell every Channel Down top.The GBPNZD pair has enter a Channel Down pattern with the 1D MA50 as its pivot. A similar pattern emerged in May 2022, after the pair made an identical top and bottom (see the blue Rectangle). This time we have an additional support in the form of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but as long as the price trades within the Channel Down, sell every Lower High and target the 1D MA200.
If the price closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA200, we have to start considering a long-term shift to a bearish trend and sell after the first rebound to the 1D MA50, while a closing above th 0.618 Fibonacci level will be bullish, targeting the 2.1500 High.
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GBPNZD The massive sell-off can extend below 2.000The GBPNZD pair is on a massive 6-week sell-off that has broken below June's and July's Low. The 1W RSI turned bearish below 45.00 and the next line of Support is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). In the past 5 years, every sharp sell-off on GBPNZD has been at least -9%. A potential new such decline gives us a target estimate just below Support 1 (1.97550). That is the target that we will pursue but if the 1W RSI hits the 34.00 Support earlier, we will close it on the market price regardless. The next bounce should hit at least the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level but that can be calculated after the bottom is formed.
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GBPNZD Starting to turn into a buy again.The GBPNZD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the start of the year and 10 days ago started its technical correction after the new Higher High. The price hit the middle of the pattern and as the 1D RSI touched its Higher Lows trend-line, the conditions for the new buy emerge again. We are placing the first buy of this sequence now and if the price drops more we will enter a second (and final) on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) potentially at 2.1000. For both positions, the target is 2.18000.
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GBPNZD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPNZD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPNZD Best trading plan for the time beingThe GBPNZD pair has given us a wonderful buy signal last time we looked at it (January 26) as the analysis below shows, hitting our 2.000 target:
The price is now on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and is a critical level as its closing will decide the short-term trend. If this 1D candle closes below it, we will sell and target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1.95000. If it closes above it, we expect a rebound to 2.05000 (below the Resistance).
As you see, we have spotted an identical pattern in 2019, which was what helped us take the strong buy in January. The RSI sequences are also identical
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GBPNZD Best long-term signal you'll getThe GBPNZD pair hit the bottom of the Triangle pattern it has been trading in since early 2019. This has been done staight after a 1D Death Cross (when the blue 1D MA50 crosses below the orange 1D MA200). This is quite similar to the October 2018 - August 2019 fractal. A new Golden Cross will confirm the currently strong long-term buy signal.
See how they both ae under near perfect symmetry. The first Lower High hit the 0.786 Fibonacci and got rejected. Our long-term target is 2.000, just below the top of the Triangle.
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GBP/NZD in my opinionHello guys!
Again Vugar here.
By following GBP/AUD, I decided to write some sentences about it.
Already, we see that it created flat channel or something like it. Channel upper level is 1.93550, bottom line is 1.90867.
The is most important is its median. Median is parallel line among trend channel. In GBP/NZD, median is 1.92480 approximately.
What can we wait for?
Price now is 1.9213. This is too closer to median. In this case, have one decision: - put SELL STOP at 1.92000!
TP 1.91328
SL 1.92700
If we will have a chance (a little) then we will be successful in the end of day!
Good luck!
GBPNZD Strong buy opportunity.The GBPNZD pair is moving exactly as predicted on our previous analysis on September 28:
The price hit and got rejected on the Lower Highs (dashed) trend-line) of the Triangle pattern that has been holding since April 02 2020. The pair pulled-back aggressively, but this remains much in line with the 2019 W-shaped fractal, which after its own 1D Golden Cross (when the 1D MA50 (blue) crosses above the 1D MA200 (orange)), it made a new High above the Symmetrical Resistance.
This time, since the uptrend is limited to the Lower Highs trend-line, we will again buy and target this.
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GBPNZD Confirmed long-term buy-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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The GBPNZD pair has been following exactly our trading plan since our last update a month ago, getting rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and hitting the Higher Lows zone of the long-term Triangle pattern that it has been trading in since the April 02 2020 High:
Following the initial rebound after the August 12 Low, the price broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) confirming the bullish break-out sentiment. This may be the perfect opportunity for those who missed it earlier. Our long-term target for the end of the year is just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 2.010. Those who seek more risk, there is also the Symmetrical Resistance if the Triangle breaks to the upside.
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GBPNZD Excellent buy level for a rally to the end of the yearThe GBPNZD pair has been following exactly our trading plan since our last update a month ago, getting rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and hitting the Higher Lows zone of the long-term Triangle pattern that it has been trading in since the April 02 2020 High:
The initial rebound after the August 12 Low is seeing a pull-back in the last 10 days and that may be the perfect opportunity for those who missed it, to buy again. Our long-term target for the end of the year is just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 2.010. Those who seek more risk, there is also the Symmetrical Resistance if the Triangle breaks to the upside.
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GBPNZD targeting 2.010 after this pull-back is completedThe GBPNZD pair is trading below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the past week. This is not an unfamiliar trading set-up as the same W pattern was last seen from October 2018 to October 2019. The last Lower High of the long-term Triangle pattern was on February 03 2022 so currently, in terms of RSI also, we are on the last pull-back before the final rally to complete the pattern. Our long-term target is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 2.010.
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